Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

1. Forecasting

2026

• Christos Tzomakas, 2026, "Monetary policy transmission and the yield curve: the role of external market factors against the backdrop of Brexit," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 1, pages 1-42, January, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02874-2.
• Alena Skolkova, 2026, "Model averaging with ridge regularization," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-19, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02866-2.
• Elliot Beck & Michael Wolf, 2026, "Forecasting inflation with the hedged random forest," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-36, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02879-x.
• Visa Kuntze & Henri Nyberg & Samuel Rauhala, 2026, "Similarity-based path forecasting of US recession periods," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 3, pages 1-18, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-026-02893-7.
• Jan Willem Van den End, 2026, "Does uncertainty raise the probability of a recession?," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 6, pages 1-32, June, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-026-02914-5.
• Karsten Reichold, 2026, "Forecasting post-pandemic tourism demand: random forests and calendar variables," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 71, issue 1, pages 1-39, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-026-02944-z.
• Haoxin Zhao & Kazeem O. Isah, 2026, "Understanding ESG-mediated climate risk impacts on corporate profits: sectoral dynamics and predictive evidence from an ADL–MIDAS framework," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 71, issue 1, pages 1-36, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-026-02945-y.
• Pourya Valizadeh & Akash Issar & Henry L. Bryant & Bart L. Fischer & Rebecca Nemec Boehm, 2026, "Forecasting the path of SNAP spending using state-level panel data models," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 71, issue 1, pages 1-73, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-026-02947-w.
• Seho Park & Kahyun Lee, 2026, "Predicting brand share after LOE in chronic disease market using machine learning," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), volume 27, issue 3, pages 699-714, April, DOI: 10.1007/s10198-025-01845-9.
• Arthur Jonath & Fred Khorasani & John O’Connell, 2026, "The consumer-to-producer temperature gradient predicts leading indicators: a new economic measurement based on physical principles and cause and effect," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-24, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-025-00805-9.
• Radmir Mishelevich Leushuis & Nicolai Petkov, 2026, "Advances in forecasting realized volatility: a review of methodologies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-29, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-025-00809-5.
• Hugo Gobato Souto & Amir Moradi, 2026, "Enhancing financial risk management: a novel multivariate neural network approach for realized covariance matrix prediction," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-26, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-025-00816-6.
• Heng Xiong & Yuxuan Guo & Ričardas Zitikis, 2026, "Beyond no-claims discount: a learning-embedded telematics-driven pricing system for dynamic premium adjustments," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-38, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-026-00928-7.
• Bibiana Lanzilotta & Gabriela Mordecki & Pablo Tapie & Joaquín Torres Pérez, 2026, "Structural Breaks in Uncertainty and the Business Cycle in a Small and Open Economy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 22, issue 1, pages 1-28, April, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-025-00117-y.
• Afees A. Salisu & Abeeb O. Olaniran, 2026, "Energy market uncertainty and economic conditions at the global and U.S. State levels," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 1-51, December, DOI: 10.1007/s12197-025-09739-5.
• Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2026, "Forecasting the volatility of stock returns in the G7 countries over centuries: the role of climate risks," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 1-32, December, DOI: 10.1007/s12197-026-09751-3.
• Bilgehan Tekin, 2026, "Bitcoin as a Behavioral Bellwether: Unveiling the Bandwagon Effect and Investor Sensitivity in the NFT Landscape," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), volume 17, issue 2, pages 3714-3739, April, DOI: 10.1007/s13132-025-02788-5.
• Tonmoy Chatterjee & Nilendu Chatterjee, 2026, "Digitalisation, skill development and sustainable economic growth: theories and empirics in the context of BRICS," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, volume 60, issue 4, pages 11647-11680, August, DOI: 10.1007/s11135-025-02144-4.
• Tooraj Karimi & Mohamad Ahmadian, 2026, "Analyzing post-pandemic tourism recovery: a grey system theory approach with high-accuracy small-sample modeling," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, volume 60, issue 4, pages 12525-12545, August, DOI: 10.1007/s11135-025-02460-9.
• Mohanan Moni & Sreeraj Venuraj & Biju Ajithakumari Vijayappan Nair & Darko B. Vuković & Adel Dalal, 2026, "A temporal-fusion-based speculation index: early-warning signals from trading activity," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, volume 60, issue 4, pages 14019-14047, August, DOI: 10.1007/s11135-026-02764-4.
• Philipp Kronenberg, 2026, "A high-frequency GDP indicator for Switzerland," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, volume 162, issue 1, pages 1-55, December, DOI: 10.1186/s41937-026-00157-w.
• Sanjib Kumar Mishra & Sasmita Mishra & Rojalina Priyadarshini & Zefree Lazarus Mayaluri, 2026, "Explainable business intelligence for auditable vendor segmentation and payment-traceability monitoring in SAP cross-company check payments," SN Business & Economics, Springer, volume 6, issue 7, pages 1-33, July, DOI: 10.1007/s43546-026-01239-w.
• Mohd Redzuan Ahmad & Mohd Herwan Sulaiman, 2026, "Machine learning-based gold price forecasting: a bibliometric review of trends, methods, and future directions," SN Business & Economics, Springer, volume 6, issue 8, pages 1-38, August, DOI: 10.1007/s43546-026-01299-y.
• David J. C. Dinis, 2026, "Low Default Portfolios – From the Usefulness of Pluriannual Data to the Inconsistency of Multi period Estimation," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, volume 16, issue 4, pages 1-2.
• Zhiyang Jia & Snorre Skagseth & Thor O. Thoresen & Trine E. Vattø, 2026, "Apractical framework for behavioral microsimulation using external evidence," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 1034, Feb.
• Carlos Montes-Galdón & Joan Paredes & Elias Wolf, 2026, "A robust approach to tilting: parametric relative entropy," Working and Discussion Papers, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia, number WP 2/2026, Feb.
• Hanjo Odendaal, 2026, "Animal spirits or political risk? Separating confidence channels in an emerging economy," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 08/2026.
• Sarthak S. Behera & Hyeongwoo Kim & Soohyon Kim, 2026, "Asymmetric Roles of Macroeconomic Variables in the Real Exchange Rate: Insights from U.S.-Korea Data," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 40, issue 1, pages 84-113, January, DOI: 10.1080/10168737.2026.2613859.
• Kurt G. Lunsford & Kenneth D. West, 2026, "Random Walk Forecasts of Stationary Processes Have Low Bias," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 44, issue 2, pages 537-546, April, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2025.2541724.
• Garratt Anthony & Petrella Ivan & Zhang Yunyi, 2026, "The Predictive Content of U.S. Energy Information Administration Oil Market Forecasts," Working papers, Department of Economics, Social Studies, Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche), University of Torino, number 104, Mar.
• ANGHEL, Bogdan Ionut & MARINOV, Georgi & DONOIU, Paul Cristian, 2026, "Market Regimes And Portfolio Allocation: Evidence From The Romanian Equity Market Using Hidden Markov Models And Xgboost," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", volume 30, issue 2, pages 89-107, June, DOI: https://doi.org/10.65672/fs.2026.2..
• Yachou Najlae & Abahman Omar & Hakimi Khalid, 2026, "Designing an LSTM-Based Model for Financial Asset Forecasting Using Machine Learning," Central European Economic Journal, Paradigm, volume 13, issue 60, pages 1-23, DOI: 10.2478/ceej-2026-0001.
• Kumar Suresh & Ali Hyder, 2026, "Liquidity risk and liquidity timing in the cross-section of Indian equity mutual fund returns," Economics and Business Review, Paradigm, volume 12, issue 1, pages 105-133, DOI: 10.18559/ebr.2026.1.2746.
• Tatarczak Anna & Humeniuk Oleksandra, 2026, "Forecasting cryptocurrencies in turbulent times: Evidence on parsimony versus model complexity," Economics and Business Review, Paradigm, volume 12, issue 1, pages 135-158, DOI: 10.18559/ebr.2026.1.2652.
• Ochrymiuk Tymoteusz & Grabowski Kacper, 2026, "Economic Growth in the USA: Econometric Model and Forecast," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Paradigm, volume 26, issue 1, pages 194-212, DOI: 10.2478/foli-2026-0010.
• Mielus Piotr, 2026, "Modelling the implied volatility – A case of EUR/PLN currency options," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, volume 62, issue 1, pages 49-61, DOI: 10.2478/ijme-2026-0006.
• Cafieri Simona & Borrata Gianmarco, 2026, "AI Techniques for Survey Data Quality: Transformers and GANs," Journal of Social and Economic Statistics, Paradigm, volume 15, issue 1, pages 57-68, DOI: 10.2478/jses-2026-0005.
• Pham Thuy Tu, 2026, "Global Information Uncertainty and Real Estate Stock Valuation in Emerging Markets: an Integrated Behavioral - Theoretical and Machine Learning Framework," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, volume 34, issue 1, pages 63-83, DOI: 10.2478/remav-2026-0006.
• Horák Jakub & Kučera Jiří, 2026, "Trends, Shocks and Predictions in the Price Development of Food-Grade Wheat," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Paradigm, volume 36, issue 3, pages 128-165, DOI: 10.2478/sues-2026-0015.
• Boysen-Hogrefe Jens, 2026, "Leitartikel: Fiskalregeln und die Grenzen der Politikberatung," Wirtschaftsdienst, Paradigm, volume 106, issue 4, pages 230-231, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2026-0056.
• Harold Glenn A. Valera & Cymon Kayle Lubangco & Mark J. Holmes, 2026, "Does repeated cross-section data help explain consumer inflation expectations revisions?," Working Papers in Economics, University of Waikato, number 26/03, Feb.
• Kostiantyn Okhrimenko, 2026, "Painting Price: A Machine Learning Approach to Art Valuation. Proof of Concept and Market Structure Diagnosis," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2026-18.
• Evangelos E. Ioannidis & Sofia‐Eirini Nikolakakou, 2026, "Modeling and Forecasting Stochastic Seasonality: Are Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models Always the Best Choice?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 45, issue 1, pages 316-334, January, DOI: 10.1002/for.70034.
• Jaroslava Hlouskova & Ines Fortin, 2026, "Regime‐Dependent Nowcasting of the Austrian Economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 45, issue 4, pages 2078-2101, July, DOI: 10.1002/for.70123.
• Emmanouil Sofianos & Thierry Betti & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Amélie Barbier‐Gauchard & Periklis Gogas, 2026, "Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 45, issue 5, pages 2173-2185, August, DOI: 10.1002/for.70144.
• Georgios Angelopoulos & Zacharias Bragoudakis & Dimitrios Dimitriou & Alexandros Tsioutsios, 2026, "A New Proposal for Forecasting Inflation in the Eurozone: A Global Model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 45, issue 5, pages 2393-2425, August, DOI: 10.1002/for.70135.
• Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Onur Polat, 2026, "Forecasting Natural Gas Futures Price Volatility of the United States: National Versus State‐Level Climate Concern Indexes," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 46, issue 7, pages 1275-1297, July, DOI: 10.1002/fut.70108.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Andreas Pick & Allan Timmermann, 2026, "Forecasting with panel data: Estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 17, issue 2, pages 342-393, May, DOI: 10.3982/QE2589.
• Jabeur Salhi & Ichrak Dridi & Oussama Gafrej, 2026, "Unlocking success in tech reward crowdfunding: A hybrid probit-machine learning approach with SHAP-driven feature analysis," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 13, issue 01, pages 1-43, March, DOI: 10.1142/S2424786326500027.
• Ichrak Dridi & Mohamed Malek Belhoula, 2026, "The moderating role of inflation targeting in stock market volatility drivers: Machine learning insights into macro-financial channels," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 13, issue 02, pages 1-36, June, DOI: 10.1142/S2424786326500180.
• Anshul Agrawal & Sanjeev Kadam & Mohd Afjal, 2026, "Evaluating Predictive Robustness of Machine Learning Models During Black Swan Crises: Insights from Bitcoin Price Forecasting," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 17, issue 02, pages 1-22, June, DOI: 10.1142/S1793993325500267.
• Verona, Fabio, 2026, "Forecasting inflation: The sum of the cycles outperforms the whole," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 1/2026.
• Ollech, Daniel, 2026, "Selecting seasonal filters in X-13-ARIMA via cross-validation," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 16/2026, DOI: 10.71734/DP-2026-16.
• Fausch, Jürg & Frigg, Moreno & Ruenzi, Stefan & Weigert, Florian, 2026, "Machine learning mutual fund flows," CFR Working Papers, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR), number 26-03.
• Dallari, Pietro & Gattini, Luca, 2026, "How severe are European regulatory stress test scenarios? A probabilistic calibration for the euro area," EIB Working Papers, European Investment Bank (EIB), number 2026/01, DOI: 10.2867/0689043.
• Gondauri, Davit & Batiashvili, Mikheil, 2026, "Agentic Capital as a Productive Asset in the Agentic Economy: A Panel Econometric Analysis of Productivity Dynamics," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 341306.
• Gondauri, Davit, 2026, "Global Hodge-Econometric Modeling of the World Economy: A Regional Benchmark Prototype for Topological Flow Decomposition, Systemic Circulation, Shock Transmission, and Macroeconomic Resilience," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 341543.
• Yadav, Harsh & Goli, Srinivas, 2026, "Cultural Momentum, Demographic Divergence, and Population Prospects in India, 2100: Son Preference as a Structural Driver of Fertility and Long-Term Projections," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 341571.
• Gondauri, Davit, 2026, "Navier-Stokes-Inspired Global Liquidity-Flow and Systemic-Stress Modelling: A Nondimensional Macro-Financial Stress-Testing Framework," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 341616.
• Gondauri, Davit, 2026, "Global Perelman-Ricci-Poincare-Inspired Inequality Diagnostics: Curvature, Entropy and Graph-Topological Modelling of Macro-Regional Pressure and Smoothing Capacity," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 341620.
• Gondauri, Davit, 2026, "Global Riemann-Zeta FPAS+ζ Inflation Forecasting: Layered Validation of a Hybrid Structural-Spectral Model for World Macroeconomic Pressure," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 341672.
• Guest, Oliver & Steenkamp, Daan, 2026, "Is the rand at fair value?," EconStor Research Reports, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 336005.
• Heinisch, Katja & van Norden, Simon & Wildi, Marc, 2026, "Smooth and persistent forecasts of German GDP: Balancing accuracy and stability," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 1/2026, DOI: 10.18717/dp99kr-7336.
• Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Schult, Christoph & Zeddies, Götz, 2026, "Einhaltung der EU-Fiskalregeln erfordert umfangreiche Konsolidierung: Mittelfristige Projektion der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung und der öffentlichen Finanzen in Deutschland," IWH Policy Notes, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 1/2026, DOI: 10.18717/pnb1fm-ja32.
• Knüppel, Malte & Pavlova, Lora, 2026, "Survey design and professional forecasters: The case of uncertainty in the US SPF," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 26-017.
• Giménez-Nadal, José Ignacio & Molina, José Alberto & Velilla, Jorge, 2026, "Who Shirks at Work? An Application of Machine Learning to Time Use Data," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18432, Mar.
• Bruns, Daniel & Meier, Dennis & Thomsen, Stephan & Wolf, Felix, 2026, "Small-Area Projections of the General Practitioner Workforce in Germany: Supply, Demand and Workforce Gaps," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18801, Jul.
• Mithila Chavan & Abhishek Garg, 2026, "Forecasting ENSO Impact on India’s Economic Indicators Using AI and Climate Data: A Cross-Model Evaluation," Journal of Global Economy, Research Centre for Social Sciences,Mumbai, India, volume 21, issue 4, pages 261-284, January.
• Mengnan Xu & Qifa Xu & Cuixia Jiang & Xingxuan Zhuo, 2026, "High-frequency Growth-at-Risk of China: the Role of Macro-financial Environment," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 67, issue 3, pages 1533-1570, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-025-10927-y.
• Bhanu Pratap & Amit Pawar & Shovon Sengupta, 2026, "Non-linear Phillips Curve for India: Evidence from Explainable Machine Learning," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 67, issue 3, pages 2301-2344, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-025-10942-z.
• Mengxi He & Daxiang Jin & Yaojie Zhang, 2026, "The Role of Lead-lag Effect in Predicting Crude Oil Futures Volatility: Empirical Evidence from China," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 67, issue 6, pages 5115-5137, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-025-11041-9.
• David Alaminos & M. Belén Salas-Compás & Estefanía Alaminos, 2026, "High-Frequency Trading, Short Squeeze and ARMA-GARCH-Fractal Neural Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 68, issue 2, pages 1097-1154, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-025-11026-8.
• Alok Arun & Sibanjan Mishra & Bibhuti Bhusan Mishra, 2026, "Cross impact of technology and finance on economic growth: evidence across globe," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, volume 59, issue 3, pages 1-35, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10644-026-10021-9.
• Kerim Keskin, 2026, "A game theory approach to football predictions," Public Choice, Springer, volume 206, issue 1, pages 241-261, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11127-025-01317-x.
• Foltas Alexander, 2026, "Inefficient Forecast Narratives: A BERT-Based Approach," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, volume 77, issue 1, pages 87-115, DOI: 10.1515/roe-2026-0013.
• Alice Treesa M & Dr. Arpita Choudhary, 2026, "Comparative Study of Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models for Short-Term Energy Consumption Prediction," Working Papers, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India, number 2026-301, May.
• Jiti Gao & Fei Liu & Bin Peng, 2026, "Inference for High-Dimensional Local Projection," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 1/26.
• Nam Ho-Nguyen & Hossein Alipour & Anastasios Panagiotelis & George Athanasopoulos, 2026, "Optimal Forecast Reconciliation for Quantiles," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 4/26.
• Ewa Dziwok & Witold Szczepaniak, 2026, "Systemic risk and climate change: a joint impact of transition and physical climate risks on the Polish banking sector," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, volume 57, issue 1, pages 105-134.
• Ming Gu & David Hirshleifer & Siew Hong Teoh & Shijia Wu, 2026, "GIFfluence: A Visual Approach to Investor Sentiment and the Stock Market," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34636, Jan.
• Joshua S. Gans, 2026, "Optimal Use of Preferences in Artificial Intelligence Algorithms," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34780, Jan.
• Lauren Cohen & Yiwen Lu & Quoc H. Nguyen, 2026, "Mimicking Finance," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34849, Feb.
• Kurt G. Lunsford & Kenneth D. West, 2026, "An Empirical Evaluation of Some Long-Horizon Macroeconomic Forecasts," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34904, Feb.
• Lauren Cohen & Bo Li, 2026, "The Micro-Geography of Persuasion: Randomized Peer Exposure and Legislative Outcomes," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34925, Mar.
• Lin William Cong & Guanhao Feng & Jingyu He & Yuanzhi Wang, 2026, "Mosaics of Predictability," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35158, Apr.
• Peter Ganong & Avik Garg & Maximilian Kasy, 2026, "Literature Review and Evidence Aggregation: a Toolkit for Applied Micro," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35403, Jul.
• Victor Duarte & Julia Fonseca, 2026, "Self-Fulfilling Credit Scores," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35508, Jul.
• Samrajya Raj Acharya & Aayush Man Regmi & Kanhaiya Jha, 2026, "Exploring Trajectories of Government Bonds for Debt Planning Using Machine Learning Models," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, volume 37, issue 1, pages 1-27, April.
• Adele Bergin & Luke Doyle & Stephen Millard, 2026, "The Macroeconomic Impact of Tariffs on Northern Ireland," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 581, Jul.
• Peter Dixon, 2026, "Assessing Forecast Accuracy," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 582, Aug.
• Stephen Millard, 2026, "Communicating Uncertainty in Macroeconomic Forecasts," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 583, Aug.
• Stephen Millard, 2026, "Scenario Analysis as a Tool for Communicating Risks in Macroeconomic Forecasts," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 584, Aug.
• National Institute of Economic and Social Research, 2026, "Box A: How Have the UK Economy and Our Forecasts Evolved Over 2025?," National Institute Economic Outlook, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, issue Winter, pages 21-23.
• National Institute of Economic and Social Research, 2026, "Box B: Communicating Uncertainty," National Institute Economic Outlook, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, issue Winter, pages 24-28.
• Takashi Miyahara & Laura Betschka, 2026, "Can the Sahm rule indicator signal recession in OECD countries?," OECD Statistics Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 2026/01, Mar, DOI: 10.1787/c15f9c28-en.
• Liu Jieni, 2026, "A Search-Then-Forecast Transformer Framework for Mid-Term Stock Price Prediction: An Empirical Case Study on the Chinese A-Share Market," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics, number 26-06, Apr.
• Yu Bai & Bin Peng & Shuping Shi & Wenying Yao, 2026, "Optimal Bandwidth Selection for Forecasting under Parameter Instability," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 24, issue 2, pages 1-001..
• Didit B. Nugroho & Bambang Susanto & Faldy Tita & Takayuki Morimoto, 2026, "Real-time return extensions of realized GARCH models for improved risk management in asset markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 27, issue 2, pages 1-19, June, DOI: 10.1057/s41260-026-00452-4.
• Biju Ajithakumari Vijayappan Nair & Aghila Sasidharan & Arathy Chandralekha & Krishna Reddy, 2026, "Effect of ESG engagement on loan quality of banks: analysing non-performing loans in emerging economy banks," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 27, issue 3, pages 1-16, September, DOI: 10.1057/s41261-026-00345-x.
• Wojciech Starosta, 2026, "Calibrating credit risk parameters for climate stress testing," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 28, issue 1, pages 1-24, February, DOI: 10.1057/s41283-025-00189-1.
• Kazeem Ovanero Isah, 2026, "Assessing climate risk and resilience across stocks, ESG portfolios, and REITs: evidence from predictive modelling," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 28, issue 2, pages 1-19, May, DOI: 10.1057/s41283-026-00216-9.
• Gabriel Rodriguez & Fiorela Liza & Miguel Ataurima Arellano, 2026, "Forecasting Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall in Equity Markets of High-Income and Latin American Countries," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, number 2026-554, DOI: 10.18800/2079-8474.0554.
• Bahaa Aly, Tarek, 2026, "Global Economic Cycles Unveiled: A Hybrid TCN-HMM Approach for Regime Dynamics Across Eight Nations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127574, Jan.
• Kahambwe, Christ & Aidini, Christian & E.Loemba, Alexandre, 2026, "Intelligence artificielle et transformation de la relation croissance –emploi : une relecture empirique de la loi d’okun
  [Artificial Intelligence and the transformation of the growth–employment nexus: an empirical reappraisal of okun’s law]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127930, Jan, revised 2026.
• Larsen, Harry, 2026, "A Markov Model of the Learning Curve," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128435, Mar.
• Fantazzini, Dean & Kurbatskii, Alexey, 2026, "Nowcasting and Forecasting Russian Regional CPI: Sparse Models and the Time-Varying Value of Online Data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128456.
• Kinel, Michal, 2026, "Robust Real-Time Macroeconomic Trend Extraction: A Gradient Boosting Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128473, Mar.
• Hardy, Nicolas & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2026, "Generalized Bayesian Composite Quantile Regression with an Application to Equity Premium Forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128752, Apr.
• Labastidas, Esteban, 2026, "A Hybrid Early-Warning System for Inflation in an Emerging Market: Combining Econometric Models, an Agent-Based Decomposition with Heterogeneous Expectations, a Large Language Model, and a Multi-Output Agent Architecture," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128779, Apr.
• boughabi, houssam, 2026, "Fiscal Regimes and Wage Formation: Learning Distributive Conflict in a Kaleckian Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128993, May.
• Nugawela, N.P. Gayan, 2026, "THE YIELD EQUILIBRIUM PROTOCOL: Architecting Revenue Governance and NOI Protection," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129202, Apr.
• Buczak, Maciej, 2026, "The AMA method - analytical foundations of its failure," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129937, Jun.
• Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2026, "Forecasting Realized Volatility of State-Level Stock Markets of the United States: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202603, Feb.
• Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2026, "Credit Standards: A New Predictor of U.S. Stock Market Realized Volatility," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202607, Mar.
• Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Dhanashree Somani & Sayar Karmakar, 2026, "Machine Learning Forecasting of U.S. Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Stock and Oil Bubbles," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202611, Apr.
• Talita Greyling & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2026, "Supply Bottlenecks and Sentiment in Europe: Some Evidence using Machine Learning," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202616, May.
• Onur Polat & Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2026, "AI Revolution and Crash Risks in Technology Stocks," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202617, Jun.
• Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2026, "Price Conflict and US Stock Return Volatility Forecasting: Insights from over 150 Years with a Mixed-Frequency Framework," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202620, Aug.
• Piotr Mielus, 2026, "Volatility Modelling - What Drives Cee Currency Option Prices?," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2026, issue 1, pages 1-27, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.906.
• Yang Yu & Yaping Gong & DooHwan Won & Atif Jahanger, 2026, "Regional Disparities in Drivers and Peaking Pathways of CO2 Emissions: Insights from Scenario Planning," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2026, issue 1, pages 170-197, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1484.
• Luz Judith Rodríguez Esparza & Dolly Anabel Ortiz Lazcano, 2026, "A stochastic model to analyze the dynamics of poverty and social mobility in Mexico," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., volume 23, issue 1, pages 25-48, January-J.
• Winkelried, Diego & Jason Cruz & Javier Torres, 2026, "Nowcasting GDP using data revisions in an emerging economy," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2026-003, Apr.
• Juan Tenorio & Heidi Alpiste & Jackelin Remón & Arian Segil, 2026, "An Artificial Trend Index for Private Consumption Using Google Trends," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2026-019, Jul.
• Valdemar J. Undji & Johannes P.S. Sheefeni, 2026, "Determinants of Non-Performing Loans in Namibia," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, volume 79, issue 2, pages 199-244, May, DOI: 10.65644/EIIE.079.02.0199.
• Julián Ramajo & Alejandro Ricci-Risquete & Geoffrey J.D Hewings, 2026, "Dinámica espaciotemporal en el crecimiento económico regional: un modelo empírico para las comunidades autónomas españolas
  [Spatio-temporal dynamics of regional economic growth: An empirical model for the Spanish Autonomous Communities]," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, volume 65, issue 65, pages 143-160, June, DOI: 10.38191/iirr-jorr.24.049.
• Hyunjun Song & Dojoon Park & Zoonky Lee & Yong Joo Kang, 2026, "Machine-Learning Based Default Prediction: The Role of External Audits and Financial Constraints," Journal of Economic Development, The Economic Research Institute, Chung-Ang University, volume 51, issue 2, pages 13-41, June, DOI: 10.35866/caujed.2026.51.2.002.
• Hwee Kwan Chow & Jordan Lee, 2026, "Projecting Inflation Tail Risks in a Small Open Economy: Some Evidence from Singapore," Economics and Statistics Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics, number 04-2026, Feb.
• Mara Giua & Francesca Micocci & Giulia Valeria Sonzogno, 2026, "Enhancing Implementation SuccessinCohesion Policy. A Machine Learning Approach," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre', Department of Economics - University Roma Tre, number 0289, Mar.
• Magdalena Cornejo & Walter Sosa Escudero, 2026, "Machine Learning and Shrinkage in Dynamic Panel Forecasting," Working Papers, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, number 183, May, revised May 2026.
• Maciej Ryczkowski, 2026, "Evaluating the Methods of Estimating Total Hours Actually Worked: Insights from Labor Market Statistics," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 22-49.
• Dimitris Anastasiou & Apostolos Katsafados & Christos Tzomakas, 2026, "Banks’ stock price crash risk prediction with textual analysis: a machine learning approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, volume 357, issue 1, pages 89-111, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06567-y.
• Philippe Bertrand & Jean-luc Prigent, 2026, "On the performance of factor investing: an analysis based on constant mix and buy-and-hold strategies," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, volume 357, issue 1, pages 531-563, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06644-2.
• Xiaoqing Luo, 2026, "When simplicity fails: forecasting Mainland Chinese tourist arrivals in Macao during structural breaks with a hybrid economic-search model," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, volume 10, issue 1, pages 1-31, March, DOI: 10.1007/s41685-026-00419-8.
• Ayben Koy & Semra Demir & Andaç Batur Çolak, 2026, "Google trend index as an investor sentiment proxy in cryptomarket: nonlinear relationships with cryptomarket and predicting bitcoin returns with machine learning approach," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, volume 34, issue 2, pages 575-595, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10100-025-01012-8.
• Vaibhav Gagneja & Mayank Gupta & Sanjay Batish & Poonam Saini & Sudesh Rani, 2026, "ES-LSTM: a hybrid model for accurate time series forecasting in financial markets," Digital Finance, Springer, volume 8, issue 1, pages 1-21, March, DOI: 10.1007/s42521-025-00173-0.
• Qizhao Chen & Hiroaki Kawashima, 2026, "Sentiment-aware stock price prediction with transformer and LLM-generated formulaic alpha," Digital Finance, Springer, volume 8, issue 2, pages 1-28, June, DOI: 10.1007/s42521-026-00176-5.
• Hoang Anh Nguyen & Nhat Hoang Bach, 2026, "QI-HRNN: a quantum-inspired hybrid framework for resilient currency forecasting under extreme market conditions," Digital Finance, Springer, volume 8, issue 2, pages 1-40, June, DOI: 10.1007/s42521-026-00189-0.
• Huyen Giang Thi Thu & Thang Viet Doan & Ha-Bang Ban & Tai Le Quy, 2026, "An experimental study on fairness-aware machine learning for credit scoring problems," Digital Finance, Springer, volume 8, issue 3, pages 1-26, September, DOI: 10.1007/s42521-026-00202-6.
• Tu DQ Le & Son H Tran & Thanh Ngo & Hung D Bui, 2026, "Forecasting Vietnam Inflation Using Machine Learning Approaches: A Comprehensive Analysis," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, volume 30, issue 1, pages 136-185.
• Jose Rizal & Nur Afandi & Gusman Juliadi & Indah Wahyuliani & Cinta Rizki Oktarina, 2026, "Forecasting the Appearance Frequency of Rafflesia arnoldii in Bengkulu, Indonesia, Using Discrete-valued Time Series Modeling," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, volume 30, issue 2, pages 39-67, June.
• Mohamed Galal & Sherine Rady & Mostafa Aref, 2026, "Enhancement of Digital Credit Scoring in P2P Lending using a Robust Hybrid Voting–Stacking Ensemble Framework," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, volume 30, issue 3, pages 145-183, September.
• Zourkata Meriem & Damene Ouahiba, 2026, "The Use of the Z-Score Indicator to Measure Financial Soundness and Stability in Islamic Banks (The Case of Al Salam Bank Algeria during the Period 2015–2024)," Finance, Accounting and Business Analysis, Academic Publishing UNWE, volume 8, issue 1, pages 117-134, June.
• Sarthak Behera & Hyeongwoo Kim & Soohyon Kim, 2026, "Asymmetric Roles of Macroeconomic Variables in the Real Exchange Rate: Insights from U.S.-Korea Data," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Auburn University, number auwp2026-01, Jan.
• Denis Kuster & Bojana Vukovic, 2026, "Enhancing Resilience of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in an Emerging Economy: Neural Network-Based Bankruptcy Prediction," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 28, issue 72, pages 712-712, April.
• Casoli, Chiara & Lucchetti, Riccardo, 2026, "A rotated Dynamic Factor Model for the yield curve: squeezing out information when it matters," FEEM Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 388985, Jan, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.388985.
• Katarzyna Chec & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2026, "From biased point forecasts of electricity demand to accurate predictive distributions: Using LASSO and GAMLSS," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS), Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, number WORMS/26/01.
• Cansu Çilingir Kara, 2026, "The Impact of R&D Intensity and Financial Slack on Company Performance: An Analysis of Companies with the Highest R&D Expenditure in Türkiye," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, volume 10, issue 4, pages 1366-1381, DOI: 10.30784/epfad.1666691.
• Chiara Casoli & Riccardo Lucchetti, 2026, "A rotated Dynamic Factor Model for the yield curve: squeezing out information when it matters," Working Papers, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali, number 503, Jan.
• Ахмет Алишер // Alisher Akhmet, 2026, "Прогнозирование ВВП Казахстана на основе динамической факторной модели с регуляризацией // Forecasting Kazakhstan’s GDP Based on a Dynamic Factor Model with Regularization," Working Papers, National Bank of Kazakhstan, number #2026-1.
• Susan Jiménez-Montero, 2026, "Short-term Inflation Forecasts as an Input for the Formulation of Monetary Policy," Ensayos de Política Económica, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 2603, Jun.
• Joshua S. Gans, 2026, "Optimal Use of Preferences in Artificial Intelligence Algorithms," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2601.18732, Jan.
• Jiti Gao & Fei Liu & Bin Peng, 2026, "Inference for High-Dimensional Local Projection," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2602.10415, Feb.
• Hilde C. Bjornland & Nicolas Hardy & Dimitris Korobilis, 2026, "Forecasting Oil Prices Across the Distribution: A Quantile VAR Approach," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2604.12927, Apr.
• Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026, "Who Saw It Coming? Historical Experience and the 2021 Inflation Forecast Failure," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2604.14467, Apr.
• Latif Zeynalli & Ramil Huseyn & Agil Asadov & Abdulrahim Dadashov, 2026, "Exploring The Nexus Between Emissions, Economic Growth, And Employment: Evidence From Azerbaijan," Economic Thought and Practice, Department of Economics and Business, University of Dubrovnik, volume 35, issue 1, pages 277-298, june, DOI: 10.17818/EMIP/2025/44.
• Zakia Zafar & Tanweer Ul Islam, 2026, "Inflation Dynamics and Forecasting Performance in Developing Economies: A Cross-Country MIDAS Analysis," Journal of Economic Sciences, Federal Urdu University Islamabad, Department of Economics, volume 5, issue 1, pages 127-148, January-J, DOI: 10.55603/jes.v5i1.a8.
• Niko Hauzenberger Massimiliano Marcellino Michael Pfarrhofer Anna Stelzer, 2026, "Direct Gaussian Process Predictive Regressions with Mixed Frequency Data," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy, number 26265.
• Andrea Panozzo, Lorenzo Spadavecchia, Adam Mugume, Elizabeth Kasekende, Samuel Namwanja Musoke, Mariss Nakayaga, Deo Sande, Anita Mpagi, Nzima Ghislain, 2026, "Nowcasting GDP with Digital Payments: Evidence from Uganda," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy, number 26282.
• Dezdemona Gjylapi & Alketa Hyso & Filloreta Madani, 2026, "Forecasting Quarterly GDP Growth and the GDP Deflator in Albania under Data Scarcity: A Comparative Evaluation of Statistical and Machine Learning Models," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 107-131.
• Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026, "Who Saw It Coming? Historical Experienceand the 2021 Inflation Forecast Failure," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 26-02, Apr.
• Guanglan Zhou & Ziyi Wu, 2026, "A resilient model for trade volume forecasting under economic uncertainty: Addressing challenges in the global supply chain," E&M Economics and Management, Technical University of Liberec, Faculty of Economics, volume 29, issue 1, pages 207-224, March, DOI: 10.15240/tul/001/2026-1-013.
• Shahryar Ghorbani & Figen Yildirim & Ali Altug Bicer & Reza Rostamzadeh & Jonas Saparauskas, 2026, "Forecasting major currency exchange rates using long short-term memory networks: Evidence from multi-currency time series analysis," E&M Economics and Management, Technical University of Liberec, Faculty of Economics, volume 29, issue 2, pages 220-239, July, DOI: 10.15240/tul/001/2026-2-014.
• Alfonso Ugarte, 2026, "Proyecciones locales en datos de panel: nuevo estimador MCO en diferencias acumuladas
  [Panel Local Projections without Fixed-Effects: A Cumulative-Difference OLS Estimator]," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 26/09, Jun.
• Sergio A. Lago Alves & Waldyr Dutra Areosa & Carlos Viana de Carvalho, 2026, "Beating the “pros” with a semi-structural model of their own inflation forecasts," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 26-11, Mar, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2026-11.
• Gabriel Rodriguez Rondon & Jean-Marie Dufour & Md. Nazmul Ahsan, 2026, "Estimation and Inference for Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy-Tailed Distributions," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 26-8, Mar, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2026-8.
• Luca Bacco & Tiziana Laureti & Juri Marcucci & Luigi Palumbo & Daniele Sasso & Luca Vollero, 2026, "Nowcasting the Italian consumer price index using online prices and machine learning," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1026, Jun.
• Andrea Del Monaco & Luigi Longo & Juri Marcucci & Irene Tafani, 2026, "Reddit's 'pulse' on US inflation: forecasting with large language models," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1028, Jun.
• Michela Eugenia Pasetto, 2026, "A method for forecasting unquoted shares of non-financial corporations in the Italian financial accounts," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1037, Jul.
• Donato Ceci & Claudia Pacella & Fabrizio Venditti, 2026, "Consumption and saving in the euro area after COVID: a scenario analysis," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1047, Jul.
• Filippo Natoli & Sharath Sonti, 2026, "Overconfident forecasters and the impact of inflation information: evidence from a randomized survey experiment," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1532, Apr.
• Rocío Clara A. Mora-Quiñones & Antonio José Orozco-Gallo & Dora Alicia Mora-Pérez, 2026, "Sentiment and Uncertainty Indices from economic news in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1340, Jan, DOI: 10.32468/be.1340.
• Aarón Levi Garavito-Acosta & Wilmer Martinez-Rivera & Camilo González-Sabogal & Johanna Barbosa-Buitrago & Nathaly Vergel-Serrano, 2026, "Determinantes y pronóstico de la cuenta corriente para Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1360, Aug.
• Renato Vassallo & Margherita Philipp & Christopher Rauh & Hannes Mueller & Laura Mayoral, 2026, "Semantic Similarity Measures in Newspaper Text for Detecting and Predicting Disruptive Institutional Events," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1555, Jan.
• Ramón Talvi Robledo & Christopher Rauh & Ben Seimon & Hannes Mueller & Laura Mayoral, 2026, "Forecasting Forced Displacement Flows Using Machine Learning with Text Data," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1573, Apr.
• Doan Gia Bao Ngoc & Luu Minh Quan & Truong Thi Thanh Ha & Nguyen Duc Minh Tan & Phan Thi Minh Huyen & Tran Duy Thanh, 2026, "Building a new hybrid machine learning model for improvement insurance cross-sell prediction," HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE - ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY, volume 16, issue 1, pages 93-111, DOI: 10.46223/HCMCOUJS.econ.en.16.1.4306.
• Zhanna Shuvalova, 2026, "Forecasting Fixed Capital Investment with Patent Activity Indicators," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 85, issue 2, pages 37-66, June.
• Danila Ovechkin, 2026, "Estimation and forecasting with a Nonlinear Phillips Curve based on heterogeneous sensitivity between economic activity and CPI components," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps161, Jan.
• Alexander Eliseev & Sergei Seleznev, 2026, "Fake Date Tests: Can We Trust In-sample Accuracy of LLMs in Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps167, Mar.
• Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2026, "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment Across Sentiment Regimes," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 73, issue 1, February, DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.70028.
• Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Vittal Vasudevan, 2026, "Macroeconomic Expectations in a War," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 73, issue 3, July, DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.70064.
• Hilde C. Bjørnland & Nicolás Hardy & Dimitris Korobilis, 2026, "Forecasting Oil Prices Across the Distribution: A Quantile VAR Approach," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 03/2026, Apr.
• Nicolas Hardy & Dimitris Korobilis, 2026, "Generalized Bayesian Composite Quantile Regression with an Application to Equity Premium Forecasting," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 04/2026, Apr.
• Tom Doan, 2026, "MATHESONSTAVREVEL2013: RATS programs to replicate Matheson-Stavrev(2013) non-linear state-space model," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00054, revised .
• Panagiotis Delis & Georgios Kontogeorgos, 2026, "Outlier-robust evaluation of fixed-event macroeconomic survey expectations," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 356, Jan, DOI: 10.52903/wp2026356.
• Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2026, "Trend inflation and inflation expectations in high dimensional vector autoregressions," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 360, Mar, DOI: 10.52903/wp2026360.
• Zacharias Bragoudakis & Alexandros Karakitsios & Evangelia Kasimati, 2026, "Short-term inflation projections: Τhe new BOG’STIP model," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 363, Jun, DOI: 10.52903/wp2026363.
• Nonejad Nima, 2026, "Out-of-Sample Density Prediction of the End-of-Month Price of Crude Oil and the U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Index," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 18, issue 1, pages 1-47, DOI: 10.1515/jtse-2025-0007.
• Psaradakis Zacharias & Sola Martin & Spagnolo Nicola & Yunis Patricio, 2026, "Predictive Accuracy of Impulse Responses Estimated Using Local Projections and Vector Autoregressions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 30, issue 3, pages 431-441, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2024-0053.
• Mayoral, L. & Mueller, H. & Philipp, M. & Rauh, C. & Vassallo, R., 2026, "Semantic Similarity Measures in Newspaper Text for Detecting and Predicting Disruptive Institutional Events," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2609, Jan.
• Congressional Budget Office, 2026, "The Accuracy of CBO's Budget Projections for Fiscal Year 2025," Reports, Congressional Budget Office, number 61916, Jan.
• Karanasos, Menelaos & Xu, Yongdeng & Yfanti, Stavroula & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2026, "Enforcing an Admissible Parameter Space for Vector MEM: The Fundamental Role of Matrix Inequality Constraints," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2026/3, Mar.
• Rouven Beiner & Bernd Süssmuth, 2026, "Monotonic Polynomial GARCH Models for Conditional Higher Moments," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12734.
• Veni Arakelia & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Mirto M. Gasparinatou & Menelaos Karanasos, 2026, "Machine Learning and Liquidity Dynamics in European Stock Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12829.
• Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi, 2026, "Revisiting exchange rate predictability: Can machine learning with theoretical filtering outperform canonical models?," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2026-01, Jan.
• Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026, "Who Saw It Coming? Historical Experience and the 2021 Inflation Forecast Failure," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2026s-06, Apr.
• Filip Blaha & Jan Botka & Josef Sveda & Ales Michl, 2026, "AI-Based Forecasting of Czech Inflation: Quantile Regression Forests with Dynamic Weights," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2026/09, Apr.
• Carlos Palomino Selem & Ruth Milagros Delgado Yana, 2026, "Comparative analysis between traditional momentum and machine learning (random forest): evidence from the S&P 500 (2000-2024)," Revista Tendencias, Universidad de Narino, volume 27, issue 02, pages 32-61, July, DOI: 10.22267/rtend.26272.296.
• Ghezzi, Fabrizio & Timmermann, Allan & Yang, Max, 2026, "Gauging Hourly Economic Activity in Your Neighborhood," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21098, Jan.
• Hauzenberger, Niko & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Stelzer, Anna, 2026, "Direct Gaussian Process Predictive Regressions with Mixed Frequency Data," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21214, Feb.
• Guo, Hongfei & Marín Díazaraque, Juan Miguel & Veiga, Helena, 2026, "Target-Driven Bayesian Stacking of Realized and Implied Volatility Forecasts," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number 49851, Apr.