IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/22684.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Some results on the stochastic simulation of a nonlinear model of the Italian economy

Author

Listed:
  • Bianchi, Carlo
  • Calzolari, Giorgio
  • Corsi, Paolo

Abstract

Experiments of stochastic simulation on a nonlinear macroeconometric model are described in this paper. The results are used both for improving the validation of a model of the Italian economy and for revisiting the heuristic value of the stochastic simulation methodology.

Suggested Citation

  • Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio & Corsi, Paolo, 1979. "Some results on the stochastic simulation of a nonlinear model of the Italian economy," MPRA Paper 22684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:22684
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/22684/1/MPRA_paper_22684.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Calzolari, Giorgio & Ciriani, Tito A. & Corsi, Paolo, 1976. "Generation and testing of pseudo-random numbers to be used in the stochastic simulation of econometric models," MPRA Paper 24172, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio & Corsi, Paolo, 1978. "A Program for Stochastic Simulation of Econometric Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 235-236, January.
    3. Phoebus J. Dhrymes & E. Philip Howrey & Saul H. Hymans & Jan Kmenta & Edward E. Leamer & Richard E. Quandt & James B. Ramsey & Harold T. Shapiro & Victor Zarnowitz, 1972. "Criteria for Evaluation of Econometric Models," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 1, number 3, pages 291-324, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Bert G. Hickman, 1972. "Econometric Models of Cyclical Behavior, Volumes 1 and 2," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number hick72-1, July.
    5. Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio & Corsi, Paolo, 1976. "Divergences in the results of stochastic and deterministic simulation of an Italian non linear econometric model," MPRA Paper 21287, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio & Corsi, Paolo, 1979. "A package for analytic simulation of econometric models," MPRA Paper 24134, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Calzolari, Giorgio & Corsi, Paolo, 1977. "Stochastic simulation as a validation tool for econometric models," MPRA Paper 21226, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio & Corsi, Paolo, 1978. "Stochastic simulation of econometric models: installation procedures and user's instructions," MPRA Paper 24173, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Christopher L. Gilbert & Duo Qin, 2005. "The First Fifty Years of Modern Econometrics," Working Papers 544, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    4. Calzolari, Giorgio, 1979. "Stochastic simulation experiments on Model 5 of Bonn University," MPRA Paper 24456, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio & Cleur, Eugene M. & Gambetta, Guido & Stagni, Anna & Sterbenz, Frederic, 1978. "Stochastic simulation and dynamic properties of the new version of the Italian model," MPRA Paper 23355, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 1978.
    6. Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio & Cleur, Eugene M., 1978. "Spectral analysis of stochastic and analytic simulation results for a nonlinear model for the Italian economy," MPRA Paper 22966, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 1978.
    7. Bernard, Jean-Thomas & Idoudi, Nadhem & Khalaf, Lynda & Yelou, Clement, 2007. "Finite sample multivariate structural change tests with application to energy demand models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1219-1244, December.
    8. Hendry, David F. & Clements, Michael P., 2003. "Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 301-329, March.
    9. Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio, 1978. "La varianza dell'errore di previsione nei modelli econometrici: applicazione ad un modello nonlineare dell'economia italiana [The variance of forecast errors in econometric models: application to a," MPRA Paper 29121, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Corrado, Luisa & Holly, Sean, 2003. "Nonlinear Phillips curves, mixing feedback rules and the distribution of inflation and output," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 467-492, December.
    11. Robinson, Lindon J., 1981. "A New Development In The Marginal Productivity Theory Of Factor Demand," 1981 Annual Meeting, July 26-29, Clemson, South Carolina 279308, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    12. Calzolari, Giorgio & Neri, Laura, 2002. "Imputation of continuous variables missing at random using the method of simulated scores," MPRA Paper 22986, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2002.
    13. Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio & Sartori, Franco, 1982. "Stime 2SLS con componenti principali di un modello non lineare dell' economia italiana [2SLS with principal components: estimation of a nonlinear model of the Italian economy]," MPRA Paper 22665, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 1982.
    14. Jacques Mazier, 1975. "Les prix dans les modèles macroéconomiques appliqués : détermination implicite ou explicite," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 26(3), pages 447-477.
    15. Nelson, A. Gene & Cornelius, James, 1980. "Accuracy Of Past Forecasts And Proposals For Future Aaea Outlook Surveys," 1980 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Urbana-Champaign, Illinois 278882, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    16. Freebairn, John W., 1975. "Forecasting For Australian Agriculture," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 19(3), pages 1-21, December.
    17. Giorgio Calzolari & F. Mealli & C. Rampichini, 2001. "Alternative Simulation-Based Estimators of Logit Models with Random Effects," Econometrics Working Papers Archive quaderno48, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
    18. Bianchi, Carlo & Calzolari, Giorgio & Corsi, Paolo, 1976. "Simulation properties of alternative methods of estimation: an application to a model of the Italian economy," MPRA Paper 22965, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 1976.
    19. Palm, F.C., 1981. "Structural econometric modelling and time series analysis towards an integrated approach," Serie Research Memoranda 0004, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    20. Corrado, L. & Holly, S., 2000. "Piecewise Linear Feedback Rules in a Non Linear Model of the Phillips Curve: Evidence from the US and the UK," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0019, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stochastic simulation; macroeconometric model; Italian economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:22684. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.