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University of Oxford, Department of Economics

Economics Series Working Papers

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Content

2020

914 Competition and Inequality
by Rajssa Mechelli & Andrea Colciago
913 ECB Debt Certificates: the European counterpart to US T-bills
by Daniel C. Hardy
912 The Equilibrium Existence Duality: Equilibrium with Indivisibilities & Income Effects
by Elizabeth Baldwin & Paul Klemperer & Alex Teytelboym & Omer Edhan Ravi Jagadeesan
911 The Idiosyncratic Impact of an Aggregate Shock The Distributional Consequences of COVID-19
by Hamish Low & Michaela Benzeval & Jon Burton & Thomas F. Crossley & Paul Fisher & Annette JÃ¤ckle & Brendan Read
910 The Cost of Staying Open: Voluntary Social Distancing and Lockdowns in the US
by Adam Brzezinski & David Van Dijcke & Valentin Kecht
909 Comparing Predictive Accuracy in the Presence of a Loss Function Shape Parameter
by Sander Barendse & Andrew J. Patton
908 Higher education funding, welfare and inequality in equilibrium
by Gustavo Mellior
907 Adaptive Targeted Infectious Disease Testing
by Maximilian Kasy & Alex Teytelboym
906 Some Unpleasant Markup Arithmetic: Production Function Elasticities and their Estimation from Production Data
by Steve Bond & Arshia Hashemi & Greg Kaplan & Piotr Zoch
905 Modelling Non-stationary 'Big Data'
by Jennifer Castle & Jurgen Doornik & David Hendry
904 Gravity without Apology: The Science of Elasticities, Distance, and Trade
by Peter Neary & CÃ©line CarrÃ¨re & Monika MrÃ¡zovÃ¡
903 Why some places are left-behind: urban adjustment to trade and policy shocks
by Anthony Venables
902 State Dependence in Labor Market Fluctuations
by Francesco Zanetti & Carlo Pizzinelli & Konstantinos Theodoridis
901 Asset Pricing and Decarbonization: Diversification versus Climate Action
by Rick Van der Ploeg & Christoph Hambel & Holger Kraft
900 Are economists getting climate dynamics right and does it matter?
by Rick Van der Ploeg & Simon Dietz & Armon Rezai & Frank Venmans
899 The puzzle of falling happiness despite rising income in rural China: ten hypotheses
by John Knight & Bianjing Ma & Ramani Gunatilaka
898 Identifying the Causal Role of CO2 during the Ice Ages
by Jennifer Castle & David Hendry
897 The Belt and Road Initiative: Reshaping Economic Geography in Central Asia?
by Anthony Venables & Julia Bird & Mathilde Lebrand
896 The Ends of 30 Big Depressions
by Martin Ellison & Sang Seok Lee & Kevin HjortshÃ¸j Oâ€™Rourke
883 The dynamics of costly social norms
by H Peyton Young & Sam Jindani
874 The Only Dance in Town: Unique Equilibrium in a Generalized Model of Price Competition
by David Ronayne
843 Competing Sales Channels
by David Ronayne & Greg Taylor

2019

895 Oil Discoveries and Protectionism
by Rick Van der Ploeg & Fidel Perez-Sebastian & Ohad Raveh
894 Stranded Assets In The Transition To A Carbon-Free Economy
by Rick Van der Ploeg & Armon Rezai
893 Place-Based Policies: principles and developing country applications
by Anthony Venables & Gilles Duranton
892 First Impression Biases in the Performing Arts: Taste-Based Discrimination and the Value of Blind Auditioning
by Jasmin Droege
891 Building the city: urban transition and institutional frictions
by Anthony Venables & J. Vernon Henderson & Tanner Regan
890 Durables and Lemons: Private Information and the Market for Cars
by Hamish Low & Richard Blundell & Ran Gu & Soren Leth-Petersen & Costas Meghir
889 Disability Insurance: Error Rates and Gender Differences
by Hamish Low & Luigi Pistaferri
888 Consumer Information and the Limits to Competition
by Mark Armstrong & Jidong Zhou
887 South-North Trade in Ireland: Gravity and Firms from the Good Friday Agreement to Brexit
by Peter Neary & Martina Lawless & Zuzanna Studnicka
886 Contagion in Derivatives Markets
by H Peyton Young & Mark Paddrik & Sriram Rajan
885 How Safe are Central Counterparties in Credit Default Swap Markets?
by H Peyton Young & Mark Paddrik
884 The Speed of Innovation Diffusion in Social Networks
by H Peyton Young & Itai Arieli & Yakov Babichenko & Ron Peretz
882 Undiscounted Bandit Games
by Godfrey Keller & Sven Rady
881 Imperfect Information, Shock Heterogeneity, and Inflation Dynamics
by Francesco Zanetti & Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga
880 Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy
by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Francesco Zanetti & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu
879 Models where the Least Trimmed Squares and Least Median of Squares estimators are maximum likelihood
by Vanessa Berenguer Rico & Bent Nielsen & SÃ¸ren Johansen
878 The Brexit Vote and Labour Demand: Evidence from Online Job Postings
by Beata Javorcik & Ben Kett & Katherine Stapleton & Layla O'Kane
877 The Construction Of The Daly: Implications And Anomalies
by Sudhir Anand & Sanjay G. Reddy
876 Tax Enforcement Using A Hybrid Between Self- And Third-Party Reporting
by Sarah Clifford & Panos Mavrokonstantis
875 Economic Geography Aspects of the Panama Canal
by Ferdinand Rauch & Stephan Maurer
873 A Theory of Stable Price Dispersion
by David Ronayne & David P. Myatt
872 A Tale of Two Cities: is Overvaluation a Capital Issue?
by John Muellbauer
871 Uniform Consistency of Marked and Weighted Empirical Distributions of Residuals
by Vanessa Berenguer Rico & Bent Nielsen & SÃ¸ren Johansen
870 The analysis of marked and weighted empirical processes of estimated residuals
by Vanessa Berenguer Rico & Bent Nielsen & SÃ¸ren Johansen
869 Sticky prices and the transmission mechanism of monetary policy: A minimal test of New Keynesian models
by Guido Ascari & Timo Haber
868 Io For Export(S)
by Peter Neary & Monika MrÃ¡zovÃ¡
867 New Characteristics and Hedonic Price Index Numbers
by Ian Crawford & Peter Neary
866 Modelling and forecasting the dollar-pound exchange rate in the presence of structural breaks
by Jennifer Castle & Takamitsu Kurita
865 The distance elasticity at short distances - A study of the library choice of Oxford students
by Ferdinand Rauch & Kristiina Tuomikoski
789 Robustness of Full Revelation in Multisender Cheap Talk
by Margaret Meyer & InÃ©s Moreno de Barreda & Julia Nafziger

2018

864 Patterns of Competition with Captive Customers
by Mark Armstrong & John Vickers
862 Chinaâ€™s Increasing Inequality of Wealth: Piketty with Chinese Characteristics?
by John Knight & LI Shi & WAN Haiyuan
861 Selecting a Model for Forecasting
by Jennifer Castle & Jurgen Doornik & David Hendry
860 Government borrowing cost and balance sheets: do assets matter?
by Jemima Peppel-Srebrny
859 Roads and Urban Growth
by Ferdinand Rauch & Paul Brandily
858 Discriminating Against Captive Customers
by Mark Armstrong & John Vickers
856 State Dependence in Labor Market Fluctuations: Evidence, Theory, and Policy Implications
by Francesco Zanetti & Konstantinos Theodoridis
855 Housing, Debt and the Economy: a Tale of Two Countries
by John Muellbauer
854 Of Mice and Merchants: Trade and Growth in the Iron Age
by Jan David Bakker & Ferdinand Rauch & Stephan Maurer & JÃ¶rn-Steï¬€en Pischke
853 White heteroscedasticty testing after outlier removal
by Vanessa Berenguer Rico & Ines Wilms
852 Risky Business? Earnings Prospects of Employees at Young Firms
by Pawel Adrjan
851 Flexible Labour, Income Eï¬€ects, and Asset Prices
by Rahul Nath
850 Equity Pricing New Keynesian Models with Nominal Rigidities and Investment
by Rahul Nath
849 Pension Shocks and Wages
by Pawel Adrjan & and Brian Bell
847 Choked by Red Tape? The Political Economy of Wasteful Trade Barriers
by Peter Neary & Giovanni Maggi & Monika MrÃ¡zovÃ¡
846 Beauty Contests and the Term Structure
by Martin Ellison & Andreas Tischbirek
844 Time-Consistently Undominated Policies
by Martin Ellison & Charles Brendon
842 Observable Consequences of Mental Accounting
by Ian Crawford & Laura Blow

2017

841 Marked and Weighted Empirical Processes of Residuals with Applications to Robust Regressions
by Vanessa Berenguer Rico & Bent Nielsen
839 Contagion in Derivatives Markets
by H Peyton Young & Mark Paddrik & Sriram Rajan
838 The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy
by Francesco Zanetti & Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas
836 Persuasion with Correlation Neglect: Media Power via Correlation of News Content
by InÃ©s Moreno de Barreda & Gilat Levy & Ronny Razin
835 Nonparametric Analysis of Time-Inconsistent Preferences
by Martin Browning & Ian Crawford & Laura Blow
834 Planning Ahead for Better Neighborhoods: Long Run Evidence from Tanzania
by Ferdinand Rauch & Guy Michaels & Dzhamilya Nigmatulina & Tanner Regan & Neeraj Baruah & Amanda Dahlstrand-Rudin
833 Managing the UK National Debt 1694-2017
by Martin Ellison & Andrew Scott
832 The future of macroeconomics: Macro theory and models at the Bank of England
by David Hendry & John Muellbauer
832 The future of macroeconomics: Macro theory and models at the Bank of England
by David Hendry & John Muellbauer
830 On the Motivations for the Dual-Use of Electronic and Traditional Cigarettes
by David Ronayne & Daniel Sgroi
829 A Model of Third-Degree Price Discrimination with Positive Welfare Effects
by Simon GB Cowan
828 Direct welfare analysis of relative price regulation
by John Vickers
827 Government borrowing cost and budget deficits: is investment spending different?
by Jemima Peppel-Srebrny
826 How Safe are Central Counterparties in Derivatives Markets?
by H Peyton Young & Mark Paddrik
825 Re-Thinking the Capabilities of Machines in Economics
by Daniel Susskind
824 Changing Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Zero Lower Bound
by Francesco Zanetti & Philip Liu & Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis
823 On Quality and Variety Bias in Aggregate Prices
by Francesco Zanetti & Masashige Hamano
822 Deposit Flight and Capital Controls: A Tale from Greece
by Michalis Rousakis & Romanos Priftis
821 Contagion in the CDS Market
by H Peyton Young & Mark Paddrik
820 Euler Equations, Subjective Expectations and Income Shocks
by Agnes Kovacs & Orazio Attanasio
819 A Model of Technological Unemployment
by Daniel Susskind
818 The Impact of Integrated Measurement Errors on Modelling Long-run Macroeconomic Time Series
by James Duffy & David Hendry

2016

816 The Increasing Inequality of Wealth in China, 2002-2013
by John Knight & LI Shi
815 Business Cycles, Investment Shocks, and the "Barro-King Curse"
by Guido Ascari & Louis Phaneuf
814 What was the message of Friedman’s Presidential Address to the American Economic Association?
by James Forder
813 News Shocks under Financial Frictions
by Francesco Zanetti & Christoph Görtz
812 The Effect of Monetary Policy Shocks in the United Kingdom: an External Instruments Approach
by Francesco Zanetti & Wei Li
Paper 811 Macroeconomics and Consumption
by John Muellbauer
810 Carbon Dioxide Emission-Intensity in Climate Projections: Comparing the Observational Record to Socio-Economic Scenarios
by Felix Pretis & Max Roser
809 Policy Analysis, Forediction, and Forecast Failure
by Jennifer Castle & David Hendry
808 Inducing Herding with Capacity Constraints
by Alexei Parakhonyak & Nick Vikander
807 Shopping Malls, Platforms and Consumer Search
by Alexei Parakhonyak & Maria Titova
806 The Bull of Wall Street: Experimental Analysis of Testosterone and Asset Trading
by Peiran Jiao & Amos Nadler
Paper 805 Social Media, News Media and the Stock Market
by Peiran Jiao & Andre Veiga & Ansgar Walther
paper 803 Harry Johnson on the Phillips Curve
by James Forder
Paper 802 Friedman's lack of influence on British economic policy
by James Forder
Number 801 Choice and Competition in Public Service Provision
by James Malcomson & Timothy Besley
800 Migration and urbanisation in Post-Apartheid South Africa
by Ferdinand Rauch & Christopher Parsons & Jan David Bakker
799 Who are the Global Top 1%?
by Sudhir Anand & Paul Segal
798 Eliciting the just-noticeable difference
by Pawel Dziewulski
797 Coordinated Adoption of Social Innovations
by Dominik Karos
796 Present Bias, Temptation and Commitment Over the Life-Cycle: Estimating and Simulating Gul-Pesendorfer Preferences
by Agnes Kovacs
795 Supermodular value functions and supermodular correspondences
by Pawel Dziewulski & John Quah
794 General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling And Indicator Saturation With The R Package Gets
by Felix Pretis & James Reade & Genaro Sucarrat
793 Modelling and Forecasting Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure in the UK
by Janine Aron & John Muellbauer
792 The Demand for Season of Birth
by Climent Quintana-Domeque & Damian Clarke & Sonia Oreffice
791 Assortative Mating on Education: A Genetic Assessment
by Climent Quintana-Domeque & Nicola Barban & Elisabetta De Cao & Sonia Oreffice
790 Extremists An Experimental Study Of How Social Interactions Change Preferences
by Ian Crawford & Donna Harris
789 Robustness of Full Revelation in Multisender Cheap Talk
by Margaret Meyer & Ines Moreno de Barreda & Julia Nafziger
788 Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions: Leeper (1991) Redux
by Guido Ascari & Anna Florio & Alessandro Gobbi
787 Rational Sunspots
by Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Hedibert F. Lopes
786 Where Did It Go Wrong? Marriage and Divorce In Malawi
by Laurens Cherchye & Bram De Rock & Selma Telalagic Walther & Frederic Vermeulen
785 Improving the Teaching of Econometrics
by David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon
784 Evaluating Multi-Step System Forecasts with Relatively Few Forecast-Error Observations
by David Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez
783 First-place loving and last-place loathing: How rank in the distribution of performance affects effort provision
by David Gill & Victoria Prowse & Zdenka Kissova & Jaesun Lee
782 Optimal Trade Policy With Monopolistic Competition and Heterogeneous Firms
by Anthony J. Venables & Jan I. Haaland
781 When is Market the Benchmark? Reinforcement Evidence from Repurchase Decisions
by Peiran Jiao & Heinrich H. Nax
780 Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation
by David Hendry & Felix Pretis & Lea Schneider & Jason E. Smerdon
779 An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks
by Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Michael P. Clements
778 Deciding Between Alternative Approaches In Macroeconomics
by David Hendry
777 The Diffusion of a Social Innovation: Executive Stock Options from 1936–2005
by H Peyton Young & Lucas Merrill Brown

2015

775 When The Threat Is Stronger Than The Execution: Trade Liberalization And Welfare Under Oligopoly
by Peter Neary & Dermot Leahy
774 Technology, Demand, And The Size Distribution Of Firms
by Peter Neary & Monika MrÃ¡zovÃ¡ & Mathieu Parenti
773 Electoral Effects of Public Sector Austerity Efforts in the United Kingdom 1900-2015
by Rozana Himaz
772 Flooded Cities
by Ferdinand Rauch & Adriana Kocornik-Mina & Thomas K.J. McDermott & Guy Michaels
770 Fooling Some of the People Some of the Time: Reputation Management and Optimal Betrayal
by Andrew Mell
769 International Trade in General Oligopolistic Equilibrium
by Peter Neary
768 Testing The Core-competency Model of Multi-Product Exporters
by Beata Javorcik & Peter Neary & Carsten Eckel & Leonardo Iacovone
767 Reference Points and Learning
by Alan Beggs
766 The Double-Channeled Effects of Experience on Individual Investment Decisions: Experimental Evidence
by Peiran Jiao
765 Losing from Naive Reinforcement Learning: A Survival Analysis of Individual Repurchase Decisions
by Peiran Jiao
764 Contagion in Financial Networks
by Paul Glasserman
763 On the Welfare and Cyclical Implications of Moderate Trend Inflation
by Guido Ascari & Louis Phaneuf
762 Sensitivity Analysis of Boundary Equilibria
by Alan Beggs
761 Kernel Estimation Of Hazard Functions When Observations Have Dependent and Common Covariates
by James Wolter
760 Asymptotics for Sieve Estimators of Hazard Rates: Estimating Hazard Functionals
by James Wolter
759 Endogenous Product Turnover and Macroeconomic Dynamic
by Francesco Zanetti & Masashige Hamano
758 The Principal-Agent Problem, Economic Growth, Subjective Wellbeing and Social Instability: China’s Effective but Flawed Governance
by John Knight
757 Paving Streets for the Poor: Experimental Analysis of Infrastructure Effects
by Climent Quintana-Domeque & Marco Gonzalez-Navarro
756 Nonlinear Pricing
by Mark Armstrong
755 The Benefits of Forced Experimentation: Striking Evidence from the London Underground Network
by Ferdinand Rauch & Shaun Larcom
754 Multiproduct Monopoly Made Simple
by Mark Armstrong & John Vickers
752 A Comprehensive Approach to Revealed Preference Theory
by John Quah & Hiroki Nishimura & Efe A. Ok
751 Labour Market Effects of International Trade When Mobility is Costly
by Damoun Ashournia
749 Former Foreign Affiliates: Cast Out and Outperformed?
by Beata Javorcik & Steven Poelhekke
748 Revealed time-preference
by Pawel Dziewulski
Number 746 Financial Shocks and Labor Market Fluctuations
by Francesco Zanetti
745 News Shocks and Labor Market Dynamics in Matching Models
by Francesco Zanetti & Konstantinos Theodoridis
744 Is There a Market for Peerages? Can Donations Buy You a British Peerage? A Study in the Link Between Party Political Funding and Peerage Nominations, 2005-14
by Andrew Mell & Simon Radford & Seth Alexander Thevoz
743 Globalization: A Woman's Best Friend? Exporters and the Gender Wage Gap
by Beata Javorcik & Esther Ann Boler & Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe
742 The Dynamics of Social Influence
by Bary S.R. Pradelski
741 Stable partitions for games with non-transferable utilities and externalities
by Dominik Karos
740 Revealed preferences over risk and uncertainty
by John Quah & Matthew Polisson & Ludovic Renou
739 Existence of SPE in Discounted Stochastic Games; Revisited and Simplified
by Yehuda Levy
738 Efficient propensity score regression estimators of multi-valued treatment effects for the treated
by Ying-Ying Lee
737 Learning in Monotone Bayesian Games
by Alan Beggs

2014

736 Tax Salience vs. Price Uncertainty: Disentangling the Effects of Attention and Rational Habits
by Rebecca K Scott
735 Statistical Model Selection with 'Big Data'
by David Hendry & Jurgen A. Doornik
734 Learning by Imitation in Games: Theory, Field, and Laboratory
by Erik Mohlin & Robert Ostling & Joseph Tao-yi Wang
733 Committees and Status Quo Bias: Structural Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment
by Simon Quinn & Tom Gole
732 Relational Contracts and Specific Training
by James Malcomson
731 Limits to Rational Learning
by Yehuda Levy
729 Which demand systems can be generated by discrete choice?
by Mark Armstrong & John Vickers
728 Labor Market Dynamics: a Time-varying Analysis
by Francesco Zanetti & Haroon Mumtaz
726 The Evolution of Social Norms
by H Peyton Young
725 Jointly optimal regulation of bank capital and maturity structure
by Ansgar Walther
724 Nine views of the Phillips curve: Eight authentic and one inauthentic
by James Forder
722 Testing for production with complementarities
by Pawel Dziewulski & John Quah
721 Memory and Anticipation: New Empirical Support for an Old Theory of the Utility Function
by John Knight & Ramani Gunatilaka
720 Kinship and Consumption: The Effect of Spouses' Outside Options on Household Productivity
by Selma Telalagic
719 Is it a Norm to Favour Your Own Group?
by Donna Harris & Benedikt Herrmann & Andreas Kontoleon & Jonathan Newton
718 A Dissection of Trading Capital: Cultural persistence of trade in the aftermath of the fall of the Iron Curtain
by Ferdinand Rauch & Matthias Beestermoller
717 You Can Go Your Own Way: Explaining Partisan Support for Independence
by Tim Willems
716 A Fable of Bees and Gravity
by Ferdinand Rauch
715 Search and Ripoff Externalities
by Mark Armstrong
714 The Global Distribution of Income
by Sudhir Anand & Paul Segal
713 Preferences over Leisure and Consumption of Siblings and Intra-Household Allocation
by Martina Kirchberger
712 Cognitive ability, character skills, and learning to play equilibrium: A level-k analysis
by David Gill & Victoria Prowse
711 Perceived Ambiguity and Relevant Measures
by Sujoy Mukerji & Peter Klibanoff & Kyoungwon Seo
710 Factor High-Frequency Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models
by Kevin Sheppard
709 For Love or Reward? Characterising Preferences for Giving to Parents in an Experimental Setting
by Maria Porter
708 A test for weakly separable preferences
by John Quah
707 Opening Access to Research
by Mark Armstrong
706 Partial Mean Processes with Generated Regressors: Continuous Treatment Effects and Nonseparable Models
by Ying-Ying Lee
705 Migrant Networks and Trade: The Vietnamese Boat People as a Natural Experiment
by Pierre-Louis Vezina & Christopher Parsons
704 Issues in the Design of Fiscal Policy Rules
by Simon Wren-Lewis & Jonathan Portes
703 The Impact of Chinese Import Penetration on Danish Firms and Workers
by Damoun Ashournia & Jakob Munch & Daniel Nguyen
702 Labour Market and Monetary Policy Reforms in the UK: a Structural Interpretation of the Implications
by Francesco Zanetti
701 Dictators Walking the Mogadishu Line: How Men Become Monsters and Monsters Become Men
by Tim Willems & Shaun Larcom & Mare Sarr
700 Evolutionary Dynamics and Fast Convergence in the Assignment Game
by Bary S.R. Pradelski
699 News and Labor Market Dynamics in the Data and in Matching Models
by Francesco Zanetti & Konstantinos Theodoridis

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