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Wavelet Estimation of Asymmetric Hedge Ratios: Does Econometric Sophistication Boost Hedging Effectiveness?

  • Elizabeth A. Maharaj

    (Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University, Australia)

  • Imad Moosa

    (Department of Accounting and Finance, Monash University, Australia)

  • Jonathan Dark

    (Department of Finance, University of Melbourne, Australia)

  • Param Silvapulle

    (Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University, Australia)

This paper utilises wavelet analysis, which is becoming popular in economics and finance, to estimate the hedge ratios for spot positions on the West Texas Intermediate crude oil, soybeans and the S&P500 index. This technique is combined with a two-stage regime switching threshold model to estimate asymmetric hedge ratios corresponding to positive and negative returns on futures contracts. Other simple and sophisticated techniques are also used as a benchmark for the purpose of comparison, including the naive model and the asymmetric error correction GJR-GARCH model. On the basis of the variance ratio test and variance reduction, it is revealed that econometric sophistication does not boost hedging effectiveness.

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Article provided by College of Business, and College of Finance, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan in its journal International Journal of Business and Economics.

Volume (Year): 7 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 (December)
Pages: 213-230

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Handle: RePEc:ijb:journl:v:7:y:2008:i:3:p:213-230
Contact details of provider: Postal: 100 Wenhwa Road, Seatwen, Taichung
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  1. Ramsey James B. & Lampart Camille, 1998. "The Decomposition of Economic Relationships by Time Scale Using Wavelets: Expenditure and Income," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-22, April.
  2. Geert Bekaert & Guojun Wu, 1997. "Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets," NBER Working Papers 6022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Chen, Sheng-Syan & Lee, Cheng-few & Shrestha, Keshab, 2003. "Futures hedge ratios: a review," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 433-465.
  4. Ramsey, James B. & Lampart, Camille, 1998. "Decomposition Of Economic Relationships By Timescale Using Wavelets," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 2(01), pages 49-71, March.
  5. Ripple, Ronald D. & Moosa, Imad A., 2009. "The effect of maturity, trading volume, and open interest on crude oil futures price range-based volatility," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 209-219.
  6. Ederington, Louis H, 1979. "The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 34(1), pages 157-70, March.
  7. Kroner, Kenneth F. & Sultan, Jahangir, 1993. "Time-Varying Distributions and Dynamic Hedging with Foreign Currency Futures," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(04), pages 535-551, December.
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