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The effect of maturity, trading volume, and open interest on crude oil futures price range-based volatility

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  • Ripple, Ronald D.
  • Moosa, Imad A.

Abstract

The determinants of the volatility of crude oil futures prices are examined using an intra-day range-based measure of volatility. The paper employs two distinct approaches: one is to present a contract-by-contract analysis within the sample period, and the second is based on constructed series for the near-month and next-to-near-month contracts over the entire sample period. The contract-by-contract analysis reveals that trading volume and open interest are significant determinants of volatility that dominate the Samuelson maturity effect. The results support earlier findings of a positive and significant role for trading volume, and they also show the importance of open interest in determining volatility, exerting a significant negative effect. The full-period time series analysis also demonstrates the significant role played by open interest in the determination of futures price volatility, further confirming the importance of trading volume.

Suggested Citation

  • Ripple, Ronald D. & Moosa, Imad A., 2009. "The effect of maturity, trading volume, and open interest on crude oil futures price range-based volatility," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 209-219.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:glofin:v:20:y:2009:i:3:p:209-219
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    4. Elina Pradkhan, 2016. "Information Content of Trading Activity in Precious Metals Futures Markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 421-456, May.
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    7. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Zhang, Lu, 2015. "Interpreting the crude oil price movements: Evidence from the Markov regime switching model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 96-109.
    8. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Tamvakis, Michael, 2016. "Market conditions, trader types and price–volume relation in energy futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 134-149.
    9. Sania Wadud & Robert D. Durand & Marc Gronwald, 2021. "Connectedness between the Crude Oil Futures and Equity Markets during the Pre- and Post-Financialisation Eras," CESifo Working Paper Series 9202, CESifo.
    10. Toshiko Matsui & Ali Al-Ali & William J. Knottenbelt, 2022. "On the Dynamics of Solid, Liquid and Digital Gold Futures," Papers 2202.09845, arXiv.org.
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    12. Elizabeth A. Maharaj & Imad Moosa & Jonathan Dark & Param Silvapulle, 2008. "Wavelet Estimation of Asymmetric Hedge Ratios: Does Econometric Sophistication Boost Hedging Effectiveness?," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 7(3), pages 213-230, December.
    13. Woradee Jongadsayakul, 2015. "Determinants Of Silver Futures Price Volatility: Evidence From The Thailand Futures Exchange," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 9(4), pages 81-87.
    14. Joseph, Anto & Sisodia, Garima & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2014. "A frequency domain causality investigation between futures and spot prices of Indian commodity markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 250-258.
    15. ebrahimi, mohsen & babaei agh esmaili, Majid & kafili, vahid, 2017. "بررسی رژیم های قیمتی دو شاخص عمده بازار جهانی نفت(برنت و Wti) قبل و بعد از بحران مالی:کاربردی از رویکرد مارکف سوئیچینگ [Investigate price regimes of two prime index in the world oil market(Brent an," MPRA Paper 98739, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Hoang‐Long Phan & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2020. "The time‐to‐maturity pattern of futures price sensitivity to news," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 126-144, January.
    17. Walid Matar & Saud M. Al-Fattah & Tarek Atallah & Axel Pierru, 2013. "An introduction to oil market volatility analysis," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 37(3), pages 247-269, September.
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