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Network connectedness of the term structure of yield curve and global Sukuks

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  • Umar, Zaghum
  • Riaz, Yasir
  • Shahab, Yasir
  • Teplova, Tamara

Abstract

This paper explores the connectedness between the returns and volatilities of the conventional and Islamic bond markets. We use the level, slope, and curvature of the US yield curve and estimate the connectedness of these factors with the Dow Jones Islamic indices (of 3 to 10 years of maturity) as well as the minimum connectedness portfolio. The static analysis shows that level and slope of the conventional yield curve are the net transmitters of shocks while the Islamic indices have been mostly at the receiving end. The dynamic connectedness analysis shows a varying degree of the connectedness over the full sample period characterized by distinctive trajectories of booms and busts. The pairwise connectedness analysis also confirms that level and slope are the net transmitters in the system with an exception in most recent times of Covid-19 pandemic. The findings have implications for the researchers, policy makers, regulators, shariah boards, investors, and fund managers.

Suggested Citation

  • Umar, Zaghum & Riaz, Yasir & Shahab, Yasir & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Network connectedness of the term structure of yield curve and global Sukuks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:80:y:2023:i:c:s0927538x23001221
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.102056
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Spillover; Connectedness; Yield curve; Sukuk bonds; Financial crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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