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2024
2017
2016
2015
- 15-042 Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models
by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Frank Schorfheide
- 15-041 The Dynamics of Adjustable-Rate Subprime Mortgage Default: A Structural Estimation
by Hanming Fang & You Suk Kim & Wenli Li
- 15-040 On Mis-measured Binary Regressors: New Results And Some Comments on the Literature, Third Version
by Francis DiTraglia & Camilo Garcia-Jimeno
- 15-039 On Mis-measured Binary Regressors: New Results And Some Comments on the Literature, Second Version
by Francis DiTraglia & Camilo Garcia-Jimeno
- 15-038 Agency Business Cycles
by Mikhail Golosov & Guido Menzio
- 15-037 On Mis-measured Binary Regressors: New Results And Some Comments on the Literature
by Francis DiTraglia & Camilo Garcia-Jimeno
- 15-036 Rosca Meets Formal Credit Market
by Hanming Fang & Rongzhu Ke & Li-An Zhou
- 15-035 Magna Carta, the Rule of Law, and the Limits on Government
by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde
- 15-034 Premuneration Values and Investments in Matching Markets
by George J. Mailath & Andrew Postlewaite & Larry Samuelson
- 15-033 What is a Sustainable Public Debt?
by Pablo D'Erasmo & Enrique Mendoza & Jing Zhang
- 15-032 Optimal Time-Consistent Macroprudential Policy
by Javier Bianchi & Enrique Mendoza
- 15-031 Distributional Incentives in an Equilibrium Model of Domestic Sovereign Default
by Pablo D'Erasmo & Enrique Mendoza
- 15-030 A Framework for Eliciting, Incorporating, and Disciplining Identification Beliefs in Linear Models, Third Version
by Francis DiTraglia & Camilo Garcia-Jimeno
- 15-029 Matching with Moral Hazard: Assigning Attorneys to Indigent Defendants
by Behrang Kamali-Shahdadi
- 15-028 A Framework for Eliciting, Incorporating, and Disciplining Identification Beliefs in Linear Models, Second Version
by Francis DiTraglia & Camilo Garcia-Jimeno
- 15-026 Time Lotteries
by Patrick DeJarnette & David Dillenberger & Daniel Gottlieb & Pietro Ortoleva
- 15-026a Time Lotteries: Online Appendix
by Patrick DeJarnette & David Dillenberger & Daniel Gottlieb & Pietro Ortoleva
- 15-025 Estimating Global Bank Network Connectedness
by Mert Demirer & Francis X. Diebold & Laura Liu & Kamil Yilmaz
- 15-024 Equilibrium Labor Market Search and Health Insurance Reform, Second Version
by Naoki Aizawa & Hanming Fang
- 15-023 A Dynamic Non-direct Implementation Mechanism for Interdependent Value Problems, Second Version
by Richard McLean & Andrew Postlewaite
- 15-021 Designing Experiments to Measure Spillover Effects, Second Version
by Sarah Baird & Aislinn Bohren & Craig McIntosh & Berk Ozler
- 15-020 Growth through Heterogeneous Innovation, Second Version
by Ufuk Akcigit & William Kerr
- 15-018 Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility
by Francis X. Diebold & Frank Schorfheide & Minchul Shin
- 15-016 Managerial Turnover and Entrenchment
by Zenan Wu & Xi Weng
- 15-015 Skewed Noise
by David Dillenberger & Uzi Segal
- 15-014 Taxation and the International Mobility of Inventors
by Ufuk Akcigit & Salomé Baslandze & Stefanie Stantcheva
- 15-013 Consumer Choice as Constrained Imitation
by Itzhak Gilboa & Andrew Postlewaite & David Schmeidler
- 15-012 Buying Locally
by George J. Mailath & Andrew Postlewaite & Larry Samuelson
- 15-011 Informational size and two-stage mechanisms
by Richard P. McLean & Andrew Postlewaite
- 15-010 English Auctions with Ensuing Risks and Heterogeneous Bidders
by Audrey Hu & Steven A. Matthews & Liang Zou
- 15-008 When and How the Punishment Must Fit the Crime
by George J.Mailath & Volker Nocke & Lucy White
- 15-007 Stochastic Games with Hidden States
by Yuichi Yamamoto
- 15-005 Memory Utility
by Itzhak Gilboa & Andrew Postlewaite & Larry Samuelson
- 15-003 Equilibrium Price Dispersion Across and Within Stores
by Guido Menzio & Nicholas Trachter
2014
- 16-012 Stochastic Games With Hidden States, Fourth Version
by Yuichi Yamamoto
- 15-022 Informational Herding with Model Misspecification, Second Version
by Aislinn Bohren
- 15-019 Stochastic Games with Hidden States, Second Version
by Yuichi Yamamoto
- 15-004 On the Welfare Cost of Consumption Fluctuations in the Presence of Memorable Goods, Second Version
by Rong Hai & Dirk Krueger & Andrew Postlewaite
- 15-002 Financing Innovation with Unobserved Progress
by Zehao Hu
- 15-001 Network Formation and Systemic Risk, Second Version
by Selman Erol & Rakesh Vohra
- 14-044 Transition to Clean Technology
by Daron Acemoglu & Ufuk Akcigit & Douglas Hanley & William Kerr
- 14-043 Fewer but Better: Sudden Stops, Firm Entry, and Financial Selection
by Sînâ T. Ateş & Felipe E. Saffie
- 14-042 What Can the Duration of Discovered Cartels Tell Us About the Duration of Cartels?
by Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. & Yanhao Wei
- 14-041 Network Effects of Air Travel Demand, Second Version
by Yanhao Wei
- 14-040 Preferences vs. Opportunities: Racial/Ethnic Intermarriage in the United States
by Seul-Ki Shin
- 14-039 How Does Tax Progressivity and Household Heterogeneity Affect Laffer Curves?
by Hans A. Holter & Dirk Krueger & Serhiy Stepanchuk
- 14-038 Assessing Point Forecast Accuracy by Stochastic Error Distance
by Francis X. Diebold & Minchul Shin
- 14-034 Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance
by Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide
- 14-032 Designing Experiments to Measure Spillover Effects
by Sarah Baird & Aislinn Bohren & Craig McIntosh & Berk Ozler
- 14-031 Mass attrition: An analysis of drop out from a Principles of Microeconomics MOOC
by Rebecca M. Stein & Gloria Allione
- 14-030 One-Sided Matching with Limited Complementarities
by Thanh Nguyen & Ahmad Peivandi & Rakesh Vohra
- 14-029 Network Formation and Systemic Risk
by Selman Erol & Rakesh Vohra
- 14-028 Near Feasible Stable Matchings with Complementarities
by Thanh Nguyen & Rakesh Vohra
- 14-027 The Network Effects of Air-Travel Demand
by Yanhao Wei
- 14-026 A Model of Modeling
by Itzhak Gilboa & Andrew Postlewaite & Larry Samuelson & David Schmeidler
- 14-025 How Central Banks End Crises
by Gary B. Gorton & Guillermo L. Ordoñez
- 14-024 Political Booms, Financial Crises
by Helios Herrera & Guillermo Ordoñez & Christoph Trebesch
- 14-023 Analyzing the Effects of Insuring Health Risks: On the Trade-off between Short Run Insurance Benefits vs. Long Run Incentive Costs
by Harold L. Cole & Soojin Kim & Dirk Krueger
- 14-022 Banks as Secret Keepers
by Tri Vi Dang & Gary Gorton & Beng Holmstrom & Guillermo Ordonez
- 14-020 Pension design with a large informal labor market: Evidence from Chile
by Clement Joubert
- 14-019 Dynamic Quality Signaling with Hidden Actions
by Francesc Dilmé
- 14-018 Uniform Inference in Nonlinear Models with Mixed Identification Strength
by Xu Cheng
- 14-017 Bond Market Exposures to Macroeconomic and Monetary Policy Risks
by Dongho Song
- 14-016 Product Upgrades and Posted Prices
by Mustafa Dogan_
- 14-015 How Does Tax Progressivity and Household Heterogeneity Affect Laffer Curves?
by Hans A. Holter & Dirk Krueger & Serhiy Stepanchuk
- 14-013 Unemployment Benefit Extensions Caused Jobless Recoveries!?
by Kurt Mitman & Stanislav Rabinovich
- 14-010 Wealth Gradients in Early Childhood Cognitive Development in Five Latin American Countries
by Norbert Schady & Jere Behrman & Maria Caridad Araujo & Rodrigo Azuero & Raquel Bernal & David Bravo & Florencia López Bóo & Karen Macours & Daniela Marshall & Christina Paxson & Renos Vakis
- 14-009 Large and Small Sellers: A Theory of Equilibrium Price Dispersion with Sequential Search
by Guido Menzio & Nicholas Trachter
- 14-008 Crises and Productivity in Good Booms and in Bad Booms
by Gary Gorton & Guillermo Ordonez
- 14-006 Designing Experiments to Measure Spillover Effects
by Sarah Baird & J. Aislinn Bohren & Craig McIntosh & Berk Ozler
- 14-005 Cautious Expected Utility and the Certainty Effect
by Simone Cerreia-Vioglio & David Dillenberger & Pietro Ortoleva
- 14-004 Young, Restless and Creative: Openness to Disruption and Creative Innovations
by Daron Acemoglu & Ufuk Akcigit & Murat Alp Celik
- 14-003 Some Unpleasant Bargaining Arithmetic?
by Hülya Eraslan & Antonio Merlo
- 14-002 The Morphology of Price Dispersion
by Greg Kaplan & Guido Menzio
2013
- 15-017 Uniform Asymptotic Risk of Averaging GMM Estimator Robust to Misspecification, Second Version
by Xu Cheng & Zhipeng Liao & Ruoyao Shi
- 15-009 Optimism and Pessimism with Expected Utility, Fifth Version
by David Dillenberger & Andrew Postlewaite & Kareen Rozen
- 14-014 Dynamic Education Signaling with Dropout Risk, Third Version
by Francesc Dilme & Fei Li
- 14-012 On the Welfare Cost of Consumption Fluctuations in the Presence of Memorable Goods, Second Version
by Rong Hai & Andrew Postlewaite & Dirk Krueger
- 14-007 Informational Herding with Model Misspecification
by J. Aislinn Bohren
- 13-071 The Determinants of Rising Inequality in Health Insurance and Wages, Second Version
by Rong Hai
- 13-070 Measuring the Dynamics of Global Business Cycle Connectedness
by Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz
- 13-069 Buy, Keep or Sell: Economic Growth and the Market for Ideas
by Ufuk Akcigit & Murat Alp Celik & Jeremy Greenwood
- 13-066 Skewed Noise
by David Dillenberger & Uzi Segal
- 13-065 Patent Value and Citations: Creative Destruction or Strategic Disruption?
by David S. Abrams & Ufuk Akcigit & Jillian Popadak
- 13-064 Does realized volatility help bond yield density prediction?
by Minchul Shin & Molin Zhong
- 13-060 Premuneration Values and Investments in Matching Markets
by George J. Mailath & Andrew Postlewaite & Larry Samuelson
- 13-059 To Hold Out or Not to Hold Out
by Frank Schorfheide & Kenneth I. Wolpin
- 13-058 Identifying Structural Models of Committee Decisions with Heterogeneous Tastes and Ideological Bias
by Yonghong An & Xun Tang
- 13-057 Regulation and Capacity Competition in Health Care: Evidence from Dialysis Markets
by Mian Dai & Xun Tang
- 13-056 Inference of Bidders’ Risk Attitudes in Ascending Auctions with Endogenous Entry
by Hanming Fang & Xun Tang
- 13-054 Semi-Parametric Inference in Dynamic Binary Choice Models
by Andriy Norets & Xun Tang
- 13-053 The Role of Quality in Service Markets Organized as Multi-Attribute Auctions
by Elena Krasnokutskaya & Kyungchul Song & Xun Tang
- 13-052 The Floating World: Issues in International Trade Theory
by Wilfred J. Ethier
- 13-051 Back to Basics: Basic Research Spillovers, Innovation Policy and Growth
by Ufuk Akcigit & Douglas Hanley & Nicolas Serrano-Velarde
- 13-050 A Theory of Bargaining Deadlock
by Ilwoo Hwang
- 13-049 The Trade Agreement Embarrassment, Second Version
by Wilfred J. Ethier
- 13-047 Coasian Bargaining with An Arriving Outside Option
by Ilwoo Hwang & Fei Li
- 13-046 On the Welfare Cost of Consumption Fluctuationsin the Presence of Memorable Goods
by Rong Hai & Dirk Krueger & Andrew Postlewaite
- 13-045 Montenegrin Trade Specialization Index
by Mitchell H. Kellman & Yochanan Shachmurove
- 13-044 Reputations in Repeated Games, Second Version
by George J. Mailath & Larry Samuelson
- 13-040 The Impact of College Admissions Policies on The Performance of High School Students
by Nicolas Grau
- 13-039 Rhetoric and Analogies
by Enriqueta Aragones & Itzhak Gilboa & Andrew Postlewaite & David Schmeidler
- 13-038 Individual Learning and Cooperation in Noisy Repeated Games
by Yuichi Yamamoto
- 13-037 Cautious Expected Utility and the Certainty Effect
by Simone Cerreia-Vioglio & David Dillenberger & Pietro Ortoleva
- 13-036 Estimating Dynamic Equilibrium Models with Stochastic Volatility
by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez
- 13-035 Optimal Progressive Taxation and Education Subsidies in a Model of Endogenous Human Capital Formation
by Dirk Krueger & Alexander Ludwig
- 13-034 Reputations in Repeated Games
by George J. Mailath & Larry Samuelson
- 13-032 Dormant Shocks and Fiscal Virtue
by Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi
- 13-029 Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy
by Leonardo Melosi
- 13-027 Are All Technological Improvements Beneficial? Absolutely Not
by Yochanan Shachmurove & Uriel Spiegel
- 13-026 What Do We Learn From Schumpeterian Growth Theory?
by Philippe Aghion & Ufuk Akcigit & Peter Brown
- 13-025 Optimal Capital Versus Labor Taxation with Innovation-Led Growth
by Philippe Aghion & Ufuk Akcigit & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde
- 13-024 (Q,S,s) Pricing Rules
by Kenneth Burdett & Guido Menzio
- 13-023 Efficient Learning and Job Turnover in the Labor Market
by Fei Li
- 13-022 Folk Theorems, Second Version
by Olivier Compte & Andrew Postlewaite
- 13-021 Informational Content of Special Regressors in Heteroskedastic Binary Response Models
by Songnian Chen & Shakeeb Khan & Xun Tang
- 13-020 Belief free equilibria
by Olivier Compte & Andrew Postlewaite
- 13-019 The Determinants of Rising Inequality in Health Insurance and Wages: An Equilibrium Model of Workers' Compensation and Health Care Policies
by Rong Hai
- 13-018 Innovation, Reallocation and Growth
by Daron Acemoglu & Ufuk Akcigit & Nicholas Bloom & William R. Kerr
- 13-016 Improving GDP Measurement: A Measurement-Error Perspective
by Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Jeremy Nalewaik & Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song
- 13-015 Modeling and Estimating Volatility of Options on Standard & Poor’s 500 Index
by Boleslaw Borkowski & Monika Krawiec & Yochanan Shachmurove
- 13-013 On Mergers, Acquisitions and Liquidation Using Specified Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs)
by Milan Lakicevic & Yochanan Shachmurove & Milos Vulanovic
- 13-012 External Validation of Voter Turnout Models by Concealed Parameter Recovery
by Antonio Merlo & Thomas R.Palfrey
- 13-011 Project Heterogeneity and Growth: The Impact of Selection
by Sina T. Ates & Felipe E. Saffie
- 13-009 Reputation in the Presence of Noisy Exogenous Learning
by Ju Hu
- 13-006 The Home Selling Problem: Theory and Evidence
by Antonio Merlo & François Ortalo-Magné & John Rust
- 13-002 Equilibrium Labor Market Search and Health Insurance Reform
by Naoki Aizawa & Hanming Fang
2012
- 14-035 Macroeconomic Dynamics Near the ZLB: A Tale of Two Countries
by S. Borağan Aruoba & Pablo Cuba-Borda & Frank Schorfheide
- 14-021 Cooperation in Large Societies, Second Version
by Francesc Dilmé
- 14-001 On the Continuous Equilibria of Affiliated-Value, All-Pay Auctions with Private Budget Constraints, Third Version
by Maciej H. Kotowski & Fei Li
- 13-067 A Theory of Subjective Learning, Third Version
by David Dillenberger & Juan Sebastian Lleras & Philipp Sadowski & Norio Takeoka
- 13-063 Dynamic Quality Signaling with Hidden Actions, Second Version
by Francesc Dilmé
- 13-061 Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Regression: A Frequentist Model Averaging Approach, Second Version
by Xu Cheng & Bruce E. Hansen
- 13-048 Dynamic Education Signaling with Dropout, Second Version
by Francesc Dilme & Fei Li:
- 13-043 On the Continuous Equilibria of Affiliated-Value, All-Pay Auctions with Private Budget Constraints, Second Version
by Maciej H. Kotowski & Fei Li
- 13-042 Modeling the Evolution of Expectations and Uncertainty in General Equilibrium
by Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi
- 13-041 Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency
by Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi
- 13-031 Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency
by Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi
- 13-030 Modeling the Evolution of Expectations and Uncertainty in General Equilibrium
by Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi
- 13-028 Stable Matching with Incomplete Information, Second Version
by Qingmin Liu & George J. Mailath & Andrew Postlewaite & Larry Samuelson
- 13-014 A Theory of Subjective Learning, Second Version
by David Dillenberger & Juan Sebastian Lleras & Philipp Sadowski & Norio Takeoka
- 13-007 Economic Models as Analogies, Third Version
by Itzhak Gilboa & Andrew Postlewaite & Larry Samuelson & David Schmeidler
- 13-004 Aligning Learning Incentives of Students and Teachers: Results from a Social Experiment in Mexican High Schools
by Jere H. Behrman & Susan W. Parker & Petra E. Todd & Kenneth I. Wolpin
- 13-003 A Personal Perspective on the Origin(s) and Development of “Big Data": The Phenomenon, the Term, and the Discipline, Second Version
by Francis X. Diebold
- 12-048 Shopping Externalities and Self-Fulfilling Unemployment Fluctuations
by Greg Kaplan & Guido Menzio
- 12-047 Analyzing the Effects of Insuring Health Risks: On the Trade-off between Short Run Insurance Benefits vs. Long Run Incentive Costs
by Harold L. Cole & Soojin Kim & Dirk Krueger
- 12-046 Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Regression: A Frequentist Model Averaging Approach
by Xu Cheng & Bruce E. Hansen
- 12-045 Select the Valid and Relevant Moments: A One-Step Procedure for GMM with Many Moments
by Xu Cheng & Zhipeng Liao
- 12-044 Individual Learning and Cooperation in Noisy Repeated Games
by Yuichi Yamamoto
- 12-043 A Foundation for Markov Equilibria in Infinite Horizon Perfect Information Games
by V. Bhaskar & George J. Mailath & Stephen Morris
- 12-041 Failing Institutions Are at the Core of the Euro Crisis
by Yochanan Shachmurove & Alojzy Z. Nowak
- 12-040 Failing Institutions Are at the Core of the U.S. Financial Crisis
by Yochanan Shachmurove
- 12-039 Negative Economic Shocks and Child Schooling: Evidence from Rural Malawi
by Asma Hyder & Jere R. Behrman & Hans-Peter Kohler
- 12-038 Do Single-Sex Schools Enhance Students’ STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) Outcomes?
by Hyunjoon Park & Jere R. Behrman & Jaesung Choi
- 12-037 On the Origin(s) and Development of the Term “Big Data"
by Francis X. Diebold
- 12-036 Generalized Partition and Subjective Filtration
by David Dillenberger & Philipp Sadowski
- 12-035 Comparing Predictive Accuracy, Twenty Years Later: A Personal Perspective on the Use and Abuse of Diebold-Mariano Tests
by Francis X. Diebold
- 12-034 A Theory of Subjective Learning
by David Dillenberger & Philipp Sadowski & Juan Sebastian Lleras & Norio Takeoka
- 12-033 Optimal Taxation in a Limited Commitment Economy
by Yena Park
- 12-032 Matching with Incomplete Information
by Qingmin Liu & George J. Mailath & Andrew Postlewaite & Larry Samuelson
- 12-028 Testing for Racial Prejudice in the Parole Board Release Process: Theory and Evidence
by Shamena Anwar & Hanming Fang
- 12-026 Pricing and Incentives in Publicly Subsidized Health Care Markets: the Case of Medicare Part D
by Francesco Decarolis
- 12-025 Riskiness Choice and Endogenous Productivity Dispersion over the Business Cycle
by Can Tian
- 12-024 Directed Search and Job Rotation
by Fei Li & Can Tian
- 12-023 Dynamic Education Signaling with Dropout
by Francesc Dilme & Fei Li
- 12-022 Taxation and Redistribution of Residual Income Inequality
by Mikhail Golosov & Pricila Maziero & Guido Menzio
- 12-021 Recursive Ambiguity and Machina’s Examples
by David Dillenberger & Uzi Segal
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