Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E4: Money and Interest Rates
/ / / E43: Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Monetary Theory

2026

• Stefano Herzel & Marco Nicolosi, 2026, "Sensitivity of the Euro OIS Term Structure to ECB Policy Rate Surprises," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 619, Jan, revised 12 Jan 2026.
• Olfa El Aoun, 2026, "Market-specific connectedness behaviors across quantiles and frequencies connectedness patterns among G7 markets, commodities, bitcoin, and interest rate spread," Digital Finance, Springer, volume 8, issue 1, pages 1-45, March, DOI: 10.1007/s42521-025-00175-y.
• Francis Liu & Natalie Packham & Wolfgang Karl Härdle & Ramona Merkl, 2026, "Option-based pricing of secured lending in P2P crypto markets," Digital Finance, Springer, volume 8, issue 1, pages 1-23, March, DOI: 10.1007/s42521-026-00177-4.
• Christos Tzomakas, 2026, "Monetary policy transmission and the yield curve: the role of external market factors against the backdrop of Brexit," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 1, pages 1-42, January, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02874-2.
• James Dean & Scott Schuh, 2026, "From Conventional to Unconventional Monetary Policy: Is the Taylor Rule an Adequate Representation in Macro Models?," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-48, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02868-0.
• Visa Kuntze & Henri Nyberg & Samuel Rauhala, 2026, "Similarity-based path forecasting of US recession periods," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 3, pages 1-18, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-026-02893-7.
• Haydory Akbar Ahmed, 2026, "Dynamics among the term spread, stock market volatility forecast, financial market risk and oil price: an empirical analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-22, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-025-00862-0.
• Markus Baltzer & Kathi Schlepper & Christian Speck, 2026, "The Eurosystem’s asset purchase programmes, securities lending and bund specialness," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, volume 96, issue 1, pages 71-105, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11573-025-01243-w.
• Chieh-Jung Chan & Ping-Fang Yen & Hsin-Wen Wang & Yuan Chang, 2026, "ESG Performance and Bank Loan Interest Rates," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, volume 16, issue 1, pages 1-4.
• Jens H. E. Christensen & Daan Steenkamp, 2026, "A market-based assessment of the outlook for inflation: Expectations and monetary policy in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER), number wp-2026-21.
• Zhiwu Hong & Linlin Niu, 2026, "The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Eurozone Sovereign Risk: A Yield Net Analysis," Working Papers, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University, number 2026-01-28, Jan.
• Mucai Lin & Zhiwu Hong & Linlin Niu, 2026, "Silent News in China's Monetary Policy Announcements: Dual-Shock Identification with Ordered Heteroskedasticity," Working Papers, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University, number 2026-02-01, Feb.
• Linlin Niu & Haoran Bai & Zhiwu Hong, 2026, "Geopolitical Risks, Inflation Pressure, and the U.S. Treasury Yield Curve," Working Papers, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University, number 2025-09-25, Feb.
• Kirschenmann, Karolin & Koch, Felicitas & von Schickfus, Marie-Theres & Hainz, Christa, 2026, "Taxonomy talks, credit walks: The EU's climate disclosure framework and bank lending," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 26-004.
• Brent Bundick & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, 2026, "From Deviations to Shortfalls: The Effects of the FOMC's New Employment Objective," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 18, issue 1, pages 69-101, January, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20210381.
• Laura Castillo-Martinez & Ricardo Reis, 2026, "How Do Central Banks Control Inflation? A Guide for the Perplexed," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, volume 64, issue 1, pages 195-245, March, DOI: 10.1257/jel.20251429.
• Casoli, Chiara & Lucchetti, Riccardo, 2026, "A rotated Dynamic Factor Model for the yield curve: squeezing out information when it matters," FEEM Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 388985, Jan, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.388985.
• Lena Best & Benjamin Born & Manuel Menkhoff, 2026, "The Impact of Interest: Firms' Investment Sensitivity to Interest Rates," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 394, Mar.
• Chiara Casoli & Riccardo Lucchetti, 2026, "A rotated Dynamic Factor Model for the yield curve: squeezing out information when it matters," Working Papers, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali, number 503, Jan.
• Темиргалиев Куаныш // Temirgaliyev Kuanysh, 2026, "Проверка нового способа оценки нейтральной процентной ставки // Testing a new way to estimate a neutral interest rate," Working Papers, National Bank of Kazakhstan, number #2026-2.
• María Alejandra Amado, 2026, "Macroprudential FX Regulations and Small Firms: Unintended Consequences for Credit Growth," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2604, Jan, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/42365.
• Kevin Pallara & Luca Rossi & Fabrizio Venditti, 2026, "Macroeconomic shocks and the term premium in the US," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1520, Mar.
• Stefano Pica, 2026, "Housing markets and the heterogeneous effects of monetary policy across the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1523, Mar.
• Seiwan Kim & Resi Ong Olivares & Donghyun Park & Shu (Grace) Tian & Sunjoo Yang, 2026, "How Sovereign Sustainable Bond Issuance Shakes Up the Corporate Sustainable Bond Market?: Evidence From Asian Markets," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, volume 21, issue 1, pages 57-67, January, DOI: 10.1111/aepr.70008.
• Neil Bhutta & Andreas Fuster & Aurel Hizmo, 2026, "Paying Too Much? Borrower Sophistication and Overpayment in the U.S. Mortgage Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 81, issue 1, pages 49-90, February, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.70001.
• Tom Doan, 2026, "BJORNLANDLEITEMOJME2009: RATS programs to replicate Bjornland-Leitemo(2009) SVAR with short- and long-run restrictions," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00002, revised .
• Lea Best & Benjamin Born & Manuel Menkhof, 2026, "The Impact of Interest: Firms’ Investment Sensitivity to Interest Rates," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_737, Mar.
• Chadha, J. S. & Macchiarelli, C. & Goel, S. & Hantzsche, A. & Mellina, S., 2026, "Deciphering Delphic Guidance: The Bank of England and Geopolitical Uncertainty," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2606, Feb.
• Nicolas Camenzind & Damir Filipović, 2026, "Transfer Learning of Discount Curves between Bonds and Swaps: An Empirical Study," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 26-15, Feb.
• Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Rodrigo Peña & Gabriel Pérez Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2026, "Unobservable no more: estimating the natural rate of interest under flat IS and Phillips curves," Working Papers, CEMFI, number wp2026_2603, Mar.
• Sami Alpanda & Serdar Kabaca & Kostas Mavromatis, 2026, "Optimal Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Mix," Working Papers, DNB, number 853, Jan.
• Gareis, Johannes, 2026, "The fundamental drivers of recent developments in euro area housing investment," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 1.
• Ungarelli, Flavia & Kostka, Thomas, 2026, "Estimating the time-varying reserve elasticity of money market rates in the euro area," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 1.
• Hong, Yi & Xu, Maochun & Wen, Conghua, 2026, "On the dynamics of treasury bond yields: From term structure modelling to economic scenario generation," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, volume 58, issue 2, DOI: 10.1016/j.bar.2024.101542.
• Lian, Lili & Zhang, Jingyi, 2026, "Allocative implications of government investment in private sector," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, volume 179, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103616.
• Bousselmi, Wael & Peia, Oana & Vranceanu, Radu, 2026, "Rollover and insolvency risk in sovereign debt pricing: An experimental study," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 185, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2026.105295.
• Caldeira, João F. & Cordeiro, Werley C., 2026, "Decomposing nominal and real yield curves and inflation forecasting: Evidence from Brazil," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 258, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112712.
• Wang, Zhuo & Liu, Tong & Chen, Mizhou, 2026, "Current stance vs. future guidance: LLM evidence on how PBC communication shapes the yield curve," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 259, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112781.
• Gillman, Max & Cevik, Emrah I. & Dibooglu, Sel, 2026, "The evolving impact of U.S. monetary policy on real oil prices: A time-varying Granger predictability and local projections approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, volume 210, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.115052.
• You, Jaeweon & Noh, Yoocheol, 2026, "Deposit pricing under credit stress: Business-model heterogeneity and threshold effects," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.108998.
• Vural-Yavaş, Çiğdem & Bilyay-Erdogan, Seda, 2026, "Navigating uncertainty: How do interest rate fluctuations affect ESG performance?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, volume 107, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2025.102282.
• van der Wel, Michel & Zhang, Yaoyuan, 2026, "Global evidence on unspanned macro risks in dynamic term structure models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 185, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2026.107656.
• Sarto, Andrés & Wang, Olivier, 2026, "The secular decline in interest rates and the rise of shadow banks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 177, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2025.104228.
• Rice, Jonathan & Guerrini, Giulia Maria, 2026, "Riding the rate wave: Interest rate and run risks in euro area banks during the 2022–2023 monetary cycle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 160, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103444.
• Chadha, Jagjit S. & Macchiarelli, Corrado & Goel, Satyam & Hantzsche, Arno & Mellina, Sathya, 2026, "Deciphering Delphic guidance: The Bank of England and geopolitical uncertainty," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 162, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2026.103530.
• Zeng, Ming & Zhao, Guihai, 2026, "Expectation-driven term structure of equity and bond yields," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103881.
• Lai, Huating & Sun, Weihong & Liu, Ding, 2026, "Crossing the Pacific: Spillover effects of US monetary policy on Chinese corporate investment," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 97, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2026.103078.
• Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Karahan, Cenk C. & Lucey, Brian, 2026, "Retraction notice to “Oil price shocks and yield curve dynamics in emerging markets” [International Review of Economics and Finance 80 (2022) 613–623]," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 105, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.104888.
• Bragaglia, Erika & Curcio, Domenico & Galloppo, Giuseppe & Guida, Roberto, 2026, "Funding liquidity regulation, ultra-expansionary monetary policy and European banks’ profitability," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 82, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103246.
• Jonathan Hambur & Qazi Haque, 2026, "Perceived Monetary Policy Rules: Evidence from Professional Forecasters in Australia," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-09, Feb.
• Castillo Martinez, Laura & Reis, Ricardo, 2026, "How do central banks control inflation? A guide for the perplexed," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 128408, Mar.
• Davies, Richard & McEvoy, Finn, 2026, "Markets, birth-rates, watchdogs: the evolving fiscal constraint in advanced economies," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 136955, Mar.
• Makram El-Shagi & Florian Gerth & Paul Lukuliko Philemon, 2026, "Rules vs. Discretion and the Role of the Central Bank," CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China, number 2026/2, Mar.
• Chiara Casoli & Riccardo Lucchetti, 2026, "A rotated Dynamic Factor Model for the yield curve: squeezing out information when it matters," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, number 2026.03, Jan.
• Jens H. E. Christensen & Daan Steenkamp, 2026, "A Market-Based Assessment of the Outlook for Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy in South Africa," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-03, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-03.
• Ketan B. Patel, 2026, "How the U.S. Treasury Futures Market and the Basis Trade Could Be Affected by the Treasury Clearing Mandate: Part 1—A Primer," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, volume 516, pages 1-8, January, DOI: 10.21033/cfl-2026-516.
• Ketan B. Patel, 2026, "How the U.S. Treasury Futures Market and the Basis Trade Could Be Affected by the Treasury Clearing Mandate: Part 2—The Possible Role of Cross-Margining," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, volume 517, pages 1-8, January, DOI: 10.21033/cfl-2026-517.
• Marco Del Negro & Elena Elbarmi & Michael Pham, 2026, "The Post‑Pandemic Global R," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20260225, Feb, DOI: 10.59576/lse.20260225.
• Stefania D'Amico & Max Gillet & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Tim Seida, 2026, "Open-Ended Treasury Purchases: From Market Functioning to Financial Easing," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1183, Feb, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1183.
• Borel Ahonon & Guillaume Roussellet, 2026, "When Long-Run Trends Are Unknown: Bond Pricing Implications," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1187, Mar, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1187.
• Michael J. Fleming & Weiling Liu & Giang Nguyen, 2026, "Intraday Price Pressure and Order Flow Around U.S. Treasury Auctions," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1188, Mar, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1188.
• Marcin Dec, 2026, "Extracting Risk Free Interest Rate Expectations in a Less Liquid Government Bond Markets," GRAPE Working Papers, GRAPE Group for Research in Applied Economics, number 113.
• Chaimae Lazzarou, 2026, "Measuring Natural Interest Rate in Morocco," IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, number 01-2026, Feb.
• Raymond L. Aor & Afees A. Salisu, 2026, "Disaggregated Economic Complexity And Inflation In Oecd Countries," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, volume 29, issue 1, pages 53-76, February, DOI: https://doi.org/10.59091/2460-9196..
• Frederico Silva Leal, 2026, "New evidence on the macroeconomic, fiscal and political drivers of sovereign bond spreads in the EMU," Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa, number 2026/0402, Jan.
• Linas Jurksas & Rokas Kaminskas & Vita Akstinaite, 2026, "Every Signal Counts: Effects of ECB Presidents’ Textual and Voice Sentiments on Financial Markets," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series, Bank of Lithuania, number 45, Feb.
• Paweł Kowalewski, 2026, "The perspective of Fed’s unconventional policies through the analysis of quantitative tightening," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, volume 57, issue 1, pages 39-64.
• Bronson Argyle & Benjamin Iverson & Jason D. Kotter & Taylor D. Nadauld & Christopher Palmer, 2026, "The Dynamics of Retail Deposit Balances," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34742, Jan.
• Viral V. Acharya & Guillaume Plantin & Olivier Wang, 2026, "Indebted Supply and Monetary Policy: A Theory of Financial Dominance," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34798, Feb.
• Zhengyang Jiang & Hanno Lustig & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Mindy Z. Xiaolan, 2026, "Are Government Bonds Safe in Times of War and Pandemic?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34820, Feb.
• Juliane Begenau & Vadim Elenev & Tim Landvoigt, 2026, "Interest Rate Risk and Cross-Sectional Effects of Micro-Prudential Regulation," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34892, Feb.

2025

• Ma, Yunbiao & Shao, Jingcong & Shi, Beibei, 2025, "How air pollution influences corporate credit spreads: A pre-registered report," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 93, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102868.
• Grebe, Moritz & Tillmann, Peter, 2025, "Household expectations and dissent among policymakers," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, volume 86, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2024.102638.
• Cordeiro, Werley & Caldeira, João F. & Moura, Guilherme V., 2025, "Forecasting the Brazilian yield curve using macroeconomics expectations and time-varying volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 104, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2025.102072.
• Serdavaa, Batkhurel, 2025, "Cross-country panel analysis justifying tighter control over short-term interest rates," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 98, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2025.103868.
• Chen, Ruoyu & Wang, Guoqing & Jamil, Nabiha & Iqbal, Najaf, 2025, "The green premium of unconventional monetary policy: Evidence from the enlarged collateral framework by the People's Bank of China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 73, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102655.
• Li, Hongjin & Su, Naifang & Liu, Xiangyu, 2025, "The hybrid monetary policy rule in China’s transition period," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 77, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.102846.
• Crespi, Fabrizio & Mandas, Marco & Migliavacca, Milena, 2025, "European banks’ interest margins and monetary policy: Evidence of a stickiness phenomenon," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 79, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103073.
• Hilde C. Bjornland & Jamie L. Cross & Jonas Holz, 2025, "Re-visiting the Relationship Between Oil Prices and Monetary Policy," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2025-19, Apr.
• Piyali Das & Chetan Ghate & Subhadeep Halder, 2025, "Fiscal Dominance and the Maturity Structure of Debt," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2025-29, May.
• Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2025-30, May.
• Benetton, Matteo & Gavazza, Alessandro & Surico, Paolo, 2025, "Mortgage pricing and monetary policy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 126188, Mar.
• Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier & Ray, Walker & Vayanos, Dimitri, 2025, "A preferred-habitat model of term premia, exchange rates, and monetary policy spillovers," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 127783, Nov.
• Zico Dasgupta, 2025, "Interest rate and endogenous money under capital mobility and fixed exchange rate: alternative closures and implications," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 13, issue 1, pages 71-93, January.
• Eladio Febrero & Jorge Uxó & Óscar Dejuán, 2025, "Unconventional monetary policy; Central bank reserves; Overnight interest rate; European Central Bank; Germany; Great Financial Crisis," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 13, issue 3, pages 404–416-4, July.
• Novelo U., Federico, 2025, "En el Banco de México: autonomía, ¿para qué?," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 92, issue 368, pages 959-987, October-D, DOI: https://doi.org/10.20430/ete.v92i36.
• Peter Claeys & Bettina Bökemeier & Benjamin Owusu & Juan Equiza Goñi & Michael Stierle & Andreea Stoian, 2025, "European Governments’ Fiscal Behaviour and Public Debt Holders: What Is the Financial Connection?," European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 218, Jan.
• Milda Valentinaite & Egle Ceponyte & Ingars Zustrups, 2025, "Taxation of Bank Windfall Profits in the Baltics," European Economy - Economic Briefs, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 086, Oct.
• Alessandro Stringhi & Sara Gil-Gallen & Andrea Albertazzi, 2025, "The Enemy of my Enemy," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, number 2025.03, Jan.
• Andres Blanco, 2025, "Labor Market Dynamics During the 2021-24 Inflation Surge," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, volume 2025, issue 3, June, DOI: 10.29338/ph2025-03.
• Falk Bräuning & Joanna Stavins, 2025, "The Credit Card Spending Channel of Monetary Policy: Micro Evidence from Account-level Data," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 25-10, Sep, DOI: 10.29412/res.wp.2025.10.
• Christopher D. Cotton, 2025, "The Predictability of Global Monetary Policy Surprises," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 25-14, Nov, DOI: 10.29412/res.wp.2025.14.
• Nicholas Fritsch, 2025, "Tail Sensitivity of US Bank Net Interest Margins: A Bayesian Penalized Quantile Regression Approach," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 25-09, Mar, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202509.
• Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter & Sarah Zubairy, 2025, "Revisiting the Interest Rate Effects of Federal Debt," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2513, Apr, revised 09 Jul 2025, DOI: 10.24149/wp2513r1.
• Haoyang Liu & W. Ben McCartney & Rodney Ramcharan & Calvin Zhang & Xiaohan Zhang, 2025, "Household Finance Shapes Political Participation: Evidence from Mortgage Refinancing," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2517, May, revised 03 Mar 2026, DOI: 10.24149/wp2517r1.
• Vasco Curdia, 2025, "Monetary Policy and The Medium-Run Natural Rate," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-24, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-24.
• Miguel Acosta & Andrea Ajello & Michael D. Bauer & Francesca Loria & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, 2025, "Financial Market Effects of FOMC Communication: Evidence from a New Event-Study Database," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-30, Dec, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-30.
• Thomas M. Mertens & Tony Zhang, 2025, "A New Keynesian Model for Financial Markets," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2023-35, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2023-35.
• Jens H. E. Christensen & Sarah Mouabbi & Caroline M. Paulson, 2025, "German Inflation-Linked Bonds: Overpriced, Yet Undervalued," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-03, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-03.
• Luca Benzoni & Marisa Wernick, 2025, "The 2025 U.S. Debt Limit Through the Lens of Financial Markets," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP 2025-07, May, DOI: 10.21033/wp-2025-07.
• Phillip An & Karlye Dilts Stedman & Amaze Lusompa, 2025, "How High Does High Frequency Need to Be? A Comparison of Daily and Intradaily Monetary Policy Surprises," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 25-03, May.
• Jonathan Adams & Philip Barrett, 2025, "What Are Empirical Monetary Policy Shocks? Estimating the Term Structure of Policy News," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 25-06, Jul, DOI: 10.18651/RWP2025-06.
• Hie Joo Ahn & Thomas R. Cook & Taeyoung Doh & Elias Kastritis & Jesse Wedewer, 2025, "Text Sentiment About Monetary Policy," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 25-18, Nov, DOI: 10.18651/RWP2025-18.
• Sophia Cho & John C. Williams, 2025, "Are Financial Markets Good Predictors of R‑Star?," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20250825, Aug.
• Sophia Cho & John C. Williams, 2025, "Comparing Apples to Apples: “Synthetic Real‑Time” Estimates of R‑Star," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20250303, Mar.
• Elizaveta P. Dobronravova, 2025, "The Impact of Monetary Policy on Loan and Deposit Rates in the Context of Limited Capital Mobility in Russia," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 3, pages 108-125, June, DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2025-3-108-125.
• M. S. Makushkin, 2025, "Determinants of the Yield on Russian Sovereign Bonds with Floating Coupons," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 5, pages 8-25, October, DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2025-5-8-25.
• Ekaterina A. Gubkova & Ilhom A. Kamolzoda & Sergey S. Sudakov, 2025, "Econometric Forecasting of Budget Revenues: The Case of Tajikistan," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 6, pages 8-32, December, DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2025-6-8-32.
• Andrey Kaukin & Anastasia Levchenko, 2025, "Industrial production dynamic in Q3 2025," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 28, pages 1-5, November.
• Andrey Kaukin & Anastasia Levchenko, 2025, "Industrial production dynamic in Q3 2025," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 28, pages 1-5, November.
• Pavel Trunin & Alexandra Bozheckkova, 2025, "Monetary policy," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2025-1404, revised 2025.
• Islomjon Inkhomiddinov, 2025, "Measuring Natural Rate of Interest in Uzbekistan," IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, number 02-2025, Feb.
• Delia Ruiz & Diego Franco & Walter Cuba, 2025, "The LCR Premium in Peru: Estimating the Impact of a Regulatory Supply Shock on LCR Ratio," IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, number 13-2025, Aug.
• Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2025_01, Feb.
• Natsuki Arai & Shian Chang, 2025, "Dispersion of FOMC Policymakers: Evidence from Individual Economic Projections with Identities," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2025-003, Apr.
• Pauline Avril & Grégory Levieuge & Camelia Turcu, 2025, "Natural disasters and financial stress: can macroprudential regulation tame green swans?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-05029361, Apr, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103325.
• Jean‐charles Bricongne & Louis Marolleau, 2025, "The impact of monetary surprises on exchange rates: Results from textual and high-frequency analysis," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-05374458, Sep, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103401.
• Paul Hubert & Rose Portier, 2025, "The Signaling Effects of Tightening and Easing Monetary Policy," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-05097460, May.
• Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2025, "Dissent in Monetary Policy Decisions: Effects, Channels and Implications," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-05158109.
• Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2025, "Dissent in Monetary Policy Decisions: Effects, Channels and Implications," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-05167799, Jul.
• Sylvérie Herbert & Paul Hubert & Mathias Lé, 2025, "When does Monetary Policy Matter? Policy Stance vs. Term Premium News 1," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-05481635, Nov.
• Paul Hubert & Rose Portier, 2025, "The Signaling Effects of Tightening and Easing Monetary Policy," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-05097460, May.
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• Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2025, "Dissent in Monetary Policy Decisions: Effects, Channels and Implications," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-05167799, Jul.
• Sylvérie Herbert & Paul Hubert & Mathias Lé, 2025, "When does Monetary Policy Matter? Policy Stance vs. Term Premium News 1," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-05481635, Nov.
• Ahlström, Filippa & Jakobsson, Nadja & Hedström, Axel & Stenvall, David, 2025, "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy and Mortgage Spreads on Housing Markets: Evidence from Swedish Regions," LiU Working Papers in Economics, Linköping University, Division of Economics, Department of Management and Engineering, number 8, Aug.
• CHANG, Shian & ARAI, Natsuki, 2025, "US Credit Spillovers to Small Open Economies : A Proxy-VAR Approach," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, volume 66, issue 1, pages 46-60, June, DOI: 10.15057/hje.2025003.
• NAKAJIMA, Jouchi, 2025, "Impact of US Monetary Policy Spillovers and Yield Curve Control Policy," Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, number 760, Feb.
• Japan Huynh, 2025, "Monetary Policy Interest Rates And Bank Riskreturn Tradeoff: How Does Bank Competition Moderate This Relationship?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, volume 28, issue 2, pages 173-198, July, DOI: https://doi.org/10.59091/2460-9196..
• José Antonio Chumacero Calle & Héctor Javier Bendezú-Jiménez, 2025, "Impacto de la tasa de referencia sobre las tasas de interés activa y pasiva: El caso peruano bajo el modelo de Koyck (2004-2022)," Revista Actualidad Económica, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto de Economía y Finanzas, volume 35, issue 116, pages 57-82, May-Ago.
• Jan Willem van den End & Paul Konietschke & Anna Samarina & Irina M Stanga, 2025, "Macroeconomic Reversal Rate in a Low Interest Rate Environment," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 21, issue 3, pages 1-68, July.
• Bo Becker & Efraim Benmelech, 2025, "The Resilience of the U.S. Corporate Bond Market during Financial Crises," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 21, issue 4, pages 405-463, October.
• Masyayuki Okada & Kazuhiro Teramoto, 2025, "Large Firms and Monetary Policy Surprises: Unraveling Excessive Stock Price Sensitivity," IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, number 25-E-06, Aug.
• Koji Takahashi & Sumiko Takaoka, 2025, "Corporate Bond Purchase Program and Corporate Debt Issuance: Evidence from Japanese Corporate Bond Marketing News," IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, number 25-E-11, Sep.
• Jonathan J. Adams & Mr. Philip Barrett, 2025, "What Are Empirical Monetary Policy Shocks? Estimating the Term Structure of Policy News," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2025/128, Jun.
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• Hack, Lukas & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025, "Understanding Firm Dynamics with Daily Data," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 17882, Apr.
• Landersø, Rasmus & Karlson, Kristian B., 2025, "Intergenerational Educational Mobility Among Immigrants and Descendants in Denmark: The Role of Sample Selectivity and Data Quality," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18284, Nov.
• Auer Simone & Branzoli Nicola & Ferrero Giuseppe & Ilari Antonio & Palazzo Francesco & Rainone Edoardo, 2025, "CBDC and the Banking System," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 245, issue 4-5, pages 435-478, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2024-0006.
• Chen Hanfeng & Hänsel Matthias & Nguyen Hiep, 2025, "Monetary Policy Transmission, Central Bank Digital Currency, and Bank Market Power," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 245, issue 4-5, pages 527-576, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2024-0008.
• Shivam Sehgal & Jaspal Singh, 2025, "Impact of Global and Domestic Factors on Indian Government Bond Yields," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, volume 32, issue 2, pages 465-488, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09459-6.
• Nien-Lin Liu & Ryoichi Suzuki, 2025, "An Empirical Analysis of Spot and Forward Interest Rates in Seven European Countries via Principal Component Analysis and the Malliavin-Mancino Method," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, volume 32, issue 4, pages 1571-1616, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09498-z.
• Fabio Anobile & Marco Maria Matarrese & Alberto Costantiello & Lucio Laureti, 2025, "Insights on measuring the economic impact of monetary policy and inequality," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, volume 58, issue 4, pages 1-28, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10644-025-09889-w.
• Buu Kiem Dang & Duc Toan Vo & Nguyen Tuyet Minh Ha, 2025, "The impact of economic uncertainty and institutional quality on bank profitability: global evidence," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, volume 22, issue 3, pages 1-29, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10368-025-00664-w.
• Carl-Johan Dalgaard & Morten Olsen, 2025, "Has the real rate of return “depreciated”?," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, volume 30, issue 1, pages 49-85, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10887-024-09248-w.
• N. Kundan Kishor, 2025, "Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Fundamentals, Credit Conditions, and Supply Indicators," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 1, pages 121-143, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-023-09971-y.
• Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oğuzhan Çepni, 2025, "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 71, issue 4, pages 642-702, November, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-024-09978-z.
• Manabu Nose, 2025, "Determinants of Domestic Sovereign Bond Yields: Fiscal Policy and the Sovereign–Bank Nexus in Emerging Market and Developing Economies," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University, number DP2025-022, Oct.
• Charles Yuji Horioka & Nicholas Ford, 2025, "A New Modeling Approach to Help Address the Trump Tariffs," Discussion Paper Series, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University, number DP2025-31, Dec.
• Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2502, May.
• Arturo Huerta G., 2025, "The High Cost of the Strong Peso and Its Temporary Nature: The Case of Mexico," Economics Working Paper Archive, Levy Economics Institute, number wp_1075, Jan.
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• Karlis Vilerts & Sofia Anyfantaki & Konstantins Benkovskis & Sebastian Bredl & Massimo Giovannini & Florian Matthias Horky & Vanessa Kunzmann & Tibor Lalinsky & Athanasios Lampousis & Elizaveta Lukman, 2025, "Details Matter: Loan Pricing and Transmission of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Working Papers, Latvijas Banka, number 2025/04, Jul.
• Ansgar Rannenberg, 2025, "A note on simulating the effect of monetary policy changes using only forward curves as inputs," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 471, Jan.
• Ewa Stanisławska, 2025, "Od stopy rynku pieniężnego do oprocentowania detalicznego depozytów i kredytów Analiza na danych mikro w Polsce," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, volume 55, issue 6, pages 643-672.
• Paweł Kopiec, 2025, "Labor market slack, household inequality and monetary policy," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 375.
• Michał Łesyk & Grzegorz Wesołowski, 2025, "Household demand for treasury bonds and time deposits in a small open economy," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 378.
• Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation, and the Price Level," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2025, volume 40".
• Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33825, May.
• Zhengyang Jiang & Robert J. Richmond & Tony Zhang, 2025, "Convenience Lost," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33940, Jun.
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• Isaiah Andrews & Maryam Farboodi, 2025, "Do Markets Believe in Transformative AI?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34243, Sep.
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• Alessandra Agati & Michael Sigmund, 2025, "Banking in the Negative: A Vector Error Correction Analysis of Bank-Specific Lending and Deposit Rates (Alessandra Agati, Michael Sigmund)," Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), number 261, Jan.
• Enzinger, Matthias & Gechert, Sebastian & Heimberger, Philipp & Prante, Franz & Romero, Daniel Fernández, 2025, "The overstated effects of conventional monetary policy on output and prices," OSF Preprints, Center for Open Science, number 72cen_v2, Aug, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/72cen_v2.
• Tilman Bletzinger & Wolfgang Lemke & Jean-Paul Renne, 2025, "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Inflation-Consumption Correlation in an Equilibrium Term Structure Model," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 23, issue 2, pages 110-138.
• Maksim Isakin & Phuong V Ngo, 2025, "The U.S. Treasury Term Premia in a Low Interest Rate Regime," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 23, issue 3, pages 1877-1905.
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• Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2025, "A Portfolio-Balance Model of Inflation and Yield Curve Determination," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 15, issue 2, pages 121-161.
• Diogo Duarte & Özde Öztekin & Yuri F Saporito, 2025, "Capital Structure and the Yield Curve," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 14, issue 1, pages 85-124.
• Di Wu, 2025, "A disaster explanation of equity term structures," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, volume 29, issue 5, pages 1437-1465.
• Sebastian Hillenbrand, 2025, "The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 38, issue 4, pages 981-1013.
• Nikolaos Artavanis & Brian Jonghwan Lee & Stavros Panageas & Margarita Tsoutsoura, 2025, "Cross-Subsidization of Bad Credit in a Lending Crisis," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 38, issue 5, pages 1464-1501.
• Abbas Valadkhani, 2025, "Inflation-driven instability in US sectoral betas," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 26, issue 5, pages 506-513, September, DOI: 10.1057/s41260-025-00413-3.
• Marcos Chamon & Francisco Roldán, 2025, "Sovereign Debt Tolerance with Potentially Permanent Costs of Default," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 73, issue 1, pages 118-149, March, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-024-00260-z.
• Maurice Obstfeld, 2025, "Natural and Neutral Real Interest Rates: Past and Future," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 73, issue 2, pages 339-392, June, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-025-00276-z.
• Labib Shami, 2025, "Elusive competition: impact of non-bank credit providers’ financing on credit market competition," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 26, issue 2, pages 288-303, June, DOI: 10.1057/s41261-024-00259-6.
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• Ojo, Marianne, 2025, "How the Liberation Day Announcement is Shaping the Global Trade Order : Recent Developments in Financial Stability, Macroprudential Arrangements, and Shadow Banking," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 124332.
• Forbes, Kristin & Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2025, "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 124747, May.
• Andriantomanga, Zo & Kishor, N. Kundan & Kumar, Labesh, 2025, "Interest Rate Misalignments and Monetary Policy Effects: Evidence from U.S. States," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 124748, May.
• Costa, André, 2025, "The Equality of the Natural Rates of Interest, Inflation and Economic growth, and Its Implications for Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 124966, Jun.
• Bearce, David H. & Garriga, Ana Carolina, 2025, "Reconsidering the Relationship between CBI and FIX," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125748, Aug.
• Zhang, Zhongxia, 2025, "When Do Investors Buy Rental Properties? Insights From A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation of Housing Market Breakeven Vacancies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126187, Sep.
• Yudha, Graha & Dahlan, Rolan & Zulkarnain, Ismail & Nugraha, Achmad, 2025, "Understanding Credit Demand: Exploring the Impact of Leverage and Return on Borrowing," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126281, Apr.
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• Khemraj, Tarron & Pasha, Sukrishnalall, 2025, "Dynamic implications of fiscal policy on NPLs: theoretical analysis and panel-regression empirics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126458, Aug.
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• Neilon, Gabriella & Guest, Oliver & Steenkamp, Daan, 2025, "The market impact of inflation surprises in South Africa," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127318, Dec.