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Measuring the stance of monetary policy in zero lower bound environments

  • Leo Krippner


I propose a simple framework that quantifies the stance of monetary policy as a “shadow short rate” when the term structure is near the zero lower bound. I demonstrate my framework with a one-factor model applied to Japanese data, including an intuitive economic interpretation of the results, and also discuss the extension to multiple factors.

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Paper provided by Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University in its series CAMA Working Papers with number 2012-35.

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Length: 13 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2012-35
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  1. Cox, John C & Ingersoll, Jonathan E, Jr & Ross, Stephen A, 1985. "A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(2), pages 385-407, March.
  2. Leo Krippner, 2012. "Measuring the stance of monetary policy in zero lower bound environments," CAMA Working Papers 2012-35, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  3. Kim, Don H. & Singleton, Kenneth J., 2012. "Term structure models and the zero bound: An empirical investigation of Japanese yields," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(1), pages 32-49.
  4. Leo Krippner, 2011. "Modifying Gaussian term structure models when interest rates are near the zero lower bound," CAMA Working Papers 2011-36, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  5. Antulio N. Bomfim, 2003. "Interest rates as options: assessing the markets' view of the liquidity trap," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-45, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  6. Vasicek, Oldrich, 1977. "An equilibrium characterization of the term structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 177-188, November.
  7. Black, Fischer, 1995. " Interest Rates as Options," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(5), pages 1371-76, December.
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