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Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Communication in Kenya

Author

Listed:
  • Isaya Maana
  • Samuel Tiriongo

    (Central Bank of Kenya)

Abstract

This paper examines the effectiveness of monetary policy communication in signalling the direction of short term interest rates in Kenya between January 2007 and January 2010. The analyses focused on monetary policy committee (MPC) press releases as the main channel of communicating policy decisions. The paper used an Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (EGARCH) model to analyse the effects of policy announcements on changes in average weekly interbank interest rates and the 91 day Treasury bill rates. The empirical findings show that, to a large extent, the monetary policy press releases have been effective in signalling the direction of short term interest rates. Nevertheless, there seems to be asymmetry in the effectiveness of the statements, in which statements with loose policy inclination tend to be more effective compared with the statements with tight policy inclination. Results also indicate that reinforcing the policy stance with statements in the intermeeting period such as the Governor’s speeches also tend to have a signalling power particularly in instances when the MPC maintains a neutral stance.

Suggested Citation

  • Isaya Maana & Samuel Tiriongo, 2011. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Communication in Kenya," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, vol. 13(Conferenc), pages 92-109.
  • Handle: RePEc:afj:journl:v:13:y:2011:i:conference:p:92-109
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Communication; Effectiveness; Monetary Policy; Monetary Policy Committee; Central Bank of Kenya;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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