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The market stabilization role of central bank asset purchases: High-frequency evidence from the COVID-19 crisis

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  • Bernardini, Marco
  • De Nicola, Annalisa

Abstract

We investigate the flow effects of the Eurosystem government bond purchases conducted in Italy during the early stages of the COVID-19 crisis. Using confidential high-frequency data and local projections, we find that the purchase of long-term bonds reduced corresponding yields by an average of 4 to 5 basis points per billion euros on impact. These effects persisted after the purchases and were strongly transmitted along the yield curve, leading to marked improvements in liquidity conditions, while remaining mostly confined to the domestic market. We further document that the effects were considerably more pronounced – nearly doubling in size – at the peak of the crisis, when market liquidity dried up and the euro area bond market became highly fragmented along national borders. Our findings point to a crucial role of actual purchases in stabilizing financial markets, beyond that of purchase announcements. They also support the rationale for more flexible and targeted interventions during periods of market distress.

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  • Bernardini, Marco & De Nicola, Annalisa, 2025. "The market stabilization role of central bank asset purchases: High-frequency evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:152:y:2025:i:c:s0261560624002444
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103257
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    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Blot & Caroline Bozou & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert, 2021. "Are all Central Bank Asset Purchases the Same? Different Rationales, Different Effects," Working Papers hal-03554141, HAL.
    2. Maria Ludovica Drudi & Giulio Carlo Venturi, 2023. "Assessing the liquidity premium in the Italian bond market," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 795, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Altavilla, Carlo & Lemke, Wolfgang & Linzert, Tobias & Tapking, Jens & von Landesberger, Julian, 2021. "Assessing the efficacy, efficiency and potential side effects of the ECB’s monetary policy instruments since 2014," Occasional Paper Series 278, European Central Bank.
    4. Christophe Blot & Caroline Bozou & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert, 2022. "The Conditional PaThéof Central Bank Asset Purchases," Working papers 885, Banque de France.
    5. Riccardo Poli & Marco Taboga, 2025. "A Composite Indicator of Sovereign Bond Market Liquidity in the Euro Area," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 23-36, April.
    6. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Jérôme Creel & Caroline Bozou, 2023. "The conditionality of monetary policy instruments," Working Papers hal-04159848, HAL.
    7. Corsi, Marco & Mudde, Yvo, 2022. "The use of the Eurosystem’s monetary policy instruments and its monetary policy implementation framework in 2020 and 2021," Occasional Paper Series 304, European Central Bank.
    8. Bank for International Settlements, 2023. "Central bank asset purchases in response to the Covid-19 crisis," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 68.
    9. Marco Bernardini & Antonio M. Conti, 2023. "Announcement and implementation effects of central bank asset purchases," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1435, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Market functioning; Flow effects; Local projections; ECB; PEPP;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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