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Macroeconomic and interest rate volatility under alternative monetary operating procedures

  • Petra Gerlach-Kristen
  • Barbara Rudolf

During the financial crisis of 2007/08 the level and volatility of interest rate spreads increased dramatically. This paper examines how the choice of the target interest rate for monetary policy affects the volatility of inflation, the output gap and the yield curve. We consider three monetary policy operating procedures with different target interest rates: a one-month market rate, a three-month market rate and an essentially riskless one-month repo rate. The implementation tool is the one-month repo rate for all three operating procedures. In a highly stylised model, we find that using a money market rate as a target rate generally yields lower variability of the macroeconomic variables. This holds under discretion as well as under commitment both in times of financial calm or turmoil. Whether the one month or three month rate procedure performs best depends on the maturity of the specific rate that enters the IS curve.

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Paper provided by Bank for International Settlements in its series BIS Working Papers with number 319.

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Length: 41 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:319
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  15. Gerlach-Kristen, Petra & Rudolf, Barbara, 2010. "Financial shocks and the maturity of the monetary policy rate," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 107(3), pages 333-337, June.
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  18. Christopher Martin & Costas Milas, 2008. "The Sub-Prime Crisis and UK Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series 31-08, The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Jan 2008.
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