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The impact of low interest rates on banks' non-performing loans

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  • Matěj Maivald
  • Petr Teplý

Abstract

The paper examines the impact of a low interest rate environment on banks' credit risk measured by the non-performing loan (NPL)/total loans ratio. We analyse a unique sample of annual data on 823 banks from the Eurozone, Denmark, Japan, Sweden, and Switzerland for the 2011-2017 period, which also covers the period of zero and negative rates. We conclude that after 1 year of low interest rates, the NPL ratio increases. Our results are mostly consistent with the findings of previous research, and the majority of differences can be explained by the changes in the economic environment during the period with low interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Matěj Maivald & Petr Teplý, 2020. "The impact of low interest rates on banks' non-performing loans," FFA Working Papers 2.002, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 25 Feb 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlwps:v:2:y:2020:id:2.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    banks; credit risk; low interest rates; non-performing loans;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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