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Interest Rates, Fisher Effect And Economic Development In Turkey, 1989-2011

Author

Listed:
  • Selahattin GURIS
  • Burak GURIS
  • Turgut UN

Abstract

This paper investigates the validity of the Fisher Hypothesis in Turkey covering the period 2003 – 2012. To test validity of Fisher Hypothesis, this paper uses an Autoregressive Distributed Lag test for threshold cointegration recently introduced in the literature by Li and Lee (2010). The empirical results which are obtained from this paper indicate that Fisher hypothesis is valid for Turkey, meaning nominal interest rates would be an important leading indicator for inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Selahattin GURIS & Burak GURIS & Turgut UN, 2016. "Interest Rates, Fisher Effect And Economic Development In Turkey, 1989-2011," Revista Galega de Economía, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business., vol. 25(2), pages 95-100.
  • Handle: RePEc:sdo:regaec:v:25:y:2016:i:2_8
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    File URL: http://www.usc.es/econo/RGE/Vol25/rge2528.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Salah Nusair, 2008. "Testing for the Fisher hypothesis under regime shifts: an application to Asian countries," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 273-284.
    2. Jing Li & Junsoo Lee, 2010. "ADL tests for threshold cointegration," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 241-254, July.
    3. Atkins, Frank J. & Coe, Patrick J., 2002. "An ARDL bounds test of the long-run Fisher effect in the United States and Canada," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 255-266, June.
    4. Guochen Pan & Tsangyao Chang & D.P. Tang & Chia-Hao Lee, 2012. "Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in Latin American countries: the ADL test for threshold cointegration," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 857-862, June.
    5. Peter Boswijk, H., 1994. "Testing for an unstable root in conditional and structural error correction models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 37-60, July.
    6. Siyue Liu & Tsangyao Chang & Chia-Hao Lee & Pei-I Chou, 2012. "Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity: the ADL test for threshold cointegration," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(6), pages 569-573, April.
    7. Ekrem Gul & Sezgin Acikalin, 2008. "An examination of the Fisher Hypothesis: the case of Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(24), pages 3227-3231.
    8. Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu & Tsangyao Chang & Chia-Hao Lee, 2012. "Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in transition countries: the ADL test for threshold cointegration," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 629-633, May.
    9. Dimitris K. Christopoulos & Miguel A. Leãn-Ledesma, 2007. "A Long-Run Non-Linear Approach to the Fisher Effect," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(2-3), pages 543-559, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ADL threshold cointegration test; Fisher hypothesis.;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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