My JEL codes
Follow this JEL code
Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ C: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
/ / C3: Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
/ / / C32: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:
- > Econometrics > Time Series Models > VAR Models > Sign Restrictions
- > Econometrics > Time Series Models > VAR Models > Bayesian Vector autoregressions (BVARs)
- > Econometrics > Forecasting > Nowcasting
- > Econometrics > Time Series Models > Dynamic Factor Models
- > Schools of Economic Thought, Epistemology of Economics > Economic Methodology > Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium > Estimated DSGE Models
- > Schools of Economic Thought, Epistemology of Economics > Economic Methodology > Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium > Estimated DSGE Models > Forecasting with DSGE Models
This topic is covered by the following reading lists:
2023
- Kaczmarek Tomasz & Grobelny Przemysław, 2023. "How to fly to safety without overpaying for the ticket," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 9(2), pages 160-183, April.
- Nazir Noman & Bashir Zahid & Izhar Syed Usman & Jamshed Yasir, 2023. "Sources of uncertainty and their impact on stock prices evidence from emerging economies," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 19(2), pages 49-67, June.
- Chenini Moussa & Ayad Hicham & Attouchi Manel & Dahmani Mohamed Driouche, 2023. "Testing the Validity of Okun’s Law in Algeria: Is there a difference between Maki’s Cointegration and Quantile’s Regression Results?," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 23(1), pages 42-63, June.
- Ghilous Azeddine & Ziat Adel, 2023. "Balance of Payments as a Monetary Phenomenon: An ARDL Bounds Test Method for Algeria," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 23(1), pages 64-86, June.
- Dekkiche Djamal, 2023. "Tourism Demand in Tunisia: A VECM Approach," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 69(2), pages 50-59, June.
- Miteski Mite & Petrovska Magdalena & Sulejmani Artan, 2023. "Measuring the Natural Interest Rate for the Macedonian Economy: A Multi-Model Approach," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 18(1), pages 176-193, June.
- Havolli Berat, 2023. "Economic Consequences of the Cost of Government Borrowing in European Transition Economies," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 18(1), pages 194-210, June.
- Spahiu Muhamet J. & Durguti Esat A., 2023. "Impact of Financial Liberalization on Export: Evidence from Kosovo," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 33(2), pages 95-111, June.
- Reinhold Heinlein & Scott M. R. Mahadeo, 2023.
"Oil and US stock market shocks: Implications for Canadian equities,"
Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(1), pages 247-287, February.
- Reinhold Heinlein & Scott M. R. Mahadeo, 2021. "Oil and US stock market shocks: implications for Canadian equities," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2021-07, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
- Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2023.
"Tail Forecasting With Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 979-1022, August.
- Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," Working Papers 21-08R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 12 Jul 2022.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," CEPR Discussion Papers 17461, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mushtaq Hussain Khan & Junaid Ahmed & Mazhar Mughal & Imtiaz Hussain Khan, 2023.
"Oil price volatility and stock returns: Evidence from three oil‐price wars,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3162-3182, July.
- Mushtaq Hussain Khan & Junaid Ahmed & Mazhar Mughal, 2020. "Oil Price Volatility and Stock Returns: Evidence from Three Oil-price Wars," PIDE-Working Papers 2020:22, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
- Aaron J. Amburgey & Michael W. McCracken, 2023.
"On the real‐time predictive content of financial condition indices for growth,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 137-163, March.
- Aaron Amburgey & Michael W. McCracken, 2022. "On the Real-Time Predictive Content of Financial Conditions Indices for Growth," Working Papers 2022-003, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 03 Jun 2022.
- Katarzyna Budnik & Gerhard Rünstler, 2023.
"Identifying structural VARs from sparse narrative instruments: Dynamic effects of US macroprudential policies,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 186-201, March.
- Budnik, Katarzyna & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2020. "Identifying structural VARs from sparse narrative instruments: dynamic effects of U.S. macroprudential policies," Working Paper Series 2353, European Central Bank.
- Lukas Boer & Lukas Menkhoff & Malte Rieth, 2023.
"The multifaceted impact of US trade policy on financial markets,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 388-406, April.
- Boer, Lukas & Menkhoff, Lukas & Rieth, Malte, 2020. "The multifaceted impact of US trade policy on financial markets," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224529, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Lukas Boer & Lukas Menkhoff & Malte Rieth, 2021. "The Multifaceted Impact of US Trade Policy on Financial Markets," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1956, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Yunjong Eo & Luis Uzeda & Benjamin Wong, 2023.
"Understanding trend inflation through the lens of the goods and services sectors,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 751-766, August.
- Yunjong Eo & Luis Uzeda & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Understanding Trend Inflation Through the Lens of the Goods and Services Sectors," Staff Working Papers 20-45, Bank of Canada.
- Yunjong Eo & Luis Uzeda & Benjamin Wong, 2022. "Understanding trend inflation through the lens of the goods and services sectors," CAMA Working Papers 2022-28, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Yunjong Eo & Luis Uzeda & Benjamin Wong, 2023. "Understanding Trend Inflation Through the Lens of the Goods and Services Sectors," Discussion Paper Series 2301, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
- William A. Barnett & Sohee Park, 2023.
"Forecasting inflation and output growth with credit‐card‐augmented Divisia monetary aggregates,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 331-346, March.
- William Barnett & Sohee Park, 2021. "Forecasting Inflation and Output Growth with Credit-Card-Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202120, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2021.
- Barnett, William & Park, Sohee, 2021. "Forecasting Inflation and Output Growth with Credit-Card-Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates," MPRA Paper 110298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tamás Kiss & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023.
"Modeling the relation between the US real economy and the corporate bond‐yield spread in Bayesian VARs with non‐Gaussian innovations,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 347-368, March.
- Kiss, Tamás & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2021. "Modelling the Relation between the US Real Economy and the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread in Bayesian VARs with non-Gaussian Disturbances," Working Papers 2021:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Carlos Cañizares Martínez & Gabe J. de Bondt & Arne Gieseck, 2023.
"Forecasting housing investment,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 543-565, April.
- Martínez, Carlos Cañizares & de Bondt, Gabe & Gieseck, Arne, 2023. "Forecasting housing investment," Working Paper Series 2807, European Central Bank.
- Timothy G. Conley & Sílvia Gonçalves & Min Seong Kim & Benoit Perron, 2023.
"Bootstrap inference under cross‐sectional dependence,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 511-569, May.
- Timothy Conley & Sílvia Gonçalves & Min Seong Kim & Benoit Perron, 2022. "Bootstrap Inference Under Cross Sectional Dependence," Working papers 2022-14, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Rachana Jaiswal, 2023. "From Humble Beginnings to a Global Economic Powerhouse: A Comprehensive Study of India’s Economic Development Through the Lens of Selected Macroeconomic Indicators (1990–2020)," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(03), pages 1-42, September.
- Yuping Song & Yankun Sun & Yue Ma, 2023. "The impact of Sino–US trade war on the co-movement between China’s stock market and global stock markets," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-24, June.
- To Trung Thanh & Le Thanh Ha & Nguyen Thi Thanh Huyen & Tran Anh Ngoc, 2023. "An Application of a TVP-VAR Extended Joint Connected Approach to Investigate Dynamic Spillover Interrelations of Cryptocurrency and Stock Market in Vietnam," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(01), pages 1-20, February.
- Hatice Karahan & M. Ege Yazgan, 2023. "Searching For The Optimal Level: Inflation And Price Variability In Turkey," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 68(01), pages 197-215, March.
- Benedict Foo & Deng Yao Koh & Juan Pang Tan & Wenjie Wang, 2023. "FORECASTING SINGAPORE’s ECONOMY USING STATISTICAL LEARNING AND FACTOR MODELS," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 68(02), pages 319-353.
- Dejan ŽIvkov & Marko Peä†Anac & Dajana Ercegovac, 2023. "Interdependence Between Stocks And Exchange Rate In East Asiaâ €” A Wavelet-Based Approach," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 68(03), pages 917-939, June.
- Mertens, Elmar, 2023. "Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error," Discussion Papers 25/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2023. "Is the supermultiplier nil? A replication study of Deleidi and Mazzucato (2021)," Kiel Working Papers 2250, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Kim, Jung-Wook & Kim, Jinkyeong, 2023. "Regulatory Sentiment and Economic Performance," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 45(1), pages 69-86.
- Di Serio, Mario & Fragetta, Matteo & Gasteiger, Emanuel & Melina, Giovanni, 2023. "The Euro Area Government Spending Multiplier in Demand- and Supply-Driven Recessions?," ECON WPS - Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy 02/2023, TU Wien, Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Economics Research Unit.
- Haohua Li & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Libing Fang, 2023. "Return Volatility, Correlation, and Hedging of Green and Brown Stocks: Is there a Role for Climate Risk Factors?," Working Papers 202301, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Elie Bouri & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Harald Kinateder, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk and Inflation Spillovers across European and North American Economies," Working Papers 202304, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Christophe Andre & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and Stock Markets at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 202309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Reneé van Eyden, 2023.
"Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating,"
Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-27, July.
- Rangan Gupta & Yuvana Jaichand & Christian Pierdzioch & Renee van Eyden, 2023. "Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating," Working Papers 202311, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Savanah Hall & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Realized Stock Market Volatility of the United States: The Role of Employee Sentiment," Working Papers 202319, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Desiree M. Kunene & Renee van Eyden & Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The Predictive Impact of Climate Risk on Total Factor Productivity Growth: 1880-2020," Working Papers 202321, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Afees A. Salisu & Wenting Liao & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Economic Conditions and Predictability of US Stock Returns Volatility: Local Factor versus National Factor in a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Time-Varying Effects of Extreme Weather Shocks on Output Growth of the United States," Working Papers 202324, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Climate Risks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 202326, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Petre Caraiani, 2023. "Oil Shocks and State-Level Stock Market Volatility of the United States: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202327, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Housing Market Variables and Predictability of State-Level Stock Market Volatility of the United States: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202330, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Cansin Kemal Can, 2023. "Estimating Bohn's Fiscal Sustainability Model with Temporal Variation: Evidence from Turkey," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(1), pages 61-83.
- Yusuf Yildirim & Anirban Sanyal, 2023.
"Financial Stress and Effect on Real Economy: Turkish Experience,"
Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(1), pages 46-67.
- Yildirim, Yusuf & Sanyal, Anirban, 2021. "Financial Stress and Effect on Real Economy: The Turkish Experience," MPRA Paper 109845, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Petr Frejlich & Helena Chytilová & Vojtěch Kotrba & Pavel Kotrba, 2023. "Experimentální ověření platnosti Barrovy-Ricardovy ekvivalence [Experimental Verification of Barro-Ricardo Equivalence Theorem]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(4), pages 366-389.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2023. "Climate change and income inequality. An empirical analysis," Working Papers 966, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Adrian Jimenez-Gomez & Hector Flores-Marquez, 2023. "Determinants of the remittances sent to Mexico 1980-2022 was there a structural change?," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 20(2), pages 1-30, Julio-Dic.
- Lahura, Erick & Pumacahua, Luz & Sosa, Rebeca, 2023. "Análisis textual y legibilidad de las Notas Informativas de la política monetaria en el Perú: 2001-2021," Working Papers 2023-004, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023.
"Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk,"
Working Papers
No 06/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper series 23-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper 2023/9, Norges Bank.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Papers 2305.09563, arXiv.org.
- Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Blessings Majoni, 2023. "Exact Likelihood for Inverse Gamma Stochastic Volatility Models," Working Paper series 23-11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Brianti, Marco & Cormun, Vito, 2023. "Expectation-Driven Boom-Bust Cycles," Working Papers 2023-4, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
- Rajwani, Shegorika & Kumar Tiwar, Aviral & Prasad Yadav, Miklesh & Sharma, Sakshi, 2023. "Dynamic Linkages of Energy Commodities with Bullion and Metal Market: Evidence of Portfolio Hedging," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 26(1), pages 148-179, May.
- Makushkin, Mikhail & Lapshin, Victor, 2023. "Dynamic Nelson–Siegel model for market risk estimation of bonds: Practical implementation," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 69, pages 5-27.
- Ekinci, Mehmet Fatih & Saygılı, Hülya, 2023. "Oil Price Pass-Through on Sector-Level Prices: Evidence from Turkey," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 14(3), pages 321-335, July.
- NGEPAH, NICHOLAS & EITA , JOEL HINAUNYE & BIYASE , MDUDUZI & Saba, Charles, 2023. "The Effect of Transnet's Capital Expenditure and Investment in Various other Selected Sectors of the South African Economy," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 76(1), pages 65-90.
- Farag, Markos & Jeddi, Samir & Kopp, Jan Hendrik, 2023. "Global Natural Gas Market Integration in the Face of Shocks: Evidence from the Dynamics Of European, Asian, and US Gas Futures Prices," EWI Working Papers 2023-3, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
- Kim, Sungcheol & Kim, Kyunghun, 2023. "The Determinants of Disaggregated Capital Inflows to Emerging Market Economies;Empirical Evidence from Korea," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 38(1), pages 1-31.
- Stewart, Chris, 2023. "Re-evaluating whether absolute or relative purchasing power parity is being tested when using price indices," Economics Discussion Papers 2023-1, School of Economics, Kingston University London.
- Bartula, Mirjana & Radun, Viktor, 2023. "Indicator Based Ecotourism Planning," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 14(1), pages 17-24.
- Hayat SHAHID & Amena UROOJ & Zahid ASGHAR, 2023. "Impact of Seasonal Level Shift (SLS) on Time Series Forecasting," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 107-128, March.
- Xiaohui GONG & Bisharat Hussain CHANG & Xi CHEN & Kaiyang ZHONG, 2023. "Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rates on Energy Demand in E7 Countries: New Evidence from Multiple Thresholds Nonlinear ARDL Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 124-142, June.
- Xiaohui GONG & Bisharat Hussain CHANG & Xi CHEN & Kaiyang ZHONG, 2023. "Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rates on Energy Demand in E7 Countries: New Evidence from Multiple Thresholds Nonlinear ARDL Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 125-142, June.
- Yakubu EGEDE & Umaru AMINU & Aminu HAMMA & Caroline Iyabo ADEMOLA-JOHN, 2023. "Revisiting the Validity of Phillips Curve in Nigeria: An ARDL Approach," Management and Economics Review, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 8(1), pages 24-34, February.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2023.
"Detecting Common Bubbles in Multivariate Mixed Causal–Noncausal Models,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, March.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2022. "Detecting common bubbles in multivariate mixed causal-noncausal models," Papers 2207.11557, arXiv.org.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2023. "Detecting Common Bubbles in Multivariate Mixed Causal-noncausal Models," CEIS Research Paper 555, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 27 Feb 2023.
- Glenn Rayp & Ilse Ruyssen & Samuel Standaert, 2023. "Selecting only the best and brightest? An assessment of migration policy selectivity and its effectiveness," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 23/1062, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Mohsin Waheed & Zulfiqar Hyder, 2023. "What Explains the Volatility in Pakistan’s Sovereign Bond Yields?," SBP Working Paper Series 112, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
- Capasso Salvatore & Oreste Napolitano & Ana Laura Vivero, 2023. "The Financial Conditions Index as an additional tool for policymakers in developing countries: the Mexican case," CSEF Working Papers 664, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- P. Gorgi & S. J. Koopman & R. Lit, 2023.
"Estimation of final standings in football competitions with a premature ending: the case of COVID-19,"
AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 107(1), pages 233-250, March.
- Paolo Gorgi & Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit, 2020. "Estimation of final standings in football competitions with premature ending: the case of COVID-19," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-070/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Simone Cerreia-Vioglio & Fulvio Ortu & Federico Severino & Claudio Tebaldi, 2023. "Multivariate Wold decompositions: a Hilbert A-module approach," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 46(1), pages 45-96, June.
- Ioannis Chalkiadakis & Gareth W. Peters & Matthew Ames, 2023. "Hybrid ARDL-MIDAS-Transformer time-series regressions for multi-topic crypto market sentiment driven by price and technology factors," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 295-365, June.
- Jan Patrick Hartkopf, 2023. "Composite forecasting of vast-dimensional realized covariance matrices using factor state-space models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 393-436, January.
- Luca Agnello & Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2023. "Interest rate gaps in an uncertain global context: why “too” low (high) for “so” long?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 539-565, February.
- Oscar Claveria & Petar Sorić, 2023. "Labour market uncertainty after the irruption of COVID-19," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1897-1945, April.
- Tamás Kiss & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023.
"Modelling Okun’s law: Does non-Gaussianity matter?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2183-2213, May.
- Kiss, Tamas & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2022. "Modelling Okun’s Law – Does non-Gaussianity Matter?," Working Papers 2022:1, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis & Steven Ongena & Mike G. Tsionas, 2023. "The response of household debt to COVID-19 using a neural networks VAR in OECD," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 65-91, July.
- Alexandra M. Espinosa & Ignacio Díaz-Emparanza, 2023. "Assessing the Spanish immigration policy with frequency-wise causality in Hosoya’s sense," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 111-147, July.
- Zeina Alsalman, 2023. "Oil price shocks and US unemployment: evidence from disentangling the duration of unemployment spells in the labor market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 479-511, July.
- Rodrigo Mulero & Alfredo Garcia-Hiernaux, 2023. "Forecasting unemployment with Google Trends: age, gender and digital divide," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 587-605, August.
- Alfan Mansur, 2023. "Simultaneous identification of fiscal and monetary policy shocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 697-728, August.
- Bogdan Muraraşu & Cristina Anghelescu & Robert Adrian Grecu, 2023. "Assessing fiscal multipliers in times of crisis: evidence from selected CEE countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1627-1654, October.
- Bruno Bosco, 2023. "Trade, equilibrium prices and rents in European auctions for emission allowances," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 25(1), pages 87-113, January.
- Anna Sznajderska & Alfred A. Haug, 2023. "Bayesian VARs of the U.S. economy before and during the pandemic," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(2), pages 211-236, June.
- Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Özer Depren, 2023. "Asymmetric relationship between global and national factors and domestic food prices: evidence from Turkey with novel nonlinear approaches," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, December.
- Yu Song & Bo Chen & Xin-Yi Wang, 2023. "Cryptocurrency technology revolution: are Bitcoin prices and terrorist attacks related?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20, December.
- Roman Mestre, 2023.
"Stock profiling using time–frequency-varying systematic risk measure,"
Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-29, December.
- Roman Mestre, 2023. "Stock profiling using time–frequency-varying systematic risk measure," Post-Print hal-04058285, HAL.
- Umit Bulut, 2023. "Measuring the impacts of monetary policy in Turkey: an extended structural vector autoregressive model with structural breaks," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 117-132, February.
- Omar Chafik, 2023.
"Monetary Policy in Oil Exporting Countries with Fixed Exchange Rate and Open Capital Account: Expectations Matter,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 1-22, March.
- CHAFIK, Omar, 2019. "Monetary policy in oil exporting countries with fixed exchange rate and open capital account: expectations matter," MPRA Paper 92558, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Apostolos Serletis & Libo Xu, 2023. "Oil price uncertainty and climate risks," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(2), pages 323-332, June.
- Christian Calmès & Raymond Théoret, 2023. "Bank performance before and after the subprime crisis: Evidence from pooled data on big US banks," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(2), pages 472-516, June.
- Huthaifa Sameeh Alqaralleh, 2023. "The extreme spillover from climate policy uncertainty to the Chinese sector stock market: wavelet time-varying approach," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-17, December.
- Thomas F. P. Wiesen & Todd Gabe & Lakshya Bharadwaj, 2023. "Econometric connectedness as a measure of urban influence: evidence from Maine," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-16, December.
- Antonis Tsitouras & Harry Papapanagos, 2023. "Income Inequality, Economic Freedom, and Economic Growth in Greece: A Multivariate Analysis," Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics, in: Nicholas Tsounis & Aspasia Vlachvei (ed.), Advances in Empirical Economic Research, chapter 0, pages 485-503, Springer.
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"Housing prices in Spain: convergence or decoupling?,"
SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 165-187, June.
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"Time changing effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru: empirical application using regime-switching VAR models with stochastic volatility,"
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"Synthetic Controls with Multiple Outcomes: Estimating the Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions in the COVID-19 Pandemic,"
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"The effect of oil uncertainty shock on real GDP of 33 countries: a global VAR approach,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 269-274, February.
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"Dynamics and synchronization of global equilibrium interest rates,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(28), pages 3195-3214, June.
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"US policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic and sectoral stock indices: A fractional integration approach,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(3), pages 283-292, January.
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"Is the Thai government revenue-spending nexus asymmetric?,"
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"Endogenous Time Variation in Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(1), pages 125-142, January.
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"(Almost) Recursive Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks with Economic Parameter Restrictions,"
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- Jan Pablo Burgard & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2023.
"(Almost) Recursive Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks with Economic Parameter Restrictions,"
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- Jan Pablo Burgard & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2023. "(Almost) Recursive Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks with Economic Parameter Restrictions," Research Papers in Economics 2023-01, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Jan Pablo Burgard & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2023. "(Almost) Recursive Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks with Economic Parameter Restrictions," Working Paper Series 2023-01, University of Trier, Research Group Quantitative Finance and Risk Analysis.
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"How political tensions and geopolitical risks impact oil prices?,"
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"Monetary policy shocks and exchange rate dynamics in small open economies,"
CAMA Working Papers
2022-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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"The Long-Run Phillips Curve is ... a Curve,"
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"ENSO Climate Patterns on Global Economic Conditions,"
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"Risk Aversion and Changes in Regime,"
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"Climate change heterogeneity: a new quantitative approach,"
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"Out of sample predictability in predictive regressions with many predictor candidates,"
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"Synthetic Controls with Multiple Outcomes: Estimating the Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions in the COVID-19 Pandemic,"
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"Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk,"
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"Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks,"
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"Significance Bands for Local Projections,"
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"Amortized Neural Networks for Agent-Based Model Forecasting,"
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- Tommaso Tornese, 2023. "A Euro Area Term Structure Model with Time Varying Exposures," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23199, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
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"Blended Identification in Structural VARs,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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- Ibrahim L. Awad, 2023. "A Comparative Study of Seigniorage: Egypt and Qatar," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 172-190.
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- Temel Taskin & Franz Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Global Demand and Supply Sentiment: Evidence from Earnings Calls," Staff Working Papers 23-37, Bank of Canada.
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"Bayesian Local Projections,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
1348, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
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"Empirical Regularities of Inflation in Latin America,"
Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(81), pages 5-54, May.
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- Pablo Aguilar & Corinna Ghirelli & Blanca Jiménez-García, 2023. "La evolución reciente de la inversión en España desde una perspectiva macroeconómica," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 2023/T3.
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- Christian Hoynck & Luca Rossi, 2023. "The drivers of market-based inflation expectations in the euro area and in the US," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 779, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Stefano Neri & Fabio Busetti & Cristina Conflitti & Francesco Corsello & Davide Delle Monache & Alex Tagliabracci, 2023. "Energy price shocks and inflation in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 792, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Simone Letta & Pasquale Mirante, 2023. "Investigating the determinants of corporate bond credit spreads in the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 36, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Filippo Natoli, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of temperature surprise shocks," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1407, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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- Juan Pablo Cote-Barón & Karen L. Pulido-Mahecha & Nicol Valeria Rodríguez-Rodríguez & Carlos D. Rojas-Martínez, 2023. "El ISAE: Un Indicador para Monitorear la Actividad Económica Colombiana en Alta Frecuencia," Borradores de Economia 1225, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Suleyman Kasal, 2023. "Analysing The Armey Curve Based On The Fourier Cointegration Approach For Turkey," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 68(236), pages 139-158, January –.
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"Amortized neural networks for agent-based model forecasting,"
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"The All‐Gap Phillips Curve,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(2), pages 269-282, April.
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"Is the US Phillips curve stable? Evidence from Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 287-314, January.
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- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli & Luca Sala, 2023. "The impact of financial shocks on the forecast distribution of output and inflation," Working Paper 2023/3, Norges Bank.
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"Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk,"
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- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper series 23-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
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"Oil Prices Uncertainty, Endogenous Regime Switching, and Inflation Anchoring,"
CAMA Working Papers
2023-14, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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- Yoosoon Chang & Ana Maria Herrera & Elena Pesavento, 2023. "Oil Prices Uncertainty, Endogenous Regime Switching, and Inflation Anchoring," CAEPR Working Papers 2023-002 Classification-C, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
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"Oil and the Stock Market Revisited: A Mixed Functional VAR Approach,"
CAEPR Working Papers
2023-005 Classification-1, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
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- Hilde C. Bjørnland & Yoosoon Chang & Jamie L. Cross, 2023. "Oil and the Stock Market Revisited: A Mixed Functional VAR Approach," CAMA Working Papers 2023-18, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2023.
"Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk,"
Papers
2305.09563, arXiv.org.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Papers No 06/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper series 23-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper 2023/9, Norges Bank.
- Kohns, David & Potjagailo, Galina, 2023. "Flexible Bayesian MIDAS: time‑variation, group‑shrinkage and sparsity," Bank of England working papers 1025, Bank of England.
- Stavros Degiannakis & Eleftheria Kafousaki, 2023. "Forecasting VIX: The illusion of forecast evaluation criteria," Working Papers 322, Bank of Greece.
- Akitaka Tsuchiya & Kenichi Sakura, 2023. "Recent Characteristics of Long-Term Interest Rates and Stock Prices in the United States and Europe: with a Focus on the Effects of Increased Attention to Inflation Indicators," Bank of Japan Review Series 23-E-6, Bank of Japan.
- Yui Kishaba & Tatsushi Okuda, 2023. "The Slope of the Phillips Curve for Service Prices in Japan: Regional Panel Data Approach," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 23-E-8, Bank of Japan.
- Stephanie Ettmeier, 2023. "No Taxation Without Reallocation: The Distributional Effects of Tax Changes," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2023_436, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
- Guinea Laurentiu & Puch Luis A. & Ruiz Jesús, 2023. "News-Driven Housing Booms: Spain Versus Germany," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(1), pages 95-150, January.
- Asai Manabu & So Mike K. P., 2023. "Realized BEKK-CAW Models," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 49-77, January.
- Kawakatsu Hiroyuki, 2023. "Simple Factor Realized Stochastic Volatility Models," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 79-110, January.
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- Pan Jiazhu & He Yali, 2023. "Tail behaviours of multiple-regime threshold AR models with heavy-tailed innovations," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(3), pages 377-395, June.
- Duffy, J. & Simons, J., 2023. "Cointegration without Unit Roots," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2332, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Tomas Micko & Alexander Karsay & Zuzana Mucka & Lucia Sramkova, 2023. "Closer to Finding Yeti," Working Papers Working Paper No. 1/2023, Council for Budget Responsibility.
- Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023. "Indirect Inference and Small Sample Bias - Some Recent Results," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
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- Jan Pablo Burgard & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2023.
"(Almost) Recursive Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks with Economic Parameter Restrictions,"
Working Paper Series
2023-01, University of Trier, Research Group Quantitative Finance and Risk Analysis.
- Jan Pablo Burgard & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2023. "(Almost) Recursive Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks with Economic Parameter Restrictions," CESifo Working Paper Series 10219, CESifo.
- Jan Pablo Burgard & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2023. "(Almost) Recursive Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks with Economic Parameter Restrictions," Research Papers in Economics 2023-01, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Kai Carstensen & Felix Kießner & Thies Rossian, 2023. "Estimation of the TFP Gap for the Largest Five EMU Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 10245, CESifo.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Stavroula Yfanti & Menelaos Karanasos & Jiaying Wu, 2023. "Financial Integration and European Tourism Stocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 10269, CESifo.
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"Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States,"
ifo Working Paper Series
370, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
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- Lehmann, Robert & Wikman, Ida, 2022. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States," MPRA Paper 112642, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Lehmann, 2023. "READ-GER: Introducing German Real-Time Regional Accounts Data for Revision Analysis and Nowcasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 10315, CESifo.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Nicola Spagnolo, 2023. "US Municipal Green Bonds and Financial Integration," CESifo Working Paper Series 10323, CESifo.
- Alexander Georges Gretener & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2022.
"Dynamic Mixture Vector Autoregressions with Score-Driven Weights,"
Research Papers in Economics
2022-02, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Alexander Georges Gretener & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2023. "Dynamic Mixture Vector Autoregressions with Score-Driven Weights," CESifo Working Paper Series 10366, CESifo.
- Alexander Georges Gretener & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2022. "Dynamic Mixture Vector Autoregressions with Score-Driven Weights," Working Paper Series 2022-02, University of Trier, Research Group Quantitative Finance and Risk Analysis.
- António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023.
"The effects of monetary policy surprises and fiscal sustainability regimes in the Euro Area,"
Working Papers REM
2023/0281, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
- António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023. "The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series 10558, CESifo.
- António Afonso & Eduardo de Sá Fortes Leitão Rodrigues, 2023.
"Consumption patterns of indebted households: unravelling the relevance of fiscal policy,"
Working Papers REM
2023/0282, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
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- António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023.
"Monetary policy surprises shocks under different fiscal regimes: a panel analysis of the Euro Area,"
Working Papers REM
2023/0284, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
- António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023. "Monetary Policy Surprise Shocks under Different Fiscal Regimes: A Panel Analysis of the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series 10627, CESifo.
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- Michal Franta, 2023. "The Application of Multiple-Output Quantile Regression on the US Financial Cycle," Working Papers 2023/2, Czech National Bank.
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"External Instrument SVAR Analysis for Noninvertible Shocks,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
1444, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca & Ricco, Giovanni, 2023. "External Instrument SVAR Analysis for Noninvertible Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 17886, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Giovanni Ricco, 2023. "External Instrument SVAR Analysis forNoninvertible Shocks," Working Papers 2023-03, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca & Granese, Antonio & Sala, Luca & Soccorsi, Stefano, 2023. "An American Macroeconomic Picture. Supply and Demand Shocks in the Frequency Domain," CEPR Discussion Papers 18070, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"The impact of financial shocks on the forecast distribution of output and inflation,"
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"Jointly Estimating Macroeconomic News and Surprise Shocks,"
Working Papers
2304, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
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"Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models,"
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2202.13793, arXiv.org.
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"Bayesian Local Projections,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
1348, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
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"Inference On The Dimension Of The Nonstationary Subspace In Functional Time Series,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(3), pages 443-480, June.
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- Martin Bruns & Helmut Lütkepohl, 2023. "Have the Effects of Shocks to Oil Price Expectations Changed?: Evidence from Heteroskedastic Proxy Vector Autoregressions," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2036, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Kerstin Bernoth & Helmut Herwartz & Lasse Trienens, 2023. "The Impacts of Global Risk and US Monetary Policy on US Dollar Exchange Rates and Excess Currency Returns," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2037, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Qazi Haque, 2023.
"The Long-Run Phillips Curve is ... a Curve,"
CAMA Working Papers
2023-37, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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- Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Qazi Haque, 2023. "The Long-Run Phillips Curve is ... a Curve," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2023-07 Classification-C3, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
- Francisco Serranito & Philipp RODERWEIS & Jamel Saadaoui, 2023. "Is Quantitative Easing Productive? The Role of Bank Lending in the Monetary Transmission Process," EconomiX Working Papers 2023-17, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- László KÓNYA, 2023. "Per Capita Income Convergence and Divergence of Selected OECD Countries to and from the US: A Reappraisal for the period 1900-2018," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 23(1), pages 33-56.
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- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2023. "Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees," Working Papers 23-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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"Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting,"
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- Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2023. "Business Cycles and Low-Frequency Fluctuations in the US Unemployment Rate," Working Papers 23-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Silvia Goncalves & Ana María Herrera & Lutz Kilian & Elena Pesavento, 2023. "State-Dependent Local Projections," Working Papers 2302, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
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"Jointly Estimating Macroeconomic News and Surprise Shocks,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
18201, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter, 2023. "Jointly Estimating Macroeconomic News and Surprise Shocks," Working Papers 2304, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Chiara Scotti, 2023. "Financial Shocks in an Uncertain Economy," Working Papers 2308, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Pietro Alessandrini & Òscar Jordà & Fabrizio Venditti, 2023. "Decomposing the Monetary Policy Multiplier," Working Paper Series 2023-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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"Significance Bands for Local Projections,"
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"Bad News, Good News: Coverage and Response Asymmetries,"
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- Francesco Bianchi & Giovanni Nicolo & Dongho Song, 2023. "Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2023. "Job-to-Job Mobility and Inflation," Working Paper Series WP 2023-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
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- Irene Botosaru & Raffaella Giacomini & Martin Weidner, 2023. "Forecasted Treatment Effects," Working Paper Series WP 2023-32, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Dimitris Christopoulos & Peter McAdam & Elias Tzavalis, 2023. "Threshold Endogeneity in Threshold VARs: An Application to Monetary State Dependence," Research Working Paper RWP 23-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Deniz Erdemlioglu & Christopher J. Neely & Xiye Yang, 2023. "Systemic Tail Risk: High-Frequency Measurement, Evidence and Implications," Working Papers 2023-016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
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- Kathryn Holston & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2023. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest after COVID-19," Staff Reports 1063, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Sushant Acharya & William Chen & Marco Del Negro & Keshav Dogra & Aidan Gleich & Shlok Goyal & Donggyu Lee & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Sikata Sengupta, 2023. "Estimating HANK for Central Banks," Staff Reports 1071, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Thorsten Drautzburg, 2023. "A Structural Approach to Combining External and DSGE Model Forecasts," Working Papers 23-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
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- Artur R. Sharafutdinov, 2023. "Output Gap in Russian Economy: Estimate Based on the IMF’s Multivariate Filter [Разрыв Выпуска В Российской Экономике: Оценка На Основе Многомерного Фильтра Мвф]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 4, pages 15-23, April.
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- Andrey V. Zubarev & Valeriia A. Tadei, 2023. "Testing the Presence of the Hysteresis Effect Unemployment Dynamics in Russia [Проверка Наличия Эффекта Гистерезиса В Динамике Безработицы В России]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 8, pages 12-21, August.
- Artur R. Sharafutdinov, 2023. "Разрыв Выпуска В Российской Экономике: Оценка На Основе Многомерного Фильтра Мвф," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 4, pages 15-23, April.
- Andrey V. Zubarev & Maria A. Kirillova, 2023. "Исследование Чувствительности Стран–Членов Еаэс К Внешним Шокам При Помощи Модели Gvar," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 7, pages 8-20, July.
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"Detecting Common Bubbles in Multivariate Mixed Causal–Noncausal Models,"
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"Understanding trend inflation through the lens of the goods and services sectors,"
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"The Natural Rate of Interest in a Non-linear DSGE Model,"
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"Oil and the Stock Market Revisited: A Mixed Functional VAR Approach,"
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"The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area,"
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"Consumption Patterns of Indebted Households: Unravelling the Relevance of Fiscal Policy,"
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"DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 69-111, January.
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"Environmental Policy and the CO2 Emissions Embodied in International Trade,"
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"Macroeconomic Effects of Covid-19 in a Commodity-Exporting Economy: Evidence from Mongolia,"
Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(5), pages 1323-1348, April.
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"Flexible exchange rates in emerging markets: shock absorbers or drivers of endogenous cycles?,"
Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press, vol. 32(2), pages 551-572.
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"Forecasting housing investment,"
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"Instability constraints and development traps: an empirical analysis of growth cycles and economic volatility in Latin America,"
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"Investor sentiment and multi-scale positive and negative stock market bubbles in a panel of G7 countries,"
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
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"Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails,"
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"The long-term impact of the COVID-19 unemployment shock on life expectancy and mortality rates,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
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- Sentana, Enrique & Almuzara, Martin & Fiorentini, Gabriele, 2021. "Aggregate Output Measurements: A Common Trend Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 15758, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martín Almuzara & Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2021. "Aggregate output measurements: a common trend approach," Working Paper series 21-02, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Yoonseok Lee & Donggyu Sul, 2023. "Depth-weighted Forecast Combination: Application to COVID-19 Cases," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 235-260, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Antonio Focacci, 2023. "Spillovers between non-commercial traders’ activity and spot prices? Analysis of the financialization mechanism in the crude oil market," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(2), pages 157-182, January.
- Soumya Bhadury & Satadru Das & Saurabh Ghosh & Pawan Gopalakrishnan, 2023. "Impact of crude prices shock on GDP growth: using a linear, nonlinear and extreme value framework," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(1), pages 91-103, March.
- Kingstone Nyakurukwa & Yudhvir Seetharam, 2023. "Cross-country categorical economic policy uncertainty spillovers: evidence from a conditional connectedness TVP-VAR framework," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(2), pages 164-181, February.
- Mohammad Alsharif, 2023. "Interest rate, foreign exchange and stock performance in a dual banking industry: evidence from Saudi Arabia," Journal of Money and Business, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 3(1), pages 60-73, February.
- Abhishek Poddar & Sangita Choudhary & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Arun Kumar Misra, 2023. "Interlinkages of market power, price and liquidity network in banks: evidence from an emerging economy," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(3), pages 285-315, April.
- Olivier Nataf & Lieven De Moor, 2023. "Credit risk downgrades and the CDS market: a wavelet analysis," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(3), pages 316-323, April.
2022
- Barauskaitė, Kristina & Nguyen, Anh D.M. & Rousová, Linda & Cappiello, Lorenzo, 2022. "The impact of credit supply shocks in the euro area: market-based financing versus loans," Working Paper Series 2673, European Central Bank.
- Foroni, Claudia & Furlanetto, Francesco, 2022.
"Explaining Deviations from Okun's Law,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17369, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Foroni, Claudia & Furlanetto, Francesco, 2022. "Explaining deviations from Okun’s law," Working Paper Series 2699, European Central Bank.
- Claudia Foroni & Francesco Furlanetto, 2022. "Explaining Deviations from Okun’s Law," Working Paper 2022/4, Norges Bank.
- Bandera, Nicolò & Bodnár, Katalin & Le Roux, Julien & Szörfi, Béla, 2022. "The impact of the COVID-19 shock on euro area potential output: a sectoral approach," Working Paper Series 2717, European Central Bank.
- De Santis, Roberto A. & Van der Veken, Wouter, 2022. "Deflationary financial shocks and inflationary uncertainty shocks: an SVAR Investigation," Working Paper Series 2727, European Central Bank.
- Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric & Renault, Théodore, 2022. "Risk sharing and monetary policy transmission," Working Paper Series 2746, European Central Bank.
- Glenn Abela & Tiziana Gauci & Noel Rapa, 2022. "An Analysis of The Shadow Economy in Malta: A Currency Demand and MIMIC Model Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 41-50.
- Lamia Kalai, 2022. "Time Varying Dependence in the Cryptocurrency Market and COVID 19 Panic Index: An Empirical Investigation," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 37-51, March.
- Betchani H. M. Tchereni & Ahmad Makawa & Fredrick Banda, 2022. "Effectiveness of the Asset Price Channel as a Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Malawi: Evidence from Time Series Data," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 160-168, September.
- Philly Ramoroka & Chiedza L. Muchopa, 2022. "Inter-commodity Price Transmission between Maize and Wheat in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 57-63, September.
- Albert Mbulaheni Dagume, 2022. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Macroeconomic Variables in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 1-14, November.
- Festus Victor Bekun, 2022. "Mitigating Emissions in India: Accounting for the Role of Real Income, Renewable Energy Consumption and Investment in Energy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 188-192.
- Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Olebogeng David Daw, 2022. "Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Electricity Power Generation and Economic Growth in South Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 250-257.
- Kashif Munir & Sana Nadeem, 2022. "Disaggregate Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Pakistan: A Sectoral Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 296-306.
- Lewis-Landry Gakpa & Hugues Kouassi Kouadio, 2022. "Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Energy consumption: Does Institutional Quality matter? Evidence from Cote d Ivoire," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 453-459.
- Pavlos Stamatiou, 2022. "Modeling Electricity Consumption for Growth in an Open Economy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 154-163, March.
- Aubakirova Damira & Jaxybekova Galiya Narimanovna & Yespergenova Lyazzat & Bezhan Rustamov & Alimshan Faizulayev & Festus Victor Bekun, 2022. "Competition Determinants of Eurasian Economic Union Oil and Gas Companies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 336-341, March.
- Hlalefang Khobai & Katlego Sithole, 2022. "The Relationship between Economic Growth and Carbon Emissions in South Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 516-525, March.
- M. Tamilselvan & Srinivasan Palamalai & Magesh Kumar & Bipasha Maity & Nidhi Agrawal, 2022. "Electricity Demand and CO Emissions during the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Case of India," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 161-169, May.
- Ivan Aleksandrovich Kopytin & Alexander Oskarovich Maslennikov & Stanislav Vyacheslavovich Zhukov, 2022. "Europe in World Natural Gas Market: International Transmission of European Price Shocks," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 8-15, May.
- Le Thanh Ha & Nguyen Thi Thanh Huyen, 2022. "Dynamic Connectedness between Renewable and Nonrenewable Energy Consumptions, Economic Growth and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Vietnam: Extension of the TVP-VAR Joint Connected Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 361-372, May.
- Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Olebogeng David Daw, 2022. "Testing Environmental Kuznets Curve Hold in South Africa: An Econometric Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 385-394, May.
- Dinmukhamed Kelesbayev & Kundyz Myrzabekkyzy & Artur Bolganbayev & Sabit Baimaganbetov, 2022. "The Effects of the Oil Price Shock on Inflation: The Case of Kazakhstan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 477-481, May.
- Tayyab Raza Fraz, 2022. "Exploring the Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Lower Middle and High Income Economies using Panel data Techniques," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 50-56, May.
- Bharat Kumar Meher & Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar & Santosh Kumar & Abhishek Kumar Gupta, 2022. "Modelling Market Indices, Commodity Market Prices and Stock Prices of Energy Sector using VAR with Variance Decomposition Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(4), pages 122-130, July.
- Teles Huo & Miguel St. Aubyn, 2022. "Electricity, Exergy and Economic Growth in Mozambique," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(4), pages 439-446, July.
- Koushik Mandal & Radhika Prosad Datta, 2022. "Analysing Time-frequency Relationship between Oil price and Sectoral Indices in India using Wavelet Techniques," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 192-201, September.
- Erdal Dursun, 2022. "The Nexus among Civil Aviation, Energy Performance Efficiency and GDP in terms of Ecological Footprint: Evidence from France and Finland," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 243-251, September.
- Shahi Md. Tanvir Alam, 2022. "Renewable Energy (Solar and Wind) Generation and its Effect on some Variables for Selected EU Countries with Panel VAR Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 303-310, September.
- Evelyn Nwamaka Ogbeide-Osaretin & Bright Orhewere & Oseremen Ebhote & Sadiq Oshoke Akhor & Israel. O. Imide, 2022. "Climate Change, Poverty and Income Inequality Linkage: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 332-341, September.
- Abdimalik Ali Warsame, 2022. "Does Oil Price Affect the Economic Growth in Somalia Asymmetrically?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 47-54, September.
- Erman Arif & Dodi Devianto & Mutia Yollanda & Afrimayani Afrimayani, 2022. "Analysis of Precious Metal Price Movements Using Long Memory Model and Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 202-214, November.
- Tumelo Mmutle & Olebogeng David Daw & Hlalefang Khobai, 2022. "Effects of Energy Pricing on the Mining Sector Performance in South Africa: An Econometric Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 283-292, November.
- Javid Suleymanli & Ilkin Mammadov & Fariz Ahmadov & Tabriz Aliyev, 2022. "Investigation of the Relationship Between Fuel Prices and Fuel Consumption in Turkey," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 473-480, November.
- Manivannan Babu & A. Antony Lourdesraj & C. Hariharan & Gayathri Jayapal & G. Indhumathi & J. Sathya & Chinnadurai Kathiravan, 2022. "Dynamics of Volatility Spillover between Energy and Environmental, Social and Sustainable Indices," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 50-55, November.
- Mohammad Khajehzadeh & Farhad Pazhuheian & Farima Seifi & Rassoul Noorossana & Ali Asli & Niloufar Saeedi, 2022. "Analysis of Factors Affecting Product Sales with an Outlook toward Sale Forecasting in Cosmetic Industry using Statistical Methods," International Review of Management and Marketing, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 55-63, November.
- Wichitaksorn, Nuttanan, 2022. "Analyzing and forecasting Thai macroeconomic data using mixed-frequency approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Guo, Junjie & Li, Youshu & Shao, Qinglong, 2022. "Cross-category spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty between China and the US: Time and frequency evidence," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Rath, Badri Narayan & Syarifuddin, Ferry, 2022. "Understanding the role of trade agreements in Indonesia’s FDI," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Renzhi, Nuobu, 2022. "Do house prices play a role in unconventional monetary policy transmission in Japan?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Liu, Dandan & Wang, Qiaoyu & Yan, Karen Xueqing, 2022. "Oil supply news shock and Chinese economy," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Bruns, Martin & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 2022.
"Comparison of local projection estimators for proxy vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Martin Bruns & Helmut Lütkepohl, 2021. "Comparison of Local Projection Estimators for Proxy Vector Autoregressions," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1949, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Martin Bruns & Helmut Luetkepohl, 2021. "Comparison of Local Projection Estimators for Proxy Vector Autoregressions," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2021-04, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- Panovska, Irina & Ramamurthy, Srikanth, 2022. "Decomposing the output gap with inflation learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Karamysheva, Madina & Skrobotov, Anton, 2022. "Do we reject restrictions identifying fiscal shocks? identification based on non-Gaussian innovations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
- Fève, Patrick & Moura, Alban & Pierrard, Olivier, 2022.
"The fall in shadow banking and the slow U.S. recovery,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Fève, Patrick & Moura, Alban & Pierrard, Olivier, 2019. "Shadow Banking and the Great Recession: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model," TSE Working Papers 19-996, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Patrick Feve, 2019. "Shadow Banking and the Great Recession," 2019 Meeting Papers 199, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Patrick Fève & Alban Moura & Olivier Pierrard, 2019. "Shadow banking and the Great Recession: Evidence from an estimated DSGE model," BCL working papers 125, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
- Zema, Sebastiano Michele, 2022. "Directed acyclic graph based information shares for price discovery," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes & Wang, Shu, 2022. "Proxy SVAR identification of monetary policy shocks - Monte Carlo evidence and insights for the US," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022.
"Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020. "Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Güntner, Jochen & Öhlinger, Peter, 2022.
"Oil price shocks and the hedging benefit of airline investments,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Jochen Güntnher & Peter Öhlinger, 2021. "Oil Price Shocks and the Hedging Benefit of Airline Investments," Economics working papers 2021-14, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
- Moneta, Alessio & Pallante, Gianluca, 2022.
"Identification of Structural VAR Models via Independent Component Analysis: A Performance Evaluation Study,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Alessio Moneta & Gianluca Pallante, 2020. "Identification of Structural VAR Models via Independent Component Analysis: A Performance Evaluation Study," LEM Papers Series 2020/24, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Lee, Chi-Chuan & Tang, Huayun & Li, Ding, 2022. "The roles of oil shocks and geopolitical uncertainties on China’s green bond returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 494-505.
- Baek, Jungho, 2022. "Does COVID-19 play any role in the asymmetric relationship between oil prices and exchange rates? Evidence from South Korea," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 553-559.
- Long, Shaobo & Zhang, Rui, 2022. "The asymmetric effects of international oil prices, oil price uncertainty and income on urban residents’ consumption in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 789-805.
- Balakumar, Suganya & Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Do oil price shocks have any implications for stock return momentum?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 637-663.
- Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2022. "A connectedness analysis among BRICS’s geopolitical risks and the US macroeconomy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 182-203.
- Rosenkranz, Peter & Melchor, Monica, 2022. "Asia’s financial interconnectedness: Evolution, implications, and insights from past crises," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 685-707.
- Baek, Jungho & Yoon, Jee Hee, 2022. "Do macroeconomic activities respond differently to oil price shocks? New evidence from Indonesia," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 852-862.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Kusin, Vladimir & Salish, Nazarii, 2022. "Testing for no cointegration in vector autoregressions with estimated degree of fractional integration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- De, Kuhelika & Compton, Ryan A. & Giedeman, Daniel C., 2022. "Oil shocks and the U.S. economy in a data-rich model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Houari, Oussama, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and business cycles in the US: New insights from the last three decades," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- André, Christophe & Caraiani, Petre & Călin, Adrian Cantemir & Gupta, Rangan, 2022.
"Can monetary policy lean against housing bubbles?,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Christophe André & Petre Caraiani & Adrian Cantemir Čalin & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Can Monetary Policy Lean against Housing Bubbles?," Working Papers 201877, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Eksi, Ozan & Onur Tas, Bedri Kamil, 2022. "Time-varying effect of uncertainty shocks on unemployment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Liu, Zhenhua & Zhang, Huiying & Ding, Zhihua & Lv, Tao & Wang, Xu & Wang, Deqing, 2022. "When are the effects of economic policy uncertainty on oil–stock correlations larger? Evidence from a regime-switching analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Büyükbaşaran, Tayyar & Karasoy-Can, Gökçe & Küçük, Hande, 2022. "Macroeconomic effects of bank lending in an emerging economy: Evidence from Turkey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Sungurtekin Hallam, Bahar, 2022. "Emerging market responses to external shocks: A cross-country analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Jia, Yanyan & Fang, Yi & Jing, Zhongbo & Lin, Faqin, 2022. "Price connectedness and input–output linkages: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Barbieri Góes, Maria Cristina & Deleidi, Matteo, 2022. "Output determination and autonomous demand multipliers: An empirical investigation for the US economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Song, Feng & Cui, Jian & Yu, Yihua, 2022. "Dynamic volatility spillover effects between wind and solar power generations: Implications for hedging strategies and a sustainable power sector," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Yildirim, Zekeriya, 2022. "Global financial risk, the risk-taking channel, and monetary policy in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Jiang, Kunliang & Ye, Wuyi, 2022. "Does the asymmetric dependence volatility affect risk spillovers between the crude oil market and BRICS stock markets?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Alomari, Mohammad & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & Ur Rehman, Mobeen & Power, David M., 2022. "Infectious diseases tracking and sectoral stock market returns: A quantile regression analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Jian, Zhihong & Li, Xupei & Zhu, Zhican, 2022. "Extreme risk transmission channels between the stock index futures and spot markets: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2022.
"Evolving United States stock market volatility: The role of conventional and unconventional monetary policies,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin & Zhang, Huanming, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and renminbi exchange rate volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
- Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, investor sentiment, and global equity markets: Evidence from the time-frequency co-movements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Karikari, Nana Kwasi & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2022. "The outbreak of COVID-19 and stock market liquidity: Evidence from emerging and developed equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Yang, Cai & Wang, Xinyi & Gao, Wang, 2022. "Is Bitcoin a better hedging and safe-haven investment than traditional assets against currencies? Evidence from the time-frequency domain approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Shi, Ruoshi & Zhao, Yanlong & Bao, Ying & Peng, Cheng, 2022. "Sensitivity-based Conditional Value at Risk (SCVaR): An efficient measurement of credit exposure for options," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Xu, Ke & Stewart, Kenneth G. & Cao, Zeyang, 2022. "Fractional cointegration and price discovery in Canadian commodities," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "The macroeconomic impact of economic uncertainty and financial shocks under low and high financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Chen, Ji & Yang, Xinglin & Liu, Xiliang, 2022. "Learning, disagreement and inflation forecasting," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Qi, Xiaohong & Zhang, Guofu, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness of China’s green bonds and asset classes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Qiao, Xingzhi & Zhu, Huiming & Zhang, Zhongqingyang & Mao, Weifang, 2022. "Time-frequency transmission mechanism of EPU, investor sentiment and financial assets: A multiscale TVP-VAR connectedness analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Zhang, Haozhe, 2022. "Equity clusters through the lens of realized semicorrelations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
- Kerssenfischer, Mark, 2022. "Information effects of euro area monetary policy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
- Just, Małgorzata & Echaust, Krzysztof, 2022. "Dynamic spillover transmission in agricultural commodity markets: What has changed after the COVID-19 threat?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
- Bandi, Federico M. & Renò, Roberto, 2022. "β in the tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 134-150.
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"Identification of structural multivariate GARCH models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 212-227.
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"Robust Bayesian inference in proxy SVARs,"
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"Joint Bayesian inference about impulse responses in VAR models,"
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"International information flows, sentiments, and cross‐country business cycle fluctuations,"
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"Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices,"
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"Dynamic Identification Using System Projections and Instrumental Variables,"
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"When Do State-Dependent Local Projections Work?,"
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"Tail Forecasting With Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees,"
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"External Instrument SVAR Analysis for Noninvertible Shocks,"
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"Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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"Score-driven threshold ice-age models: Benchmark models for long-run climate forecasts,"
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"News-driven housing booms: Spain vs. Germany,"
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"Heteroskedastic Proxy Vector Autoregressions: Testing for Time-Varying Impulse Responses in the Presence of Multiple Proxies,"
University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series
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"Not all political relation shocks are alike: Assessing the impacts of US–China tensions on the oil market,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
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"Striking a bargain: narrative identification of wage bargaining shocks,"
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"Is the effect of public debt on inflation symmetric or asymmetric? Evidence from the Gambia,"
Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 41-57, June.
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"Financial development and economic growth in Botswana: New evidence from disaggregated data,"
Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 8(2), pages 1-17, December.
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"Assessing Residual Seasonality in the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts Aggregates,"
Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 38(2), pages 399-428, June.
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"Macro‐Finance Decoupling: Robust Evaluations of Macro Asset Pricing Models,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(2), pages 685-713, March.
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"On the transmission mechanism of Asia‐Pacific yield curve characteristics,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 473-488, January.
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"The predictive power of the term spread on inequality in the United Kingdom: An empirical analysis,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1979-1988, April.
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"Aggregate consumption and wealth in the long run: The impact of financial liberalization,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 161-186, January.
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"Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 23-41, January.
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"The economics of state fragmentation: Assessing the economic impact of secession,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 82-115, January.
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"Dynamic treatment effects of job training,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 242-269, March.
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"Commodity prices and inflation risk,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 392-414, March.
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"Contagious switching,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 415-432, March.
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"The global component of inflation volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 700-721, June.
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"Optimal forecast under structural breaks,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 965-987, August.
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"Uncertainty and predictability of real housing returns in the United Kingdom: A regional analysis,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1525-1556, November.
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"The role of investor sentiment in forecasting housing returns in China: A machine learning approach,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1725-1740, December.
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"Business Cycles across Space and Time,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(4), pages 921-952, June.
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"Uncertainty measures from partially rounded probabilistic forecast surveys,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 979-1022, July.
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"External Instrument SVAR Analysis for Noninvertible Shocks,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
1444, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
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"Detecting And Measuring Financial Cycles In Heterogeneous Agents Models: An Empirical Analysis,"
Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 25(02n03), pages 1-22, March.
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"Identifying structural shocks to volatility through a proxy-MGARCH model,"
Economics Working Paper Series
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- Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Cekin & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Real-Time Forecast of DSGE Models with Time-Varying Volatility in GARCH Form," Working Papers 202204, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Testing the forecasting power of global economic conditions for the volatility of international REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS approach,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 303-314.
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- Juncal Cunado & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2022. "On the Propagation Mechanism of International Real Interest Rate Spillovers: Evidence from More than 200 Years of Data," Working Papers 202212, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Imran Yousaf & Vasilios Plakandaras & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Hedge and Safe Haven Properties of Gold, US Treasury, Bitcoin, and Dollar/CHF against the FAANA Companies and S&P 500," Working Papers 202227, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Petre Caraiani & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Bubbles in G7 Economies: Evidence from a Panel VAR Approach," Working Papers 202230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility Revisited: The Predictive Role of Signal Quality," Working Papers 202232, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Xolani Sibande & Riza Demirer & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "On the Pricing Effects of Bitcoin Mining in the Fossil Fuel Market: The Case of Coal," Working Papers 202239, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Do Climate Risks Predict US Housing Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Quantiles-Based Approach," Working Papers 202240, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Mark E. Wohar, 2022. "Is Real Interest Rate a Monetary Phenomenon in Advanced Economies? Time-Varying Evidence from Over 700 Years of Data," Working Papers 202245, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Wenting Liao & Jun Ma, 2022. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of the Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions of the United States," Working Papers 202251, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- van Eyden, Reneé & Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Bouri, Elie, 2023.
"Investor sentiment and multi-scale positive and negative stock market bubbles in a panel of G7 countries,"
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
- Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Joshua Nielsen & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Stock Market Bubbles in a Panel of G7 Countries," Working Papers 202256, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Jiawen Luo & Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting Multivariate Volatilities with Exogenous Predictors: An Application to Industry Diversification Strategies," Working Papers 202258, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Full-Information Estimation of Heterogeneous Agent Models Using Macro and Micro Data,"
CAEPR Working Papers
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"The All‐Gap Phillips Curve,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(2), pages 269-282, April.
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- Matthew Read, 2022. "Estimating the Effects of Monetary Policy in Australia Using Sign-restricted Structural Vector Autoregressions," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2022-09, Reserve Bank of Australia.
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"Indeterminacy and Imperfect Information,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 37-57, July.
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"Indeterminacy and Imperfect Information,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 37-57, July.
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"What Drives Inventory Accumulation? News on Rates of Return and Marginal Costs,"
Carleton Economic Papers
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"On the identification of the oil-stock market relationship,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
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"Impacts of social distancing policy and vaccination during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Republic of Korea,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
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"Macroeconomic Effects of Covid-19 in a Commodity-Exporting Economy: Evidence from Mongolia,"
Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(5), pages 1323-1348, April.
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- Lycheva, Maria & Mironenkov, Alexey & Kurbatskii, Alexey & Fantazzini, Dean, 2022.
"Forecasting oil prices with penalized regressions, variance risk premia and Google data,"
Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 68, pages 28-49.
- Fantazzini, Dean & Kurbatskii, Alexey & Mironenkov, Alexey & Lycheva, Maria, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices with penalized regressions, variance risk premia and Google data," MPRA Paper 118239, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kardaslar, Ahmet, 2022. "The Impact of Economic Growth, Energy Consumption and Globalization on Ecological Footprint: The Case of Turkey (Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi ve Küreselleşme Sürecinin Ekolojik Ayak İzi Üzerindeki," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 13(3), pages 385-401, July.
- Kardaslar, Ahmet, 2022. "The Impact of Economic Growth, Energy Consumption and Globalization on Ecological Footprint: The Case of Turkey (Ekonomik Büyüme, Enerji Tüketimi ve Küreselleşme Sürecinin Ekolojik Ayak İzi Üzerindeki," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 13(3), pages 385-401, July.
- A. Abdulhakeem, Kilishi, 2022. "Modeling with Time Series: Issues and Common Errors," Working Papers 24, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin.
- Saungweme, Talknice & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2022.
"Does Public Debt Granger-Cause Inflation in Tanzania? A Multivariate Analysis,"
Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 75(1), pages 75-100.
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- Santander Quino, Camila Miriam, 2022. "Ciclos económicos y financieros: Una aproximación empírica para Bolivia," Documentos de trabajo 1/2022, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
- Rodríguez Benavides, Domingo & Ceballos Minare, Owen Eli, 2022. "Clubes de convergencia regional en Colombia 2000-2016: un análisis flexible por departamentos," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 53, pages 47-65.
- Rodríguez Benavides, Domingo & Mendoza González, Miguel Ángel & Muller Durán, Nancy Ivonne, 2022. "Convergencia regional sigma débil en México: 1970-2019," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 54, pages 29-49.
- Falzon, Joseph & Bonnici, Elaine, 2022. "Does it pay to be a faithful investor? A risk-based approach performance analysis of Islamic funds vs UCITS schemes," Islamic Economic Studies, The Islamic Research and Training Institute (IRTI), vol. 29, pages 100-118.
- Taifeh Jabbari, Roghayeh & Mohammadi, Teymour & Bahrami, Javid, 2022. "The Implications of Fiscal Policy with Rule-of-thumb Consumers in the New keynesian Framework in Iran: A DSGE Model Approach," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 9(1), pages 27-56, June.
- Ivanovski, Zoran & Ivanovska, Nadica & Korunovska, Vesna, 2022. "Engle & Granger Cointegration Test For Gdp And Public Consumption In The Republic Of North Macedonia," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 13(2), pages 221-235.
- Abdul RASHID & Aamir JAVED & Zainab JEHAN & Uzma IQBAL, 2022. "Time-Varying Impacts of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market Returns and Volatility : Evidence from Pakistan," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 144-166, October.
- Kuznetsova, Mariya (Кузнецова, Мария) & Sinelnikova-Muryleva, Elena (Синельникова-Мурылева, Елена) & Shilov, Kirill (Шилов, Кирилл), 2022. "Factor models of cryptocurrency return within homogeneous groups [Факторные Модели Доходности Однородных Групп Криптовалют]," Working Papers w20220112, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Dobronravova, Elizaveta (Добронравова, Елизавета) & Kolesnik, Sofiya (Колесник, София) & Orekhov, Mikhail (Орехов, Михаил) & Chembulatova, Mariya (Чембулатова, Мария), 2022. "Analysis On Monetary Policy Coordination In Eurasian Economic Union [Анализ Механизмов Координации Денежно-Кредитной Политики В Рамках Евразийского Экономического Союза]," Working Papers w20220205, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
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- Giuseppe Ciccarone & Francesco Giuli, 2022. "Undesired monetary policy effects in a bubbly economy," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0270, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
- Alessandro Casini, 2022. "Theory of Evolutionary Spectra for Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Robust Inference in Possibly Misspecified and Nonstationary Models," CEIS Research Paper 539, Tor Vergata University, CEIS.
- Steven F. Koch, 2021.
"Equivalence Scales with Endogeneity and Base Independence,"
Working Papers
202185, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Steven F. Koch, 2022. "Equivalence scales with endogeneity and base independence," Working Papers 874, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Sudeshna Ghosh, 2022. "Female Entrepreneurs in the Hospitality Industry: A Panel Causality Analysis of EU Countries," Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice, , vol. 21(1), pages 93-116, June.
- Tanveer Ahmad Khan, 2022. "Current and Capital Account Dynamics in India: An Empirical Analysis of the Post-Reform Period," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 57(1), pages 41-65, February.
- Anuradha Patnaik, 2022. "Measuring Demand and Supply Shocks From COVID-19: An Industry-Level Analysis for India," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 16(1), pages 76-105, February.
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- Praveen Tiwari & Javaid Akhter & Saumen Chattopadhyay, 2022. "Illicit Financial Flows through Trade Mis-Invoicing in India: An Empirical Analysis of the Major Commodities Involved in Mis-Invoicing," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 11(2), pages 185-216, December.
- Jiøí Witzany & Martin Diviš, 2022. "Interest Rate Sensitivity of Savings Accounts," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 70(4), pages 349-367, April.
- Ishita Ghoshal, 2022. "Cost-Push and Demand-Pull Inflation in India ? A Frequency Domain Analysis," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 13015641, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
- Adam Pigoń & Michał Ramsza, 2022. "A Comparison of German, Swiss, and Polish Fiscal Rules Using Monte Carlo Simulations," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 17-41.
- Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2022. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," Working Papers 2022-078, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
- Chang, Juin-Jen & Kuo, Chun-Hung & Lin, Hsieh-Yu & Yang, Shu-Chun S., 2023.
"Share buybacks and corporate tax cuts,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Juin-Jen Chang & Chun-Hung Kuo & Hsieh-Yu Lin & Shu-Chun S. Yang, 2022. "Share Buybacks and Corporate Tax Cuts," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 22-A005, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
- Martin Indergand & Eric Jondeau & Andreas Fuster, 2022.
"Measuring and Stress-Testing Market-Implied Bank Capital,"
Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series
22-11, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Martin Indergand & Eric Jondeau & Andreas Fuster, 2022. "Measuring and stress-testing market-implied bank capital," Working Papers 2022-02, Swiss National Bank.
- Jilong Chen & Christian Ewald & Ruolan Ouyang & Sjur Westgaard & Xiaoxia Xiao, 2022. "Pricing commodity futures and determining risk premia in a three factor model with stochastic volatility: the case of Brent crude oil," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 29-46, June.
- Hachmi Ben Ameur & Waël Louhichi, 2022. "The Brexit impact on European market co-movements," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1387-1403, June.
- Wafa Miled & Zied Ftiti & Jean-Michel Sahut, 2022. "Spatial contagion between financial markets: new evidence of asymmetric measures," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1183-1220, June.
- Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Sangram Keshari Jena & Satish Kumar & Erik Hille, 2022. "Is oil price risk systemic to sectoral equity markets of an oil importing country? Evidence from a dependence-switching copula delta CoVaR approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 315(1), pages 429-461, August.
- Faruk Balli & Hatice Ozer Balli & Mudassar Hasan & Russell Gregory-Allen, 2022. "Geopolitical risk spillovers and its determinants," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 68(2), pages 463-500, April.
- Hiroaki Hata & Nien-Lin Liu & Kazuhiro Yasuda, 2022. "Expressions of forward starting option price in Hull–White stochastic volatility model," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 45(1), pages 101-135, June.
- Charl Maree & Christian W. Omlin, 2022. "Reinforcement learning with intrinsic affinity for personalized prosperity management," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 241-262, September.
- Lixiong Yang, 2022. "Threshold mixed data sampling (TMIDAS) regression models with an application to GDP forecast errors," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 533-551, February.
- Atanu Ghoshray & Issam Malki & Javier Ordóñez, 2022. "On the long-run dynamics of income and wealth inequality," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 375-408, February.
- Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto, 2022.
"The great moderation: updated evidence with joint tests for multiple structural changes in variance and persistence,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1193-1218, March.
- Perron, Pierre & Yamamoto, Yohei & 山本, 庸平, 2019. "The Great Moderation: Updated Evidence with Joint Tests for Multiple Structural Changes in Variance and Persistence," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-90, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto, 2020. "The Great Moderation: Updated Evidence with Joint Tests for Multiple Structural Changes in Variance and Persistence," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2020-008, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Binh Thai Pham & Hector Sala, 2022.
"Cross-country connectedness in inflation and unemployment: measurement and macroeconomic consequences,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1123-1146, March.
- Pham, Binh Thai & Sala, Hector, 2021. "Cross-Country Connectedness in Inflation and Unemployment: Measurement and Macroeconomic Consequences," IZA Discussion Papers 14212, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Are exports and imports of India’s trading partners cointegrated? Evidence from Fourier bootstrap ARDL procedure," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1177-1191, March.
- Hiroyuki Kawakatsu, 2022. "Local projection variance impulse response," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1219-1244, March.
- Magnus Kvåle Helliesen & Håvard Hungnes & Terje Skjerpen, 2022.
"Revisions in the Norwegian National Accounts: accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency in preliminary figures,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1079-1121, March.
- Magnus Kvåle Helliesen & Håvard Hungnes & Terje Skjerpen, 2020. "Revisions in the Norwegian National Accounts. Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency in preliminary figures," Discussion Papers 924, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- Tomoo Inoue & Tatsuyoshi Okimoto, 2022. "How does unconventional monetary policy affect the global financial markets?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1013-1036, March.
- Guillermo Avellán & Manuel González-Astudillo & Juan José Salcedo Cruz, 2022. "Measuring uncertainty: A streamlined application for the Ecuadorian economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1517-1542, April.
- Julia Kielmann & Hans Manner & Aleksey Min, 2022. "Stock market returns and oil price shocks: A CoVaR analysis based on dynamic vine copula models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1543-1574, April.
- Yimiao Gu & Zhenxi Chen & Qingyang Gu, 2022. "Determinants and international influences of the Chinese freight market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2601-2618, May.
- Dooyeon Cho & Seunghwa Rho, 2022. "On asymmetric volatility effects in currency markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2149-2177, May.
- Manuel González-Astudillo & John M. Roberts, 2022. "When are trend–cycle decompositions of GDP reliable?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2417-2460, May.
- Francesca Di Iorio & Stefano Fachin, 2022.
"Fiscal reaction functions for the advanced economies revisited,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2865-2891, June.
- Francesca Di Iorio & Stefano Fachin, 2019. "Fiscal reaction functions for the advanced economies revisited," DSS Empirical Economics and Econometrics Working Papers Series 2019/1, Centre for Empirical Economics and Econometrics, Department of Statistics, "Sapienza" University of Rome.
- Rabeya Khatoon & Md Emran Hasan & Md Wahid Ferdous Ibon & Shahidul Islam & Jeenat Mehareen & Rubaiya Murshed & Md Nahid Ferdous Pabon & Md. Jillur Rahman & Musharrat Shabnam Shuchi, 2022. "Aggregation, asymmetry, and common factors for Bangladesh’s exchange rate–trade balance relation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2739-2770, June.
- Ata Assaf & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Khaled Mokni, 2022. "True or spurious long memory in the cryptocurrency markets: evidence from a multivariate test and other Whittle estimation methods," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1543-1570, September.
- Raisul Islam & Vladimir Volkov, 2022. "Contagion or interdependence? Comparing spillover indices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1403-1455, September.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022.
"Exchange rate parities and Taylor rule deviations,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1809-1835, October.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2021. "Exchange Rate Parities and Taylor Rule Deviations," CESifo Working Paper Series 8961, CESifo.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir & Gurcan Aygun & Mark E. Wohar, 2022. "Effectiveness of monetary policy under the high and low economic uncertainty states: evidence from the major Asian economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1741-1769, October.
- Michele Costola & Michael Donadelli & Luca Gerotto & Ivan Gufler, 2022. "Global risks, the macroeconomy, and asset prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2357-2388, November.
- Bright Akwasi Gyamfi & Festus Victor Bekun & Daniel Balsalobre-Lorente & Stephen Taiwo ONIFADE & Asiedu Benjamin Ampomah, 2022. "Beyond the environmental Kuznets curve: Do combined impacts of air transport and rail transport matter for environmental sustainability amidst energy use in E7 economies?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(10), pages 11852-11870, October.
- Muhammad Zahid Rafique & Abdul Majeed Nadeem & Wanjun Xia & Majid Ikram & Hafiz Muhammad Shoaib & Umer Shahzad, 2022. "Does economic complexity matter for environmental sustainability? Using ecological footprint as an indicator," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 4623-4640, April.
- Resul Aydemir & Huzeyfe Zahit Atan & Bulent Guloglu, 2022. "How do the global equity and bond markets affect Islamic and conventional banks? A comparative cross-country analysis using multivariate regression quantiles," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(1), pages 95-114, March.
- Amine Ben Amar, 2022. "On the role of Islamic banks in the monetary policy transmission in Saudi Arabia," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(1), pages 55-94, March.
- Walid Chkili, 2022. "The links between gold, oil prices and Islamic stock markets in a regime switching environment," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(1), pages 169-186, March.
- Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Muhammad Arif & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "Liquidity connectedness in cryptocurrency market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-25, December.
- Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Can news-based economic sentiment predict bubbles in precious metal markets?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-29, December.
- Heni Boubaker & Bassem Saidane & Mouna Ben Saad Zorgati, 2022. "Modelling the dynamics of stock market in the gulf cooperation council countries: evidence on persistence to shocks," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-22, December.
- Bakhtiar Javaheri & Fateh habibi & Ramin Amani, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and the US stock market trading: non-ARDL evidence," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, December.
- Linus Nyiwul & Niraj P. Koirala, 2022. "Role of foreign direct investments in agriculture, forestry and fishing in developing countries," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, December.
- Merve Osmanbeyoglu & Nukhet Dogan & M. Hakan Berument, 2022. "Exchange rate regime, world oil prices and the Mexican economy," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 159-178, February.
- Archana Kulkarni, 2022. "An Assessment of India’s Current Account Sustainability and Adjustment: A Nonlinear Framework," India Studies in Business and Economics, in: Naoyuki Yoshino & Rajendra N. Paramanik & Anoop S. Kumar (ed.), Studies in International Economics and Finance, pages 327-345, Springer.
- Avishek Bhandari & Ata Assaf & Rajendra N. Paramanik, 2022. "Long Memory and Correlation Structures of Select Stock Returns Using Novel Wavelet and Fractal Connectivity Networks," India Studies in Business and Economics, in: Naoyuki Yoshino & Rajendra N. Paramanik & Anoop S. Kumar (ed.), Studies in International Economics and Finance, pages 599-616, Springer.
- Moumita Paul & Kalluru Siva Reddy, 2022. "Impact of US UMP on Indian Stock Market," India Studies in Business and Economics, in: Naoyuki Yoshino & Rajendra N. Paramanik & Anoop S. Kumar (ed.), Studies in International Economics and Finance, pages 647-662, Springer.
- João Martins, 2022. "Bond Yields Movement Similarities and Synchronization in the G7: A Time–Frequency Analysis," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(2), pages 189-214, July.
- Siab Mamipour & Sanaz Yazdani & Elmira Sepehri, 2022. "Examining the spillover effects of volatile oil prices on Iran’s stock market using wavelet-based multivariate GARCH model," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(4), pages 785-801, October.
- Abdullahi Musa & Afees A. Salisu & Saleh Abulbashar & Chinecherem D. Okoronkwo, 2022. "Oil price uncertainty and real exchange rate in a global VAR framework: a note," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(4), pages 704-712, October.
- Seyed Alireza Athari & Ngo Thai Hung, 2022. "Time–frequency return co-movement among asset classes around the COVID-19 outbreak: portfolio implications," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(4), pages 736-756, October.
- Dimitrios Kartsonakis-Mademlis & Nikolaos Dritsakis, 2022. "Asymmetric volatility transmission in Japanese stock market in the presence of structural breaks," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 73(4), pages 647-677, October.
- Panagiotis Palaios & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2022. "Oil prices, labour market adjustment and dynamic quantile connectedness analysis: evidence from Greece during the crisis," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Kamel Helali, 2022. "Markov Switching-Vector AutoRegression Model Analysis of the Economic and Growth Cycles in Tunisia and Its Main European Partners," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(1), pages 656-686, March.
- Marianna Epicoco & Magali Jaoul-Grammare & Anne Plunket, 2022.
"Radical technologies, recombinant novelty and productivity growth: a cliometric approach,"
Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 673-711, April.
- Marianna Epicoco & Magali Jaoul-Grammare & Anne Plunket, 2022. "Radical technologies, recombinant novelty and productivity growth: a cliometric approach," Post-Print halshs-03765637, HAL.
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- Dennis Wesselbaum, 2022.
"Cheap Talk in a New Keynesian Model,"
Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(3), pages 661-691, September.
- Dennis Wesselbaum, 2016. "Cheap Talk in a New Keynesian Model," Working Papers 1604, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2016.
- Abdurrahman Nazif Çatik & Mehmet Karaçuka & A. Özlem Önder, 2022. "The Time-Varying Impact of External Shocks on the Consumer Price Components: Evidence from an Emerging Market," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(4), pages 781-807, December.
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- Martin Stuermer, 2022.
"Non-renewable resource extraction over the long term: empirical evidence from global copper production,"
Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 35(3), pages 617-625, December.
- Stuermer, Martin, 2022. "Non-Renewable Resource Extraction over the Long Term: Empirical Evidence from Global Copper Production," MPRA Paper 114767, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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"On the stationarity of futures hedge ratios,"
Operational Research, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 2281-2303, July.
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"Moment tests of independent components,"
SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 429-474, May.
- Dante Amengual & Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2021. "Moment tests of independent components," Working Papers wp2021_2102, CEMFI.
- Karen Miranda & Pilar Poncela & Esther Ruiz, 2022. "Dynamic factor models: Does the specification matter?," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 397-428, May.
- María Dolores Gadea Rivas & Jesús Gonzalo, 2022. "A tale of three cities: climate heterogeneity," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 475-511, May.
- Ana González-Urteaga & Belén Nieto & Gonzalo Rubio, 2022. "Spillover dynamics effects between risk-neutral equity and Treasury volatilities," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 663-708, December.
- Eliphas Ndou, 2022. "The exchange rate passthrough to consumer price inflation in South Africa: has the inflation target band induced a structural change in the size of passthrough?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(6), pages 1-32, June.
- Eliphas Ndou, 2022. "Exchange rate changes on export volumes in South Africa under the inflation targeting period," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(6), pages 1-25, June.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Ojonugwa Usman & David Roubaud, 2022. "How Do Energy Market Shocks Affect Economic Activity in the US Under Changing Financial Conditions?," Springer Books, in: Christos Floros & Ioannis Chatziantoniou (ed.), Applications in Energy Finance, chapter 0, pages 85-114, Springer.
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- Mitch Kunce, 2022. "A 'Natural' Suicide Rate, Hysteresis or Suicide Persistence? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Panel Data, 1980-2020," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 11(2), pages 1-2.
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"Decomposition of bank loans and economic activity in TURKEY,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(3), pages 249-279, January.
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"Time-varying cointegration and the Kalman filter,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(1), pages 1-21, January.
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"Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Housing Prices in the United States: The Role of Sentiment,"
Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 241-261, July.
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"Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 328-341, January.
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"Adaptive Testing for Cointegration With Nonstationary Volatility,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 744-755, April.
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"Heteroscedastic Proxy Vector Autoregressions,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 1268-1281, June.
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"Comment on Giacomini, Kitagawa, and Read’s “Narrative Restrictions and Proxies”,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 1429-1433, October.
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"Asymptotically Valid Bootstrap Inference for Proxy SVARs,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 1876-1891, October.
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"Do non-performing loans matter for bank lending and the business cycle in euro area countries?,"
Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 1050-1080, December.
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"Common and idiosyncratic components of Latin American business cycles connectedness,"
Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 691-722, December.
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"Default count-based network models for credit contagion,"
Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(1), pages 139-152, January.
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"Estimating Option Pricing Models Using a Characteristic Function-Based Linear State Space Representation,"
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"Gender differences in private and public goal setting,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 222-247.
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"Robust Inference in Models Identified via Heteroskedasticity,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(3), pages 510-524, May.
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"A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 686-704, October.
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"Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 828-844, October.
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"Dynamic Mixture Vector Autoregressions with Score-Driven Weights,"
Research Papers in Economics
2022-02, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
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"Dynamic Mixture Vector Autoregressions with Score-Driven Weights,"
Working Paper Series
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- Alexander Georges Gretener & Matthias Neuenkirch & Dennis Umlandt, 2023. "Dynamic Mixture Vector Autoregressions with Score-Driven Weights," CESifo Working Paper Series 10366, CESifo.
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"Dynamic Identification in VARs,"
Working Papers
22-08, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
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"Instrumental Variable Identification of Dynamic Variance Decompositions,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 130(8), pages 2164-2202.
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"Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 130(12), pages 3286-3333.
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"Optimal forecast under structural breaks,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 965-987, August.
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"Bootstrap inference under cross‐sectional dependence,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 511-569, May.
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"Heteroskedastic Proxy Vector Autoregressions: Testing for Time-Varying Impulse Responses in the Presence of Multiple Proxies,"
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"Not all political relation shocks are alike: Assessing the impacts of US–China tensions on the oil market,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
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"The Political Relation and Trade - The Case of US, China and Australia,"
Economics Discussion / Working Papers
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"Robust Inference for Non-Gaussian SVAR Models,"
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"The Political Relation and Trade - The Case of US, China and Australia,"
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"Financial development and economic growth in Botswana: New evidence from disaggregated data,"
Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 8(2), pages 1-17, December.
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"Is the effect of public debt on inflation symmetric or asymmetric? Evidence from the Gambia,"
Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 41-57, June.
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"A weekly structural VAR model of the US crude oil market,"
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"Modelling the effects of climate change on economic growth: a Bayesian Structural Global Vector Autoregressive approach,"
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"The transmission of financial shocks and leverage of financial institutions: An endogenous regime switching framework,"
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"Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US,"
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"Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models,"
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"A Sufficient Statistics Approach for Macro Policy Evaluation,"
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"The Transmission of Financial Shocks and Leverage of Financial Institutions: An Endogenous Regime-Switching Framework,"
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
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"On the real‐time predictive content of financial condition indices for growth,"
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"GDP Solera: The Ideal Vintage Mix,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17196, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"Inflation convergence over time: Sector‐level evidence within Europe,"
International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 183-217, August.
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"Detecting And Measuring Financial Cycles In Heterogeneous Agents Models: An Empirical Analysis,"
Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 25(02n03), pages 1-22, March.
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- Andrey V. Zubarev & Mariya A. Kirillova, 2022. "Оценка Потерь Ввп Из-За Ограничения Странами Ес, Сша, Великобританией И Японией Торговли С Россией," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 8, pages 21-23, August.
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"A Parsimonious Test of Constancy of a Positive Definite Correlation Matrix in a Multivariate Time-Varying GARCH Model,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-41, August.
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"Consumption Loan Augmented Divisia Monetary Index and China Monetary Aggregation,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-17, October.
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- Dean Fantazzini, 2022.
"Crypto-Coins and Credit Risk: Modelling and Forecasting Their Probability of Death,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-34, July.
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"The illusion of oil return predictability: The choice of data matters!,"
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"Potential growth and natural yield curve in Japan,"
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- Jacques Minlend & Isabelle Cadoret & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2021.
"Uncertainty diffusion across commodity markets,"
Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes 1 & University of Caen)
2021-02, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes 1, University of Caen and CNRS.
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"Transmission mechanisms of conventional and unconventional monetary policies in open economies,"
International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 491-536, July.
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- Marianna Epicoco & Magali Jaoul-Grammare & Anne Plunket, 2022.
"Radical technologies, recombinant novelty and productivity growth: a cliometric approach,"
Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 673-711, April.
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- Ricco, Giovanni & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Pellegrino, Filippo & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2022.
"Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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- Ricco, Giovanni & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Pellegrino, Filippo & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2022.
"Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03573080, HAL.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Papers 2201.05556, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
- Paul Beaudry & Fabrice Collard & Patrick Feve & Alain Guay & Franck Portier, 2022.
"Dynamic Identification in VARs,"
Working Papers
22-08, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
- Paul Beaudry & Fabrice Collard & Patrick Fève & Alain Guay & Franck Portier, 2022. "Dynamic Identification in VARs," Working Papers hal-03863451, HAL.
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- Less, Vivien & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2022. "Estimation and Testing in a Perturbed Multivariate Long Memory Framework," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-704, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Lyu, Chenyan & Scholtens, Bert, 2022. "Is the Global Carbon Market Integrated? Return and Volatility Connectedness in ETS Systems," Working Papers 7-2022, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics, revised 08 Jun 2022.
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"Modelling Okun’s law: Does non-Gaussianity matter?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2183-2213, May.
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- Österholm, Pär & Poon, Aubrey, 2022. "Trend Inflation in Sweden," Working Papers 2022:2, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Nguyen, Hoang & Virbickaite, Audrone, 2022. "Modeling stock-oil co-dependence with Dynamic Stochastic MIDAS Copula models," Working Papers 2022:5, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Morita, Hiroshi & Ono, Taiki, 2022. "COVID-19 Uncertainty Index in Japan: Newspaper-Based Measures and Economic Activities," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-116, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Matsumoto, Ryo & Morita, Hiroshi & Ono, Taiki, 2022. "Central Bank Information Effects in Japan : The Role of Uncertainty Channel," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-126, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Morita, Hiroshi & Yuasa, Shiro, 2022. "Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks : State-dependency and Asymmetry," RCESR Discussion Paper Series DP22-6, Research Center for Economic and Social Risks, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Tihana Škrinjarić, 2022. "Uvođenje kompozitnog indikatora cikličkog sistemskog rizika u Hrvatskoj: mogućnosti i ograničenja," Istraživanja 70, Hrvatska narodna banka, Hrvatska.
- Tihana Škrinjarić, 2022. "Introduction of the composite indicator of cyclical systemic risk in Croatia: possibilities and limitations," Working Papers 68, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
- Stefán Thórarinsson, 2022. "Analysing inflation dynamics in Iceland using a Bayesian structural vector autoregression model," Economics wp88, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
- Siong Hook Law & Masagus M. Ridhwan, 2022. "Effect Of Islamic Financial System Stability On Economic Performance In Indonesia," Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance, Bank Indonesia, vol. 8(3), pages 371-406.
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"Exchange Rate Shocks and Inflation Co-movement in the Euro Area,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(1), pages 239-275, March.
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- Helmut Herwartz & Simone Maxand & Hannes Rohloff, 2022. "The Link between Monetary Policy, Stock Prices, and House Prices—Evidence from a Statistical Identification Approach," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(5), pages 1-53, December.
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"Fiscal Multipliers and Informality,"
DISEIS - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo
dis2201, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo (DISEIS).
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- Judith Jazmin Castro Pérez & Salvador Cruz Aké & Mario Alejandro Durán Saldívar, 2022. "Relaciones de largo plazo entre la política monetaria, el tipo de cambio y el premio al riesgo en México (2003-2018)," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 17(2), pages 1-25, Abril - J.
- Prashant Parab, 2022. "Exchange rate pass-through in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2022-012, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
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"Long-Term Effects of Hiring Subsidies for Unemployed Youths—Beware of Spillovers,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
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- Andrea Albanesea & Bart Cockx & Muriel Dejemeppe, 2022. "Long-Term Effects of Hiring Subsidies for Unemployed Youths—Beware of Spillovers," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 22/1053, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Albanese, Andrea & Cockx, Bart & Dejemeppe, Muriel, 2022. "Long-Term Effects of Hiring Subsidies for Unemployed Youths - Beware of Spillovers," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1168, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
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- Mustafa Orhan Özer, 2022. "The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test Approach," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 72(72-1), pages 269-292, June.
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"Consumption Loan Augmented Divisia Monetary Index and China Monetary Aggregation,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-17, October.
- William Barnett & Kun He & Jingtong He, 2022. "Consumption Loan Augmented Divisia Monetary Index and China Monetary Aggregation," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202217, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
- Tsvetan Tsvetanov, 2022. "Tax Holidays and the Heterogeneous Pass-Through of Gasoline Taxes," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202219, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
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"Bayesian Analysis of Realized Matrix-Exponential GARCH Models,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(1), pages 103-123, January.
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"Presidential approval in Peru: an empirical analysis using a fractionally cointegrated VAR,"
Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1973-2010, August.
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- Kira Lancker & Julia Bronnmann, 2022. "Substitution Preferences for Fish in Senegal," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 82(4), pages 1015-1045, August.
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"The Zonal and Seasonal CO2 Marginal Emissions Factors for the Italian Power Market,"
Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 83(2), pages 381-411, October.
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- Ivan Hajdukovic, 2022. "Transmission mechanisms of conventional and unconventional monetary policies in open economies," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 491-536, July.
- Dorinth W. Dijk & David M. Geltner & Alex M. Minne, 2022. "The Dynamics of Liquidity in Commercial Property Markets: Revisiting Supply and Demand Indexes in Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 327-360, April.
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"Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty,"
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 523-545, May.
- Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Jinan Liu & Apostolos Serletis, 2022. "World Commodity Prices and Economic Activity in Advanced and Emerging Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 347-374, April.
- Maksim Isakin & Phuong V. Ngo, 2022. "Multiplicity in New Keynesian Models," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 505-521, July.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022. "Testing for UIP-Type Relationships: Nonlinearities, Monetary Announcements and Interest Rate Expectations," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 705-749, September.
- Mirela Miescu, 2022. "Forward guidance shocks," Working Papers 352591340, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Ludmila Fadejeva & Boriss Siliverstovs & Karlis Vilerts & Anete Brinke, 2022. "Consumer Spending in the Covid-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Card Transactions in Latvia," Discussion Papers 2022/01, Latvijas Banka.
- Tanja Jakimova & Milan Eliskovski & Artina Bedzeti Baftijari, 2022. "Households’ euroization in the Republic of North Macedonia: Is it close or far from the optimal levels?," Working Papers 2022-02, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
- Nico Peter Benjamin Wehrle, 2022. "The Cost of Renewable Electricity and Energy Storage in Germany," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 19-41.
- Klara Zalesakova, 2022. "Stock market development as a leading indicator of future economic growth in the BRICS countries," MENDELU Working Papers in Business and Economics 2022-82, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2022.
"The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach,"
Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(4), pages 1008-1026, March.
- Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Working Papers 201975, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Alexis Stenfors & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2022.
"The Evolution of Monetary Policy Focal Points,"
Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(2), pages 348-355, April.
- Alexis Stenfors & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2021. "The Evolution of Monetary Policy Focal Points," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2021-10, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
- Vikram Mohite & Vibha Bhandari, 2022. "An Empirical Study on Co-Integration and Causality Among GCC Stock Markets," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 30(1), pages 51-64.
- Godfred Aawaar & Eric Nkansah & Irrshad Kaseeram, 2022. "Currency Carry Trades and Stock Market Returns in Africa Abstract: Research Question: Is there a causal link between African currency targeted carry trades and the returns of their stock market indice," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 30(1), pages 65-83.
- Giorgio Massari & Patrizio Tirelli, 2022. "Whither Liquidity Shocks?," Working Papers 502, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics.
- William Gatt & Germano Ruisi, 2022. "The spillover of euro area shocks to the Maltese economy," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2022, Central Bank of Malta.
- William Gatt, 2022. "MEDSEA-FIN: an estimated DSGE model with housing and financial frictions for Malta," CBM Working Papers WP/05/2022, Central Bank of Malta.
- Andras Viktor Szabo, 2022. "Credit Risk Modelling of Mortgage Loans in the Supervisory Stress Test of the Magyar Nemzeti Bank," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 21(1), pages 56-94.
- Laszlo Szepesvary, 2022. "Effect of the Yield Level, the Inflation Environment and the Pandemic on the Lapse Rates of Life Insurances," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 21(3), pages 44-72.
- Costanza Torricelli & Beatrice Bertelli, 2022. "ESG screening strategies and portfolio performance: how do they fare in periods of financial distress?," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0087, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
- Heather M. Anderson & Jiti Gao & Guido Turnip & Farshid Vahid & Wei Wei, 2022. "Estimating the Effect of an EU-ETS Type Scheme in Australia Using a Synthetic Treatment Approach," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 12/22, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Jiti Gao & Bin Peng & Yayi Yan, 2022. "Nonparametric Estimation and Testing for Time-Varying VAR Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/22, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Guohua Feng & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng, 2022. "Multi-Level Panel Data Models: Estimation and Empirical Analysis," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/22, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Jiti Gao & Bin Peng & Wei Biao Wu & Yayi Yan, 2022. "Time-Varying Multivariate Causal Processes," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/22, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Kamila Kuziemska-Pawlak & Jakub Mućk, 2022. "Global Value Chains and Equilibrium Exchange Rate: Evidence from Central European Economies," NBP Working Papers 354, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Erkmen G. Aslim & Shin-Yi Chou & Kuhelika De, 2022. "Business Cycles and Healthcare Employment," NBER Working Papers 29799, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- David O. Lucca & Jonathan H. Wright, 2022.
"The Narrow Channel of Quantitative Easing: Evidence from YCC Down Under,"
Staff Reports
1013, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- David Lucca & Jonathan H. Wright, 2022. "The Narrow Channel of Quantitative Easing: Evidence from YCC Down Under," NBER Working Papers 29971, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-M{o}ller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021.
"Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs,"
Papers
2104.00655, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
- Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2022. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," NBER Working Papers 30207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," Working Papers 2021-55, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Orlov, D. & Postnikov, E., 2022. "Phillips curve: Inflation and NAIRU in the Russian regions," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 55(3), pages 61-80.
- Zubarev, A. & Rybak, K., 2022. "The impact of global shocks on the Russian economy: FAVAR approach," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 56(4), pages 48-68.
- Cristina Amado, 2022. "Outlier robust specification of multiplicative time-varying volatility models," NIPE Working Papers 11/2022, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Yam Lal Bhoosal & Rohan Byanjankar, 2022. "An Empirical Study on the Determinants of Government Revenue in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 34(2), pages 30-49, October.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022. "Using hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-04, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Martin Weale & Paul Labonne, 2022. "Nowcasting in the presence of large measurement errors and revisions," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-05, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Paul Labonne, 2022. "Asymmetric Uncertainty: Nowcasting Using Skewness in Real-time Data," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-23, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022.
"Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Agency Forecasts,"
MPRA Paper
114325, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022. "Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Agency Forecasts," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 541, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Sonia Chipeva, 2022. "Bulgarian Economy on the Way of Ecological Transformation," Ikonomiceski i Sotsialni Alternativi, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 4, pages 18-27, December.
- Jhonatan Portilla & Gabriel Rodríguez & Paul Castillo B., 2022.
"Evolution of Monetary Policy in Peru: An Empirical Application Using a Mixture Innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model [Metas de Inflación en Una Economía Dolarizada: La Experencia Del Perú],"
CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo, vol. 68(1), pages 98-126.
- Jhonatan Portilla Goicochea & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2020. "Evolution of Monetary Policy in Peru: An Empirical Application Using a Mixture Innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-485, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Chiara Casoli & Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti, 2022.
"Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via dynamic factor models, with an application to commodity prices [Commodity-price comovement and global economic activity],"
The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 25(2), pages 494-514.
- Casoli, Chiara & Lucchetti, Riccardo (Jack), 2021. "Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via Dynamic Factor Models, with an application to commodity prices," FEEM Working Papers 312367, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Chiara Casoli & Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti, 2021. "Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via Dynamic Factor Models, with an application to commodity prices," Working Papers 2021.19, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Yue Qiu & Tian Xie & Jun Yu & Qiankun Zhou, 2022.
"Forecasting Equity Index Volatility by Measuring the Linkage among Component Stocks [Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models Do Provide Accurate Forecasts],"
The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 20(1), pages 160-186.
- Qiu, Yue & Xie, Tian & Yu, Jun & Zhou, Qiankun, 2019. "Forecasting Equity Index Volatility by Measuring the Linkage among Component Stocks," Economics and Statistics Working Papers 7-2019, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Diaa Noureldin, 2022. "Volatility Prediction Using a Realized-Measure-Based Component Model [Modelling Volatility by Variance Decomposition]," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 20(1), pages 76-104.
- Genaro Sucarrat & Steffen Grønneberg, 2022. "Risk Estimation with a Time-Varying Probability of Zero Returns [On the Coherence of Expected Shortfall]," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 20(2), pages 278-309.
- Sebastian Bayer & Timo Dimitriadis, 2022. "Regression-Based Expected Shortfall Backtesting [Backtesting Expected Shortfall]," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 20(3), pages 437-471.
- Rogier Quaedvlieg & Peter Schotman, 2022. "Hedging Long-Term Liabilities [Pricing the Term Structure with Linear Regressions]," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 20(3), pages 505-538.
- Simona Boffelli & Jan Novotny & Giovanni Urga, 2022. "A Frequency-Specific Factorization to Identify Commonalities with an Application to the European Bond Markets [Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks]," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 20(4), pages 681-715.
- Arnaud Dufays & Elysee Aristide Houndetoungan & Alain Coën, 2022. "Selective Linear Segmentation for Detecting Relevant Parameter Changes [Risks and Portfolio Decisions Involving Hedge Funds]," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 20(4), pages 762-805.
- Yannick Hoga, 2022. "Modeling Time-Varying Tail Dependence, with Application to Systemic Risk Forecasting," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 20(5), pages 1007-1037.
- Marcello Pericoli & Marco Taboga, 2022.
"Nearly Exact Bayesian Estimation of Non-linear No-Arbitrage Term-Structure Models [Pricing the Term Structure with Linear Regressions],"
The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 20(5), pages 807-838.
- Marcello Pericoli & Marco Taboga, 2018. "Nearly exact Bayesian estimation of non-linear no-arbitrage term structure models," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1189, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Matteo Deleidi, 2022. "Quantifying multipliers in Italy: does fiscal policy composition matter? [The macroeconomic effects of public investment: Evidence from advanced economies]," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(2), pages 359-381.
- Jan Čapek & Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Johannes Holler & Philip Schuster, 2022. "Fiscal multipliers in a small open economy: the case of Austria [The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in Portugal: a bayesian SVAR analysis]," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(2), pages 412-430.
- Juan Angel Garcia & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks [Are Phillips curves useful for forecasting inflation?],"
Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(3), pages 671-700.
- García, Juan Angel & Poon, Aubrey, 2019. "Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks," Working Paper Series 2338, European Central Bank.
- Regis Barnichon & Davide Debortoli & Christian Matthes, 2022.
"Understanding the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier: It’s in the Sign [Downward Wage Rigidity and Business Cycle Asymmetries],"
Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 89(1), pages 87-117.
- Régis Barnichon & Christian Matthes, 2016. "Understanding the size of the government spending multiplier: It's in the sign," Economics Working Papers 1555, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Régis Barnichon & Davide Debortoli & Christian Matthes, 2020. "Understanding the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier: It's in the Sign," Working Paper Series 2021-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Régis Barnichon & Christian Matthes, 2017. "Understanding the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier: It's in the Sign," Working Paper 17-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
- Régis Barnichon & Davide Debortoli & Christian Matthes, 2020. "Understanding the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier: It’s in the Sign," Working Papers 1145, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Barnichon, Regis & Matthes, Christian, 2016. "Understanding the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier: It's in the Sign," CEPR Discussion Papers 11373, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Régis Barnichon & Davide Debortoli & Christian Matthes, 2019. "Understanding the size of the government spending multiplier: It’s in the sign," Economics Working Papers 1688, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Sep 2020.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino & Giacomo Ranzato, 2022. "Delayed Overshooting Puzzle: Does Systematic Monetary Policy Matter?," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0280, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Daouda Lawa tan Toe & Salifou Ouedraogo, 2022. "Dynamic relationship between trading volume, returns and returns volatility: an empirical investigation on the main African’s stock markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(5), pages 429-444, September.
- Georgios Magkonis & Eun Young Oh & Shuonan Zhang, 2022. "On the Macroeconomic Effects of Shadow Banking Development," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2022-06, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
- Junior A. Ojeda Cunya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2022. "Time-Varying Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: An Empirical Application using TVP-VAR- SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-507, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Gabriel Rodríguez & Renato Vassallo, 2022. "Time Evolution of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Pacific Alliance Countries: Empirical Application using TVP-VAR-SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-508, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Paulo Chávez & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2023.
"Time changing effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru: empirical application using regime-switching VAR models with stochastic volatility,"
Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 159(2), pages 505-544, May.
- Paulo Chávez & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2022. "Time Changing Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: Empirical Application Using Regime-Switching VAR Models with Stochastic Volatility," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-509, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Calero, Roberto & Rodriguez, Gabriel & Salcedo Cisneros, Rodrigo, 2022. "Evolution of the Exchange Rate Pass-Throught into Prices in Peru: An Empirical Application Using TVP-VAR-SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-510, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Aysegul Corakci & Tolga Omay & Mübariz Hasanov, 2022. "Hysteresis and stochastic convergence in Eurozone unemployment rates: evidence from panel unit roots with smooth breaks and asymmetric dynamics," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(1), pages 11-55, March.
- Karsten Kohler & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2023.
"Flexible exchange rates in emerging markets: shock absorbers or drivers of endogenous cycles?,"
Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press, vol. 32(2), pages 551-572.
- Karsten Kohler & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2022. "Flexible exchange rates in emerging markets: shock absorbers or drivers of endogenous cycles?," Working Papers PKWP2205, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
- Xu, Jack, 2022. "Beyond Merton: Multi-Dimensional Balance Sheet in Default Modeling," MPRA Paper 112022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Van, Germinal, 2022. "An Empirical Analysis of the Socioeconomic Status of Blacks on Police Treatment and Arrests: A Granger Causality Approach," MPRA Paper 112214, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pedini, Luca & Severini, Sabrina, 2022. "Exploring the hedge, diversifier and safe haven properties of ESG investments: A cross-quantilogram analysis," MPRA Paper 112339, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Natoli, Filippo, 2022. "Temperature surprise shocks," MPRA Paper 112568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2022.
"Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States,"
ifo Working Paper Series
370, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wikman, Ida, 2022. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States," MPRA Paper 112642, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2023. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States: New Data for Business Cycle Analyses and Long-Run Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series 10280, CESifo.
- del Barrio Castro, Tomás, 2021.
"Testing for the cointegration rank between Periodically Integrated processes,"
MPRA Paper
106603, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
- del Barrio Castro, Tomás, 2022. "Testing for the cointegration rank between Periodically Integrated processes," MPRA Paper 112730, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2022.
- Li, Chenxing, 2022. "A multivariate GARCH model with an infinite hidden Markov mixture," MPRA Paper 112792, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Duque Garcia, Carlos Alberto, 2022. "Ciclos económicos, inversión y rentabilidad del capital en Colombia: un análisis de series de tiempo [Economic cycles, investment and profits in Colombia: a time-series analysis]," MPRA Paper 113272, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dean Fantazzini, 2022.
"Crypto-Coins and Credit Risk: Modelling and Forecasting Their Probability of Death,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-34, July.
- Fantazzini, Dean, 2022. "Crypto Coins and Credit Risk: Modelling and Forecasting their Probability of Death," MPRA Paper 113744, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Zubarev, Andrey & Kirillova, Maria, 2022. "Оценивание Влияния Внешних Шоков На Российскую Экономику С Помощью Модели Gvar [Estimating the impact of external shocks on Russian economy: GVAR approach]," MPRA Paper 113762, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Jul 2022.
- Kuikeu, Oscar, 2022. "Etude empirique de l’impact des formes traditionnelles de protectionnisme : cas de l’économie camerounaise [Empirical study of Old form of protection: case of cameroonian economy]," MPRA Paper 113854, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Bigerna, Simona & D'Errico, Maria Chiara & Polinori, Paolo & Simshauer, Paul, 2022. "Renewable energy and portfolio volatility spillover effects of GCC oil exporting countries," MPRA Paper 114164, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022.
"Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Agency Forecasts,"
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers
541, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022. "Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Agency Forecasts," MPRA Paper 114325, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tonni, Lorenzo, 2022. "Business cycle and factor income shares: a VAR sign restriction approach," MPRA Paper 114586, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Martin Stuermer, 2022.
"Non-renewable resource extraction over the long term: empirical evidence from global copper production,"
Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 35(3), pages 617-625, December.
- Stuermer, Martin, 2022. "Non-Renewable Resource Extraction over the Long Term: Empirical Evidence from Global Copper Production," MPRA Paper 114767, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship & Daw, Olebogeng David, 2022. "Renewable electricity consumption and economic growth: A comparative study of South Africa and Zimbabwe," MPRA Paper 115154, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Oct 2022.
- Storti, Giuseppe & Wang, Chao, 2022. "A multivariate semi-parametric portfolio risk optimization and forecasting framework," MPRA Paper 115266, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yang, Zixiu & Fantazzini, Dean, 2022. "Using crypto assets pricing methods to build technical oscillators for short-term bitcoin trading," MPRA Paper 115508, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hoffmaister, Alexander W., 2022. "Two's not company: mis-aggregation and "supply-induced" unemployment increases," MPRA Paper 115513, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2023.
"Asymmetry and interdependence when evaluating U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
- Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022. "Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Administration Forecasts," MPRA Paper 115559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yusifzada, Tural, 2022. "Response of Inflation to the Climate Stress: Evidence from Azerbaijan," MPRA Paper 116522, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Sep 2022.
- Lycheva, Maria & Mironenkov, Alexey & Kurbatskii, Alexey & Fantazzini, Dean, 2022.
"Forecasting oil prices with penalized regressions, variance risk premia and Google data,"
Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 68, pages 28-49.
- Fantazzini, Dean & Kurbatskii, Alexey & Mironenkov, Alexey & Lycheva, Maria, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices with penalized regressions, variance risk premia and Google data," MPRA Paper 118239, University Library of Munich, Germany.
2021
- Michal Kuchta, 2021. "Scenario Generation for IFRS9 Purposes using a Bayesian MS-VAR Model," Working Papers IES 2021/10, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Apr 2021.
- Barbora Malinska, 2021. "Forecasting Sovereign Bond Realized Volatility Using Time-Varying Coefficients Model," Working Papers IES 2021/19, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jun 2021.
- Jiri Witzany & Martin Divis, 2021. "Interest Rate Risk of Savings Accounts," Working Papers IES 2021/21, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jun 2021.
- Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Evžen KoÄ enda & Viet Hoang Nguyen, 2019.
"Does the Spillover Index Reflect Systemic Shocks? A Bootstrap-Based Probabilistic Analysis,"
Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series
wp2019n17, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Evzen Kocenda & Viet Hoang Nguyen, 2021. "Does the Spillover Index Respond Significantly to Systemic Shocks? A Bootstrap-Based Probabilistic Analysis," Working Papers IES 2021/29, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Sep 2021.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Ørjan Robstad & Pål Ulvedal & Antoine Lepetit, 2020.
"Estimating hysteresis effects,"
Working Paper
2020/13, Norges Bank.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit & Ørjan Robstad & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Pal Ulvedal, 2021. "Estimating Hysteresis Effects," Working Papers 2021-11, FEDEA.
- Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & Furlanetto, Francesco & Lepetit, Antoine & Robstad, Ørjan & Ulvedal, PÃ¥l, 2021. "Estimating Hysteresis Effects," CEPR Discussion Papers 16558, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit & Ørjan Robstad & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Pål Ulvedal, 2021. "Estimating Hysteresis Effects," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit & Ørjan Robstad & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Pål Ulvedal, 2021. "Estimating Hysteresis Effects," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-24, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2021.
"Dividend Momentum and Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Approach,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16613, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Juan Antolín-Díaz & Ivan Petrella & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2021. "Dividend Momentum and Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 2021-14, FEDEA.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Ivan Petrella & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2021. "Dividend Momentum and Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Approach," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Chiara Casoli & Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti, 2022.
"Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via dynamic factor models, with an application to commodity prices [Commodity-price comovement and global economic activity],"
The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 25(2), pages 494-514.
- Casoli, Chiara & Lucchetti, Riccardo (Jack), 2021. "Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via Dynamic Factor Models, with an application to commodity prices," FEEM Working Papers 312367, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Chiara Casoli & Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti, 2021. "Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via Dynamic Factor Models, with an application to commodity prices," Working Papers 2021.19, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Casoli, Chiara & Lucchetti, Riccardo (Jack), 2021.
"Permanent-Transitory decomposition of cointegrated time series via Dynamic Factor Models, with an application to commodity prices,"
FEEM Working Papers
312367, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Davide Bazzana & Francesco Menoncin & Sergio Vergalli, 2021. "The day after tomorrow: mitigation and adaptation policies to deal with uncertainty," Working Papers 2021.22, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
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"Dividend Momentum and Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Approach,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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"Tail Forecasting With Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees,"
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"Covid-19 fiscal support and its effectiveness,"
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"Comment on Giacomini, Kitagawa, and Read’s “Narrative Restrictions and Proxies”,"
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"Local Projections, Autocorrelation, and Efficiency,"
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"Aggregate Output Measurements: A Common Trend Approach,"
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"DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 69-111, January.
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"Macroeconomic forecasting and variable ordering in multivariate stochastic volatility models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1054-1086.
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"Refining Set-Identification in VARs through Independence,"
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"Aggregate Output Measurements: A Common Trend Approach,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 3-33,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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- Martín Almuzara & Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2021. "Aggregate Output Measurements: a Common Trend Approach," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2021_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
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"Tests for Random Coefficient Variation in Vector Autoregressive Models,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 1-35,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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"Profit margins in U.S. domestic airline routes,"
Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 245-251.
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- Christian Leschinski & Michelle Voges & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2021.
"Integration and Disintegration of EMU Government Bond Markets,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, March.
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"Searching for a Theory That Fits the Data: A Personal Research Odyssey,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, February.
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"Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1, December.
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- Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafał Weron, 2021.
"Importance of the Long-Term Seasonal Component in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Revisited: Parameter-Rich Models Estimated via the LASSO,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, June.
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- Dean Fantazzini & Julia Pushchelenko & Alexey Mironenkov & Alexey Kurbatskii, 2021.
"Forecasting Internal Migration in Russia Using Google Trends: Evidence from Moscow and Saint Petersburg,"
Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-30, October.
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"Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, September.
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"Multi-Horizon Financial and Housing Wealth Effects across the U.S. States,"
Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, January.
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- Ahmed Derbali, 2021. "The misalignment of real effective exchange rate: Evidence from Tunisia," IHEID Working Papers 04-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Diego Chicana & Rafael Nivin, 2021. "Evaluating Growth-at-Risk as a tool for monitoring macro-financial risks in the Peruvian economy," IHEID Working Papers 07-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Koutchogna Kokou Edem Assogbavi & Stéphane Dées, 2023.
"Environmental Policy and the CO2 Emissions Embodied in International Trade,"
Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 84(2), pages 507-527, February.
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- Maëlle VAILLE, 2021. "Central bank balance sheet and systemic risk," Bordeaux Economics Working Papers 2021-15, Bordeaux School of Economics (BSE).
- Julia Kielmann & Hans Manner & Aleksey Min, 2021. "Stock Market Returns and Oil Price Shocks: A CoVaR Analysis based on Dynamic Vine Copula Models," Graz Economics Papers 2021-01, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
- Dominik Blatt & Kausik Chaudhuri & Hans Manner, 2021. "Spillover in the UK Housing Market," Graz Economics Papers 2021-13, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
- Hans Manner & Gabriel Rodriguez & Florian Stöckler, 2021. "A changepoint analysis of exchange rate and commodity price risks for Latin American stock markets," Graz Economics Papers 2021-14, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
- David H. Bernstein & Andrew B. Martinez, 2021.
"Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1, December.
- David H. Bernstein & Andrew B. Martinez, 2021. "Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment," Working Papers 2021-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
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"MULTIPRIL, a New Database on Multilateral Price Levels and Currency Misalignments,"
International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 94-117.
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"Modeling Time-Varying Conditional Betas. A Comparison of Methods with Application for REITs,"
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"Does demand noise matter? Identification and implications,"
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"A wavelet approach of investing behaviors and their effects on risk exposures,"
Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-37, December.
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"Can Bitcoin Be an Inflation Hedge? Evidence from a Quantile-on-Quantile Model,"
Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 72(5), pages 785-797.
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"Gender empowerment as an enforcer of individuals’ choice between education and fertility: Evidence from 19th century France,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 408-438.
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"Transitory and permanent shocks in the global market for crude oil,"
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"Investors’ attention and information losses under market stress,"
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"Fuel price co-movements among France, Germany and Italy: A time-frequency investigation,"
Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
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"The Global Financial Cycle and US monetary policy in an interconnected world,"
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"The unprecedented reaction of equity and commodity markets to COVID-19,"
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"A simple microstructure model based on the Cox-BESQ process with application to optimal execution policy,"
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"Repenser le modèle à correction d’erreurs dans l’analyse macroéconométrique : Une revue [Rethinking the Error Correction Model in Macroeconometric Analysis: A Review],"
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"Environmental Policy and the CO2 Emissions Embodied in International Trade,"
Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 84(2), pages 507-527, February.
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"Bayesian Local Projections,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
1348, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
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"How do inequalities affect the natural interest rate, and how do they impact monetary policy? Comparing Germany, Japan and the US,"
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"The Effect of ENSO Shocks on Commodity Prices: A Multi-Time Scale Approach,"
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"Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
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"Modeling the relation between the US real economy and the corporate bond‐yield spread in Bayesian VARs with non‐Gaussian innovations,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 347-368, March.
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- Peng Zhou, 2021.
"Separating yolk from white: a filter based on economic properties of trend and cycle,"
International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 11(1), pages 78-83.
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"Does the cost of private debt respond to monetary policy? Heteroskedasticity-based identification in a model with regimes,"
The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(18), pages 1804-1833, December.
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"International Inflation Spillovers: The Role of Different Shocks,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(1), pages 191-230, March.
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"Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(3), pages 337-383, September.
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"The impact of r-g on Euro-Area government spending multipliers,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
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"Energy Transition Metals,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
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"The real effects of financial uncertainty shocks: A daily identification approach,"
Working Papers
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"“Employment uncertainty a year after the irruption of the covid-19 pandemic”,"
AQR Working Papers
202104, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised May 2021.
- Petar Soric & Oscar Claveria, 2021. ""Employment uncertainty a year after the irruption of the covid-19 pandemic"," IREA Working Papers 202112, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised May 2021.
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"Behavioral New Keynesian Models: Learning vs. Cognitive Discounting,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
9039, CESifo.
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"Does the introduction of stock exchange markets boost economic growth in African countries?,"
Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 627-640.
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- Teles Huo & Miguel St. Aubyn, 2021. "Electricity, Exergy And Economic Growth In Mozambique, 1971 – 2014," Working Papers REM 2021/0170, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
- Carlos Alberto Piscarreta Pinto Ferreira, 2021. "Does Public Debt Ownership Structure Matter for a Borrowing Country?," Working Papers REM 2021/0190, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
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"60%, -4% And 6%, a Tale of Thresholds for EU Fiscal and Current Account Developments,"
EconPol Working Paper
69, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
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"Fiscal and current account imbalances: the cases of Germany and Portugal,"
Working Papers
2021.12, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
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- António Afonso & José Carlos Coelho, 2021. "Fiscal and Current Account Imbalances: The Cases of Germany and Portugal," EconPol Working Paper 72, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Muhammad Akbar Farahmand, 2021. "The Relationship Between Economic Growth and Foreign Aid: The Case of Afghanistan," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 8(2), pages 141-154, July.
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"Cross-country connectedness in inflation and unemployment: measurement and macroeconomic consequences,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1123-1146, March.
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"Refining Set-Identification in VARs through Independence,"
NBER Working Papers
29316, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"Oil price shocks and the hedging benefit of airline investments,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
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"(Since When) Are East and West German Business Cycles Synchronised?,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 241(1), pages 1-28, February.
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"Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 52-69.
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"Efficient Combined Estimation under Structural Breaks,"
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"Forecasting inflation and output growth with credit‐card‐augmented Divisia monetary aggregates,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 331-346, March.
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"Optimal forecast under structural breaks,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 965-987, August.
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"COVID-19 infection spread and human mobility,"
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
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"The changing role of foreign investors in Tokyo stock price formation,"
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
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"Bootstrap inference for Hawkes and general point processes,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 133-165.
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- Alexandros Skouralis, 2021. "Systemic Risk Spillovers Across the EURO Area," Working Papers 326919507, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
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"Dancing Alone or Together: The Dynamic Effects of Independent and Common Monetary Policies,"
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"Identifying high-frequency shocks with Bayesian mixed-frequency VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2021-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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"The credit composition of global liquidity,"
University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics
409, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
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- Yoonseok Lee & Donggyu Sul, 2021. "Depth-Weighted Forecast Combination: Application to COVID-19 Cases," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 238, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
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"Economic policy uncertainty spillovers in Europe before and after the Eurozone crisis,"
Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(4), pages 330-352, July.
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"Global Uncertainty,"
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- Yayi Yan & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng, 2021. "Asymptotics for Time-Varying Vector MA(∞) Processes," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 22/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
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"Daily news sentiment and monthly surveys: A mixed-frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 266-278.
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"Heterogeneity and Aggregate Fluctuations,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16183, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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- Minsu Chang & Xiaohong Chen & Frank Schorfheide, 2021. "Heterogeneity and Aggregate Fluctuations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2289, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
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"Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions,"
CAMA Working Papers
2021-55, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric R. Sims, 2021. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," NBER Working Papers 29003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Eric Sims, 2021. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202151, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Instrumental Variable Identification of Dynamic Variance Decompositions,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 130(8), pages 2164-2202.
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- Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Instrumental Variable Identification of Dynamic Variance Decompositions," NBER Working Papers 29044, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"Refining Set-Identification in VARs through Independence,"
Working Papers
21-31, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jonathan H. Wright, 2021. "Refining Set-Identification in VARs through Independence," NBER Working Papers 29316, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic,"
Working Papers
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- Schorfheide, Frank & Song, Dongho, 2021. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 16760, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," PIER Working Paper Archive 20-039, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
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- Kanya Paramaguru, 2021. "A Comparison of Business Cycle Extraction Methods: Application to the UK," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2021-19, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
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- Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Johannes Schuffels, 2021. "Estimating regional house price levels: Methodology and results of a pilot project with Spain," OECD Statistics Working Papers 2021/03, OECD Publishing.
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"Testing identification via heteroskedasticity in structural vector autoregressive models,"
EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 1-22.
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"Online estimation of DSGE models,"
The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(1), pages 33-58.
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- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Staff Reports 893, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Liberty Street Economics 20190821, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2020. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-023, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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- Bent Jesper Christensen & Rasmus Tangsgaard Varneskov, 2021.
"Dynamic Global Currency Hedging [Arbitrage in the Foreign Exchange Market: Turning on the Microscope],"
The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 19(1), pages 97-127.
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- Joel Hasbrouck, 2021. "Price Discovery in High Resolution," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 19(3), pages 395-430.
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- Maddalena Cavicchioli, 2021. "Fourth Moment Structure of Markov Switching Multivariate GARCH Models," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 19(4), pages 565-582.
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"Nonparametric Dynamic Conditional Beta,"
The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 19(4), pages 583-613.
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- Gustavo F. Dias & Marcelo Fernandes & Cristina M. Scherrer, 2021.
"Price Discovery in a Continuous-Time Setting [Price Discovery and Common Factor Models],"
The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 19(5), pages 985-1008.
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"Identifying Shocks via Time-Varying Volatility [First Order Autoregressive Processes and Strong Mixing],"
Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 88(6), pages 3086-3124.
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"Global Uncertainty,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
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- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2021. "Global Uncertainty," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0269, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
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- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2021. "Global uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers 2021-21, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Christian Calmès & Raymond Théoret, 2021. "Portfolio analysis of big US banks’ performance: the fee business lines factor," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(2), pages 112-132, June.
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"Independent policy, dependent outcomes: A game of cross-country dominoes across European yield curves,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
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"Oil and US stock market shocks: Implications for Canadian equities,"
Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(1), pages 247-287, February.
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- Alexis Stenfors & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2022.
"The Evolution of Monetary Policy Focal Points,"
Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(2), pages 348-355, April.
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- Neifar, Malika, 2021. "Multivariate Causality between Stock price index and Macro variables: evidence from Canadian stock market," MPRA Paper 105715, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Neifar, Malika, 2021. "Suisse stock return, Macro Factors, and Efficient Market Hypothesis: evidence from ARDL model," MPRA Paper 105717, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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"Testing for the cointegration rank between Periodically Integrated processes,"
MPRA Paper
106603, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
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"Repenser le modèle à correction d'erreurs dans l'analyse macroéconométrique : Une revue,"
Working Papers
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- Kuikeu, Oscar, 2021. "Robustesse du modèle d’évaluation d’impact de la Covid-19 au Cameroun: une approche par la modélisation VAR [Robustness of economic impact assessment of Covid-19 in Cameroon: a Methodological VAR a," MPRA Paper 106749, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kuikeu, Oscar, 2021. "Ré-appréhension de la relation Ouverture ― Croissance : le rôle du facteur travail, du facteur capital et de la position extérieure de la nation. Cas de l’économie camerounaise [Reassessment of the," MPRA Paper 106836, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kuikeu, Oscar, 2021. "Pertinence de la dévaluation du franc cfa de Janvier 1994: une approche par le taux de change réel d’équilibre. Cas de l’économie camerounaise ― Nouveaux Résultats [Relevance of the cfa franc deval," MPRA Paper 106993, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kuikeu, Oscar, 2021. "Le Change: Résultat des Compétitions continentales Africaines. Le cas du CHAN 2021 [Exchange rate: issue of continental African competition. The case of AFCON 2021]," MPRA Paper 107025, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Santeramo, Fabio, 2021. "Price dynamics, LOP and quantile regressions," MPRA Paper 107454, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jong, Meng-Chang & Soh, Ann-Ni, 2021. "Responsible Recovery from COVID-19: An Empirical Overview of Tourism Industry," MPRA Paper 107661, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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- Kuikeu, Oscar, 2021. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignment : concepts and measurement in the context of coronavirus crisis for developing countries as central African Republic knowing civil war," MPRA Paper 107778, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kuikeu, Oscar, 2021. "The main attempts of the making of an special economic area in Cameroon: lessons from the covid-19 crisis," MPRA Paper 107978, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kuikeu, Oscar, 2021. "The living standard determinants from lessons of covid-19 crisis ― New Insights: case of Cameroonian economy," MPRA Paper 108029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kuikeu, Oscar, 2021. "The Relevance on assessing Real Exchange Rate Misalignment under lessons from covid-19 crisis," MPRA Paper 108047, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sium Bodha Hannadige & Jiti Gao & Mervyn J Silvapulle & Param Silvapulle, 2021.
"Time Series Forecasting Using a Mixture of Stationary and Nonstationary Predictors,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
6/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
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- Gluschenko, Konstantin, 2021. "Regional inequality in Russia: Anatomy of convergence," MPRA Paper 108756, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Saccal, Alessandro, 2021. "Confidence and economic activity in Europe," MPRA Paper 108812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2021. "Exploring volatility of crude oil intra-day return curves: a functional GARCH-X Model," MPRA Paper 109231, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kolesnikova, Anna & Fantazzini, Dean, 2021.
"Asymmetry and hysteresis in the Russian gasoline market: The rationale for green energy exports,"
Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
- Fantazzini, Dean & Kolesnikova, Anna, 2021. "Asymmetry and hysteresis in the Russian gasoline market: the rationale for green energy exports," MPRA Paper 109297, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lomonosov, Daniil, 2021. "Роль Коронавирусной Пандемии И Развала Сделки Опек+ В Динамике Цены На Нефть В 2020 Году [The role of the coronavirus pandemic and the collapse of the OPEC + deal in the dynamics of oil prices in 2," MPRA Paper 109319, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Olayinka, Hammed A., 2021.
"Gold and silver prices, their stocks and market fear gauges: Testing fractional cointegration using a robust approach,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
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- Olubusoye, Olusanya E & Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula, 2021. "An Information-Based Index of Uncertainty and the predictability of Energy Prices," MPRA Paper 109839, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yusuf Yildirim & Anirban Sanyal, 2023.
"Financial Stress and Effect on Real Economy: Turkish Experience,"
Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(1), pages 46-67.
- Yildirim, Yusuf & Sanyal, Anirban, 2021. "Financial Stress and Effect on Real Economy: The Turkish Experience," MPRA Paper 109845, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Duque Garcia, Carlos Alberto, 2021. "Economic Growth and the Rate of Profit in Colombia 1967-2019: A VAR Time-Series Analysis," MPRA Paper 109890, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lenarčič, Črt, 2021. "Estimating business and financial cycles in Slovenia," MPRA Paper 109977, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Adekunle, Wasiu & Bekoe, William & Badmus, Sheriff & Anagun, Michael & Alimi, Wasiu, 2021. "Nexus Between Fiscal Discipline And The Budget Process In Africa: Evidence From Nigeria," MPRA Paper 110061, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William A. Barnett & Sohee Park, 2023.
"Forecasting inflation and output growth with credit‐card‐augmented Divisia monetary aggregates,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 331-346, March.
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- Barnett, William & Park, Sohee, 2021. "Forecasting Inflation and Output Growth with Credit-Card-Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates," MPRA Paper 110298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Asaduzzaman, Md, 2021. "Relationship between threshold level of inflation and economic growth in Bangladesh- a multivariate quadratic regression analysis," MPRA Paper 110333, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Feb 2021.
- Lukas Boer & Andrea Pescatori & Martin Stuermer, 2021.
"Energy Transition Metals,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
1976, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Boer, Lukas & Pescatori, Andrea & Stuermer, Martin, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," MPRA Paper 110364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lukas Boer & Mr. Andrea Pescatori & Martin Stuermer, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," IMF Working Papers 2021/243, International Monetary Fund.
- Zubarev, Andrey & Kirillova, Maria, 2021. "Эконометрическая Оценка Влияния Шоков На Рынке Нефти На Макроэкономические Показатели Российской Федерации С Помощью Gvar Моделирования [The Impact of Oil Market Shocks on the Macroeconomic Indicat," MPRA Paper 110410, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Nov 2021.
- Dean Fantazzini & Julia Pushchelenko & Alexey Mironenkov & Alexey Kurbatskii, 2021.
"Forecasting Internal Migration in Russia Using Google Trends: Evidence from Moscow and Saint Petersburg,"
Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-30, October.
- Fantazzini, Dean & Pushchelenko, Julia & Mironenkov, Alexey & Kurbatskii, Alexey, 2021. "Forecasting internal migration in Russia using Google Trends: Evidence from Moscow and Saint Petersburg," MPRA Paper 110452, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- amri amamou, souhir, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies responses to the Covid-19 waves," MPRA Paper 110843, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Bhadury, Soumya & Ghosh, Saurabh & Gopalakrishnan, Pawan, 2021. "In quest for policy 'silver bullets' towards triggering a v-shaped recovery," MPRA Paper 110905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship & Daw, Olebogeng David, 2021. "An increase of electricity generation can lead to economic growth in South Africa," MPRA Paper 111018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Upreti, Priyanka & Handa, Akanksha & Chaudhari, Dipak & Ghosh, Saurabh, 2021. "A Composite Indicator of Realty Sector Activity in India," MPRA Paper 111059, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Doojav, Gan-Ochir, 2021. "Socio-economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic: Macroeconomic impacts and policy issues in Mongolia," MPRA Paper 111197, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Doojav, Gan-Ochir, 2021. "Macroeconomic modeling for optimal stabilization policy in Mongolia," MPRA Paper 111206, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ben Youssef, Slim, 2021. "Symmetric and asymmetric relationships between renewable energy, oil imports, arms exports, military spending, and economic growth in China," MPRA Paper 111413, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- del Barrio Castro, Tomás, 2021.
"Testing for the cointegration rank between Periodically Integrated processes,"
MPRA Paper
106603, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
- del Barrio Castro, Tomás, 2021. "Testing for the cointegration rank between Periodically Integrated processes," MPRA Paper 112731, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
- Osti, Davide, 2021. "Returns to scale with a Cobb-Douglas production function for a small italian mechanical firm," MPRA Paper 115629, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Dec 2022.
- KCHIKECHE, Ahmed & KHALLOUK, Ouafaà, 2021. "On the Nexus Between Economic Growth and Bank-based Financial Development: Evidence from Morocco," MPRA Paper 118294, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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"Nvidia's Stock Returns Prediction Using Machine Learning Techniques for Time Series Forecasting Problem,"
Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 8(55), pages 44-62, January.
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"Public debt and inflation dynamics: Empirical evidence from Zimbabwe,"
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"The money-inflation nexus revisited,"
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"The Identification of Non-Rational Risk Shocks,"
Department of Economics Working Paper Series
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"The money-inflation nexus revisited,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
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"The Identification of Non-Rational Risk Shocks,"
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"Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 955-980, March.
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"Business Cycles, Trend Elimination, And The Hp Filter,"
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"Political tension and stock markets in the Arabian Peninsula,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 679-683, January.
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Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 86-97, January.
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"How far can we forecast? Statistical tests of the predictive content,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(4), pages 369-392, June.
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"No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 495-516, August.
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"Is euro area lowflation here to stay? Insights from a time‐varying parameter model with survey data,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 566-586, August.
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"Transitory and permanent shocks in the global market for crude oil,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 1047-1064, November.
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"Forecasting the production side of GDP,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 458-480, April.
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"An approach to increasing forecast‐combination accuracy through VAR error modeling,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 686-699, July.
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"A Time‐Series Model of Interest Rates with the Effective Lower Bound,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(5), pages 1005-1046, August.
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"Specification tests for non‐Gaussian maximum likelihood estimators,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(3), pages 683-742, July.
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"Regime‐dependent effects of uncertainty shocks: A structural interpretation,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(4), pages 1139-1170, November.
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"Investor Sentiment Connectedness: Evidence From Linear And Nonlinear Causality Approaches,"
Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(04), pages 1-29, December.
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"Constructing a Coincident Economic Indicator for India: How Well Does It Track Gross Domestic Product?,"
Asian Development Review (ADR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 38(02), pages 237-277, September.
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"Faster fiscal stimulus and a higher government spending multiplier in China: Mixed-frequency identification with SVAR,"
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"Global uncertainty,"
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"Economic theories and macroeconomic reality,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 105-117.
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"The Role of the Prior in Estimating VAR Models with Sign Restrictions,"
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"Testing identification via heteroskedasticity in structural vector autoregressive models,"
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"Precautionary liquidity shocks, excess reserves and business cycles,"
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"Disentangling Covid-19, Economic Mobility, and Containment Policy Shocks,"
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"Heteroscedastic Proxy Vector Autoregressions,"
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"Global Impacts of US Monetary Policy Uncertainty Shocks,"
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"Natural rate chimera and bond pricing reality,"
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