Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ C: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
/ / C3: Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
/ / / C32: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Estimated DSGE Models
2. Forecasting with DSGE Models
3. Nowcasting
4. Sign Restrictions
5. Bayesian Vector autoregressions (BVARs)
6. Dynamic Factor Models

2026

• Roth, Felix, 2026, "Inflation and Public Support for the Euro," Hamburg Discussion Papers in International Economics, University of Hamburg, Department of Economics, number 21.
• Junior Maih & Nigar Hashimzade & Oleg Kirsanov & Tatiana Kirsanova, 2026, "Markov-Switching DSGE Modeling in RISE," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2026_01, Jan.
• Ayden Higgins & Koen Jochmans, 2026, "Learning markov processes with latent variables," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-05488665, DOI: 10.1017/S0266466625000027.
• Jérôme Creel & Serena Ionta & Guido Traficante, 2026, "Fiscal policies are not all alike: composition effects, regime switching and uncertainty," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-05459696, Jan.
• Jérôme Creel & Serena Ionta & Guido Traficante, 2026, "Fiscal policies are not all alike: composition effects, regime switching and uncertainty," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-05459696, Jan.
• Giovanna Ciaffi & Matteo Deleidi & Mariana Mazzucato, 2026, "Directed Innovation Policies and the Supermultiplier: New Evidence," FMM Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 122-2026.
• Wing-Keung Wong & Riffat Mughal & Mustafa Afeef & Naveed Khan & Hassan Zada, 2026, "Human Capital Based Six-Factor Asset Pricing Model in the Era of Covid-19," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, volume 33, issue 1, pages 25-63, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10690-025-09579-7.
• Spyros Papathanasiou & Anastasios Magoutas & Drosos Koutsokostas, 2026, "The systemic footprint: revisiting risk mitigation in long/short and 60/40 portfolios through network connectedness," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, volume 29, issue 1, pages 1-31, December, DOI: 10.1007/s11147-025-09226-3.
• Don Bredin & Stilianos Fountas & Paraskevi Tzika, 2026, "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Income Inequality across Europe," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2026_05, May, revised May 2026.
• Mariusz Kapuściński, 2026, "A cyclical explanation of the decrease in the credit-to-GDP ratio in Poland after the COVID-19 pandemic," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 381.
• Neville Francis & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2026, "Principled Identification of Structural Dynamic Models," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34623, Jan.
• Rihab Belguith, 2026, "Dynamic Spillovers and Portfolio Construction: A TVP-VAR Analysis of the S&P 500, SSE, ESG ETFs, and Commodities," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, volume 30, issue 1, pages 186-221.
• Chiara Casoli & Riccardo Lucchetti, 2026, "A rotated Dynamic Factor Model for the yield curve: squeezing out information when it matters," Working Papers, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali, number 503, Jan.
• Daniel Lewis & Karel Mertens, 2026, "Weak instrument bias in impulse response estimators," CeMMAP working papers, Institute for Fiscal Studies, number 01/26, Jan, DOI: 10.47004/wp.cem.2026.0126.
• Asli Guler & Ibrahim Al, 2026, "When Stability Matters: Long-Run and Dynamic Effects of Public and Private Fixed-Capital Investments on Economic Growth in Turkey," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 3-26.
• Rubén Domínguez-Díaz & Marta García-Rodríguez & Javier Quintana & Rubén Veiga-Duarte, 2026, "Estimación del crecimiento potencial de la economía española: una revisión metodológica," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 2604, Feb, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/42465.
• Carlos Cañizares Martínez & Adriana Lojschová & Alicia Aguilar, 2026, "Non-linear effects of monetary policy shocks on housing: Evidence from a CESEE country," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2602, Jan, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/42325.
• Alessandro Franconi & Lucas Hack, 2026, "Import Tariffs and the Systematic Response of Monetary Policy Perspective," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1035.
• Sergey Ivashchenko, 2026, "Structural seasonality," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps160, Jan.
• Emanuele Bacchiocchi & Andrea Bastianin & Graziano Moramarco, 2026, "Macroeconomic Spillovers of Weather Shocks Across U.S. States," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 88, issue 1, pages 141-156, February, DOI: 10.1111/obes.70011.
• Tom Doan, 2026, "FARRANTPEERSMANJMCB2006: RATS program to replicate Farrant-Peersman(2006) sign restricted VAR's," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00013, revised .
• Tom Doan, 2026, "GLOBALVAR: RATS program to demonstrate estimation of a global VAR," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00036, revised .
• Tom Doan, 2026, "LANNELUTKEPOHLJMCB2008: RATS programs to replicate Lanne-Lutkepohl JMCB 2008 structural VAR with volatility shifts," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00050, revised .
• Tom Doan, 2026, "MOUNTFORDUHLIGJAE2009: RATS programs to replicate Mountford and Uhlig JAE 2009 sign-constrained VAR," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00058, revised .
• Tom Doan, 2026, "PEERSMANJAE2005: RATS program to replicates Peersman JAE 2005 VAR analysis," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00062, revised .
• Peter A. Zadrozny, 2026, "Gaussian Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Static and Dynamic Factor Models," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12380.
• Xiwen Bai & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Francesco Zanetti, 2026, "State Dependence of Monetary Policy During Global Supply Chain Disruptions," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12451.
• Yao, Zengfu & Yang, Ou & Chen, Ye & Dong, Zhiwei & Yang, Cheng & Wei, Yu & Chen, Yonghuai, 2026, "Spillover and diversification effects of China's CET and the industrial stock markets: Evidence from different carbon emission levels in the industrial sector," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 109, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104824.
• Wang, Haiying & Luo, Ting & Jiang, Chonghui & Du, Jiangze, 2026, "Which companies are most at low-carbon transition risks? Evidence from ripple effects in multi-order moments," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 110, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104843.
• Campos-Martins, Susana & Amado, Cristina, 2026, "Modelling time-varying volatility interactions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 111, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2026.105098.
• Yang, Hao & Yang, Jie & Feng, Yun, 2026, "Global agricultural vulnerability to climate physical risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.108990.
• Liu, Jinglin & Xing, Xiaoyun & Chen, Guorong & Zhang, Yang, 2026, "Biodiversity risk as a financial threat: Evidence from AFHF sectors using QVAR networks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.109035.
• Qin, Meng & LOBONŢ, Oana-Ramona & Zhou, Haigang & Hsueh, Hsin-Pei, 2026, "Enabler or barrier? Evaluating the effectiveness of green financial assets in hedging against uncertainties," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.108720.
• Foglia, Matteo & Gupta, Rangan & Caraiani, Petre & Pacelli, Vincenzo, 2026, "Time-varying spillover of multi-scale positive and negative bubbles in stock and oil markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.109179.
• Wei, Yu & Hu, Rui & Wang, Qian & Zhou, Chunyan, 2026, "The trump shockwave: How presidential tenure redefined cross-asset spillovers in cryptocurrency, commodity, and capital markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 89, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.109357.
• Geissel, S. & Klein, D., 2026, "The declining explanatory power of interest rates for stock market and business cycle dynamics," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 91, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2026.109524.
• Boer, Lukas & Lee, Jaewoo & Sun, Mingzuo, 2026, "Dominant drivers of current account dynamics," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 159, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104199.
• Qamruzzaman, Md, 2026, "Environmental sustainability in G7: Nexus between digitalization, green innovation, environmental taxes, and ESG uncertainty," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, volume 5, issue 1, DOI: 10.1016/j.igd.2026.100329.
• Mensi, Walid & El-Khoury, Rim & Alshater, Muneer & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2026, "Asymmetric spillovers between US sector stocks, Islamic stock index, conventional bond, green bond, and commodity markets," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, volume 5, issue 1, DOI: 10.1016/j.igd.2026.100334.
• Feng, Lingbing & Shi, Jingyi & Kutan, Ali M., 2026, "Your fear is (partly) mine: the role of non-VIX volatility in forecasting regional stock market volatility using interpretable machine learning," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 160, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103467.
• Herwartz, Helmut & Ochsner, Christian & Rohloff, Hannes, 2026, "How do credit supply conditions transmit across the globe?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 161, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103488.
• Heckel, Markus & Inoue, Tomoo & Nishimura, Kiyohiko G. & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2026, "The effectiveness of monetary policy: Evidence from market operation-based monetary policy indices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 162, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103511.
• Al-Haschimi, Alexander & Apostolou, Apostolos & Azqueta-Gavaldon, Andres & Ricci, Martino, 2026, "Assessing financial risk in China: a text-based indicator approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 162, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103514.
• Jalles, João & Beirne, John & Park, Donghyun & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2026, "Public spending, private gains: the gendered impact of exogenous fiscal policy shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 162, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2026.103527.
• Cheng, Chak Hung Jack & Hankins, William B. & Stone, Anna-Leigh, 2026, "The impact of financial uncertainty shocks on firm creation across US states," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103739.
• Esposti, Roberto, 2026, "Investigating commodity price interdependence with Granger causality networks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 112, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105820.
• Akcan, Ahmet Tayfur & Kazak, Hasan & Soyyigit, Semanur & Kilic, Cuneyt, 2026, "Dynamic and causal effects of oil price uncertainty on U.S. energy production: A Fourier and wavelet-based analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 113, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105851.
• Hubrich, Kirstin & Schüler, Yves & Waggoner, Daniel, 2026, "Financial shocks and leverage of financial institutions: When do they matter?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103900.
• Le, Thai Hong & Pham, Dat Thanh & Le, Khanh Ngoc & Le, Anh Chi & Nguyen, Huong Mai Thi, 2026, "Mapping information flows among digital assets: An entropy and network-based study of cryptocurrencies, DeFi, and NFTs," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, volume 681, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2025.131080.
• Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2026, "Housing market variables and predictability of state-level stock market volatility of the United States: Fundamentals versus sentiments in a mixed-frequency framework," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 105, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2025.102087.
• Samarakoon, S.M.R.K. & Pradhan, Rudra P., 2026, "How do return and volatility spillovers shape futures markets? Insights from index, commodity, and carbon emission futures," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, volume 256, issue PD, DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.124110.
• SenGupta, Swapnanil & Sachan, Anshita & Sharma, Gagan Deep, 2026, "Renewable energy and the macroeconomic space in India: A Bayesian VAR approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, volume 261, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2026.125298.
• Chaaben, Nahla & Saida, Imen & Helali, Kamel, 2026, "Analyzing the non-linear impact of carbon dioxide emissions on renewable energy in Commonwealth nations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, volume 227, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2025.116494.
• Wang, Xiaoqing & Safi, Adnan & Wang, Su & Zhang, Yifei, 2026, "How does carbon market react to economic policy uncertainty and oil price shocks? New evidence from a time-varying perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 105, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2025.104841.
• Malhotra, Priya & Kumar, Sanjeev & Gubareva, Mariya & Mendes, José Zorro, 2026, "Dynamic nexus of clean energy metals, energy commodities and traditional assets: Multidimensional techniques and portfolio analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103182.
• Mei, Dexiang & Li, Xiaotao, 2026, "Forecasting of Chinese stock price using a hybrid neural network model," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 82, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103232.
• Obalade, Adefemi A. & Tita, Anthanasius Fomum & French, Joseph J. & Gurdgiev, Constantin, 2026, "Much Ado about global uncertainty: Volatility transmission between US-China tension and African foreign exchange markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 83, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2026.103283.
• Hu, Yunchao & Wang, Gang-Jin & Gao, Wenyu & Lu, Guibin & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2026, "Connectedness and systemic importance of global financial markets: A multilayer network perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2026.103336.
• Dufrénot, Gilles & Ginn, William & Pourroy, Marc, 2026, "Climate change impacts on commodity price stability through changing ENSO patterns," World Development, Elsevier, volume 197, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107165.
• Yasuo Hirose & Donghoon Yoo, 2026, "Behavioral Expectations Under Indeterminacy: An Empirical Evaluation," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-02, Jan.
• Jerome Creel & Serena Ionta & Guido Traficante, 2026, "Fiscal Policies Are Not All Alike: Composition Effects, Regime Switching and Uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-06, Feb.
• Jamel Saadaoui, 2026, "Geopolitical Turning Points and Macroeconomic Volatility: A Bilateral Identification Strategy," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-08, Feb.
• Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2026, "Monitoring Macroeconomic Prospects with a Meta VAR-E Dashboard," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-10, Feb.
• Tshifhiwa Makhalimela & Tshilidzi Munzhelele, 2026, "Investigating the Impact of Consumer Confidence and Exchange Rates on Purchasing Decisions in South Africa," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), volume 0, issue 1, pages 34-53.
• Imen Ben Achour & Jihed Majdoub, 2026, "Market Integration between Bitcoin, Crude-Oil and Gold: Evidence from ARDL and Johansen Models," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, volume 16, issue 1, pages 03-20.
• Piotr Misztal, 2026, "Exploring the Relationship Between Public Debt and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue 1, pages 134-149.
• Danilo Leiva-León & Rodrigo Sekkel & Luis Uzeda, 2026, "Do Monetary Policy Shocks Affect the Neutral Rate of Interest?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 26-3, Feb, DOI: 10.29412/res.wp.2026.03.
• Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Ping Wu, 2026, "Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 26-04, Feb, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202604.
• Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens, 2026, "Weak Instrument Bias in Impulse Response Estimators," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2601, Jan, DOI: 10.24149/wp2601.
• Jens H. E. Christensen & Daan Steenkamp, 2026, "A Market-Based Assessment of the Outlook for Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy in South Africa," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-03, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-03.
• Martín Almuzara & Geert Mesters, 2026, "Seeing Through the Shutdown’s Missing Inflation Data," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20260217, Feb, DOI: 10.59576/lse.20260217.
• Shoaib Ali & Nassar S. Al-Nassar & Ali Awais Khalid & Charbel Salloum, 2026, "Dynamic Tail Risk Connectedness between Artificial Intelligence and Fintech Stocks," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, volume 357, issue 1, pages 373-407, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06349-y.
• Dario Palumbo, 2026, "Precious metals and currency risk: testing hedging effectiveness and safe-haven properties across trading frequencies during periods of market distress," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, volume 357, issue 1, pages 441-474, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06824-0.
• Wafa Masmoudi Kammoun, 2026, "Return and volatility spillover drivers among conventional cryptocurrencies," Digital Finance, Springer, volume 8, issue 1, pages 1-39, March, DOI: 10.1007/s42521-025-00167-y.
• Vaibhav Gagneja & Mayank Gupta & Sanjay Batish & Poonam Saini & Sudesh Rani, 2026, "ES-LSTM: a hybrid model for accurate time series forecasting in financial markets," Digital Finance, Springer, volume 8, issue 1, pages 1-21, March, DOI: 10.1007/s42521-025-00173-0.
• Olfa El Aoun, 2026, "Market-specific connectedness behaviors across quantiles and frequencies connectedness patterns among G7 markets, commodities, bitcoin, and interest rate spread," Digital Finance, Springer, volume 8, issue 1, pages 1-45, March, DOI: 10.1007/s42521-025-00175-y.
• James Dean & Scott Schuh, 2026, "From Conventional to Unconventional Monetary Policy: Is the Taylor Rule an Adequate Representation in Macro Models?," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-48, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02868-0.
• Fayssal Ayad, 2026, "Breaking away: development burdens of secession in Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-29, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02872-4.
• Oguzhan Ozcelebi & Rim El Khoury & Sang Hoon Kang, 2026, "Dynamic quantile frequency connectedness and dependence between global football club fan tokens, cryptocurrencies, and uncertainty indices," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-52, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-026-02889-3.
• Ozge Kandemir Kocaaslan & Aysegul Uckun Ozkan, 2026, "The effects of oil news shock on sectoral employment in the USA," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 3, pages 1-27, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02859-1.
• Nezir Köse & Emre Ünal & Savas Gayaker, 2026, "The role of global factors in Bitcoin dynamics: Evidence from the TVP-VAR-SV model," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 3, pages 1-28, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-026-02897-3.
• Hugo Gobato Souto & Amir Moradi, 2026, "Enhancing financial risk management: a novel multivariate neural network approach for realized covariance matrix prediction," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-26, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-025-00816-6.
• Jinxin Cui & Elie Bouri, 2026, "Jumps and higher-order moments of crude oil and stock sectors in China: new insights from timescales connectedness," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-48, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-025-00830-8.
• SeungOh Han, 2026, "Volatility spillovers and portfolio diversification strategies after the 2023 Israel–Hamas conflict," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-45, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-025-00850-4.
• Yusri Yahya & Abdul Hafizh Mohd Azam & Zulkefly Abdul Karim & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi & Mohammad Bintang Pamuncak, 2026, "Does geopolitical risk influence foreign investors’ decisions in the stock market? An ARDL approach," Future Business Journal, Springer, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-12, December, DOI: 10.1186/s43093-026-00736-6.
• Vishal Roy & Amit Gautam, 2026, "Ripple effect of United States political uncertainty on developed and emerging markets: unveiling financial turbulence," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 1-27, December, DOI: 10.1007/s12197-025-09745-7.
• Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Mariem Brahim, 2026, "Climate risks and predictability of the conditional distributions of rare earth stock returns and volatility," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 1-26, December, DOI: 10.1007/s12197-026-09750-4.
• Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2026, "Forecasting the volatility of stock returns in the G7 countries over centuries: the role of climate risks," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 1-32, December, DOI: 10.1007/s12197-026-09751-3.
• Michael Donadelli & Antonio Paradiso, 2026, "The economic impact of pandemics and wars in pre-modern Western Europe: A supply-side perspective," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 36, issue 1, pages 1-46, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-025-00929-2.
• Paweł Brusiło & Andrzej Tomski, 2026, "The dynamic panel gravity model of trade in photovoltaic cell panels in the Asia–Pacific region," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, volume 60, issue 1, pages 857-885, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11135-025-02265-w.
• Alejandro Rangel Correa & Alexander Cotte Poveda & Clara Inés Pardo Martínez, 2026, "Economic growth and human capital: an approach from dynamic stochastic general equilibrium and vector error correction modelling for Colombia," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, volume 60, issue 1, pages 2535-2562, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11135-025-02350-0.
• Satyendra Kushwaha & Rajkishan S. Nair, 2026, "Dynamic interlinkages among FDI, remittances, and economic growth in India," SN Business & Economics, Springer, volume 6, issue 1, pages 1-24, January, DOI: 10.1007/s43546-025-01019-y.
• Federica Arena, 2026, "Between Theory and Reality: Growth analysis of Italy in the Post-Keynesian Framework," Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena, number 937, Jan.
• Pınar Karahan-Dursun, 2026, "Testing the EKC Hypothesis Using Ecological Footprint by Considering Biocapacity and Human Capital in Türkiye: A Dynamic Analysis," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 73, issue 2, pages 189-212.
• Mónica Edreira-Viqueira & David Peón-Pose & Laura Varela-Candamio, 2026, "Fiscal Policy as an Anchor in Household Debt Cycles: Evidence from Spain," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, volume 16, issue 1, pages 2-33, June.
• Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2026, "Regime-Dependent Linkages Across South African Asset Markets and Commodities: Application of Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, volume 16, issue 1, pages 45-69, June.
• Rupon Bhowmick, 2026, "Tariff Liberalization and Economic Outcomes of a Dual Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, volume 16, issue 1, pages 70-83, June.
• Arabinda Basistha, 2026, "We study the role of global inflation in estimation of US output components using multivariate unobserved components models. We augment the US inflation equations with global inflation based on strong empirical evidence in past studies. We further al," Working Papers, Department of Economics, West Virginia University, number 26-04, Feb.
• Zhiwu Hong & Linlin Niu, 2026, "The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Eurozone Sovereign Risk: A Yield Net Analysis," Working Papers, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University, number 2026-01-28, Jan.
• Linlin Niu & Haoran Bai & Zhiwu Hong, 2026, "Geopolitical Risks, Inflation Pressure, and the U.S. Treasury Yield Curve," Working Papers, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University, number 2025-09-25, Feb.
• Qian, Jingye & Marín Díazaraque, Juan Miguel & Veiga, Helena, 2026, "A VAR with Threshold Stochastic Volatility for State-Dependent Climate–Energy–Industry Dynamics," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number 49327, Feb.
• Bellocca, Gian Pietro Enzo & Garrón Vedia, Ignacio & Rodríguez Caballero, Carlos Vladimir & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2026, "The empirical distribution of sequential LS factors in Multi-level Dynamic Factor Models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number 49336, Feb.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Sebastian Kohl, 2026, "The Era of Ever-Larger Dwellings in Germany Is Coming to an End," DIW Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 16, issue 1/2, pages 3-14.
• Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Sebastian Kohl, 2026, "Zeitalter der immer größer werdenden Wohnungen endet," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 93, issue 1/2, pages 3-9.
• Martin Bruns & Helmut Lütkepohl, 2026, "Review of Proxy Vector Autoregressive Analysis," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 2155.
• Carboni, Giacomo & Fonseca, Luís & Fornari, Fabio & Urrutia, Leonardo, 2026, "Structural drivers of growth at risk: insights from a VAR-quantile regression approach," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3171, Jan.
• De Santis, Roberto A. & Cardamone, Dario, 2026, "Understanding the inflation–output relationship across business cycle phases," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3175, Jan.
• Consolo, Agostino & Foroni, Claudia & Hjelm, Linnéa, 2026, "The labour market in the euro area: and yet, it moves!," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3180, Feb.
• Rigato, Rodolfo Dinis, 2026, "A least-squares filter for sequence-space models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3191, Feb.
• Bletzinger, Tilman & Martorana, Giulia & Mistak, Jakub, 2026, "Looser, tighter, clearer: a new Financial Conditions Index for the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3193, Feb.
• Bergmann, Daniel R. & Oliveira, Mauri A., 2026, "Extreme risk clustering in long-memory financial series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, volume 202, issue P1, DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2025.117513.
• López, Lucia & Odendahl, Florens & Párraga Rodríguez, Susana & Silgado-Gómez, Edgar, 2026, "The pass-through to inflation of gas price shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105218.
• Granese, Antonio, 2026, "Two main business cycle shocks are better than one," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105231.
• Postek, Łukasz & Walerych, Małgorzata, 2026, "The impact of Ukrainian immigration on labour market dynamics in Poland: A Bayesian VAR analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 155, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107441.
• Tan, Li & Bian, Shibo & Yan, Yayi & Hu, Zhiming, 2026, "Generalized impulse response analysis for time-varying VAR models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 155, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107452.
• Tuğan, Mustafa & Özçelik, Seda E., 2026, "Do aggregate dynamics in developing economies differ after a rise in home and foreign productivity?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 156, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107447.
• Nasir, Rana Muhammad & He, Feng & Asadi, Mehrad & Roubaud, David, 2026, "Spillover and return connectedness between uncertainties, digital assets, green bond, green and traditional energy markets: Evidence from quantile VAR," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2025.102538.
• Yuan, Jiayuan & Zhu, Weineng & Huang, Zishan & Zhu, Huiming, 2026, "Time-frequency quantile effect of global uncertainty on stock markets: evidence from wavelet decomposition," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2025.102554.
• Yang, Hao & Yang, Jie & Feng, Yun, 2026, "Climate physical risks and the vulnerability of global agricultural commodities," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 258, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112748.
• Schweikert, Karsten, 2026, "Asymptotic inference for Hasbrouck information shares," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 258, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112756.
• Chen, Bin & Han, Yuefeng & Yu, Qiyang, 2026, "Estimation and inference for CP tensor factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 253, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106167.
• De Vos, Ignace & Everaert, Gerdie, 2026, "GLS estimation of local projections: Trading robustness for efficiency," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 253, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2026.106182.
• Archakov, Ilya & Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Lunde, Asger, 2026, "A multivariate realized GARCH model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 254, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106040.
• Dimitriadis, Timo & Halbleib, Roxana & Polivka, Jeannine & Rennspies, Jasper & Streicher, Sina & Wolter, Axel Friedrich, 2026, "Efficient sampling for realized variance estimation in time-changed diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 254, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106150.
• Demetrescu, Matei & Hanck, Christoph & Kruse-Becher, Robinson, 2026, "Robust Fixed-b Inference in the Presence of Time-Varying Volatility," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, volume 37, issue C, pages 154-173, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2023.05.003.
• Aastveit, Knut Are & Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Cross, Jamie L. & Kalstad, Helene O., 2026, "Unveiling inflation: Oil shocks, supply chain pressures, and expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 181, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105192.
• Foroni, Claudia & Furlanetto, Francesco, 2026, "Explaining deviations from Okun’s law," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105205.
• Brignone, Riccardo & Junike, Gero, 2026, "Exact simulation of stochastic volatility models based on conditional Fourier-cosine method," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, volume 328, issue 3, pages 1036-1053, DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2025.08.061.
• Enilov, Martin & Delantar, Edna & Parhi, Mamata, 2026, "The predictive effects of Fintech-ESG dynamic interdependence: A global perspective on Cleantech energy transition risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 153, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.109090.
• Farag, Markos & Ruhnau, Oliver, 2026, "Decomposing return and volatility connectedness in Northwest European natural gas markets: Evidence from the R2 connectedness approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 154, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.109115.
• Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2026, "(Quantile) Spillover Indexes: Simulation-Based Evidence, Confidence Intervals and a Decomposition," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 24, issue 1, pages 1-021..
• Zigang Li & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Wang Renxuan, 2026, "Understanding Rationality and Disagreement in House Price Expectations," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 39, issue 2, pages 297-342.
• María Dolores Gadea Rivas & Jesús Gonzalo, 2026, "Regional heterogeneity and warming dominance in the United States," PLOS Climate, Public Library of Science, volume 5, issue 2, pages 1-27, February, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000808.
• Jiawen Luo & Jingyi Deng & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2026, "Time-Varying Effects of Skewness: An International Comparison," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202602, Feb.
• Fatma Kızılkaya & Oktay Kızılkaya & Faruk Mike, 2026, "Natural Resource Rents, Geopolitical Risk, and Environmental Pollution: Evidence from Türkiye," Business and Economics Research Journal, Bursa Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, volume 17, issue 1, pages 1-13, January, DOI: 10.20409/berj.2026.484.
• Mohamed Saney Dalmar & Suryati Ishak & Hanny Zurina Hamzah & Saifuzzaman Ibrahim, 2026, "Foreign Aid and Financial Development on Poverty in Africa: New Perspectives from the MMQR Approach," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, volume 18, issue 1, pages 71-87, January, DOI: 10.1177/09749101251365050.
• Marina da Silva Sanches & Gustavo Pereira Serra & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2026, "Knowledge Capital Accumulation, Household Student Debt, and the Labor Share in the Social Product: Evidence for the United States," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), number 2026_03, Feb.

2025

• Venkat Hariharan Asha & Ojha, Ajay & Chakraborty, Lekha, 2025, "Public and Private Corporate Investment: An Empirical Analysis of the "Crowding -in" Effects of Fiscal Policy in India," Working Papers, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, number 25/428, Jun.
• Ivan Todorov, 2025, "Estimating Structural Shocks in Bulgarian House Prices: A SVAR-Based Historical Decomposition," Godishnik na UNSS, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 1, pages 93-104, October.
• Hugh Miller & Juan-Pablo Martinez, 2025, "The changing dynamics in global metal markets: How the energy transition and geo-fragmentation may disrupt commodity prices," OECD Environment Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 258, Apr.
• Clara De Luigi & Markus Eller & Anna Stelzer, 2025, "Conditional dynamics of monetary policy shocks: the mitigating role of macroprudential policy in CESEE," OeNB Bulletin, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/25-2, pages 1-30.
• Nico Petz & Thomas Scheiber & Julia Wörz, 2025, "How do euro deposits in CESEE react to exchange rate shocks?," OeNB Bulletin, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/25-3, pages 1-24.
• Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2025, "Downside and Upside Uncertainty Shocks," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 23, issue 1, pages 159-189.
• Tilman Bletzinger & Wolfgang Lemke & Jean-Paul Renne, 2025, "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Inflation-Consumption Correlation in an Equilibrium Term Structure Model," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 23, issue 2, pages 110-138.
• Anne Opschoor & André Lucas & Luca Rossini, 2025, "The Conditional Autoregressive F-Riesz Model for Realized Covariance Matrices," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 23, issue 2, pages 177-190.
• Matei Demetrescu & Benjamin Hillmann, 2025, "Gaussian Inference in Predictive Regressions for Stock Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 23, issue 2, pages 813-841.
• Matthias R Fengler & Jeannine Polivka, 2025, "Structural Volatility Impulse Response Analysis," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 23, issue 2, pages 951-971.
• Maksim Isakin & Phuong V Ngo, 2025, "The U.S. Treasury Term Premia in a Low Interest Rate Regime," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 23, issue 3, pages 1877-1905.
• Hui-Jhong Choi & Kyu Ho Kang, 2025, "Finding Inflation Uncertainty Factors: A Sparse Stochastic Volatility Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 23, issue 4, pages 1593-1636.
• Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Le Xu & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 1070, Feb.
• László Bokor, 2025, "Investigating the nexus between sovereign green and vanilla bonds in the secondary market," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 26, issue 7, pages 753-767, December, DOI: 10.1057/s41260-025-00402-6.
• Filippo Arigoni & Miha Breznikar & Črt Lenarčič & Matjaž Maletič, 2025, "Impact of Fiscal Measures in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic on Small-Open Economies: Lessons from Slovenia," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, volume 51, issue 4, pages 553-582, October, DOI: 10.1057/s41302-025-00301-z.
• Oguzhan Cepni & Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta, 2025, "The time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the co-movement of regional housing prices of the United Kingdom," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-22, December, DOI: 10.1057/s41599-025-04494-8.
• Oriol Gonzalez-Casasus & Frank Schorfheide, 2025, "Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 25-003, Feb.
• Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Yiliang Li & Le Xu & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Charting the Uncharted: The (Un)Intended Consequences of Oil Sanctions and Dark Shipping," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 25-005, Feb.
• Annika Mauer & Andreas Nastansky, 2025, "Empirische Analyse des Zusammenhangs zwischen Rendite und impliziter Volatilität am deutschen Aktienmarkt," Statistische Diskussionsbeiträge, Universität Potsdam, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät, number 58, Jan, DOI: 10.25932/publishup-66946.
• Hammed, Yinka S & Salisu, Afees & Akume, Michael, 2025, "The international spillover effects of US Quality of Political Signals: A Global VAR approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 123530, Jan.
• KOUAKOU, Thiédjé Gaudens-Omer & KAMALAN, Angbonon Eugène, 2025, "Développement financier et réduction des inégalités de revenus en Côte d’Ivoire : une approche par la régression quantile
  [Financial development and reduction of income inequalities in Côte d’Ivoire: a quantile regression approach]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 123616, Feb.
• Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Almohaimeed, Bader & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2025, "A beta prime ARMA model for positive time series," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 123873, Feb.
• John Michael, Riveros-Gavilanes, 2025, "Metodología estándar de vectores autoregresivos (VAR) y de corrección del error (VEC)
  [Standard methodology of vector autoregression (VAR) and error correction (VEC)]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 124015, Mar.
• Dayoro, Donatien, 2025, "Contribution à l’Optimisation des Prix Bord Champ en Côte d'Ivoire : Méthodologie Pratique et Recommandations
  [Contribution to the Optimization of Farm-Gate Prices in Côte d'Ivoire: Practical Methodology and Recommendations]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 124038, Mar, revised 20 Mar 2025.
• Asuamah Yeboah, Samuel, 2025, "The Energy Demand–Economic Growth Dynamics Theory (ED-EGD Theory): Insights from Ghana (1970 - 2011)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 124513, Mar, revised 08 Apr 2025.
• Abdulrahman, Abdulrahman & Al-Ghawi, Omar & Al-Ghoul, Youssef, 2025, "الناتج القومي ومحدداته الاقتصادية الكلية - GDP and Its Macroeconomics Deteminants," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125084, May.
• Aguilar, José & Quineche, Ricardo, 2025, "Regional Inflation Spillovers and Monetary Policy Design: Evidence from Peru's Successful Inflation-Targeting Framework," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125442, Jul.
• Saadaoui, Jamel, 2025, "Geopolitical Turning Points and Oil Price Responses: An IV-LP Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125586, Jan.
• Vîntu, Denis, 2025, "Modeling the Unemployment Rate with Simultaneous Equations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125708, Aug, revised 10 Aug 2025.
• Vîntu, Denis, 2025, "An Artificial Neural Network Experiment on the Prediction of the Unemployment Rate," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125938, Aug, revised Aug 2025.
• Vîntu, Denis, 2025, "The Natural Rate of Unemployment and the NAIRU: Theoretical Foundations, Empirical Evidence, and Policy Debates," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125939, Aug, revised Aug 2025.
• Vîntu, Denis, 2025, "Duration Structure of Unemployment Hazards and the Trend Unemployment Rate," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125940, Aug, revised Aug 2025.
• Vîntu, Denis, 2025, "Estimation of the Unemployment Rate in Moldova: A Comparison of ARIMA and Machine Learning Models Including COVID-19 Pandemic Periods," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125941, Aug, revised Aug 2025.
• Bauer, Dietmar & del Barrio Castro, Tomás, 2025, "The Effect of Aggregation on Seasonal Cointegration in Mixed Frequency data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126066, Sep.
• boughabi, houssam, 2025, "Ghanaian Inflation and Income Dynamics: Evidence on Volatility and Neutrality," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126757, Oct.
• Mountford, Andrew, 2025, "Identifying the Shocks also Identifies the Constants: Implications for VAR analysis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126806, Nov.
• Fantazzini, Dean, 2025, "Detecting Stablecoin Failure with Simple Thresholds and Panel Binary Models: The Pivotal Role of Lagged Market Capitalization and Volatility," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126906, Nov.
• Kyriakopoulou, Dimitra, 2025, "A Shrinkage Factor-Augmented VAR for High-Dimensional Macro–Fiscal Dynamics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127158, Dec.
• Ben Youssef, Slim, 2025, "The determinants of forest area in Brazil: U-shaped relationship for GDP per capita and for value of agricultural production per hectare," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127216, Dec.
• Rahimi Kahkashi, Sanaz & Asharieen, Nasim & Adeli, OmidAli & Roudari, Soheil, 2025, "تحلیل پویای واکنش رشد اقتصادی ایران به شوک های تحریمی و اقتصادی؛ کاربرد مدل الگوهای خود رگرسیون برداری تعمیم یافته با پارامتر متغیر زمان
  [Dynamic Analysis of Iran's Economic Growth Response to Sanctions and Economic Shocks: Application of the Gene," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127342, Jan, revised 22 Sep 2025.
• Kishor, N. Kundan, 2025, "Regime-Dependent Housing Valuations: Price-Rent Ratios, Volatility, and Structural Breaks in U.S. Markets," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127472, Oct.
• Jiawen Luo & Shengjie Fu & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2025, "The Role of Uncertainty in Forecasting Realized Covariance of US State-Level Stock Returns: A Reverse-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202501, Feb.
• Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2025, "Supply Disruptions and Predictability of Oil Returns Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202502, Feb.
• Onur Polat & Dhanashree Somani & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar, 2025, "Shortages and Machine-Learning Forecasting of Oil Returns Volatility: 1900-2024," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202503, Feb.
• Massimiliano Caporin & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Bertrand B. Maillet, 2025, "Unveiling True Connectedness in US State-Level Stock Markets: The Role of Common Factors," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202509, Feb.
• Onur Polat & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Mariem Brahim, 2025, "Climate Risks and Predictability of the Conditional Distributions of Rare Earth Stock Returns and Volatility," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202517, Apr.
• Abeeb Olaniran & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2025, "Multi-Moment and Multilayer Analysis of Connectedness among Clean, Brown, and Technology ETFs: The Role of Climate Risk," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202519, May.
• Mengting Li & Yu Wei & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2025, "Carbon Price Uncertainty-Macroeconomy Mixed-Frequency Spillovers: Evidence from the Frequency-Domain," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202527, Aug.
• Zhangying Li & O-Chia Chuang & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2025, "The Roles of Global Supply Chain Pressure and Economic Conditions in Forecasting the VaR of Commodity Markets: A Quantile GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202528, Aug.
• Onur Polat & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2025, "Forecasting The Volatility of Natural Gas Price using Machine Learning: Fundamentals versus Moments," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202532, Sep.
• Matteo Foglia & Rangan Gupta & Petre Caraiani & Vincenzo Pacelli, 2025, "Time-Varying Spillover of Multi-Scale Positive and Negative Bubbles in Stock and Oil Markets," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202534, Sep.
• Giovanni Bonaccolto & Sayar Karmakar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2025, "Spillover and Predictability of Volatility of 50 Major Cryptocurrencies: Evidence from a LASSO-Regularized Quantile VAR," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202538, Sep.
• Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Onur Polat, 2025, "Forecasting Natural Gas Futures Price Volatility of the United States: National versus State-Level Climate Concern Indexes," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202541, Nov.
• Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta, 2025, "Forecasting Oil Price Volatility of the United States: The Role of State-Level Climate Concern Indexes," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202542, Nov.
• Onur Polat & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2025, "Predicting Safe Haven Assets through Implied Treasury Yield Skewness: A Time-Varying Nonparametric Quantile Causality Analysis," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202544, Dec.
• Atif Jahanger & Mohd Ziaur Rehman & Md Mostafa Jalal & Md Emran Hossain, 2025, "Moving Towards Energy Transition: What Role Do Green Financing, Green Technology and Environmental Sustainability Play?," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2025, issue 4, pages 743-768.
• Gunwoo Lee, 2025, "An Empirical Analysis of the Disproportionality Theory of Crisis: A Sraffian Approach to the Economic Crisis," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2025, issue 6, pages 1034-1063, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1475.
• Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Daniel Abreu, 2025, "Large-dimensional cointegrated threshold factor models: The Global Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w202528.
• Emanuelle A. Alemar Sanchez & Carlos A. Rodriguez Ramos, 2025, "The impact of US monetary policy on small and dollarized economies: the case of Puerto Rico," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., volume 22, issue 2, pages 7-36, July-Dece.
• Matthew Read & Dan Zhu, 2025, "Fast Posterior Sampling in Tightly Identified SVARs Using 'Soft' Sign Restrictions," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2025-03, May, DOI: 10.47688/rdp2025-03.
• José Aguilar & Romina Garibay & Ricardo Quineche, 2025, "¿La Inflación en el Perú Presenta una Dinámica Asimétrica?: Un Enfoque Cuantílico," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2025-005, Aug.
• Delia Ruiz & Diego Franco & Walter Cuba, 2025, "Liquidity Regulation and the LCR Premium: Evidence from Repo Market Dynamics in Peru," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2025-014, Dec.