IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/125084.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

الناتج القومي ومحدداته الاقتصادية الكلية - GDP and Its Macroeconomics Deteminants

Author

Listed:
  • Abdulrahman, Abdulrahman
  • Al-Ghawi, Omar
  • Al-Ghoul, Youssef

Abstract

This study empirically investigates the impact of real interest rate, inflation, net trade, and exchange rate on Egypt's real GDP over the period 1990–2024 using an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression model. The results reveal that real interest rate and inflation have a statistically significant negative effect on GDP, reflecting the contractionary nature of tight monetary conditions and price instability. The exchange rate shows a positive effect on GDP, suggesting currency depreciation may boost exports. Net trade, surprisingly, exerts a negative effect, highlighting structural imbalances in Egypt’s trade composition. The findings confirm the relevance of traditional macroeconomic frameworks, IS–LM, AD-AS, and Mundell Fleming, while emphasizing the unique features of Egypt’s economy. The study contributes policy-relevant insights to macroeconomic management in developing economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdulrahman, Abdulrahman & Al-Ghawi, Omar & Al-Ghoul, Youssef, 2025. "الناتج القومي ومحدداته الاقتصادية الكلية - GDP and Its Macroeconomics Deteminants," MPRA Paper 125084, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:125084
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/125084/1/MPRA_paper_125084.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real GDP; Macroeconomics; Egypt; Interest Rate; Inflation; Exchange Rate; Net Trade; IS-LM; Mundell-Fleming; AD-AS; OLS Regression; Developing Economies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • C8 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • C87 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Econometric Software
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:125084. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.