IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/uhhhdp/21.html

Inflation and Public Support for the Euro

Author

Listed:
  • Roth, Felix

Abstract

The paper finds that the post-pandemic inflation surge and subsequent decline from 2021 to 2024 had no significant impact on public support for the Euro for the EA-19 and for most individual member states of the EA-19. From 2021 to 2024, net public support for the euro remained remarkably stable and reached historically high values across the EA-19. Perceptions of inflation in the national and personal economic situation had no significant effect on public support for the euro during the post-pandemic inflation surge and subsequent decline from 2021 to 2023. These findings contrast with those for the before-crisis and crisis periods, in which inflation and inflation perceptions had a significant negative impact on public support for the euro. Similar to public support for the euro, trust in the institutions that govern the Euro was also not affected by the post-pandemic inflation surge.

Suggested Citation

  • Roth, Felix, 2026. "Inflation and Public Support for the Euro," Hamburg Discussion Papers in International Economics 21, University of Hamburg, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:uhhhdp:21
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/334460/1/hdpie-no21.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Deirdre N. McCloskey & Stephen T. Ziliak, 1996. "The Standard Error of Regressions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 34(1), pages 97-114, March.
    2. Felix Roth & Lars Jonung & Aisada Most, 2024. "COVID-19 and public support for the Euro," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(1), pages 61-86, February.
    3. Hobolt, Sara B. & Wratil, Christopher, 2015. "Public opinion and the crisis: the dynamics of support for the euro," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60788, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. ., 2022. "International influence, including the Economic and Monetary Union," Chapters, in: The Role of the Public Sector, chapter 10, pages 115-127, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Barry Eichengreen, 1992. "Is Europe an Optimum Currency Area?," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Silvio Borner & Herbert Grubel (ed.), The European Community after 1992, chapter 8, pages 138-161, Palgrave Macmillan.
    6. Felix Roth, 2022. "Correction to: Crisis and Public Support for the Euro, 1990–2014," Contributions to Economics, in: Public Support for the Euro, pages C1-C1, Springer.
    7. van der Cruijsen, Carin & de Haan, Jakob & van Rooij, Maarten, 2025. "The association of high perceived inflation with trust in national politics and central banks✰," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    8. Paul Krugman, 2013. "Revenge of the Optimum Currency Area," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 27(1), pages 439-448.
    9. Felix Roth, 2022. "Correction to: Crisis and Public Support for the Euro, 1990–2014," Contributions to Economics, in: Public Support for the Euro, pages C1-C1, Springer.
    10. Benjamin J. Cohen, 1993. "Beyond Emu: The Problem Of Sustainability," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(2), pages 187-203, July.
    11. Felix Roth, 2022. "Correction to: Crisis and Public Support for the Euro, 1990–2014," Contributions to Economics, in: Public Support for the Euro, pages C1-C1, Springer.
    12. Giannone, Domenico & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2024. "The drivers of post-pandemic inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 19377, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Philip R. Lane, 2021. "The Resilience of the Euro," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 35(2), pages 3-22, Spring.
    14. Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1993. "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 783-820, July.
    15. Francesco Paolo Mongelli, 2005. "What is European Economic and Monetary Union Telling us About the Properties of Optimum Currency Areas?," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 607-635, September.
    16. Iain Begg, 2012. "The EU’s response to the global financial crisis and sovereign debt crisis," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 107-124, March.
    17. David Roodman, 2009. "How to do xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 9(1), pages 86-136, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Felix Roth & Lars Jonung & Aisada Most, 2024. "COVID-19 and public support for the Euro," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(1), pages 61-86, February.
    2. Mogaji, Peter Kehinde, 2015. "Review of Architectural Flaws of the EMU: What Eurozone Crisis Lessons for the Proposed ‘Afrozone’?," MPRA Paper 99334, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Emrah Kocak & Hayriye Hilal Baglitas, 2022. "The path to sustainable municipal solid waste management: Do human development, energy efficiency, and income inequality matter?," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 1947-1962, December.
    4. Adam Glapiński, 2025. "Ryzyka związane z przedwczesnym przyjęciem euro przez Polskę w świetle teorii optymalnych obszarów walutowych," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 56(3), pages 253-268.
    5. repec:ejw:journl:v:7:y:2010:i:1:p:4-52 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Felix Roth & Lars Jonung, 2022. "Public Support for the Euro and Trust in the ECB: The First Two Decades of the Common Currency," Contributions to Economics, in: Public Support for the Euro, chapter 0, pages 1-19, Springer.
    7. Arnold, Ivo J.M., 2024. "The effect of fragmentation risk on monetary conditions in the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    8. Ofori, Isaac K. & Gbolonyo, Emmanuel & Ojong, Nathanael, 2022. "Towards Inclusive Green Growth in Africa: Critical energy efficiency synergies and governance thresholds," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 365, pages 1-48.
    9. Felix Roth & Edgar Baake & Lars Jonung & Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D., 2022. "Revisiting Public Support for the Euro, 1999–2017: Accounting for the Crisis and the Recovery," Contributions to Economics, in: Public Support for the Euro, chapter 0, pages 21-45, Springer.
    10. Arvai, Kai, 2024. "The political economy of currency unions," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    11. Felix Roth & Anna-Elisabeth Thum, 2022. "Intangible Capital and Labor Productivity Growth: Panel Evidence for the EU from 1998–2005," Contributions to Economics, in: Intangible Capital and Growth, chapter 0, pages 101-128, Springer.
    12. Marcel Schroder, 2013. "Should developing countries undervalue their currencies?," Departmental Working Papers 2013-12, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    13. Dogan, Eyup & Majeed, Muhammad Tariq & Luni, Tania, 2022. "Revisiting the nexus of ecological footprint, unemployment, and renewable and non-renewable energy for South Asian economies: Evidence from novel research methods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 1060-1070.
    14. Dumitriu, Ramona & Stefanescu, Răzvan, 2020. "Iluzii financiare, Partea întâi [Financial Illusions, Part 1]," MPRA Paper 101201, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Jun 2020.
    15. Felix Roth & Lars Jonung & Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D., 2022. "Crisis and Public Support for the Euro, 1990–2014," Contributions to Economics, in: Public Support for the Euro, chapter 0, pages 55-91, Springer.
    16. John A. Jinapor & Shafic Suleman & Richard Stephens Cromwell, 2023. "Energy Consumption and Environmental Quality in Africa: Does Energy Efficiency Make Any Difference?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-26, January.
    17. Menna Bizuneh & Steven Buigut & Neven Valev, 2020. "Beyond Borders: The Euro Crisis and Public Support for Monetary Integration in East Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(4), pages 518-535, December.
    18. Dierk Herzer & Peter Nunnenkamp, 2013. "Inward and outward FDI and income inequality: evidence from Europe," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 149(2), pages 395-422, June.
    19. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Ike, George N., 2023. "Operational behaviours of multinational corporations, renewable energy transition, and environmental sustainability in Africa: Does the level of natural resource rents matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    20. Ignacio Jurado & Stefanie Walter & Nikitas Konstantinidis & Elias Dinas, 2020. "Keeping the euro at any cost? Explaining attitudes toward the euro-austerity trade-off in Greece," European Union Politics, , vol. 21(3), pages 383-405, September.
    21. Kai Arvai, 2021. "The Political Economy of Currency Unions," Working papers 850, Banque de France.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Systems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:uhhhdp:21. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fwhamde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.