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Ready for euro? Empirical study of the actual monetary policy independence in Poland

Author

Listed:
  • Łukasz Goczek

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences)

  • Dagmara Mycielska

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences)

Abstract

The aim of the article is to examine the actual degree of Polish monetary policy independence in the context of joining the Eurozone. It is frequently argued that the main cost of the participation in the EMU, or in any other common currency area, is the loss of monetary policy independence. In contrast, the paper raises the question of the actual possibility of such a policy in a small open economy operating within highly liberalized capital flows and highly integrated financial markets like Poland. Confirmation of the hypothesis concerning incomplete actual monetary independence is essential to the analysis of costs of the Polish accession to the EMU. The main hypothesis of the article is verified using a Vector Error-Correction Mechanism model and several parametric hypotheses concerning the speed and asymmetry of adjustment.

Suggested Citation

  • Łukasz Goczek & Dagmara Mycielska, 2013. "Ready for euro? Empirical study of the actual monetary policy independence in Poland," Working Papers 2013-13, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    • Handle: RePEc:war:wpaper:2013-13
    as

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    File URL: http://www.wne.uw.edu.pl/inf/wyd/WP/WNE_WP98.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hubert Gabrisch, 2017. "Monetary policy independence reconsidered: evidence from six non-euro members of the European Union," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(3), pages 567-584, August.
    2. KADEŘÁBKOVÁ Božena & BEDNÁŘ Ondřej, 2022. "How Much Can the Monetary Policies of Small Open Economies Neighbouring the Eurozone Be Independent?," European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Bucharest Economic Academy, issue 02, June.
    3. Łukasz Goczek & Dagmara Mycielska, 2013. "Long-run interest rate convergence in Poland and the EMU," Working Papers 2013-21, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    empirical analysis; Eurozone; monetary policy independence; monetary union;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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