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Cambios de las tasas de política, paridad cubierta de intereses y estructura a plazo

Author

Listed:
  • Arango, Luis Eduardo

    (Unidad de Investigaciones Económicas de la Gerencia Técnica del Banco de la República)

  • Velandia, Daniel Eduardo

    (Universidad del Rosario)

Abstract

Data from the USA and the UK markets is used to re-estimate the capability of the Federal Reserve and Bank of England to affect the interest rates. The evidence shows that these reactions are smaller than the originals of Cook and Hahn (1989). When such an equation is modified to allow for covered interest parity the evidence shows that, on the one hand, this hypothesis holds and the monetary authorities are able to influence the market interest rates. Evidence supports the hypothesis of expectations of interest rates.// Se usa información de los mercados de Estados Unidos e Inglaterra para hacer estimaciones de la capacidad que tienen la Reserva Federal y el Banco de Inglaterra de afectar las tasas de interés del mercado. Las estimaciones muestran que las reacciones son mucho menores que las originales de Cook y Hahn (1989). Cuando dicha ecuación se modifica para considerar la paridad cubierta de intereses se verifica por una parte que ésta se cumple y que las autoridades monetarias logran afectar las tasas de interés del mercado. Se encuentra evidencia del cumplimiento de la hipótesis de expectativas de tasas de interés.

Suggested Citation

  • Arango, Luis Eduardo & Velandia, Daniel Eduardo, 2010. "Cambios de las tasas de política, paridad cubierta de intereses y estructura a plazo," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(306), pages 393-422, abril-jun.
  • Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:77:y:2010:i:306:p:393-422
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v77i306.468
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    Keywords

    tasa de política; estructura a plazo de tasas de interés; hipótesis de paridad cubierta; transparencia; credibilidad;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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