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Expectativas De Actividad Econ�Mica En Colombia Y Estructura A Plazo: Un Poco M�S De Evidencia

Author

Listed:
  • Luis Eduardo Arango
  • Luz Adriana Fl�rez

Abstract

Se presenta evidencia clara a favor de la hip�tesis de que la estructura a plazo real contiene informaci�n sobre las expectativas de la actividad econ�mica en Colombia para los plazos entre 6 y 12, 6 y 24, y 12 y 24 meses adelante. Los signos de los coeficientes estimados son, en todos los casos, los que predice la teor�a. La capacidad de pron�stico del modelo es mejor para el per�odo entre 6 y 12 meses adelante que para periodos superiores.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Eduardo Arango & Luz Adriana Fl�rez, 2004. "Expectativas De Actividad Econ�Mica En Colombia Y Estructura A Plazo: Un Poco M�S De Evidencia," Borradores de Economia 2692, Banco de la Republica.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:002692
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    Cited by:

    1. Arango, Luis Eduardo & Flórez, Luz Adriana, 2008. "Tramo corto de la curva de rendimientos, cambio de régimen inflacionario y expectativas de inflación en Colombia," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(297), pages 183-210, enero-mar.
    2. Diego Agudelo Rueda & Mónica Arango Arango, 2008. "La curva de rendimientos a plazo y las expectativas de tasas de interés en el mercado de renta fija en Colombia, 2002-2007," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE.
    3. Diego Alonso Agudelo Rueda & Mónica Arango Arango, 2008. "La curva de rendimientos a plazo y las expectativas de tasas de interes en el mercado de renta fija en colombia 2002-2007," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10650, Universidad EAFIT.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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