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Árfolyam-modellezés nem konvencionális monetáris politika mellett
[Exchange rates and unconventional monetary-policy instruments]

Author

Listed:
  • Kiss, Gábor Dávid
  • Mészáros, Mercédesz

Abstract

Az elmúlt évtized komoly devizapiaci elmozdulásainak hátterében több tényező is szerepet játszott, amelyek között a monetáris politikai struktúraváltás is megtalálható. Kutatásunk során azt vizsgáltuk, hogy a jegybankok nullakamat- politikája és a nem konvencionális eszközök alkalmazása hatással volt-e a devizaárfolyamok alakulására. Hét európai jegybank 2007 és 2018 közötti tevékenységét negyedéves adatok felhasználásával tanulmányoztuk. Dinamikus panelregressziók illesztésével elemeztük a teljes mintát és azon belül meghatározott ország csoportokat. A nem konvencionális lépések hatását a jegybanki mérlegfőösszeg változásán és a jegybanki hitel- és értékpapír-állomány devizatartalékokhoz viszonyított arányán keresztül ragadtuk meg. Eredményeink alapján kijelenthető, hogy a vizsgált központi bankok esetén az unortodox monetáris politika követése rövid távon szignifikáns hatást gyakorolt a devizaárfolyamok változására, egyfajta nem szándékos indirekt intervenciót eredményezve. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: E52, E58, E43, C33.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiss, Gábor Dávid & Mészáros, Mercédesz, 2019. "Árfolyam-modellezés nem konvencionális monetáris politika mellett [Exchange rates and unconventional monetary-policy instruments]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 960-979.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1863
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2019.9.960
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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