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The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Gambetti, L
  • Korobilis, D
  • Tsoukalas, J
  • Zanetti, F

Abstract

A VAR model estimated on U.S. data before and after 1980 documents systematic differences in the response of short- and long-term interest rates, corporate bond spreads and durable spending to news TFP shocks. Interest rates across the maturity spectrum broadly increase in the pre-1980s and broadly decline in the post-1980s. Corporate bond spreads decline significantly, and durable spending rises significantly in the post-1980 period while the opposite short-run response is observed in the pre-1980 period. Measuring expectations of future monetary policy rates conditional on a news shock suggests that the Federal Reserve has adopted a restrictive stance before the 1980s with the goal of retaining control over inflation while adopting a neutral/accommodative stance in the post-1980 period.

Suggested Citation

  • Gambetti, L & Korobilis, D & Tsoukalas, J & Zanetti, F, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 20428, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
  • Handle: RePEc:esy:uefcwp:20428
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    File URL: http://repository.essex.ac.uk/20428/
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Beqiraj, Elton & Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Di Pietro, Marco & Serpieri, Carolina, 2018. "Comparing Central Europe and the Baltic macro-economies: A Bayesian approach," EconStor Preprints 175242, ZBW - German National Library of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    News shocks; Business cycles; VAR models; DSGE models;

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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