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Linkages between the Eurozone and the South-Eastern European Countries: A Global VAR Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Minoas Koukouritakis
  • Athanasios Papadopoulos

    (Department of Economics, University of Crete, Greece)

  • Andreas Yiannopoulos

    (Department of Economics, University of Crete, Greece)

Abstract

In the present paper we assess the impact of the Eurozone's economic policies on specific South-Eastern European countries, namely Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Greece, Romania, Slovenia and Turkey. Since these countries are connected to the EU or the Eurozone and economic interdependence among them is continuously evolving, we implemented a Global VAR model. Our results indicate that all sample countries, except Turkey, react in a similar manner to changes (a) in the macroeconomic policies of the Eurozone, and (b) in the nominal exchange rate of the euro against the US dollar. There is evidence of linkages among the EU or Eurozone members of the region, and between each of them and the Eurozone.
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Suggested Citation

  • Minoas Koukouritakis & Athanasios Papadopoulos & Andreas Yiannopoulos, 2013. "Linkages between the Eurozone and the South-Eastern European Countries: A Global VAR Analysis," Working Papers 1304, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:crt:wpaper:1304
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Ibhagui, Oyakhilome, 2021. "How do sovereign risk, equity and foreign exchange derivatives markets interact?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 58-78.
    3. Ibhagui, Oyakhilome, 2020. "Sovereign Risk, Cross-Currency Basis and Equity Markets: A Cross-Market Dynamic Interaction," MPRA Paper 100946, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Hany Abdel-Latif & Tapas Mishra & Anita Staneva, 2019. "Arab Countries between Winter and Spring: Where Democracy Shock Goes Next!," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-19, March.
    5. Cao, Zheng & Li, Gang & Song, Haiyan, 2017. "Modelling the interdependence of tourism demand: The global vector autoregressive approach," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-13.
    6. Keppel, Catherine & Prettner, Klaus, 2015. "How interdependent are Eastern European economies and the Euro area?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 18-31.
    7. Dimitra Dimitropoulou & Anastasia Koutsomanoli-Filippaki & Evangelos Charalambakis & Georgios Aggelis, 2014. "The financing of Greek enterprises before and during the crisis," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 39, pages 7-20, July.
    8. Sergej Gricar & Stefan Bojnec, 2022. "Modelling Seasonal Short-Run Effects in Time-Series Tourism Prices," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-20, May.
    9. Costas N. Kanellopoulos, 2014. "The private sector Greek labour market during the crisis," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 39, pages 21-36, July.
    10. Sophia Lazaretou, 2014. "The smart economy: cultural and creative industries in Greece: can they be a way out of the crisis?," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 39, pages 73-103, July.
    11. Andrey V. Zubarev & Maria A. Kirillova, 2023. "Estimation of the Sensitivity of the EAEU Members to External Shocks Using the GVAR Model [Исследование Чувствительности Стран–Членов Еаэс К Внешним Шокам При Помощи Модели Gvar]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 7, pages 8-20, July.
    12. Aikaterini Chaireti, 2014. "The housing situation of residents of Greece in the time of crisis 2008-2012," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 39, pages 105-141, July.
    13. Faidon Kalfaoglou, 2014. "European banking union: “Europeanising” banks’ financial safety net," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 39, pages 37-72, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Transmission; Global VAR Model; Weak Exogeneity; Impact Elasticities; Generalised Impulse Responses.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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