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Regime Switching and Bond Pricing

Author

Listed:
  • Gouriéroux, C.
  • Monfort, A.
  • Pegoraro, F.
  • Renne, J-P.

Abstract

This article proposes an overview of the usefulness of the regime switching approach for building various kinds of bond pricing models and of the roles played by the regimes in these models. Both default-free and defaultable bonds are considered. The regimes can be used to capture stochastic drifts and/or volatilities, to represent discrete target rates, to incorporate business cycles or crises, to introduce contagion, to reproduce zero lower bound spells, or to evaluate the impact of standard or nonstandard monetary policies. From a technical point of view, we stress the key role of Markov chains, Compound Autoregressive (Car) processes, Regime Switching Car processes and multihorizon Laplace transforms.

Suggested Citation

  • Gouriéroux, C. & Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F. & Renne, J-P., 2013. "Regime Switching and Bond Pricing," Working papers 456, Banque de France.
  • Handle: RePEc:bfr:banfra:456
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    Cited by:

    1. Malik, Sheheryar & Meldrum, Andrew, 2016. "Evaluating the robustness of UK term structure decompositions using linear regression methods," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 85-102.
    2. Chiara Sabelli & Michele Pioppi & Luca Sitzia & Giacomo Bormetti, 2014. "Multi-curve HJM modelling for risk management," Papers 1411.3977, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2015.
    3. repec:eee:econom:v:201:y:2017:i:2:p:348-366 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Monfort, Alain & Pegoraro, Fulvio & Renne, Jean-Paul & Roussellet, Guillaume, 2017. "Staying at zero with affine processes: An application to term structure modelling," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 348-366.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    term structure; regime switching; affine models; car process; multi-horizon Laplace transform; contagion; default risk; monetary policy.;

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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