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The effect of monetary policy on firm-level uncertainty

Author

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  • Lakdawala, Aeimit
  • Moreland, Timothy

Abstract

Uncertainty at the firm-level falls on FOMC announcement days with substantial variation both across firms and over time. We find that this is not related to commonly used measures of monetary policy shocks which capture surprises about the expected path of the policy rate. Rather it is driven by changes in uncertainty around the expected path of the policy rate. This effect is attenuated for firms that have higher growth opportunities (as measured by Tobin’s Q).

Suggested Citation

  • Lakdawala, Aeimit & Moreland, Timothy, 2023. "The effect of monetary policy on firm-level uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:232:y:2023:i:c:s0165176523003440
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111319
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy transmission; Firm level uncertainty;

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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