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Explaining Bond and Equity Premium Puzzles Jointly in a DSGE Model

Author

Listed:
  • Lorant Kaszab

    () (Magyar Nemzeti Bank (the Central Bank of Hungary))

  • Ales Marsal

    () (National Bank of Slovakia)

Abstract

We introduce costly firm-entry a la Bilbiie et al. (2012) into a New Keynesian model with Epstein-Zin preferences and show that it can jointly account for a high mean value of bond and equity premium without compromising the fit of the model to first and second moments of key macroeconomic variables. In the standard New Keynesian model without entry it is easy to generate inflation risks on long-term nominal bonds when placing high coefficient on the output gap in the Taylor rule. Our model is able to generate inflation risks when the coefficient on the output gap is small. In the entry model real risks are lower and inflation risks are ceteris paribus higher than in the standard New Keynesian model without entry due to the appearance of new varieties that help households smooth their consumption better.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorant Kaszab & Ales Marsal, 2015. "Explaining Bond and Equity Premium Puzzles Jointly in a DSGE Model," MNB Working Papers 2015/1, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
  • Handle: RePEc:mnb:wpaper:2015/1
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    File URL: http://www.mnb.hu/letoltes/wp-2015-1-final-1.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    firm entry; zero-coupon bond; equity premium; nominal term premium; third-order approximation; New Keynesian; Epstein-Zin preferences.;

    JEL classification:

    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy

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