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Parametric Yield Curve Modeling In An Illiquid And Undeveloped Financial Market

Author

Listed:
  • Zoricic, Davor

    (Faculty of Economics and Business– Zagreb)

  • Orsag, Silvije

    (Faculty of Economics and Business– Zagreb)

Abstract

This paper examines the possibility of applying two most popular parametric yield curve models (Nelson-Siegel and Svensson) in the Croatian financial market. In such an illiquid and undeveloped financial market yield curve modeling presents a special challenge primarily regarding the available market data. The use of the yield curve models is limited compared to the developed markets and the interpretation of the resulting yield curves requires much more cautiousness. However this paper clearly shows that the yield curve model is able to capture changes in the business cycle according to the macroeconomic theory and therefore provide valuable information to the financial industry and other economic subjects. It also suggests that the Svensson model which is an extension of the Nelson-Siegel model (and is therefore often preferred over the Nelson-Siegel model in the developed markets) suffers from overparameterization in the illiquid and undeveloped Croatian financial market.

Suggested Citation

  • Zoricic, Davor & Orsag, Silvije, 2013. "Parametric Yield Curve Modeling In An Illiquid And Undeveloped Financial Market," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 4(3), pages 243-252.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:utmsje:0083
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dolinar, Denis & Orsag, Silvije & Suman, Paola, 2015. "Test Of The Chen-Roll-Ross Macroeconomic Factor Model: Evidence From Croatian Stock Market," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 6(2), pages 185-196.
    2. Milan Deskar-Škrbić & Hrvoje Šimović, 2017. "The effectiveness of fiscal spending in Croatia, Slovenia and Serbia: the role of trade openness and public debt level," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 336-358, July.
    3. Milan Deskar Škrbić & Hrvoje Šimović, 2015. "The size and determinants of fiscal multipliers in Western Balkans: comparing Croatia, Slovenia and Serbia," EFZG Working Papers Series 1510, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
    4. Baskot, Bojan & Orsag, Silvije & Mikerevic, Dejan, 2018. "Yield Curve In Bosnia And Herzegovina: Financial And Macroeconomic Framework," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    parametric yield curve models; illiquidity;

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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