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Monetary Policy Rules And Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence From Sri Lanka

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  • Kesavarajah Mayandy

    (Central Bank of Sri Lanka)

Abstract

This study estimates the forward-looking monetary policy reaction function for Sri Lanka using monthly data from 1980 to 2017. The results indicate that the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) followed the Taylor rule to set interest rates. Our forwardlooking model estimations show that the coefficient on inflation increases over time, reflecting the greater focus on price stability by the bank. The results suggest that the CBSL reacted to nominal exchange rate depreciation by tightening monetary policy. Although the degree of interest rate smoothness gradually decreases over time, the study shows that the CBSL did not react to movements in fiscal deficit during the period under investigation. This finding suggests that the inclusion of fiscal deficit in the Taylor rule does not provide a better specification of the policy reaction function in Sri Lanka.

Suggested Citation

  • Kesavarajah Mayandy, 2019. "Monetary Policy Rules And Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence From Sri Lanka," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 485-506, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:22:y:2019:i:4e:p:485-506
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v22i4.1191
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    3. Indra Abeysekera, 2024. "The Influence of Fiscal, Monetary, and Public Policies on Sustainable Development in Sri Lanka," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-28, January.
    4. Linas Jurkšas & Francisco Gomes Pereira, 2023. "Do the projected fiscal deficits play a role in ECB monetary policymaking?," Working Papers REM 2023/0258, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    5. Dat Thanh Nguyen & Viet Anh Hoang, 2020. "Monetary Consequences of Fiscal Stress in a Game Theoretic Framework," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 125-164.
    6. Dennij Mandeij, 2020. "Determination of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Rupiah Against US Dollar and its Volatility: Application of Asset Approach," International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba, vol. 6(6), pages 323-336.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy; Taylor Rule; Central Bank of Srilanka;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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