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Is there a Role for International Trade Costs in Explaining the Central Bank Behavior?

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  • Hakan, Yilmazkuday

Abstract

This paper develops an open-economy DSGE model to analyze the effects of international trade costs on monetary policy of open economies. The implications of this micro-founded New-Keynesian model are tested on a prototype small economy that is open to international trade costs shocks, Canada. When a utility-based expected loss function is considered, the central bank is found to be far from being optimal in its actions, independent of international trade costs. When an ad hoc expected loss function considering the volatilities in inflation, output and interest rate is considered, it is found that the actions of the central bank are explained best when international trade costs in fact exist but the central bank ignores them. Given the ad hoc loss function, the actions of the central bank are best explained when 70% of weight is assigned to inflation, 15% of weight to interest rate and 15% of weight to output.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 15951.

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Date of creation: Jun 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:15951
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Keywords: DSGE Model; Monetary Policy Rule; International Trade Costs; Inflation Targeting;

Find related papers by JEL classification:

  • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
  • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
  • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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Cited by:

  1. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2014. "Gasoline Prices, Transport Costs, and the U.S. Business Cycles," Working Papers 1409, Florida International University, Department of Economics.
  2. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2011. "Oil shocks through international transport costs: evidence from U.S. business cycles," Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper 82, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  3. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2012. "Business cycles through international shocks: A structural investigation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 329-333.

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