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Inflation targeting supported by managed exchange rate

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  • Hakan Yilmazkuday

Abstract

We compare, on a welfare loss basis, possible inflation targeting regimes supported by different exchange rate rules. For model parametrization, we estimate a forward looking monetary policy rule for Trukey. When variable inflation targets are taken into consideration, as opposed to the fixed targets used in prior research that use data from developed countries, forward looking Taylor rules provide a reasonable description of Central Bank behaviour in Turkey. By applying a calibration based on estimated parameters, we compare the loss functions under flexible inflation targeting and strict inflation targeting while taking into consideration the supporting regimes, namely a flexible exchange rate and a managed floating exchange rate. We find that the welfare loss function caused by four simultaneous shocks, namely a foreign interest rate shock, a monetary policy shock, a foreign output shock and a domestic output shock, is minimized under the flexible inflation targeting regime supported by a managed floating exchange rate rule.

Suggested Citation

  • Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2007. "Inflation targeting supported by managed exchange rate," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(16), pages 2011-2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2011-2026
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707068
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Berganza, Juan Carlos & Broto, Carmen, 2012. "Flexible inflation targets, forex interventions and exchange rate volatility in emerging countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 428-444.
    2. Marc Pourroy, 2013. "Inflation-Targeting and Foreign Exchange Interventions in Emerging Economies," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00881359, HAL.
    3. Giray Gozgor, 2012. "Inflation Targeting and Monetary Policy Rules: Further Evidence from the Case of Turkey," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 2(5), pages 1-7.
    4. repec:hal:journl:halshs-00881359 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Ekin Ayşe Özşuca & Elif Akbostancı, 2016. "An Empirical Analysis of the Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy in Turkey," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 589-609, March.
    6. repec:mes:emfitr:v:52:y:2016:i:3:p:589-609 is not listed on IDEAS

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