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The role of regional and sectoral factors in Russian inflation developments

Author

Listed:
  • Elena Deryugina

    (Bank of Russia, Russian Federation)

  • Natalia Karlova

    (Bank of Russia, Russian Federation)

  • Alexey Ponomarenko

    (Bank of Russia, Russian Federation)

  • Anna Tsvetkova

    (Bank of Russia, Russian Federation)

Abstract

This paper examines the relative roles of region-specific and commodity-specific developments in the consumer price setting in Russia. For this purpose, we estimate a dynamic hierarchical factor model using inflation rates across regions and sectors. We found little evidence of association between region-specific factors and inflation developments, although there are several regions (mostly located in the Far East and North Caucasus) where the idiosyncratic component may contribute substantially. Conversely, the role of cross-commodity relative price changes in inflation developments in Russia is substantial.

Suggested Citation

  • Elena Deryugina & Natalia Karlova & Alexey Ponomarenko & Anna Tsvetkova, 2018. "The role of regional and sectoral factors in Russian inflation developments," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps36, Bank of Russia.
  • Handle: RePEc:bkr:wpaper:wps36
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Aleksei Kiselev & Aleksandra Zhivaykina, 2019. "The role of global relative price changes in international comovement of inflation," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps53, Bank of Russia.
    2. Vadim Napalkov & Anna Novak & Andrey Shulgin, 2021. "Variations in the Effects of a Single Monetary Policy: The Case of Russian Regions," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 80(1), pages 3-45, March.
    3. Kiselev, Aleksei & Zhivaykina, Aleksandra, 2020. "The role of global relative price changes in international comovement of inflation," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    dynamic hierarchical factor model; regional inflation; relative prices; Russia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design

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