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Content
2026
- 2026-07-16 Fifth Conference on the International Roles of the U.S. Dollar: Stablecoins, Digital Payments, and the International Role of the U.S. Dollar
by Ricardo Correa & Linda S. Goldberg & Ritt Keerati & Juan M. Londono & Fabiola Ravazzolo
- 2026-07-14 Technology Shocks, the AI Boom, and the U.S. Current Account
by Giuseppe Fiori & Colleen Lipa & Erik Nuenninghoff
- 2026-07-02 How Resilient Were Emerging Market Economies Through the 2022-23 U.S. Monetary Tightening Cycle?
by Shaghil Ahmed & Ozge Akinci & Albert Queraltó
- 2026-06-04 Mortgage Servicing Right Valuations Under Stress
by Ronel Elul & Karen M. Pence & Ben Ranish & Michael Suher
- 2026-06-02 How U.S. Bank Stock Prices Respond to Geopolitical Risk
by Friederike Niepmann & Leslie Sheng Shen & Joshua Walker
- 2026-05-22 Measurement of “Computer Software and Accessories” Inflation
by Alessandro Barbarino & Anthony M. Diercks & Stephen I. Miran
- 2026-05-21 The CSLT: Unifying U.S. Cross-Border Securities Holdings and Transactions Data
by Laura DeMane & Angela Garcia & Josie Gillette & Tanya Grover & Henry Haw & Hudson Hinshaw & Nyssa Kim & Andrew Loucky & Andrew H. McCallum
- 2026-05-20 Population Growth and Labor Market Fragility: Lessons from Domestic and International Experiences
by Francois de Soyres & Johannes Fleck & William B. Peterman & Avani Pradhan & David Ratner
- 2026-04-13 Wage and Income Growth Expectations Before, During, and After the Pandemic Period
by Corinne Salter & Daniel Villar Vallenas
- 2026-04-03 Monitoring AI Adoption in the U.S. Economy
by Jeffrey S. Allen
- 2026-04-02 Labor force growth, breakeven employment, and potential GDP growth
by Seth Murray & Ivan Vidangos
- 2026-03-27 AI Adoption and Firms’ Job-Posting Behavior
by Jessica Liu & Douglas A. Webber
- 2026-03-23 China’s Trade Dominance and the Role of Industrial Policies
by Francois de Soyres & Ece Fisgin & Mike Liu & Eva Van Leemput
- 2026-02-23 Measuring Shocks to Banks’ Expectations for Lending Standards Using the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
by Solveig Baylor & Jack Keane & Luke Morgan & Andrei Zlate
- 2026-02-17 Assessing Bank Resilience to a Funding Shock
by Faith Achugamonu & Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr & Matthew P. Seay
- 2026-02-06 A brief history of bank notes in the United States and some lessons for stablecoins
by Mark A. Carlson
- 2026-02-02 A Decomposition of Balance Sheet Reduction
by Benjamin Eyal & Dave Na & Arsenios Skaperdas
- 2026-01-14 The Central Bank Balance-Sheet Trilemma
by Burcu Duygan-Bump & R. Jay Kahn
- 2026-01-07 Assessing Recession Risks with State-Level Data
by Hie Joo Ahn & Yunjong Eo & Lucas Moyon
- 2026-07-17-2 The AI Buildout and the Economy: Publicly Available Data to Assess AI's Impact
by Jeffrey S. Allen & Paul E. Soto & Mason Thieu
- 2026-07-17-1 Vietnam's Export Boom to the U.S.: The Role of Chinese Firms
by Chris A. Avalos & Trang T. Hoang & Eva Van Leemput
- 2026-06-26-2 A News-Based Approach to Measuring Shortages and Their Effects on the Global Economy
by Dario Caldara & Matteo Iacoviello
- 2026-06-26-1 Recent Developments in Foreign Direct Investment into the U.S
by Cody Kallen
- 2026-06-22-2 Retail Sweep Behavior Since the Elimination of Reserve Requirements
by Mary-Frances Styczynski
- 2026-06-22-1 Decomposing Hedge Funds' U.S. Treasury Exposures
by Phillip J. Monin
- 2026-06-05-2 “Buy Now, Pay Later” Beyond “Pay in 4”, A Comprehensive Product Overview
by Nina R. Acree & Kayleigh Barnes & Alexander Bruce & Simona Hannon
- 2026-06-05-1 Mexico in U.S. Supply Chains: Lessons from 2018-19 Tariffs
by Maria Aristizabal-Ramirez & Chris A. Avalos & Emma Rosenbaum & Eva Van Leemput
- 2026-05-29-2 Federal Reserve Discount Rate Press Releases in the 1960s and 1970s through the Lens of Monetary Policy Communications
by Mark A. Carlson & Daben Chen & Benjamin K. Johannsen
- 2026-05-29-1 China shock 2.0: How China’s ongoing export surge differs from the early 2000s
by Francois de Soyres & Ece Fisgin & Ana Maria Santacreu & Eva Van Leemput & Kevin Vega
- 2026-05-08-5 Trade Finance Activities of U.S. Banks: What the Data Can Tell Us
by Friederike Niepmann & Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr
- 2026-05-08-4 Measuring Renters in Credit Data: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data
by Anna Tranfaglia & Erin Troland
- 2026-05-08-3 Measuring Mutual Fund Liquidity with N-PORT
by Ty Kawamura & Erik Larsson & Chaehee Shin
- 2026-05-08-2 Subprime Auto Lending: Trends in Buy Here Pay Here Auto Lending
by Olena Chyruk & David Cox & Lily Liu & James Z. Wang & Stephen Zoulalian
- 2026-05-08-1 Investor Composition of Money Market Funds and Its Implications for Flow Dynamics
by Yi Li & Nick Panetta & Weston Watts
- 2026-05-01-2 Monitoring High Credit Growth: The Link Between Local Deposits and CRE Lending
by Dulce Lopez Cruz & Teodora Paligorova & Toshihide Yorozu
- 2026-05-01-1 Banks in the Age of Stablecoins: Lessons from Their Historical Responses to Financial Innovations
by Samuel J. Hempel & JP Perez-Sangimino & Jessie Jiaxu Wang
- 2026-04-08-4 Detecting Tariff Effects on Consumer Prices in Real Time – Part II
by Robert Minton & Madeleine Ray & Mariano A. Somale
- 2026-04-08-3 Mind the Gap: Announced versus Implied Tariff Rates in Recent Trade Policy Episodes
by Sydney Eck & Trang T. Hoang & Carter Mix & Madeleine Ray
- 2026-04-08-2 Stablecoins in 2025: Developments and Financial Stability Implications
by Francesca Carapella & Arazi Lubis & Alexandros Vardoulakis
- 2026-04-08-1 India and the Global Economy
by Omar Farrag & Patrice T. Robitaille
- 2026-03-30-2 Is the Inflation Process in Advanced Economies Different After the Pandemic?
by Francois de Soyres & Avani Pradhan & Zina Saijid
- 2026-03-30-1 Payment Stablecoins and Cross Border Payments: Benefits and Implications for Monetary Policy Implementation
by Kyungmin Kim & Romina Ruprecht & Mary-Frances Styczynski
- 2026-02-13-3 A Brief Illustrated History of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet
by Ruth A. Judson & Colin Weiss
- 2026-02-13-2 The Global Trade Effects of the AI Infrastructure Boom
by Francois de Soyres & Alex Haag & Mike Liu & Eva Van Leemput
- 2026-02-13-1 Measuring Cross-Border Securities Positions: Explaining Asymmetries between U.S. Treasury TIC and IMF PIP (formerly CPIS) Data
by Ruth A. Judson & Nyssa Kim
- 2026-02-12-2 Why have far-forward nominal Treasury rates increased so much in the past few years? Old risks reemerge in an era of Fed credibility
by Daniel M. Covitz & Eric Engstrom
- 2026-02-12-1 Downside and Upside Economic Uncertainty
by Juan M. Londono & Sai Ma
- 2026-01-30-3 Supply Chain Risk and Bank Lending Amid Trade Policy Uncertainty
by Luke Morgan & Carlos Ramírez & André F. Silva & Andrei Zlate
- 2026-01-30-2 Model Perspectives on Supply and Demand Factors behind a Soft Labor Market
by Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Camilo Morales-Jimenez
- 2026-01-30-1 Bankers’ Banks and their Role in the Federal Funds Market
by Sriya Anbil & Alyssa G. Anderson & Benjamin Eyal
- 2026-01-16-2 Lessons from Brexit on the Effects of Trade Disintegration
by Florencia S. Airaudo & Johannes Fleck & Kevin Vega
- 2026-01-16-1 More Credit, More Debt: New Evidence on Automated Credit Decisions
by Vitaly M. Bord & Agnes Kovacs & Patrick Moran
2025
- 2025-12-15 The Empirical Relationship Between the Tier 1 Leverage Ratio and Community Bank Failures after the Global Financial Crisis
by Akos Horvath
- 2025-12-12 Understanding Trade Fragmentation
by Florencia S. Airaudo & Francois de Soyres & Ece Fisgin & Alexandre Gaillard & Keith Richards & Ana Maria Santacreu & Henry L. Young
- 2025-11-24 A Note on Recent Dynamics of Consumer Delinquency Rates
by Robert M. Adams & Cord Barnes & Connor Bopst & Kamila Sommer
- 2025-11-19 Implications of Growth in ETFs: Evidence from Mutual Fund to ETF Conversions
by Mehmet Sağlam & Tugkan Tuzun
- 2025-11-03 Order Flow Imbalances and Amplification of Price Movements: Evidence from U.S. Treasury Markets
by Dobrislav Dobrev & Joon Kim & Edith X. Liu & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez
- 2025-10-31 Can Tariffs Spur Higher Factory Floor Utilization?
by Robin Braun & Ryan A. Decker & Fariha Kamal
- 2025-10-06 The State of AI Competition in Advanced Economies
by Alex Haag
- 2025-10-03 Which Days Matter for Global Equity Markets? Using Options to Price Events in the Global Calendar
by Juan M. Londono & Mehrdad Samadi
- 2025-09-05 Debt Payments and Spending: Evidence from the 2023 Student Loan Payment Restart
by Aditya Aladangady & Edmund Crawley & William L. Gamber & Patrick Moran & Jose Nino
- 2025-08-26 U.S. Reciprocal Tariff Announcement and European Bank Stock Performance
by Kellen Lynch & Pinar Uysal & Ilknur Zer
- 2025-08-25 Decoding the Productivity Puzzle: A New Perspective on the Relationship between Remote Work and Productivity
by Maria D. Tito
- 2025-08-06 Fluctuations in the Treasury General Account and their effect on the Fed’s balance sheet
by Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
- 2025-08-04 What Do Bank Stock Returns Say About Monetary Policy Transmission?
by Paige Ehresmann & Juan M. Morelli & Jessie Jiaxu Wang
- 2025-07-14 Shifting Dynamics in Bank Funding of NBFIs: The Rise of Credit Lines
by Ricardo Duque Gabriel & Julianna Sterling
- 2025-06-03 What Drives the Rise in Remote Work? Preliminary Evidence from Utilization Rates and Wage Trends
by Maria D. Tito
- 2025-05-23 Bank Lending to Private Credit: Size, Characteristics, and Financial Stability Implications
by Jose M. Berrospide & Fang Cai & Siddhartha Lewis-Hayre & Filip Zikes
- 2025-05-16 Chinese Banks' Dollar Lending Decline
by Laurie Pounder DeMarco & Joshua Walker
- 2025-05-12 Commissions and Omissions: Trends in Real Estate Broker Compensation
by Rupkatha Banerjee & Andrew D. Paciorek
- 2025-05-09 Detecting Tariff Effects on Consumer Prices in Real Time
by Robert Minton & Mariano A. Somale
- 2025-04-16 European Energy Import Dependency
by Julianna Sterling & Missaka Warusawitharana & Xiangyu Zhang
- 2025-04-10 How is Geopolitical Fragmentation Reshaping U.S. Foreign Direct Investment?
by Cody Kallen
- 2025-04-09 Real-Time Global Longer-Run Neutral Rates
by Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Mitch Lott & Keith Richards
- 2025-03-25 Underlying Inflation: An Ensemble Averaging Approach
by Gianni Amisano & Travis J. Berge & Simon C. Smith
- 2025-02-27 Global Remittances Cycle
by Oscar Monterroso & Diego Vilán
- 2025-02-05 Measuring AI Uptake in the Workplace
by Leland D. Crane & Michael Green & Paul E. Soto
- 2025-01-17 Developments in Chinese Chipmaking
by Colin C. Caines & Sharon Jeon & Cheyenne Quijano
- 2025-01-16 The Global Transmission of Inflation Uncertainty
by Thomas H. Li & Juan M. Londono & Sai Ma
- 2025-01-14 From Plans to Starts: Examining Recent Trends in Manufacturing Plant Construction
by Eirik E. Brandsaas & Robert J. Kurtzman & Joseph B. Nichols
- 2025-01-08 What do various wage measures tell us about underlying wage growth?
by Hie Joo Ahn & Lucas Moyon & Daniel Villar Vallenas
- 2025-01-03 Using Service Provider Connections to Model Operational Payment Networks
by Chase Englund & Zach Modig
- 2025-12-17-2 In the Shadow of Bank Runs: Lessons from the Silicon Valley Bank Failure and Its Impact on Stablecoins
by Chuan Du & Ria Sonawane & Cy Watsky
- 2025-12-17-1 Banks in the Age of Stablecoins: Some Possible Implications for Deposits, Credit, and Financial Intermediation
by Jessie Jiaxu Wang
- 2025-10-15-3 Measuring U.S. Cross-Border Securities Flows: Out With the Old, In with the New
by Carol C. Bertaut & Ruth A. Judson
- 2025-10-15-2 The Cross-Border Trail of the Treasury Basis Trade
by Daniel Barth & Daniel O. Beltran & Matthew Hoops & R. Jay Kahn & Emily Liu & Maria G. Perozek
- 2025-10-15-1 Investment as a Source of Productivity Growth
by Giuseppe Fiori & Colleen Lipa & William Wu
- 2025-09-24-2 Homeownership and Housing Equity in the Mid-Twentieth Century
by Carola Frydman & Raven S. Molloy & Austin Palis
- 2025-09-24-1 Examining the Relationship Between Loan Pricing and Credit Risk
by Azamat Abdymomunov & Ronel Elul & Doriana Ruffino & James Z. Wang
- 2025-09-19-4 The Fed Funds Market During the Quantitative Tightening of 2017-19
by David Bowman
- 2025-09-19-3 Inflation's Shared DNA: Regional and Global Factors in Post-Pandemic Core Inflation
by Daniel O. Beltran & Julio L. Ortiz
- 2025-09-19-2 Rising Property Insurance Costs and Pass-Through to Rents for Apartment Buildings
by Samuel K. Hughes & Raven S. Molloy
- 2025-09-19-1 Evaluating Empirical Regularities in Variable Comovement in Stress Test Scenarios
by Elena Afanasyeva & William F. Bassett & Bora Durdu & Sam Jerow & Fiona Waterman
- 2025-08-29-2 Measuring Geopolitical Risk Exposure Across Industries: A Firm-Centered Approach
by Isabel Culver & Friederike Niepmann & Leslie Sheng Shen
- 2025-08-29-1 Pre-Pledged Collateral and Likelihood of Discount Window Use
by Mark A. Carlson & Mary-Frances Styczynski
- 2025-08-22-2 Corporate Cash Accumulation During the COVID-19 Pandemic
by Eliezer Singer & Jie Yang
- 2025-08-22-1 A Roadmap for the Federal Reserve’s 2025 Review of Its Monetary Policy Framework
by Sylvain Leduc & Anna L. Paulson & Trevor A. Reeve & Stacey Tevlin
- 2025-08-05-2 Wealth Heterogeneity and Consumer Spending
by Samara Beach & William L. Gamber & Patrick Moran
- 2025-08-05-1 An Assessment of China’s Innovative Capacity
by Sina T. Ates & Sharon Jeon
- 2025-08-01-2 Official Reserve Revaluations: The International Experience
by Colin Weiss
- 2025-08-01-1 Racing Against Tariffs: Global Impacts of Frontloading
by Francois de Soyres & Nils M. Gornemann & Chris Machol
- 2025-07-18-3 What can public Fedwire payments data tell us about ample reserves?
by Erin E. Syron Ferris & Amy Rose & Manjola Tase
- 2025-07-18-2 Trade Compliance at What Cost? Lessons from USMCA Automotive Trade
by Spencer Bowdle & Fariha Kamal
- 2025-07-18-1 The International Role of the U.S. Dollar – 2025 Edition
by Carol C. Bertaut & Stephanie E. Curcuru & Bastian von Beschwitz
- 2025-07-11-2 The Fourth SNB-FRB-BIS High-Level Conference on Global Risk, Uncertainty, and Volatility: Risk and Uncertainty in a Post-Pandemic World; Implications for the Economy, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy
by Juan M. Londono & Sai Ma & Ilknur Zer
- 2025-07-11-1 The $12 Trillion US Repo Market: Evidence from a Novel Panel of Intermediaries
by Samuel J. Hempel & R. Jay Kahn
- 2025-07-08-2 A Note on the New Credit Union Estimates in the G.19 "Consumer Credit" Statistical Release
by Alexander Bruce & Eugenio Cerutti & Michael M. Chernousov & Simona Hannon
- 2025-07-08-1 A Note on the Removal of the Nonfinancial Business Sector in the G.19 "Consumer Credit" Statistical Release
by Alexander Bruce & Eugenio Cerutti & Michael M. Chernousov & Simona Hannon
- 2025-07-07-3 Commodity terms of trade uncertainty and economic activity in emerging economies
by Oscar Monterroso & Diego Vilán
- 2025-07-07-2 Pay-by-Bank and the Merchant Payments Use Case: Benefits, risks and potential impacts on consumer payment behaviors in the U.S
by Byoung Hwa Hwang
- 2025-07-07-1 Trade-offs of Higher U.S. Tariffs: GDP, Revenues, and the Trade Deficit
by Nicola Cetorelli & Sharon Jeon & Ricardo M. Reyes-Heroles & Eva Van Leemput & David Yu
- 2025-06-26-2 Introducing New Detail on the Racial Composition of Families in the 2022 Survey of Consumer Finances: Implications for the Distribution of U.S. Student Loan Debt
by Sarena Goodman & Eva Ma
- 2025-06-26-1 How to Design Rules for Ex-Post Evaluation
by Benjamin S. Kay & Marco Migueis
- 2025-06-06-4 Is China Really Growing at 5 Percent?
by William Barcelona & Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Jasper Hoek & Eva Van Leemput
- 2025-06-06-3 Modeling Bank Stock Returns: A Factor-Based Approach
by Paige Ehresmann & Juan M. Morelli & Jessie Jiaxu Wang
- 2025-06-06-2 Estimated Quarterly Levels of Bank Lending Standards and Credit Availability
by Jaron Berman & Felicia Ionescu & Carlo Wix
- 2025-06-06-1 What Happens on Quarter-Ends in the Repo Market
by Erik Bostrom & David Bowman & Amy Rose & Andy Xia
- 2025-04-24-2 Tracking consumer sentiment versus how consumers are doing based on verified retail purchases
by Jack Chylak & Leo Feler & Sinem Hacioglu Hoke & Samantha Mitchell
- 2025-04-24-1 Costs of Rising Uncertainty
by Juan M. Londono & Sai Ma & Beth Anne Wilson
- 2025-03-31-2 Monetary Policy and the Distribution of Income: Evidence from U.S. Metropolitan Areas
by Giovanni Favara & Francesca Loria & Greg Marchal & Egon Zakrajšek
- 2025-03-31-1 The Effect of Export Market Access on Labor Market Power: Firm-level Evidence from Vietnam
by Sydney Eck & Trang T. Hoang & Devashish Mitra & Hoang Pham
- 2025-03-28-4 Monitoring Reserve Scarcity Through Nonbank Cash Lenders
by Stefan Gissler & Samuel J. Hempel & R. Jay Kahn & Patrick E. McCabe & Borghan N. Narajabad
- 2025-03-28-3 Outlining and Measuring the Benefits of Risk Sensitivity in Bank Capital Requirements
by Marco Migueis
- 2025-03-28-2 Do People Care More About Inflation or Wage Growth?
by Kabir Dasgupta & Nicolas Lewin & Jake D. Orchard
- 2025-03-28-1 Crypto ETPs: An Examination of Liquidity and NAV Premium
by Francesca Carapella & Nathan Swem
- 2025-03-21-2 Fragmentation? Revisiting the Ideal Point Distance measure of geopolitical distance
by Florencia S. Airaudo & Francois de Soyres & Keith Richards & Ana Maria Santacreu
- 2025-03-21-1 Life Insurers’ Role in the Intermediation Chain of Public and Private Credit to Risky Firms
by Sydney Carlino & Nathan Foley-Fisher & Nathan Heinrich & Stéphane Verani
- 2025-03-03-2 Insights from MMF Portfolio Allocations amid Balance Sheet Normalization
by Erik Bostrom
- 2025-03-03-1 How Were Extra SNAP Benefits Spent?
by Sinem Hacioglu Hoke
- 2025-02-28-3 Predicting Credit Card Delinquency Rates
by Kayleigh Barnes & Connor Bopst & John C. Driscoll
- 2025-02-28-2 The Sectoral Evolution of China’s Trade
by Francois de Soyres & Ece Fisgin & Alexandre Gaillard & Ana Maria Santacreu & Henry L. Young
- 2025-02-28-1 How Do Trade Disruptions Affect Inflation?
by Pablo A. Cuba-Borda & Albert Queraltó & Ricardo M. Reyes-Heroles & Mikaël Scaramucci
- 2025-02-26-2 Educational Exposure to Generative Artificial Intelligence
by Jean Xiao Timmerman
- 2025-02-26-1 Central bank liquidity facilities around the world
by David M. Arseneau & Mark A. Carlson & Kathryn Chen & Matt Darst & Dylan Kirkeeng & Elizabeth C. Klee & Benjamin A. Malin & Matthew Malloy & Friederike Niepmann & Mary-Frances Styczynski & Melissa Vanouse & Alexandros Vardoulakis
- 2025-02-14-2 Do Landlords Respond to Wage Policy? Estimating the Minimum Wage Effect on Apartment Rent Prices
by Spencer Bowdle
- 2025-02-14-1 Proportionate margining for repo transactions
by R. Jay Kahn & Matthew McCormick
- 2025-02-12-2 Does Mutual Fund Fragility Impact Primary Market Pricing? Evidence from Commercial Paper
by Yi Li & Sean Tibay & Ashley W. Wang
- 2025-02-12-1 Repo Rate Sensitivity to Treasury Issuance and Quantitative Tightening
by Lucy Cordes & Sebastian Infante
- 2025-01-31-2 Trends in Credit Unions' Share of U.S. Private Depository Household Lending
by Mary Ellen Carter & Robert J. Kurtzman
- 2025-01-31-1 Market-Based Indicators on the Road to Ample Reserves
by James A. Clouse & Sebastian Infante & Zeynep Senyuz
- 2025-01-10-3 The Euro Area has a growth problem
by Matteo Barigozzi & Claudio Lissona & Matteo Luciani
- 2025-01-10-2 Industrial Production vs. Goods GDP: Two Sides of the Same Coin?
by Maria D. Tito
- 2025-01-10-1 The Hidden Costs of Disability
by Zofsha Merchant & Erin Troland & Douglas A. Webber
2024