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Real-Time Global Longer-Run Neutral Rates

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In this note, we provide updated real-time estimates for global longer-run real neutral interest rates – the real component of policy interest rates consistent with both economic activity and inflation at their longer-run trends. We use the methods from Davin and Ferreira (2022) and Ferreira and Shousha (2023) for the same variety of economies.

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  • Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Mitch Lott & Keith Richards, 2025. "Real-Time Global Longer-Run Neutral Rates," FEDS Notes 2025-04-09, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgfn:2025-04-09
    DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.3753
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