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Population Growth and Labor Market Fragility: Lessons from Domestic and International Experiences

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Abstract

Labor market indicators such as employment growth and the unemployment rate are commonly used to assess the cyclical position of the economy (NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee). However, deciphering trend from cycle in these indicators is notoriously difficult and can be especially delicate when underlying trends in the economy shift rapidly.

Suggested Citation

  • Francois de Soyres & Johannes Fleck & William B. Peterman & Avani Pradhan & David Ratner, 2026. "Population Growth and Labor Market Fragility: Lessons from Domestic and International Experiences," FEDS Notes 2026-05-20, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgfn:103331
    DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.4070
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