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Divergent Inflation Rates in EMU

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  • Philip R. Lane,
  • Patrick Honohan

Abstract

We analyze the sources of divergent national inflation rates among EMU member countries. At one level, we review the Irish ‘outlier’ experience; at another, we estimate panel regressions for the 1999-2001 period. We highlight the role played by differential exposure to euro exchange rate movements in explaining inflation divergence. In addition, we find evidence that output gaps and a “price level convergence” effect have also been important. We draw some policy conclusions for the accession countries that are hoping to join EMU.

Suggested Citation

  • Philip R. Lane, & Patrick Honohan, 2003. "Divergent Inflation Rates in EMU," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp05, IIIS.
  • Handle: RePEc:iis:dispap:iiisdp05
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    Keywords

    CIS7; international financial institutions; policy reform; external debt;
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