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Content
January 2018, Volume 53, Issue 1
- 1-2 From the Editor
by Charles Steindel - 3-9 Global economic challenges and opportunities
by Tao Zhang - 10-16 Between debt and the devil: beyond the normalization delusion
by Lord Adair Turner - 17-24 China’s belt and road initiative and regional perceptions of China
by John O’Trakoun - 25-36 Drivers of international tourism demand in Africa
by Ogechi Adeola & Nathaniel Boso & Olaniyi Evans - 37-47 Water and wastewater treatment worldwide: the industry and the market for equipment and chemicals
by Andrew Gross & Emily Park - 48-49 The end of the Asian century by Michael R. Auslin
by Gene Huang - 50-52 The Great Convergence: Information Technology and the New Globalization
by Paul Thomas
October 2017, Volume 52, Issue 4
- 187-188 From the editor
by Charles Steindel - 189-193 Unconventional monetary policy and the role of central banks
by Raghuram Rajan - 194-207 Inflation, uncertainty, and monetary policy
by Janet L. Yellen - 208-215 The tax reform agenda
by Martin Feldstein - 216-226 Did Okun’s law die after the Great Recession?
by Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller - 227-249 America’s online ‘jobs’: conceptualizations, measurements, and influencing factors
by Christopher Alex Hooton - 250-259 Quantifying the housing recovery: which MSAs are experiencing bubbles?
by Azhar Iqbal & Mark Vitner - 260-264 Business economics in a post-truth era
by Stuart P. M. Mackintosh - 265-267 Paradox resolved? A review of the Rise and Fall of American Growth, by Robert J. Gordon
by John G. Fernald - 268-271 The age of experts: a review of Marc Levinson’s an extraordinary time
by Stephen C. Sexauer & Laurence B. Siegel
July 2017, Volume 52, Issue 3
- 127-128 From the Editor
by Charles Steindel - 129-137 The overselling of globalization
by Joseph E. Stiglitz - 138-148 OECD’s interim economic outlook, March 2017
by Catherine L. Mann - 149-153 Federal policy and economic growth
by Douglas W. Elmendorf - 154-157 Faster growth and greater fiscal responsibility are possible
by Glenn Hubbard - 158-167 What is the potential growth rate of the U.S. economy, and how might policy affect it?
by Jason Furman - 168-169 Policy uncertainty and the economic outlook
by Douglas Holtz-Eakin - 170-174 New policy uncertainties in the economic outlook
by Joel Prakken - 175-180 Is there an easy cure for low growth?
by John Fernald - 181-183 The end of alchemy: money, banking, and the future of the global economy
by Kevin L. Kliesen - 184-185 “The undoing project: a friendship that changed our minds”
by Ellen Hughes-Cromwick
April 2017, Volume 52, Issue 2
- 85-86 From the editor
by Charles Steindel - 87-98 Secular stagnation or financial cycle drag?
by Claudio Borio - 99-102 Does mismeasurement explain low productivity growth?
by Chad Syverson - 103-113 Prices of high-tech products, mismeasurement, and the pace of innovation
by David Byrne & Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel - 114-117 The necessity for a strategic approach to monetary policy
by Mickey D. Levy - 118-122 Threats to monetary policy independence: reasons to be concerned
by David J. Stockton - 123-125 Weapons of Math Destruction: How Big Data Increases Inequality and Threatens Democracy
by Apurv Jain
January 2017, Volume 52, Issue 1
- 1-2 From the Editor
by Charles Steindel - 3-6 Comments at the Panel “Responders of First or Last Resort: Central Bank Strategies in an Era of Ultra-Low Interest Rates”
by Charles L. Evans - 7-14 Monetary Policy Accommodation at the Lower Bound
by Signe Krogstrup - 15-31 The Man Who Knew: The Life and Times of Alan Greenspan by Sebastian Mallaby
by William Poole - 32-40 Are Young People Becoming More Risk Averse? An Analysis of Factors Contributing to the Rise in Precautionary Savings Among Young Adults
by LaVaughn M. Henry - 41-56 When is a Firm Born? Alternative Criteria and Consequences
by Paul Davidson Reynolds - 57-67 The U.S. Carpet Industry: History, Industry Dynamics, and a Simple Model for Short-Term Forecasting
by Kevin Swift & Emily Sanchez - 68-75 The Competitive Dynamics of the Generic Drug Manufacturing Industry
by Evan Hoffman - 76-77 Money Changes Everything: How Finance Made Civilization Possible
by Larry Neal - 78-80 The Curse of Cash
by Stephen Williamson - 81-83 Erratum to: When is a Firm Born? Alternative Criteria and Consequences
by Paul Davidson Reynolds
October 2016, Volume 51, Issue 4
- 187-187 From the Editor
by Charles Steindel - 188-202 Ultra-Easy Money: Digging the Hole Deeper?
by William R. White - 203-206 The Business Economist’s Toolkit
by Lisa Emsbo-Mattingly - 207-212 Manipulation and Deception as Part of a Phishing Equilibrium
by George A. Akerlof & Robert J. Shiller - 213-238 The Evolving Contours of Productivity Performance and Automation Investment in U.S. Manufacturing
by Cliff Waldman - 239-247 A New Framework to Estimate the Near-Term Path of the Fed Funds Rate
by Sam Bullard & Azhar Iqbal & John Silvia - 248-259 Is Predicting Recessions Enough?
by Azhar Iqbal & John Silvia - 260-265 Does Economic Activity Slow in Election Years?
by Michael A. Brown & Michael Pugliese
July 2016, Volume 51, Issue 3
- 125-126 From the Editor
by Charles Steindel - 127-132 Northern America’s Production of Technology Capital Is Transforming the World Economy
by Edward C. Prescott - 133-141 Reflections on Macroeconomics Then and Now
by Stanley Fischer - 142-146 Challenging the Groupthink of the Guild
by Kevin Warsh - 147-154 Finding the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate in a Fog of Policy Deviations
by John B. Taylor & Volker Wieland - 155-157 Why We Need Sound Public Finances
by Ludger Schuknecht - 158-160 The Case for an Active Fiscal Policy in the Developed World
by Angel Ubide - 161-165 Housing Conundrum: A Shortage of Demand or Supply?
by Stephen D. Oliner - 166-180 The US Aerospace Industry: A Manufacturing Powerhouse
by Maksim Soshkin - 181-183 When Technical Skills Are Not All You Need to Succeed
by Constance L. Hunter - 184-185 Concrete Economics: The Hamilton Approach to Economic Growth and Policy
by Francis Schott
January 2016, Volume 51, Issue 1
- 1-2 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 3-7 Economic Implications of Demographic Change
by James Poterba - 8-10 Public and Private Challenges of an Aging U.S. Population
by Olivia S Mitchell - 11-17 Economic Implications of Demographic Change: Diversity Dividend or Deficit?
by Marta Tienda - 18-26 Secular Outlook for Global Growth: 2015–34
by Irina Tytell & Lisa Emsbo-Mattingly & Dirk Hofschire - 27-35 Exploring a Measurement of Analytics Capabilities
by Suzanne Heller Clain & Matthew J Liberatore & Bruce Pollack-Johnson - 36-49 Fed Funds Rate Surprises and Financial Markets
by John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal & Alex Moehring - 50-52 The Courage to Act: A Memoir of a Crisis and Its Aftermath
by Charles Steindel - 52-54 The Midas Paradox: Financial Markets, Government Policy Shocks, and the Great Depression
by John C Goodman
October 2015, Volume 50, Issue 4
- 161-161 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 162-168 Designing Federal Budget Policy to Spur Economic Growth
by Douglas W Elmendorf - 169-177 A Career in a Less-than-Perfect Economy
by John Silvia - 178-190 The Home Purchase Sentiment Index: A New Housing Indicator
by James A Wilcox - 191-199 Three Challenges to Central Bank Orthodoxy
by James Bullard & Kevin L Kliesen - 200-205 Integrating Financial Stability into Monetary Policy
by Stephen S Poloz - 206-218 The First 50 Years of Business Economics
by Robert Thomas Crow - 219-227 The World Market for Light Sources: Lamps and LEDs, 2006–21
by Jennifer Mapes-Christ & Andrew C Gross - 228-229 Boss Life: Surviving My Own Small Business
by Charles Steindel - 230-231 Mastering ‘Metrics’: The Path from Cause to Effect
by Jan Kmenta
July 2015, Volume 50, Issue 3
- 113-113 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 114-127 Central Banking After the Crisis: No Return to Past Certainties
by Adair Turner - 128-134 The Changing Nature of the Long-Run Federal Budget Problem
by Rudolph G Penner - 135-146 Gauging the Financial Capability of Americans
by Mark A Johnson & Douglas J Lamdin - 147-154 The Solar Panel Manufacturing Industry’s Boom, Bust, and Future
by Leah Goddard - 155-156 The Frackers: The Outrageous Inside Story of the New Billionaire Wildcatters
by Jesse S Hixson - 156-159 Free Market Environmentalism for the Next Generation
by Gerald L Musgrave
April 2015, Volume 50, Issue 2
- 49-50 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 51-56 Thoughts about Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Postinflation World
by Alice M Rivlin - 57-60 The Decline in the Natural Rate of Interest
by John C Williams - 61-66 Progress and Challenges for International Financial Reform
by Nathan Sheets & Michael Pisa - 67-74 Central Banks: Confronting the Hard Truths Discovered and Tough Choices Ahead
by Philipp Hildebrand - 75-79 Transfer Pricing for the Rest of Us
by Constance L Hunter & Thomas Herr & Marcus Heyland - 80-90 Time-Series Momentum Trading Strategies in the Global Stock Market
by Gagari Chakrabarti - 91-95 Opportunities and Challenges Facing the Bureau of Labor Statistics
by Erica L Groshen - 96-100 International Economics in the Automotive Industry
by David P Teolis - 101-108 The Home Improvement, Maintenance, and Repair Industry
by Emil B Berendt - 109-110 Open Secret: The Global Banking Conspiracy That Swindled Investors Out of Billions
by William C Dunkelberg - 110-112 Trillion Dollar Economists: How Economists and Their Ideas Have Transformed Business
by Douglas J Lamdin
January 2015, Volume 50, Issue 1
- 1-2 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 3-11 An Interview With Ben S. Bernanke
by Ben S Bernanke & Kai Ryssdal - 12-19 An Ordered Probit Approach to Predicting the Probability of Inflation/Deflation
by John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal - 20-24 How to Curb Short-Termism in Corporate America
by Robert C Pozen - 25-33 The Impact of a Rising Dollar on the U.S. Economy
by Joel L Prakken & Chris P Varvares - 34-38 Banking and the Real Economy
by Ed Clark - 39-44 Estimating the Impact of NABE Member Characteristics on Compensation
by Christopher Swann & Anessa Custovic - 45-46 House of Debt: How They (and You) Caused the Great Recession, and How We can Prevent It from Happening Again
by Derk A Wilcox - 47-48 Bootleggers and Baptists: How Economic Forces and Moral Persuasion Interact to Shape Regulatory Politics
by Gerald L Musgrave
October 2014, Volume 49, Issue 4
- 205-206 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 207-210 Strategies for NABE’s Long Term
by Jack Kleinhenz - 211-226 An Econometric Study of Quits Rate Trends in the United States since the Great Recession: Cyclical Movement or Structural Change?
by Didier Bruneel & Stephen Juneau & Simiao Wang - 227-243 The Risk of Future Labor Shortages in Different Occupations and Industries in the United States
by Gad Levanon & Ben Cheng & Michael Paterra - 244-252 Is Fiscal Stimulus a Good Idea?
by Ray C Fair - 253-262 Is the Fed Funds Rate Still Effective?
by John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal - 263-270 Confronting the Gray Market Problem
by Peggy E Chaudhry - 271-281 An Overview of the U.S. Regulated Fund Industry
by Brian Reid & Emily Gallagher - 282-283 Tyler Cowen, Average Is Over: Powering America beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation
by John C Goodman - 284-286 Thomas Piketty, Capital in the Twenty-First Century
by Devon M Herrick
July 2014, Volume 49, Issue 3
- 141-141 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 142-148 CBO’s Outlook for the Economy in February 2014
by Douglas W Elmendorf - 149-155 The Labor Market in the Aftermath of the Great Recession
by Mary C Daly & Elliot M Marks - 156-175 The Economics of Japan’s Stagnation
by Tanweer Akram - 176-190 State Income Taxes and Interstate Migration
by Roger Cohen & Andrew Lai & Charles Steindel - 191-193 Economics at Work in an Economic Development Organization
by Patrick Jankowski - 194-200 The Coatings Industry—Beautifying, Protecting, and Preserving the Nation’s Assets
by H Allen Irish - 201-202 Stress Test: Reflections on the Financial Crisis
by Diane C Swonk - 203-204 Mass Flourishing: How Grassroots Innovation Created Jobs, Challenge, and Change
by Derk A Wilcox
April 2014, Volume 49, Issue 2
- 63-64 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 65-73 U.S. Economic Prospects: Secular Stagnation, Hysteresis, and the Zero Lower Bound
by Lawrence H Summers - 74-84 Central Banking in the Crisis: Conceptual Convergence and Open Questions on Unconventional Monetary Policy
by Jean-Claude Trichet - 85-91 Time to Close the Opportunity Gap
by Kevin Brady - 92-98 Central Banks and Macroeconomic Ambidexterity
by Andrew G Haldane - 99-103 Remarks on Banking Reform
by Thomas M Hoenig - 104-113 Another Look at the Case for International Diversification
by Mark J Purdy & Kuangyi Wei - 114-121 Economics at the American Chemistry Council
by Thomas Kevin Swift - 122-126 Business Economics and the Printing Industry
by Ronnie H Davis - 127-135 Initial Results of the 2012 Economic Census
by Robert P Parker - 136-137 The Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America
by Devon M Herrick - 137-139 The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality
by W Steven Barnett
January 2014, Volume 49, Issue 1
- 1-1 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 2-20 Persistent Unemployment and Policy Uncertainty: Numerical Evidence from a New Approach
by Patrick L Anderson - 21-26 The Economic Recovery Five Years after the Financial Crisis
by James H Stock - 27-31 Beyond Big Data
by Hal R Varian - 32-45 Financial Performance in Manufacturing Firms: A Comparison Between Parametric and Non-Parametric Approaches
by Eleonora Bartoloni & Maurizio Baussola - 46-58 The Evolving Global Wine Market
by Barbara Insel - 59-60 The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting
by Diane C Swonk - 61-62 Firm Commitment: Why the Corporation is Failing Us and How to Restore Trust in It
by Thomas A Hemphill
October 2013, Volume 48, Issue 4
- 207-207 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 208-213 Financial Services and the Trust Deficit: Why the Industry Should Make Better Governance a Top Priority
by Roger W. Ferguson Jr. - 214-223 Small Business Borrowing and the Bifurcated Economy: Why Quantitative Easing Has Been Ineffective for Small Business
by Michael J. Chow & William C. Dunkelberg - 224-230 Bubbles Tomorrow and Bubbles Yesterday, but Never Bubbles Today?
by John C Williams - 231-245 Commodity Markets and Commodity Mutual Funds
by L Christopher Plantier - 246-259 Professional Occupations, Knowledge-Driven Firms, and Entrepreneurship: A National and Regional Analysis
by Andrew C Gross & Mark Holtzblatt & Raj Javalgi & Jozsef Poor & Emeric Solymossy - 260-262 Economics in a Major Bank
by John E. Silvia - 263-264 Balance: The Economics of Great Powers from Ancient Rome to Modern America
by John C Goodman - 264-265 Red Ink: Inside the High-Stakes Politics of the Federal Budget
by Devon M Herrick
July 2013, Volume 48, Issue 3
- 147-148 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 149-154 Commentary and Dialog with Paul Volcker
by Paul Volcker & Steve Liesman & Kenneth D Simonson - 155-162 The Effectiveness of Central Bank Independence vs. Policy Rules
by John B Taylor - 163-165 Financial Crises and Central Bank Independence
by Alan S Blinder - 167-173 A Credible Path for Ending Too Big to Fail
by Richard Fisher & Harvey Rosenblum - 175-181 Crises and the Great Recession
by John A Tatom - 183-193 The Effect of State Corporate Income Tax Rate Cuts on Job Creation
by Xiaobing Shuai & Christine Chmura - 195-201 The Trucking Industry: The Lynchpin of the U.S. Economy
by Bob Costello - 203-204 James Owen Weatherall, The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable
by Gerald L Musgrave - 205-206 Tomas Sedlacek, Economics of Good and Evil: The Quest for Economic Meaning from Gilgamesh to Wall Street
by Jan Kmenta
April 2013, Volume 48, Issue 2
- 87-88 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 89-95 A Dialog with George Soros
by George Soros & Anatole Kaletsky - 96-103 What's Wrong With the Federal Reserve: What Would Restore Independence?
by Allan H Meltzer - 104-107 Federal Reserve Independence in the Aftermath of the Financial Crisis: Should We Be Worried?
by Donald Kohn - 108-112 The Road Ahead: The Graying of America and its Implications for Finance and the Economy
by Roger W Ferguson Jr - 113-120 Forecasting the Downturn of the Great Recession
by Herman O Stekler & Raj M Talwar - 121-133 Looking Ahead: Opportunities and Challenges for U.S. Manufacturers
by Chad Moutray & Kevin Swift - 134-139 The Transition from a Major Commercial Bank to a Privately Held Financial Services Firm
by Diane Swonk - 140-142 Evidence on the Growing Profit Disconnect between the Public's Views of Corporate America
by Charles F Beauchamp & William F Ford & Douglas M Tatum - 143-144 June E. O’Neill and Dave M. O’Neill, The Declining Importance of Race and Gender in the Labor Market
by John C Goodman - 144-146 Robert Sirico, Defending the Free Market: The Moral Case for a Free Economy
by Merrill Matthews
February 2013, Volume 48, Issue 1
- 1-1 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 2-7 In Search of System Understanding and Control
by Gene Huang - 8-28 Real-Time Forecasting Revisited: Letting the Data Decide
by Jackson Kitchen & John Kitchen - 29-41 Is Productivity Growth Too Strong For Our Own Good?
by Mark Vitner & Azhar Iqbal - 42-57 Connecting U.S. Health Expenditures with the Health Sector Workforce
by Ani Turner & Paul Hughes-Cromwick - 58-66 Using Event Studies to Assess the Impact of Unexpected Events
by James V Koch & Robert N Fenili - 67-76 Relative Intragenerational Economic Mobility: A Cross-Period Analysis from 1968 to 2009
by John E Silvia & Tim Quinlan & Joseph Seydl - 77-80 Finance Contributing to the Good Society
by Robert J Shiller - 81-82 John C. Goodman, Priceless: Curing the Healthcare Crisis
by Linda Gorman - 82-84 Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don’t
by Ken Simonson
November 2012, Volume 47, Issue 4
- 233-233 From the Editor
by Robert Thomas Crow - 234-249 The Myths and Facts of Patent Troll and Excessive Payment: Have Nonpracticing Entities (NPEs) Been Overcompensated?
by Jiaqing “Jack” Lu - 250-261 A Comparison of Consensus and BVAR Macroeconomic Forecasts
by John Silvia & Azhar Iqbal - 262-272 Predictability of Financial Crises: Lessons from Sweden for Other Countries
by Hubert Fromlet - 273-284 Keynesian Fiscal Stimulus: What Have We Learned from the Great Recession?
by Laurence S Seidman - 285-296 The Global Engineering Consultancy Market
by Andrew C Gross - 297-301 The Biases that Limit Our Thinking about the Economic Outlook and Policy☆
by John E Silvia - 302-303 Michael S. Hyatt, Platform: Get Noticed in a Noisy World
by W Steven Barnett & Jen Fitzgerald