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Effects of Fiscal Policy on Credit Markets

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  • Auerbach, Alan J
  • Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
  • Murphy, Daniel

Abstract

Credit markets typically freeze in recessions: access to credit declines, and the cost of credit increases. A conventional policy response is to rely on monetary tools to saturate financial markets with liquidity. Given limited space for monetary policy in the current economic conditions, we study how fiscal stimulus can influence local credit markets. Using rich geographical variation in US federal government contracts, we document that, in a local economy, interest rates on consumer loans decrease in response to an expansionary government spending shock.

Suggested Citation

  • Auerbach, Alan J & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Murphy, Daniel, 2020. "Effects of Fiscal Policy on Credit Markets," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt1qj0m1fb, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:econwp:qt1qj0m1fb
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    Cited by:

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    4. Frangiamore, Francesco & Matarrese, Marco Maria, 2025. "Government spending multipliers and financial fragility in Italy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    5. Rüth, Sebastian K. & Simon, Camilla, 2020. "How Do Income and the Debt Position of Households Propagate Public into Private Spending?," Working Papers 0676, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
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    12. Andrea Cipollini & Francesco Frangiamore, 2023. "Government spending and credit market: Evidence from Italian (NUTS 3) provinces," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 102(1), pages 3-30, February.
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    14. Gabriel, Ricardo Duque, 2024. "The Credit Channel of Public Procurement," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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