IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/128159.html

Spatial Spillovers of Local Trade Shocks: Estimation and Distributional Consequences

Author

Listed:
  • Koller, Julian
  • Stefanova, Stefani

Abstract

We propose a novel spatial IV approach to estimate inter-regional employment spillovers from local trade shocks and apply it to the surge of Chinese import competition in the U.S. We find strong spillovers at the local level that substantially reshape the geography of the shock's employment burden. Our results further suggest that these indirect effects propagate through input-output linkages rather than labor mobility. Moreover, we show that our estimates rationalize the roughly 30 percent gap between Autor et al. (2013) and the structural follow-up literature in the aggregate U.S. manufacturing employment decline attributed to Chinese import competition.

Suggested Citation

  • Koller, Julian & Stefanova, Stefani, 2025. "Spatial Spillovers of Local Trade Shocks: Estimation and Distributional Consequences," MPRA Paper 128159, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:128159
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/128159/1/MPRA_paper_128159.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:128159. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.