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Why does the Euro fail? The DCCA approach

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  • Paulo Ferreira

    (CEFAGE-UE, IIFA, Inst. Sup. de Línguas e Administração de Leiria, Dep. de Ciência e Tecnologia Animal - ESAE, Instituto Politécnico de Portalegre, Portugal)

  • Andreia Dionisio

    (CEFAGE-UE, IIFA and Departamento de Gestão, Universidade de Évora, Portugal)

  • Gilney Zebende

    (Computational Modeling Program – SENAI CIMATEC, Bahia, Brazil and Department of Physics – UEFS , Bahia, Brazil)

Abstract

The present crisis in the Euro is one of the most serious crises reported in history. The fact that different countries that adopted the Euro have different conditions to support asymmetric shocks in their economies could explain some of the consequences currently affecting the Eurozone. In this paper we apply detrended cross-correlation analysis and its correlation coefficient to evaluate the degree of financial integration of the first set of countries to adopt the common currency. Detrended cross correlation analysis is a methodology which has some advantages, namely the fact it can also be used in non-stationary series. It is the first time this methodology has been applied to study financial integration. We conclude that the degree of financial integration is unequal in several countries using the common currency. The fact that countries like Greece, Ireland or Portugal are the ones facing most problems in verification of the parity used in this paper could help to explain the present instability in the Eurozone.

Suggested Citation

  • Paulo Ferreira & Andreia Dionisio & Gilney Zebende, 2014. "Why does the Euro fail? The DCCA approach," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers 2014_15, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal).
    • Handle: RePEc:cfe:wpcefa:2014_15
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Haider Ali & Ana Ercília José, 2022. "Application of Multifractal Analysis in Estimating the Reaction of Energy Markets to Geopolitical Acts and Threats," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    3. Oussama Tilfani & Paulo Ferreira & My Youssef El Boukfaoui, 2021. "Dynamic cross-correlation and dynamic contagion of stock markets: a sliding windows approach with the DCCA correlation coefficient," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1127-1156, March.
    4. Ferreira, Paulo & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2020. "Uncovered interest rate parity through the lens of fractal methods: Evidence from the European Union," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 553(C).
    5. Paulo Ferreira, 2017. "Portuguese and Brazilian stock market integration: a non-linear and detrended approach," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(1), pages 49-63, April.
    6. Guedes, E.F. & Ferreira, Paulo & Dionísio, Andreia & Zebende, G.F., 2019. "An econophysics approach to study the effect of BREXIT referendum on European Union stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1175-1182.
    7. Miśkiewicz, Janusz & Tadla, Adrian & Trela, Zenon, 2019. "Does the monetary policy influenced cross-correlations on the main world stocks markets? Power Law Classification Scheme analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 519(C), pages 72-81.
    8. Paulo Ferreira & Éder Pereira, 2019. "The impact of the Brexit referendum on British and European Union bank shares: a cross-correlation analysis with national indices," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 335-346.
    9. Mirdala, Rajmund & Ruščáková, Anna, 2015. "On Origins and Implications of the Sovereign Debt Crisis in the Euro Area," MPRA Paper 68859, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Guedes, E.F. & Brito, A.A. & Oliveira Filho, F.M. & Fernandez, B.F. & de Castro, A.P.N. & da Silva Filho, A.M. & Zebende, G.F., 2018. "Statistical test for ΔρDCCA cross-correlation coefficient," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 501(C), pages 134-140.
    11. Ferreira, Paulo, 2016. "Does the Euro crisis change the cross-correlation pattern between bank shares and national indexes?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 320-329.
    12. Mingbo Zheng & Gen-Fu Feng & Xinxin Zhao & Chun-Ping Chang, 2023. "The transaction behavior of cryptocurrency and electricity consumption," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, December.
    13. Guedes, E. & Dionísio, A. & Ferreira, P.J. & Zebende, G.F., 2017. "DCCA cross-correlation in blue-chips companies: A view of the 2008 financial crisis in the Eurozone," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 479(C), pages 38-47.
    14. da Silva Filho, A.M. & Zebende, G.F. & de Castro, A.P.N. & Guedes, E.F., 2021. "Statistical test for Multiple Detrended Cross-Correlation Coefficient," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 562(C).
    15. Chen, Yingyuan & Cai, Lihui & Wang, Ruofan & Song, Zhenxi & Deng, Bin & Wang, Jiang & Yu, Haitao, 2018. "DCCA cross-correlation coefficients reveals the change of both synchronization and oscillation in EEG of Alzheimer disease patients," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 171-184.
    16. Polanco-Martínez, J.M. & Fernández-Macho, J. & Neumann, M.B. & Faria, S.H., 2018. "A pre-crisis vs. crisis analysis of peripheral EU stock markets by means of wavelet transform and a nonlinear causality test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 1211-1227.
    17. Wang, Zhongxing & Yan, Yan & Chen, Xiaosong, 2017. "Long-range correlation and market segmentation in bond market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 477-485.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial integration; Long-range correlation; Detrended cross-correlation analysis.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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