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Impact of the global crisis on the linkages between the interest rates and the stock prices in Romania

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  • Stefanescu, Razvan
  • Dumitriu, Ramona

Abstract

Very often the crisis induces changes in the linkages between the financial variables. This paper explores, through a Vector Autoregression model and Granger Causality tests, the impact of the global crisis on the relation between the Romanian stock prices and the interest rates. We found this relation was very weak before the crisis, when the Romanian stock market experienced an ascendant trend. Instead, it became quite significant during the crisis when the financial markets are very sensitive to the external stimuli and the monetary policy has to take into consideration the impact of interest rates on the stock prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefanescu, Razvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2010. "Impact of the global crisis on the linkages between the interest rates and the stock prices in Romania," MPRA Paper 36716, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Feb 2011.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:36716
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Granger causality; Vector Autoregression; Romanian stock market; interest rates; global crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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