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Estimación de la curva de rendimiento cupón cero para el Perú

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  • Pereda, Javier

Abstract

En el presente documento se estiman dos modelos para la curva de rendimiento en soles para el Perú, el modelo de Nelson & Siegel (1987) y el modelo de Svensson (1994). Se compara el desempeño de ambos modelos en términos de ajuste, flexibilidad y estabilidad de sus parámetros, y se evalúan funciones objetivo de estimación alternativas. El modelo de Svensson tiene el mejor ajuste, sin embargo, es más inestable cuando no se dispone de datos suficientes para los diferentes plazos de la curva de rendimiento -por la ausencia de emisiones o de precios cuando la negociación en el mercado secundario es incipiente- en cuyo caso es preferible el uso del modelo de Nelson & Siegel. En la parte final se muestra el uso de las curvas de rendimiento cupón cero estimadas como fuente de información de los bancos centrales sobre las expectativas del mercado para la evolución futura de la tasa interbancaria. Clasificación JEL: E43, E52, G12

Suggested Citation

  • Pereda, Javier, 2009. "Estimación de la curva de rendimiento cupón cero para el Perú," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 17, pages 113-145.
  • Handle: RePEc:rbp:esteco:ree-17-04
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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