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Targeting Long Rates in a Model with Segmented Markets

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Abstract

This paper develops a model of segmented financial markets in which the net worth of financial institutions limits the degree of arbitrage across the term structure. The model is embedded into the canonical Dynamic New Keynesian (DNK) framework. We estimate the model using data on the term premium. Our principal results include the following. First, the estimated segmentation coefficient implies a nontrivial effect of central bank asset purchases on yields and real activity. Second, there are welfare gains to having the central bank respond to the term premium, eg., including the term premium in the Taylor rule. Third, a policy that directly targets the term premium sterilizes the real economy from shocks originating in the financial sector. A term premium peg can have signifi cant welfare effects.

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  • Charles T. Carlstrom & Timothy S. Fuerst & Matthias Paustian, 2014. "Targeting Long Rates in a Model with Segmented Markets," Working Papers (Old Series) 1419, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcwp:1419
    DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-201419
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    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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