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(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia

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  • Martin Kliem

    (Deutsche Bundesbank)

  • Alexander Meyer-Gohde

    (University of Hamburg)

Abstract

Central banks are relying increasingly on multiple instruments when implementing monetary policy. This presents empirical analyses of the effects of monetary policy shocks with an ongoing identification challenge. We provide a structural, quantitatively reasonable model of the interaction between monetary policy and the term structure of interest rates to address this. Our model shows that the effects of monetary policy shocks on term premia depend crucially on whether they contain news about future monetary policy. This structural interpretation provides a plausible explanation for the discrepancy in the existing empirical literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Kliem & Alexander Meyer-Gohde, 2018. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," 2018 Meeting Papers 102, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed018:102
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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