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Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs, and Economic Activity

Listed author(s):
  • Mark Gertler
  • Peter Karadi

We provide evidence on the transmission of monetary policy shocks in a setting with both economic and financial variables. We first show that shocks identified using high frequency surprises around policy announcements as external instruments produce responses in output and inflation that are typical in monetary VAR analysis. We also find, however, that the resulting "modest" movements in short rates lead to "large" movements in credit costs, which are due mainly to the reaction of both term premia and credit spreads. Finally, we show that forward guidance is important to the overall strength of policy transmission. (JEL E31, E32, E43, E44, E52, G01)

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File URL: http://www.aeaweb.org/articles.php?doi=10.1257/mac.20130329
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Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics.

Volume (Year): 7 (2015)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 44-76

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Handle: RePEc:aea:aejmac:v:7:y:2015:i:1:p:44-76
Note: DOI: 10.1257/mac.20130329
Contact details of provider: Web page: https://www.aeaweb.org/aej-macro
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