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A Model of Monetary Policy and Risk Premia

Listed author(s):
  • Itamar Drechsler
  • Alexi Savov
  • Philipp Schnabl

We develop a dynamic asset pricing model in which monetary policy affects the risk premium component of the cost of capital. Risk-tolerant agents (banks) borrow from risk-averse agents (i.e. take deposits) to fund levered investments. Leverage exposes banks to funding risk, which they insure by holding liquidity buffers. By changing the nominal rate the central bank influences the liquidity premium in financial markets, and hence the cost of taking leverage. Lower nominal rates make liquidity cheaper and raise leverage, resulting in lower risk premia and higher asset prices, volatility, investment, and growth. We analyze forward guidance, a "Greenspan put", and the yield curve.

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File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/w20141.pdf
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 20141.

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Date of creation: May 2014
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:20141
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