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Forming Priors for DSGE Models (and How It Affects the Assessment of Nominal Rigidities)

  • Frank Schorfheide

    (University of Pennsylvania CEPR and NBER)

  • Marco Del Negro

    (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta)

In Bayesian analysis of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) prior distributions for some of the taste-and-technology parameters can be obtained from microeconometric or pre-sample evidence, but it is difficult to elicit priors for the parameters that govern the law of motion of unobservable exogenous processes. Moreover, since it is challenging to formulate beliefs about the correlation of parameters, most researchers assume that all model parameters are independent of each other. We provide a simple method of constructing prior distributions for (a subset of) DSGE model parameters from beliefs about the moments of the endogenous variables. We use our approach to investigate the importance of nominal rigidities and show how the specification of prior distributions affects our assessment of the relative importance of different frictions.

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Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2007 Meeting Papers with number 283.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed007:283
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Society for Economic Dynamics Marina Azzimonti Department of Economics Stonybrook University 10 Nicolls Road Stonybrook NY 11790 USA

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