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Intrinsic persistence of wage inflation in New Keynesian models of the business cycles

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  • Di Bartolomeo Giovanni
  • Di Pietro Marco

Abstract

We derive and estimate a New Keynesian wage Phillips curve that accounts for intrinsic inertia. In line with microevidence on wage setting, we consider a wage‐setting model featuring an upward‐sloping hazard function, based on the notion that the probability of resetting a wage depends on the time elapsed since the last reset. Our wage Phillips curve embeds also backward terms. We test the hazard function slope using generalized method of moment estimation. Then, placing our equation in a small‐scale New Keynesian model, we investigate its dynamic properties using Bayesian estimation. Model comparison shows that our model outperforms commonly used alternative methods to introduce persistence.
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Suggested Citation

  • Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Di Pietro Marco, 2015. "Intrinsic persistence of wage inflation in New Keynesian models of the business cycles," wp.comunite 0118, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ter:wpaper:0118
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    Cited by:

    1. Beqiraj Elton & Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Serpieri Carolina, 2017. "Bounded-rationality and heterogeneous agents: Long or short forecasters?," wp.comunite 00132, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
    2. Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Di Pietro, Marco, 2018. "Optimal Inflation Targeting Rule Under Positive Hazard Functions For Price Changes," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(01), pages 135-152, January.

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