Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ C: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
/ / C1: Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
/ / / C11: Bayesian Analysis: General

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Bayesian Vector autoregressions (BVARs)

2026

• Kemper, Jan & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2026, "Earning While Learning: How to Run Batched Bandit Experiments," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 18429, Mar.
• Umurcan Polat & Altan Bozdoğan, 2026, "Economic voting and the radical right in Europe: unveiling regional dynamics with novel approaches," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 53, issue 1, pages 79-111, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-025-09664-0.
• Timothy R. Wojan, 2026, "Arts avocations and the ‘Leonardo effect’: Does artistic imagination fuel innovation?," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, volume 50, issue 1, pages 35-51, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10824-025-09553-1.
• MariaA. Barceló & Marc Saez, 2026, "Assessing excess mortality and heat-attributable risk during the summer of 2022 in Catalonia, Spain: a Bayesian spatiotemporal analysis," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, volume 28, issue 1, pages 123-149, January, DOI: 10.1007/s10109-025-00475-2.
• Sangwoo Shin & Qiang Liu & Siyun Lu & Paul Nelson, 2026, "Incorporating switching reasons into a factor-analytic choice model: A study on benefit segmentation of physicians," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, volume 24, issue 1, pages 1-41, December, DOI: 10.1007/s11129-026-09306-0.
• Marwan Izzeldin & Emmanuel Mamatzakis & Anthony Murphy & Vasileios Pappas & Mike Tsionas, 2026, "An innovative Bayesian multiple indicator-multiple cause analysis of bank productivity," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 66, issue 4, pages 1743-1773, May, DOI: 10.1007/s11156-025-01445-x.
• Yves Arrighi & Fahariat Boukari & David Crainich & Léontine Goldzahl & Vincent Lenglin, 2026, "Are threshold-based financial incentive schemes more effective than proportional ones for driving behavior change?," Theory and Decision, Springer, volume 100, issue 3, pages 831-856, May, DOI: 10.1007/s11238-025-10085-5.
• Beniamino Hadj-Amar & Jack Jewson, 2026, "Bayesian Variable Selection with the Quasi-Posterior," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 2/26.
• Brigham R. Frandsen & Lars J. Lefgren & Emily C. Leslie & Samuel P. McIntyre, 2026, "The Incredible Shrinking Instruments: Using Empirical Bayes to Increase Efficiency in IV Designs with Many Instruments," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34634, Jan.
• Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio Primiceri, 2026, "Bayesian Inference in IV Regressions," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34648, Jan.
• Winston Wei Dou & Wei Wang & Wenyu Wang, 2026, "The Cost of Intermediary Market Power for Distressed Borrowers," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35206, May.
• Isaiah Andrews & Simon C. Essig Aberg & Jesse M. Shapiro, 2026, "A Bayesian Critic for Frequentist Procedures," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 35259, May.
• Atsushi Inoue & Òscar Jordà & Guido M Kuersteiner, 2026, "Inference for local projections," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 29, issue 1, pages 2-26.
• Mitica Pepi, 2026, "A Model for the Investment Portofolios of Insurance Companies," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 2, pages 709-715, February.
• Didit B. Nugroho & Bambang Susanto & Faldy Tita & Takayuki Morimoto, 2026, "Real-time return extensions of realized GARCH models for improved risk management in asset markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 27, issue 2, pages 1-19, June, DOI: 10.1057/s41260-026-00452-4.
• Gabriel Rodriguez & Luis Mancilla Marquina, 2026, "Evaluating The Self-Defeating Fiscal Austerity Hypothesis for a Dollarized Economy: The Peruvian Case," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, number 2026-555, DOI: 10.18800/2079-8474.0555.
• Hardy, Nicolas & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2026, "Generalized Bayesian Composite Quantile Regression with an Application to Equity Premium Forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128752, Apr.
• Merino Troncoso, Carlos, 2026, "Oil Shocks, Trade Reallocation, and External Adjustment: The case of of a small open economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128814, Apr.
• ZENAGUI, Sid Ahmed, 2026, "Advanced Monetary Theory and Policy: New Keynesian Economics, DSGE Models, and Central Banking," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 129218, May.
• César Carrera & Marko Razzo, 2026, "Seen and Unseen: NAIRU, informal labor market and talking points for monetary policy," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2026-001, Apr.
• Kim Won Joong & Shin Wonmun & Piao Chunyan, 2026, "What Caused the GDP Fluctuation Over Time? A Case Study of Korea," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, volume 41, issue 1, pages 137-155, March, DOI: 10.11130/jei.2025006.
• A. Ford Ramsey & Tadashi Sonoda, 2026, "Railways and grain price convergence in Meiji Japan," Cliometrica, Springer;Cliometric Society (Association Francaise de Cliométrie), volume 20, issue 1, pages 115-151, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11698-025-00308-8.
• Fayssal Ayad, 2026, "Breaking away: development burdens of secession in Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-29, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02872-4.
• Marta Arbelo-Pérez & Violeta De Vera & Antonio Arbelo, 2026, "Unravelling heterogeneity in efficiency measurements: a case study of public hospitals in Spain," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), volume 27, issue 2, pages 305-318, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10198-025-01818-y.
• Marina Toger & Umut Türk & John Östh & Manfred M. Fischer, 2026, "Modeling commuter mobility in Stockholm: a spatial panel approach using mobile phone data," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, volume 19, issue 1, pages 1-15, December, DOI: 10.1007/s12076-026-00441-6.
• David J. C. Dinis, 2026, "Low Default Portfolios – From the Usefulness of Pluriannual Data to the Inconsistency of Multi period Estimation," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, volume 16, issue 4, pages 1-2.
• Martin Iseringhausen, 2026, "Financial market interdependence, contagion and jumpy risk exposure," Working Papers, European Stability Mechanism, number 76, Feb, revised 09 Feb 2026.
• Elton Beqiraj & Giuseppe Ciccarone & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo, 2026, "The U.S. Economic Dynamics and Inflation Persistence: A Regime-Switching Perspective," CIMEO Working Paper Series, Centre for Investigation and Modelling of Experimental Observations (CIMEO), number 204, May.
• Savaş Gayaker & Yeliz Yalcin, 2026, "Examining the Impact of Monetary Policy in Turkey: TVP-VAR with Stochastic Volatility," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 73, issue 3, pages 313-337.
• Jakub Ryłow, 2026, "Keynes vs. Kolmogorov: Two Axiomatics of Probability," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2026-8.
• Christiane Baumeister & Florian Huber & Thomas K. Lee & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2026, "Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 41, issue 2, pages 139-155, March, DOI: 10.1002/jae.70018.
• Fahmi, Taher E., 2026, "How NOT to Conduct Monetary Policy : The Case of Turkiye," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers, number 95.
• Guest, Oliver & Steenkamp, Daan, 2026, "Is the rand at fair value?," EconStor Research Reports, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 336005.
• Kemper, Jan & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2026, "Earning While Learning: How to Run Batched Bandit Experiments," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 1717.
• Cuimin Ba, 2026, "Robust Misspecified Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 116, issue 4, pages 1340-1379, April, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20240246.
• Ruopu Hu & Andreas Schabert, 2026, "Bank Regulation and Post-2008 US Monetary Policy," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 397, Mar.
• Niko Hauzenberger Massimiliano Marcellino Michael Pfarrhofer Anna Stelzer, 2026, "Direct Gaussian Process Predictive Regressions with Mixed Frequency Data," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy, number 26265.
• Jon Frost & Carlos Madeira & Yash Rastogi & Harald Uhlig, 2026, "Quantum Bayesian inference: an exploration," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1342, Apr.
• Nicolas Hardy & Dimitris Korobilis, 2026, "Generalized Bayesian Composite Quantile Regression with an Application to Equity Premium Forecasting," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 04/2026, Apr.
• Dimitrios Karamanis & Dimitrios P. Louzis & Evangelia Papapetrou & Anastasia Theofilakou, 2026, "Modelling house price dynamics in Greece," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 365, Jun, DOI: 10.52903/wp2026365.
• Abebe, Girum & Fafchamps, Marcel & Koelle, Michael & Quinn, Simon & Schwantje, Tom, 2026, "Management Style Under the Spotlight: Evidence from Studio Recordings," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21043, Jan.
• Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2026, "Fiscal Monitoring with VARs," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21160, Feb.
• Hauzenberger, Niko & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Stelzer, Anna, 2026, "Direct Gaussian Process Predictive Regressions with Mixed Frequency Data," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21214, Feb.
• Qian, Jingye & Marín Díazaraque, Juan Miguel & Veiga, Helena, 2026, "A VAR with Threshold Stochastic Volatility for State-Dependent Climate–Energy–Industry Dynamics," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number 49327, Feb.
• Guo, Hongfei & Marín Díazaraque, Juan Miguel & Veiga, Helena, 2026, "Target-Driven Bayesian Stacking of Realized and Implied Volatility Forecasts," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number 49851, Apr.
• Meng, Ye & Pan, Shiyuan & Zhu, Xiwei, 2026, "Academic environment, directed technical change, and economic growth," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 30, issue , pages 1-1, January.
• Junjie Guo & Zhao Han & Abhiprerna Smit, 2026, "Fiscal Inflation With Incomplete Information," Working Papers, Economics Department, William & Mary, number 176, Feb, DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.555.
• Ebbes, Peter & Ascarza, Eva & Netzer, Oded, 2026, "Learning from Many Experiments: A Hierarchical Bayesian Framework for Decomposing Marketing Treatment Heterogeneity," HEC Research Papers Series, HEC Paris, number 1610, Feb, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.6213079.
• Battistini, Niccolò & Neves, Pedro, 2026, "What drives business expectations? A tale of demand and supply," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3179, Jan.
• Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2026, "Fiscal monitoring with VARs," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3186, Feb.
• Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2026, "Bayesian inference in IV regressions," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3189, Feb.
• Barauskaitė Griškevičienė, Kristina & Brand, Claus & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2026, "Pandemic-era inflation dynamics in the euro area: the role of policy and non-policy demand and energy and non-energy supply factors," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3201, Mar.
• Zorell, Nico & Zwick, Christoph, 2026, "Assessing the impact of the EU’s Recovery and Resilience Facility on institutional quality: a Bayesian synthetic control approach," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3212, Mar.
• Cheng, Zhuo (June) & Fang, Jing & Zhang, Yinglei, 2026, "Idiosyncratic volatility and return: A finite mixture approach," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, volume 58, issue 2, DOI: 10.1016/j.bar.2023.101261.
• López, Lucia & Odendahl, Florens & Párraga Rodríguez, Susana & Silgado-Gómez, Edgar, 2026, "The pass-through to inflation of gas price shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105218.
• Chafwehé, Boris & de Beauffort, Charles & Oikonomou, Rigas, 2026, "Managing the inflation-output trade-off with public debt portfolios," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 183, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105244.
• Postek, Łukasz & Walerych, Małgorzata, 2026, "The impact of Ukrainian immigration on labour market dynamics in Poland: A Bayesian VAR analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 155, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107441.
• Bampinas, Georgios & Karfakis, Ioannis & Panagiotidis, Theodore & Papapanagiotou, Georgios, 2026, "Stocks, currencies, and geopolitical shocks: Evidence from advanced and emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 156, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107454.
• Ma, Xiaohua & Gao, Qibing & Wang, Jun & Wang, Mingquan & Zhu, Chunhua, 2026, "A Bayesian synthetic control method via horseshoe priors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2026.107502.
• Prüser, Jan & Blagov, Boris, 2026, "Improving inference and forecasting in VAR models using cross-sectional information," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 160, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2026.107618.
• Canepa, Alessandra & Dima, Bodgan, 2026, "Environmental performance and institutions quality in Europe: A Bayesian model averaging approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 83, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2026.102591.
• Cai, Zhengzheng & Han, Xiaoyi & Zhuo, Jianchao, 2026, "Estimation of high order simultaneous equations spatial autoregressive model: An efficient Bayesian approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 258, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112741.
• Georgalos, Konstantinos, 2026, "When correlation does not matter: Robust Bayesian estimates of risk preferences," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 264, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2026.112957.
• Liu, Ruixuan & Yu, Zhengfei, 2026, "Quasi-Bayesian estimation and inference with control functions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 253, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106126.
• He, Zhongfang, 2026, "A computationally efficient mixture innovation model for time-varying parameter regressions," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, volume 37, issue C, pages 250-269, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2023.08.001.
• Aastveit, Knut Are & Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Cross, Jamie L. & Kalstad, Helene O., 2026, "Unveiling inflation: Oil shocks, supply chain pressures, and expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 181, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105192.
• Muhanji, Stella & Ojah, Kalu & Soumaré, Issouf, 2026, "Cost of external debt and commodity price movement: A focus on African countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 73, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2026.101486.
• Dang, Thuy Duong & Hollstein, Fabian & Prokopczuk, Marcel, 2026, "Factor pricing across asset classes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2026.101688.
• Farag, Markos & Ruhnau, Oliver, 2026, "Decomposing return and volatility connectedness in Northwest European natural gas markets: Evidence from the R2 connectedness approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 154, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.109115.
• Andrews, Antony & Ng'ombe, John N. & Hasan, Md. Rakibul, 2026, "Sticky growth, sticky carbon: Bayesian joint modelling evidence on a growth-carbon lock-in in emerging economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109220.
• Das, Abhinav & Schlüter, Stephan & Schneider, Lorenz, 2026, "Regime-aware conditional neural processes with multi-criteria decision support for operational electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109233.
• Górajski, Mariusz & Kacprzyk, Andrzej & Kuchta, Zbigniew, 2026, "A Bayesian perspective on the Environmental Kuznets Curve," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109267.
• Bland, James R., 2026, "Bayesian inference for Quantal Response Equilibrium in normal-form games," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, pages 619-636, DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2023.05.005.
• Graziani, Rebecca & Nigri, Andrea, 2026, "An age–period–cohort model in a Dirichlet framework: A coherent causes of death estimation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, volume 126, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2025.103194.
• Beck, Krzysztof & Filippidis, Michail & Jackson, Karen & Magkonis, Georgios, 2026, "Commodity prices redux: A global factor story," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 165, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2026.103588.
• Kempa, Bernd & Zou, Feina, 2026, "Estimation of the natural interest rate under monetary policy smoothing," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2026.103761.
• Rodríguez, Gabriel & Santisteban, Joseph, 2026, "Regime-switching, fiscal policy shocks and macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2025.e00448.
• Berlin, Noémi & Kemel, Emmanuel & Lenglin, Vincent & Nebout, Antoine, 2026, "Paying none, some or all? Between-subject random incentives and preferences towards risk and time," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, volume 112, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2025.102870.
• Nasini, Stefano & Nessah, Rabia & Wigniolle, Bertrand, 2026, "Learning paths to multi-sector equilibrium: Belief dynamics under uncertain returns to scale," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, volume 122, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmateco.2025.103212.
• Jacobo, Juan, 2026, "A theory of probabilistic economic equilibria," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, volume 124, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmateco.2026.103240.
• Hubrich, Kirstin & Schüler, Yves & Waggoner, Daniel, 2026, "Financial shocks and leverage of financial institutions: When do they matter?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2026.103900.
• Sarkodie, Helena & Keefe, Michael O’Connor & Boasiako, Kwabena, 2026, "Financing divestment from Russia," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 107, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.105072.
• Jiang, Yifu & Liu, Jine, 2026, "Robust investment portfolio management for dynamic financial markets using Bayesian neural networks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 108, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.105244.
• Ahsan, Muhammad & Haris, Muhammad & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh, 2026, "Unpacking the interplay between geopolitical factors and financial development: Evidence from cross-panels," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 86, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2026.103365.
• Kohler, Timothy A. & Green, Adam & Ortman, Scott G., 2026, "Kuznets at -7000: Is there a really long-term relationship between growth and inequality?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 77, issue C, pages 207-217, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2026.01.007.
• Alberto Montagnoli & Miroslava Quiroga-Trevino & Christoph Thoenissen, 2026, "The Balance Sheet Channel of Fiscal Policy: Sovereign Exposure and Credit to Firms in the European Periphery," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-42, Jun.
• Howai, Niko & Bian, Alice & De Guzman-Mortillero, Arnica & Robinson, Elizabeth, 2026, "Mangrove livelihoods in Palawan, Philippines: individual and joint household preferences with exemption interviews," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 138521, May.
• Matej Opatrny & Martin Opatrny & Tomas Havranek & Zuzana Irsova & Mojmir Hampl, 2026, "Optimal Inflation Rate: A Meta-Analysis," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2026/14, Jun, revised Jun 2026.
• Ellis W. Tallman & Saeed Zaman, 2026, "A New Model of Trend Inflation Using Disaggregates, Survey Expectations, and Uncertainty," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 26-08, Mar, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202608.
• Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2026, "A Nonparametric Approach to Augmenting a Bayesian VAR with Nonlinear Factors," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 26-14, Jun, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202614.
• Dario Caldara & Haroon Mumtaz & Molin Zhong, 2026, "Risk in a Data-Rich Model," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1435, Mar, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2026.1435.
• Jonathan Adams & Christian Matthes, 2026, "How Ricardian Are We?," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 26-02, Mar, DOI: 10.18651/RWP2026-2.
• Jonas E. Arias & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Minchul Shin, 2026, "Are Fiscal Transfers Inflationary?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 26-23, May, DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2026.23.
• Chaimae Lazzarou, 2026, "Measuring Natural Interest Rate in Morocco," IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, number 01-2026, Feb.
• Otneim, Håkon, 2026, "Comparable Grading from Observational Data: Many-Facet Modelling with Soft Anchors," Discussion Papers, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science, number 2026/6, May.
• Bjarni G. Einarsson;Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2026, "What sets the trend? The evolution and drivers of Icelandic trend inflation," Economics, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland, number wp100, Mar.

2025

• Ravazzolo, Francesco & Rossini, Luca & Viselli, Andrea, 2025, "Modeling European electricity market integration during turbulent times," FEEM Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 376266, Nov, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.376266.
• Fabio Gómez-Rodríguez & Catalina Sandoval-Alvarado, 2025, "The pass-through effect of the nominal exchange rate to prices in Costa Rica," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 2503, Sep.
• Luka Bašić, 2025, "From Russia with love: The resilience of monetary policy transmission channels during Western sanctions and the monetary regime shift," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, volume 11, issue 4, pages 465-484, December, DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.11.145962.
• Oriol Gonz'alez-Casas'us & Frank Schorfheide, 2025, "Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2502.03693, Feb.
• Tobias Adrian & Domenico Giannone & Matteo Luciani & Mike West, 2025, "Scenario Synthesis and Macroeconomic Risk," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2505.05193, May.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2025, "Exploring Monetary Policy Shocks with Large-Scale Bayesian VARs," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2505.06649, May.
• Xu Cheng & Sheng Chao Ho & Frank Schorfheide, 2025, "Optimal Estimation of Two-Way Effects under Limited Mobility," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2506.21987, Jun.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini & Andrea Viselli, 2025, "Modeling European Electricity Market Integration during turbulent times," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2506.23289, Jun.
• Sebastian Calonico & Sebastian Galiani, 2025, "Beyond Bonferroni: Hierarchical Multiple Testing in Empirical Research," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2507.19610, Jul.
• Todd Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2025, "A Flexible Approach to Augmenting a Bayesian VAR with Nonlinear Factors," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2508.13972, Aug, revised Jun 2026.
• Nicolas Hardy & Dimitris Korobilis, 2025, "Learning from crises: A new class of time-varying parameter VARs with observable adaptation," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2512.03763, Dec.
• Stefano Nasini & Rabia Nessah & Bertrand Wigniolle, 2025, "Learning Paths to Multi-Sector Equilibrium: Belief Dynamics Under Uncertain Returns to Scale," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2512.07013, Dec.
• Helmut Lütkepohl & Fei Shang & Luis Uzeda & Tomasz Woźniak, 2025, "Partial Identification of Heteroskedastic Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory and Bayesian Inference," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 25-14, May, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2025-14.
• Gianni Amisano & Roberta Colavecchio, 2025, "Monetary aggregates and inflation: A new view on an old relationship," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 195, Feb.
• Lucía López & Florens Odendahl & Susana Párraga & Edgar Silgado-Gómez, 2025, "The pass-through to inflation of gas price shocks," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2512, Feb, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/39118.
• Alberto Montagnoli & Miroslava Quiroga-Trevino & Christoph Thoenissen, 2025, "The Balance Sheet Channel of Fiscal Policy: Sovereign Exposure and Credit to Firms in the European Periphery," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2025-12, Sep.
• Daniel Parra-Amado & Camilo Granados, 2025, "Output Gap Measurement after COVID for Colombia: Lessons from a Permanent-Transitory Approach," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1295, Jan, DOI: 10.32468/be.1295.
• Hanno Kase & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2025, "Estimating nonlinear heterogeneous agent models with neural networks," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1241, Jan.
• Hanno Kase & Matthias Rottner & Fabio Stohler, 2025, "Generative economic modeling," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1312, Dec.
• Andrew Mountford, 2025, "Economic Growth Analysis When Balanced Growth Paths May Be Time Varying," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 87, issue 3, pages 477-498, June, DOI: 10.1111/obes.12638.
• Dimitris Korobilis & Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis & Vasileios Pappas, 2025, "Bayesian Nonparametric Inference in Bank Business Models with Transient and Persistent Cost Inefficiency," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 03/2025, Mar.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2025, "Exploring Monetary Policy Shocks with Large-Scale Bayesian VARs," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 05/2025, May.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2025, "Learning from crises: A new class of time-varying parameter VARs with observable adaptation," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 09/2025, Dec.
• Dorfman Jeffrey H. & Li Wenying & Zhang Jingfang, 2025, "Forecasting Revisions to U.S. Jobs Report Data," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 825-845, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0145.
• Herculano Miguel C. & Jacob Punnoose, 2025, "Financial Condition Indices in an Incomplete Data Environment," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 29, issue 1, pages 19-38, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2022-0115.
• Chan Joshua & Doucet Arnaud & León-González Roberto & Strachan Rodney W., 2025, "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co-Heteroscedasticity," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 29, issue 3, pages 265-300, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2023-0056.
• Jawadi Fredj, 2025, "From Model Misspecification to Multidimensional Welfare: A Conversation with Professor Esfandiar Maasoumi," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 29, issue 4, pages 405-424, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2025-0089.
• Aydin Yakut, Dilan, 2025, "Beyond Aggregates: A Dual Lens on Eurozone Trend Inflation," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 3/RT/25, May.
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• Yin-Wong Cheung & Wenhao Wang & Frank Westermann, 2025, "An In-Sample Evaluation of Exchange Rate Models: In Search of Scapegoats," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11852.
• Taisuke Imai & Salvatore Nunnari & Jilong Wu & Ferdinand M. Vieider, 2025, "Meta-Analysis of Prospect Theory Parameters," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12334.
• Monti, Francesca & Van Keirsbilck, Leïla, 2025, "The transmission of shocks across sectors and the dynamics of sectoral prices," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 2025014, Sep.
• Gonzalez-Casasus, Oriol & Schorfheide, Frank, 2025, "Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19915, Feb.
• Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Klieber, Karin & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2025, "Machine Learning the Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19964, Feb.
• Hauzenberger, Niko & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Stelzer, Anna, 2025, "Bayesian Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19965, Feb.
• Huber, Florian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2025, "The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20050, Mar.
• Adrian, Tobias & Giannone, Domenico & Luciani, Matteo & West, Mike, 2025, "Scenario Synthesis and Macroeconomic Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20219, May.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2025, "Nonparametric Mixed Frequency Monitoring Macro-at-Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20442, Jul.
• Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Sheremirov, Slavik & Tang, Jenny & ZakrajÅ¡ek, Egon, 2025, "Inflation Factors," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20574, Aug.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2025, "An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on the Italian Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 20661, Sep.
• Guo, Hongfei & Marín Díazaraque, Juan Miguel & Veiga, Helena, 2025, "Learning Volatility:A Bayesian Neural Stochastic Framework," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number 47944, Sep.
• Eva BOONAERT & Kaat VAN HOYWEGHEN & Ashenafi DUGUMA FEYISA & Peter GOOS & Miet MAERTENS, 2025, "Gendered fertility intentions and child schooling: insights on the quantity–quality trade-off from Ethiopia," JODE - Journal of Demographic Economics, Cambridge University Press, volume 91, issue 1, pages 1-48, March, DOI: 10.1017/dem.2022.28.
• Laura Battaglia & Timothy Christensen & Stephen Hansen & Szymon Sacher, 2025, "Inference for Regression with Variables Generated by AI or Machine Learning," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2421, Jan.
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• Chan, Joshua C.C. & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2025, "Conditional forecasts in large Bayesian VARs with multiple equality and inequality constraints," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 173, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105061.
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• Puerta-Cuartas, Alejandro & Ramírez-Hassan, Andrés, 2025, "A spatial one-sided error model to identify where unarrested criminals live," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 142, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106929.
• Lian, Zeng & Chen, Liang & Tan, Hongru, 2025, "How NAFTA affected U.S. vehicle emissions: Demand growth and usage patterns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106961.
• Kim, Won Joong & Ko, Juyoung & Kwon, Won Soon & Piao, Chunyan, 2025, "Time-varying sources of fluctuations in global inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106970.
• Wang, Nianling & Wang, Qianchao & Li, Yong, 2025, "Estimation and forecast of carbon emission market volatility based on model averaging method," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106976.
• Wu, Zhou & Yu, Muyao & Zeng, Tao & Zhang, Yonghui, 2025, "Efficient approximation of post-processing posterior predictive p value with economic applications," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 146, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107023.
• Ahmadi, Maryam & Casoli, Chiara & Manera, Matteo & Valenti, Daniele, 2025, "Climate shocks, economic activity and cross-country spillovers: Evidence from a new global model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 148, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107082.
• Zhang, Yijiong & Zhu, Yanli & Chen, Ying & Han, Xiaoyi, 2025, "Policy impact on the global COVID-19 pandemic and unemployment outcomes: A large-scale mixed frequency spatial approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 151, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107160.
• Moučka, Jakub & Němec, Daniel, 2025, "Improving macroeconomic model credibility: Reducing reliance on frictions through observed inflation expectations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 153, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107300.
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• Harasheh, Murad & Bouteska, Ahmed, 2025, "Volatility estimation through stochastic processes: Evidence from cryptocurrencies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 75, issue PB, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102320.
• Chang, Hao-Wen & Chi, Pei-Yu & Lin, Chin-Ho, 2025, "Superiority of ESG-oriented portfolios in Taiwan stock market: Quantile-on-quantile with GARCH approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 80, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2025.102485.
• Rubaszek, Michał & Szafranek, Karol, 2025, "Modelling oil consumption in Baumeister and Hamilton’s (2019) model of the global oil market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 248, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112216.
• Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Klieber, Karin & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2025, "Machine learning the macroeconomic effects of financial shocks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 250, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112260.
• Santos-Lozada, Alexis R. & Cuxil, Ernesto R., 2025, "The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on remittances in Guatemala: A causal impact analysis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 252, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112351.
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• Wang, Jiajia, 2025, "Bayesian analysis of spatial panel Durbin model with convex combinations of different spatial weight matrices," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 256, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112587.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2025, "An empirical investigation of the effects of monetary policy shocks on the Italian economy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 257, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112686.
• Korobilis, Dimitris & Schröder, Maximilian, 2025, "Monitoring multi-country macroeconomic risk: A quantile factor-augmented vector autoregressive (QFAVAR) approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 249, issue PC, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105730.
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• Albonico, Alice & Ascari, Guido & Haque, Qazi, 2025, "Monetary policy in the euro area: Active or passive?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 177, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105050.
• Gargiulo, Valeria & Matthes, Christian & Petrova, Katerina, 2025, "Monetary policy across inflation regimes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 178, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105109.
• Tsionas, Mike & Zelenyuk, Valentin & Zhang, Xibin, 2025, "Goodness-of-fit in production models: A Bayesian perspective," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, volume 324, issue 2, pages 644-653, DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2025.01.030.
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• Wan, Runqing & Xing, Bingxin Ann, 2025, "Can switching between predictive models and the historical average improve bond return predictability?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 75, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.106874.
• Morales, Adriano Barasal & Laurini, Márcio Poletti & Vrieling, Anton, 2025, "Risk assessment from space: Integrating satellite-derived insights for ESG financial decisions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 76, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.106951.
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• Kiss, Tamás & Ferreira Batista Martins, Igor, 2025, "Good volatility, bad volatility and the cross section of commodity returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 86, issue PD, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.108656.
• Chen, Qian & Koch, Christoffer & Richardson, Gary & Sharma, Padma, 2025, "Suspensions of payments and their consequences," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 78, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2025.101391.
• Zhang, Yaojun & Ji, Lanpeng & Aivaliotis, Georgios & Taylor, Charles C., 2025, "Bayesian CART models for aggregate claim modeling," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, volume 125, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2025.103136.
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• Saunoris, James W. & Payne, James E. & Sobel, Russell S., 2025, "Identifying the ‘deep roots’ of economic freedom with implications for policy and economic reform," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 47, issue 1, pages 211-227, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.09.002.
• Ahn, Hie Joo & Rudd, Jeremy B., 2025, "(Re-)Connecting inflation and the labor market: A tale of two curves," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 153, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103796.
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• Wang, Zijun & Ma, Lu & Eboli, Laura & Mazzulla, Gabriella, 2025, "Combining Bayesian hierarchical modeling with matched pair sampling for exploring gender differences in driver injury severity," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, volume 112, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101596.
• Xiang, XueTing & Lim, Kian-Ping & Ong, Sheue-Li, 2025, "The dynamics and drivers of global market integration: Regional and cultural factors matter," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 78, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.102975.
• Lee, Geon Hee & Kim, Young Min, 2025, "Oil price uncertainty shock and Korean sectoral stock market: The role of common factor and asymmetry," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 78, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.102989.
• Alex H. Martinez & Brian Christensen & Elizabeth F. Sutton & Andrew G. Chapple, 2025, "A Comparison of Bayesian and Frequentist Variable Selection Methods for Estimating Average Treatment Effects in Logistic Regression," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, volume 68, issue 2, pages 1-44.
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