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Credit supply dynamics and economic activity in euro area countries: a time-varying parameter VAR analysis

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  • Bijsterbosch, Martin
  • Falagiarda, Matteo

Abstract

This paper aims to shed light on the role of credit supply shocks in euro area countries during the recent pre-crisis, bust, and post-crisis periods. A time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) with stochastic volatility JEL Classification: C11, C32, E32, E51

Suggested Citation

  • Bijsterbosch, Martin & Falagiarda, Matteo, 2014. "Credit supply dynamics and economic activity in euro area countries: a time-varying parameter VAR analysis," Working Paper Series 1714, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20141714
    Note: 339019
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    14. Christiane Baumeister & Luca Benati, 2013. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Great Recession: Estimating the Macroeconomic Effects of a Spread Compression at the Zero Lower Bound," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 9(2), pages 165-212, June.
    15. Kim Abildgren, 2012. "Financial structures and the real effects of credit-supply shocks in Denmark 1922-2011," European Review of Economic History, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(4), pages 490-510, November.
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    18. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Maurin, Laurent & Moccero, Diego, 2014. "Financial conditions index and credit supply shocks for the euro area," Working Paper Series 1644, European Central Bank.
    19. Jørn Inge Halvorsen & Dag Henning Jacobsen, 2009. "Are bank lending shocks important for economic fluctuations?," Working Paper 2009/27, Norges Bank.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Antonio Álvarez & Alejandro Fernández & Joaquín García-Cabo & Diana Posada, 2019. "Liquidity Funding Shocks: the Role of Banks’ Funding Mix," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 167-190, June.
    2. Schleer, Frauke & Semmler, Willi & Illner, Julian, 2014. "Overleveraging in the banking sector: Evidence from Europe," ZEW Discussion Papers 14-066, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    3. Leo de Haan & Jan Willem van den End & Philip Vermeulen, 2017. "Lenders on the storm of wholesale funding shocks: saved by the central bank?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(46), pages 4679-4703, October.
    4. Bijsterbosch, Martin & Falagiarda, Matteo, 2015. "The macroeconomic impact of financial fragmentation in the euro area: Which role for credit supply?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 93-115.
    5. Gregor, Jiří & Melecký, Martin, 2018. "The pass-through of monetary policy rate to lending rates: The role of macro-financial factors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 71-88.
    6. Amine Ben Amar, 2019. "The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission in a Dual Banking System: Further Insights from TVP-VAR Model," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(4), pages 2317-2332.
    7. Donal Smith, 2016. "The International Impact of Financial Shocks: A Global VAR and Connectedness Measures Approach," Discussion Papers 16/07, Department of Economics, University of York.
    8. Lodge, David & Soudan, Michel, 2019. "Credit, financial conditions and the business cycle in China," Working Paper Series 2244, European Central Bank.
    9. Chirinos-Leañez, Ana María & Pagliacci, Carolina, 2018. "Credit Supply in Venezuela: A Non-Conventional Bank Lending Channel?," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8256, Inter-American Development Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit supply shocks; euro area; sign restrictions; TVP-VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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