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FISCO: modelo fiscal para Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Hernán Rincón

    (Unidad de Investigaciones, Banco de la República, Bogotá, Colombia)

  • Diego Rodríguez

    (Departamento de Modelos Macroeconómicos, Banco de la República, Bogotá, Colombia)

  • Jorge Toro

    (Subgerencia de Estudios Económicos, Banco de la República, Bogotá, Colombia)

  • Santiago Téllez

    (Tepper School of Business, Pittsburgh, Pensilvania, Estados Unidos)

Abstract

El gobierno es un agente que influye sobre la actividad económica a lo largo del ciclo económico mediante sus políticas tributaria y de gasto. El objetivo de este documento es construir un modelo fiscal de equilibrio general dinámico y estocástico neokeynesiano para Colombia (FISCO), en donde el gobierno juega un papel preponderante en la economía. Las cinco principales conclusiones del documento muestran que: la inflación compete tanto a la política monetaria como a la política fiscal; los choques a la política fiscal son contrarrestados en cierto grado por la política monetaria, pero choques a esta última son refrendados por la política fiscal; el recorte al gasto público de inversión impacta en mayor medida a la economía que el ajuste al de funcionamiento, y la regla fiscal estabiliza las finanzas públicas, pero ante ciertos choques.

Suggested Citation

  • Hernán Rincón & Diego Rodríguez & Jorge Toro & Santiago Téllez, 2017. "FISCO: modelo fiscal para Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 35(83), pages 161-187, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:ensayo:v:35:y:2017:i:83:p:161-187
    DOI: 10.1016/j.espe.2017.04.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Alejandro López-Vera & Andrés D. Pinchao-Rosero & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, 2018. "Non-Linear Fiscal Multipliers for Public Expenditure and Tax Revenue in Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 36(85), pages 48-64, November.
    2. Jose U. Mora & Celso J. Costa Junior, 2019. "FDI Asymmetries in Emerging Economies: The Case of Colombia," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(8), pages 1-35, August.
    3. Martha Elena Delgado-Rojas & Hernán Rincón-Castro, 2017. "Incertidumbre acerca de la política fiscal y ciclo económico," Borradores de Economia 1008, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Hernán Rincón-Castro & Juan Pablo Ángel-Mojica, 2023. "¿Sobre quién recaería la carga de reducir el impuesto sobre la renta de las empresas?," Borradores de Economia 1260, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Gómez, Marcos & Medina, Juan Pablo & Valenzuela, Gonzalo, 2019. "Unveiling the objectives of central banks: Tales of four Latin American countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 81-100.
    6. Jose U. Mora & Celso J. Costa Junior, 2019. "FDI Asymmetries in Emerging Economies: The Case of Colombia," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(8), pages 1-35, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Neo-Keynesian DSGE model; Fiscal policy; Monetary policy; Transmission channels and mechanisms; Structural fiscal rulefiscal rule;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General

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